Ashgrove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Ashgrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Ashgrove is around 14,600, reflecting an increase of 1,150 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents an 8.6% increase from the previous population count of 13,450. The current resident population estimate of 14,565 is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses following the examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024. This population level results in a density ratio of 2,504 persons per square kilometer, placing Ashgrove in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 8.6% growth since the census is within 1.3 percentage points of the national average (9.9%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used. These state projections lack age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. By 2041, the suburb of Ashgrove is expected to increase by 763 persons, reflecting a gain of 5.0% in total over the 17 years based on aggregated SA2-level projections.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashgrove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Ashgrove has experienced around 27 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 138 homes were approved, with an additional 15 so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 3.7 new residents arriving per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

Given this demand significantly exceeds new supply, it typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. New dwellings are developed at an average value of $1,078,000, indicating developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $53.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Ashgrove has significantly less development activity (61.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

New building activity shows 96.0% standalone homes and 4.0% attached dwellings, preserving Ashgrove's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. This favours detached housing more than current patterns suggest (77.0% at Census), demonstrating ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. Ashgrove has around 555 people per approval, indicating a mature, established area. Future projections show Ashgrove adding 728 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Existing development levels seem aligned with future requirements, maintaining stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Ashgrove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 15 potential impact projects in total. Key projects include Ile Ashgrove, Sanctuary Residences Ashgrove, 28 Kadanga Street Ashgrove, and Dorset Residences Ashgrove. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Ashgrove ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Ashgrove has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 2.7% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 0.8% over the past year, according to AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. In December 2025, 8,824 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 1.4% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation in Ashgrove was 76.8%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%. Census responses indicated that 34.2% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Dominant employment sectors among residents include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Ashgrove has a notably high concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.8 times the regional average.

Manufacturing has limited presence in Ashgrove, with only 2.8% of employment compared to the regional average of 6.4%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. In the 12-month period ending December 2025, employment increased by 0.8%, while labour force increased by 1.4%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.6 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.2% and labour force growth of 3.0%, with a decrease in unemployment by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Ashgrove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 2023 shows that income in Ashgrove is among the top percentile nationally. The median income is $71,291 and the average income stands at $109,085. This contrasts with Greater Brisbane's figures of a median income of $58,236 and an average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% from July 2023 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $78,356 (median) and $119,895 (average). From the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census conducted in August 2021, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Ashgrove, between the 88th and 95th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 36.0% of locals (5,256 people) fall into the $4000+ category, contrasting with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 33.3%. The substantial proportion of high earners (48.4% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout the locality. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile nationally.

Ashgrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As per the latest Census evaluation, Ashgrove's dwelling structure comprised 77.3% houses and 22.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashgrove stood at 31.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.0% and rented ones at 27.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Ashgrove was $440, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Ashgrove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,600 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ashgrove features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.4% of all households, including 42.2% couples with children, 22.0% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 25.6%, with lone person households at 20.8% and group households comprising 4.9%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Ashgrove demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Ashgrove residents aged 15+ have higher educational attainment than Queensland (QLD) and Australia averages. 52.3% hold university qualifications compared to 25.7% in QLD and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 32.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 14.1%. Vocational pathways account for 20.5%, with advanced diplomas at 9.1% and certificates at 11.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.8% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in secondary education, 10.8% in primary education, and 9.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ashgrove has 79 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 20 different routes that together facilitate 3,420 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living just 165 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to Ashgrove being primarily residential. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 80% of residents, while buses are used by 10%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high proportion of residents, 34.2%, work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 488 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 43 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashgrove's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Ashgrove. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were very low across all age groups. Private health cover was found to be exceptionally high at approximately 70% of the total population (10,281 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area were mental health issues and asthma, impacting 7.8 and 7.3% of residents respectively. 74.9% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents had low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 13.6% of residents aged 65 and over (1,985 people), lower than the 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors were particularly strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Ashgrove ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashgrove's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 80.2% of its population born in Australia, 91.7% being citizens, and 91.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Ashgrove, comprising 54.5% of people. However, Judaism was overrepresented, making up 0.2%, compared to 0.1% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (27.2%), Australian (24.4%), and Irish (14.1%), significantly higher than regional averages of 8.2%. Notably, Scottish (9.3%) and French (0.7%) ethnicities were also overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane's 7.4% and 0.5%, respectively, while Welsh was similarly overrepresented at 0.7%.

Ashgrove's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Ashgrove's median age is 38, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 36 but equal to Australia's 38 years. The 15-24 age group comprises 18.1%, compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 8.7%. This 15-24 concentration is above the national average of 12.5%. Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group grew from 15.4% to 18.1%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 3.4% to 4.6%. Conversely, the 35-44 cohort declined from 13.6% to 11.8%, and the 25-34 group dropped from 9.9% to 8.7%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Ashgrove's age structure. The 45-54 group is expected to grow by 12% (303 people), reaching 2,742 from 2,438. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 57% of projected growth. Meanwhile, the 15-24 and 25-34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.