Ashgrove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Ashgrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of Ashgrove is around 14,585. This figure reflects an increase of 1,135 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 13,450. The latest estimate by AreaSearch, based on examination of ABS ERP data release from June 2024 and additional validated new addresses, is 14,552 residents. This results in a density ratio of 2,501 persons per square kilometer, placing Ashgrove in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's population growth rate of 8.4% since the Census is within 0.5 percentage points of the national average (8.9%). Overseas migration contributed approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and interstate migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are used. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data. Considering projected demographic shifts, Ashgrove is expected to grow by just below the median of Australian statistical areas. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to gain 762 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 5.0% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashgrove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis shows Ashgrove recorded approximately 26 residential property approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 133 homes were approved, with another 6 in FY-26 so far. This results in an average of 3.9 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

The demand for housing significantly outpaces supply, which typically increases competition among buyers and puts upward pressure on prices. New properties are constructed at an average value of $1,078,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY-26, there have been $53.5 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Ashgrove shows substantially reduced construction, at 62.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new properties typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Recent construction comprises 96.0% detached dwellings and 4.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. New construction favours detached housing more than current patterns suggest (77.0% at Census), demonstrating ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. The location has approximately 566 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Future projections show Ashgrove adding 730 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Ashgrove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified fifteen projects that may impact the area. Notable ones include Sanctuary Residences Ashgrove, Ile Ashgrove, 28 Kadanga Street Ashgrove, and Dorset Residences Ashgrove. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Ashgrove ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Ashgrove has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 2.2% as of the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.3%.

As of June 2025, 8,969 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9%, below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Ashgrove is 73.0%, higher than Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key industries for employment among residents include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Ashgrove shows particular strength in professional & technical services, with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level.

Conversely, manufacturing employs only 2.8% of local workers, below Greater Brisbane's 6.4%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in Sep-22, employment increased by 3.3%, while labour force grew by 2.9%, causing unemployment to fall by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 4.4% and labour force grow by 4.0%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashgrove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.7% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Ashgrove has a median taxpayer income of $71,291 and an average income of $109,085 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. Nationally, this is exceptionally high compared to Greater Brisbane's median income of $55,645 and average income of $70,520. By September 2025, based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $81,265 (median) and $124,346 (average). The 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes in Ashgrove rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 95th percentiles. The earnings profile indicates that 36.0% of the community falls into the $4000+ earnings band (5,250 individuals), differing from the metropolitan region where the $1,500 - 2,999 category is predominant at 33.3%. This shows a substantial proportion of high earners, with 48.4% above $3,000/week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout the area. After housing costs, residents retain 87.3% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Ashgrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Ashgrove's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consists of 77.3% houses and 22.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 56.6% houses and 43.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashgrove stands at 31.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.0% and rented ones at 27.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment is $2,600, higher than Brisbane metro's $2,513. The median weekly rent in Ashgrove is $440, compared to Brisbane metro's $430. Nationally, Ashgrove's mortgage repayments are significantly higher at $2,600 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are substantially above the national figure of $375 at $440.

Ashgrove features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.4% of all households, including 42.2% couples with children, 22.0% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 25.6%, with lone person households at 20.8% and group households comprising 4.9%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.5.

Ashgrove demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Ashgrove's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 52.3% hold university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 32.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.1%) and graduate diplomas (5.5%). Vocational pathways account for 20.5% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas at 9.1% and certificates at 11.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 35.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in secondary education, 10.8% in primary education, and 9.2% pursuing tertiary education. A total of six schools operate within Ashgrove, educating approximately 4,114 students as of the latest data. The area's schools demonstrate high performance (ICSEA: 1152), placing them among the most advantaged nationally. The educational mix includes four primary, one secondary, and one K-12 school. Ashgrove functions as an education hub with 28.2 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 17.1, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that there are currently 79 active public transport stops in Ashgrove. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 20 individual routes operating. Collectively, these routes provide 3,526 weekly passenger trips.

The report rates transport accessibility as excellent, with residents typically located just 165 meters from their nearest transport stop. Across all routes, service frequency averages 503 trips per day, which equates to approximately 44 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashgrove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Ashgrove has excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The private health cover rate is exceptionally high at approximately 70%, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

This figure is based on data from 10,270 people in Ashgrove. Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 7.8% and 7.3% of residents respectively. A total of 74.9% of residents report having no medical ailments, compared to 74.7% across Greater Brisbane. Ashgrove has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, with 12.9% (1,881 people) compared to the 11.6% in Greater Brisbane. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are strong and align with the general population's health profile.

Ashgrove ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashgrove's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 80.2% of its population born in Australia, 91.7% being citizens, and 91.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion, comprising 54.5% of Ashgrove's population. However, Judaism was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to 0.2% across Greater Brisbane.

The top three ancestry groups were English (27.2%), Australian (24.4%), and Irish (14.1%). Notably, Scottish (9.3%) was slightly overrepresented compared to the regional average of 9.4%. French and Welsh were also equally represented at 0.7% each, matching their respective regional percentages.

Ashgrove's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Ashgrove's median age is 38 years, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 but equal to Australia's median age of 38 years. The age group of 45-54 shows strong representation in Ashgrove at 16.8%, compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 9.0%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 15 to 24 has increased from 15.4% to 17.8%. Conversely, the 35 to 44 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Ashgrove's age structure. The 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 58%, adding 344 people and reaching a total of 942 from the previous figure of 597. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 57% of projected growth. Conversely, the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.