Ashgrove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Ashgrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Ashgrove is around 14,646, reflecting an increase of 1,196 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents an 8.9% increase from the previous population count of 13,450. The latest resident population estimate of 14,624 was derived by AreaSearch following examination of the ABS's June 2025 ERP data release and validation of 44 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,512 persons per square kilometer, placing Ashgrove in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's population growth is primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains during recent periods. Other factors such as natural growth and interstate migration also played positive roles in the area's population increase.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data or years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 and based on 2021 data are adopted. Considering projected demographic shifts, the suburb is expected to grow by 681 persons to reach a total population of around 15,327 by 2041, reflecting an increase of approximately 4.5% over the 16-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashgrove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Ashgrove recorded around 27 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), approximately 138 homes were approved, with a further 25 approved so far in FY-26. This translates to an average of 3.9 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed during this period.

Demand significantly outpaces supply, typically putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $1,078,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. This financial year has seen $53.5 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Ashgrove shows substantially reduced construction (60.0% below regional average per person), which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Recent construction comprises 96.0% detached dwellings and 4.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. New construction favours detached housing more than current patterns suggest (77.0% at Census), demonstrating ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. The location has approximately 556 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Future projections show Ashgrove adding 659 residents by 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Ashgrove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of fifteen projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable among these are Ile Ashgrove, Sanctuary Residences Ashgrove, 28 Kadanga Street Ashgrove, and Dorset Residences Ashgrove. The following list details those projects deemed most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Ashgrove demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Ashgrove has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. The unemployment rate was 2.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 0.8%. As of December 2025, 8,824 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.4%, below Greater Brisbane's 4.1%.

Workforce participation was 75.7%, higher than Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. Home workership stood at 34.2% based on Census responses, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Key industries include professional & technical (1.8 times the regional level), health care & social assistance, and education & training. Manufacturing employed just 2.8% of local workers, below Greater Brisbane's 6.4%.

Employment opportunities appear limited locally, with a lower working population count compared to residents. Between December 2024 and November 2025, employment increased by 0.8%, labour force by 1.4%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.6 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Brisbane's employment growth of 3.2% and labour force increase of 3.0%, resulting in a 0.1 percentage point decrease in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years (May-25 to May-30) and 13.7% over ten years (May-25 to May-35). Applying these projections to Ashgrove's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.7% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Ashgrove suburb has a median taxpayer income of $71,291 and an average of $109,085 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for the financial year 2023. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. By March 2026, based on a 11.36% growth in Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, estimated incomes would be approximately $79,390 (median) and $121,477 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Ashgrove's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 88th and 95th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 36.0% of residents earn over $4,000 per week (5,272 individuals), differing from the metropolitan region where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 33.3%. This indicates strong economic capacity in Ashgrove, with 48.4% of residents earning above $3,000 per week after housing costs. Residents retain 87.3% of their income after housing costs, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Ashgrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Ashgrove's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 77.3% houses and 22.6% other dwellings. This compares to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashgrove was at 31.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.0% and rented ones at 27.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Ashgrove was $440, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Ashgrove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,600 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375 at $440.

Ashgrove features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 74.4% of all households, including 42.2% couples with children, 22.0% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 25.6%, with lone person households at 20.8% and group households comprising 4.9%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Ashgrove demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Ashgrove's residents aged 15 and above have a notably high educational attainment rate of 52.3%, surpassing Queensland's state average of 25.7% and Australia's national average of 30.4%. This significant educational advantage indicates the area's strong position for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent, held by 32.7% of residents, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 14.1%, and graduate diplomas at 5.5%. Vocational pathways account for 20.5% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas making up 9.1% and certificates 11.4%.

Educational participation is notably high in Ashgrove, with 35.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in secondary education, 10.8% in primary education, and 9.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates 79 active transport stops operating within Ashgrove. These stops serve a mix of bus routes totalling 20, providing 3,420 weekly passenger trips combined. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 165 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to the area's primarily residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode at 80%, while bus accounts for 10%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.4 per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 34.2% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 488 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 43 weekly trips per stop.

Ashgrove's residents are extremely healthy with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Analysis shows Ashgrove's health metrics are strong. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 70%, compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues impact 7.8% and asthma impacts 7.3% of residents, while 74.9% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 13.5% of residents aged 65 and over (1,977 people), lower than the 15.1% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are strong and align with national rankings for the general population.

Ashgrove ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashgrove's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 80.2% of its population born in Australia, 91.7% being citizens, and 91.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion in Ashgrove, comprising 54.5% of its population. However, Judaism had a notable overrepresentation in Ashgrove, making up 0.2% compared to 0.1% across Greater Brisbane.

The top three ancestry groups were English (27.2%), Australian (24.4%), and Irish (14.1%), the latter being significantly higher than the regional average of 8.2%. There were also notable divergences in the representation of Scottish, French, and Welsh ethnicities: Scottish was overrepresented at 9.3% compared to 7.4% regionally, French at 0.7% compared to 0.5%, and Welsh at 0.7% compared to 0.5%.

Ashgrove's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Ashgrove's median age is 38, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 36 but equal to Australia's 38 years. The 45-54 age group makes up 16.6%, compared to Greater Brisbane's figure, while the 25-34 cohort stands at 9.9%. Between 2021 and now, the 15-24 age group has increased from 15.4% to 18.0%, and the 75-84 cohort has risen from 3.4% to 4.5%. Conversely, the 35-44 cohort has decreased from 13.6% to 11.8%, and the 5-14 group has dropped from 15.7% to 14.3%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Ashgrove's age structure. The 85+ group is projected to grow by 110% (306 people), reaching 585 from 278. Those aged 65 and above are expected to comprise 57% of the population growth, while the 15-24 and 0-4 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.