Ashgrove

An assessment of population growth drivers in Ashgrove reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population for the Ashgrove statistical area (Lv2) is around 14,600. This reflects an increase of 1,150 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,450. The current resident population estimate by AreaSearch is 14,565, following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 43 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 2,504 persons per square kilometer, placing Ashgrove in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's population growth rate of 8.6% since the census is within 0.9 percentage points of the SA3 area (9.5%). Primary driver for this growth was overseas migration contributing approximately 57.99999999999999% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. These state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections are applied where utilised. Considering projected demographic shifts, the Ashgrove (SA2) is expected to grow by 763 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of approximately 4.9% in total over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Ashgrove recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Ashgrove shows around 27 residential properties granted approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 138 homes were approved, with a further 10 approved so far in FY-26. This results in an average of 3.7 new residents arriving per dwelling constructed over the past five financial years.

The demand for housing significantly outpaces supply, putting upward pressure on prices and increasing competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average value of $1,078,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. Commercial approvals this financial year total $53.5 million, reflecting high levels of local commercial activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Ashgrove has substantially reduced construction, with 60.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity of new properties strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

Nationally, it is also below average, likely due to the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent construction comprises 96.0% detached dwellings and 4.0% medium and high-density housing, maintaining Ashgrove's traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 555 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Future projections show Ashgrove adding 716 residents by 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Ashgrove has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 15 potential impact projects. Key ones are Ile Ashgrove, Sanctuary Residences Ashgrove, 28 Kadanga Street Ashgrove, and Dorset Residences Ashgrove. The following list details those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Ashgrove demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Ashgrove has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 2.4%, with an estimated employment growth of 0.7% over the past year (AreaSearch data).

As of September 2025, there are 8,776 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.6%, below Greater Brisbane's 4.0%. Workforce participation is high at 73.0%. Key industries include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. The area specializes in professional & technical services, employing 1.8 times the regional level.

Manufacturing employs just 2.8% of local workers, below Greater Brisbane's 6.4%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, with Census data showing fewer working residents than locals. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 0.7%, labour force grew by 0.8%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points (AreaSearch analysis). In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 3.8% and unemployment fall by 0.5%. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National forecasts suggest total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashgrove's employment mix, local employment is expected to increase by 7.3% over five years and 14.7% over ten years (Jobs and Skills Australia data).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The suburb of Ashgrove had a median taxpayer income of $71,291 and an average income of $109,085 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ending June 30, 2023. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799 during the same period. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since June 30, 2023, current estimates would be approximately $78,356 (median) and $119,895 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Ashgrove all ranked highly nationally, between the 88th and 95th percentiles. The earnings profile showed that 36.0% of the community (5,256 individuals) fell into the $4000+ earnings band, differing from the metropolitan region where the $1,500 - 2,999 category was predominant at 33.3%. This indicated a substantial proportion of high earners, with 48.4% earning above $3,000/week, reflecting strong economic capacity throughout the area. After housing costs, residents retained 87.3% of their income, demonstrating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Ashgrove is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Ashgrove, as per the latest Census, consisted of 77.3% houses and 22.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Brisbane metro had 56.6% houses and 43.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashgrove was at 31.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.0% and rented dwellings at 27.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,600, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $2,513. The median weekly rent figure for Ashgrove was $440, compared to Brisbane metro's $430. Nationally, Ashgrove's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ashgrove features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 74.4% of all households, including 42.2% couples with children, 22.0% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 25.6%, with lone person households at 20.8% and group households comprising 4.9%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.5.

Ashgrove demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Ashgrove's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 52.3% possess university qualifications compared to 25.7% in Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% nationwide as of the latest available data from 2016. This educational advantage positions Ashgrove favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most common, held by 32.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 14.1% and graduate diplomas at 5.5%.

Vocational pathways account for 20.5% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 9.1% and certificates at 11.4%. Educational participation is high, with 35.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the 2016 census. This includes 11.2% in secondary education, 10.8% in primary education, and 9.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 79 active stops operating within Ashgrove, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 20 individual routes, facilitating 3,420 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average proximity of 165 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency across all routes averages 488 trips per day, equating to approximately 43 weekly trips per stop.

Ashgrove's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Ashgrove demonstrates excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions. As of 2021, approximately 70% of Ashgrove's total population (10,281 people) has private health cover, which is higher than the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 7.8% and 7.3% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 74.9%, report having no medical ailments, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 74.7%. Ashgrove has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, with 12.9% (1,883 people) compared to Greater Brisbane's 11.6%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Ashgrove are strong and align with the general population's health profile.

Ashgrove ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashgrove's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 80.2% of its population born in Australia, 91.7% being citizens, and 91.1% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Ashgrove, comprising 54.5% of people. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented, making up 0.2% of Ashgrove's population compared to 0.2% across Greater Brisbane.

The top three ancestry groups in Ashgrove are English at 27.2%, Australian at 24.4%, and Irish at 14.1%. Some ethnic groups show notable divergences: Scottish is overrepresented at 9.3% (vs 9.4%), French remains the same at 0.7%, and Welsh also stays consistent at 0.7%.

Ashgrove's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Ashgrove's median age is 38, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 36 but equal to Australia's median age of 38. The 45-54 age group comprises 16.8% of Ashgrove's population, higher than Greater Brisbane's figure, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 15.4% to 17.8%, whereas the 35 to 44 cohort has decreased from 13.6% to 12.0%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Ashgrove's age structure. The 75-84 group is projected to grow by 58%, adding 344 people and reaching 943 from 598. Those aged 65 and above are expected to account for 57% of the population growth, while the 0 to 4 and 25 to 34 age groups are projected to experience population declines.