Auchenflower

An assessment of population growth drivers in Auchenflower reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Auchenflower is around 6,552, reflecting an increase of 499 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents an 8.2% change from the previous population count of 6,053. The latest estimate of 6,529 residents was derived by AreaSearch following examination of the ABS's ERP data release in June 2024, with an additional 13 validated new addresses since the Census date contributing to this figure. This results in a population density ratio of 4,713 persons per square kilometer, placing Auchenflower within the top 10% nationally assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 8.2% since the census is competitive, being just 1.7 percentage points below the national average of 9.9%. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 72.0% of overall population gains in recent periods.

For population projections, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia figures released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 based on 2021 data are used. However, these state projections lack age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 and based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Future population trends indicate an expected increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation by 2041, with Auchenflower projected to expand by 519 persons, reflecting a total increase of 7.6% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Auchenflower recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Auchenflower has averaged approximately nine new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 48 homes. So far in FY-26, two approvals have been recorded. With an average of 4.7 people moving to the area for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25, demand significantly exceeds new supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $560,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

In this financial year, there have been $35.5 million in commercial approvals, suggesting robust local business investment. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Auchenflower has significantly less development activity, 69.0% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties, though construction activity has intensified recently. Nationally, this area also shows lower building activity, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. New building activity shows 20.0% detached houses and 80.0% townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition of 41.0% houses, indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. Auchenflower indicates a mature market with around 444 people per approval.

According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is forecasted to gain 496 residents by 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Auchenflower has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 23 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include The Wesley Hospital Expansion (Chasely Street Health Hub), 305-Unit Milton Development, Kings Row Redevelopment, and The Tannery Residences. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in Auchenflower shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Auchenflower has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. The unemployment rate was 3.4% in December 2025, below Greater Brisbane's 4.1%. Employment grew by 1.0% over the year to December 2025.

Residents' participation in the workforce is high at 79.6%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%. A significant number of residents work from home, with 30.7% doing so according to Census responses. Key industries for employment are professional & technical (with a local share of 2.0 times the regional level), health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction employs only 4.8% of local workers, below Greater Brisbane's 9.0%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 1.0%, while labour force grew by 1.5%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment growth of 3.2% and labour force growth of 3.0%, with a drop in unemployment rate by 0.1 percentage point. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest Auchenflower's employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 14.9% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Auchenflower's median income among taxpayers is $60,084 and average is $92,280. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Brisbane's median of $58,236 and average of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $66,038 (median) and $101,425 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Auchenflower's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 78th and 85th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 31.2% of residents earn between $1,500 - 2,999 annually (2,044 individuals), consistent with metropolitan trends at 33.3%. Economic strength is evident with 35.4% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.8% of income, and residents rank within the 79th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Auchenflower features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Auchenflower's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 40.6% houses and 59.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Auchenflower was at 24.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.4% and rented ones at 47.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,167, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Auchenflower was $390, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Auchenflower's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents exceeded the national figure of $375.

Auchenflower features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 57.3% of all households, including 21.8% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 5.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 42.7%, with lone person households at 30.1% and group households at 12.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Auchenflower demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Auchenflower's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. Among residents aged 15+, 56.8% hold university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% nationally. This high level of attainment positions the area favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 37.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.0%) and graduate diplomas (4.8%).

Vocational pathways account for 19.8% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas representing 9.3% and certificates 10.5%. Educational participation is notably high, with 34.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.4% in tertiary education, 6.7% in primary education, and 5.8% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Auchenflower has 29 active public transport stops serving a mix of train and bus services. These stops are covered by 104 individual routes, facilitating a total of 5,381 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed excellent, with residents typically residing just 140 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, Auchenflower sees most residents commuting outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 61%, followed by train at 15% and bus at 8%. On average, there are 1.1 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional norm.

Notably, 30.7% of residents work from home (2021 Census data, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions). Across all routes, service frequency averages 768 trips daily, translating to around 185 weekly trips per individual stop.

Auchenflower's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Auchenflower's health outcomes show exceptional results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 64% of the total population (4,177 people), compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most common medical conditions, affecting 9.8 and 8.4% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 73.0%, report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 14.5% of residents aged 65 and over (950 people), with health outcomes among seniors being particularly strong and broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Auchenflower was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Auchenflower had a higher than average cultural diversity, with 14.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 26.2% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Auchenflower, making up 42.3%. Hinduism was overrepresented compared to Greater Brisbane, comprising 2.8% of Auchenflower's population.

The top three ancestry groups were English (26.1%), Australian (22.4%), and Irish (11.7%). Notably, French (0.8%) Scottish (9.4%) and Russian (0.4%) ethnicities had higher representations than the regional averages of 0.5%, 7.4% and 0.3% respectively.

Auchenflower hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Auchenflower's median age is 32 years, which is lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Auchenflower has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (20.1%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (7.6%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is significantly higher than the national average of 12.5%. Between 2021 and the present, the percentage of Auchenflower's population aged 75-84 has increased from 3.9% to 5.3%, while the 55-64 age group has risen from 9.0% to 10.3%. Conversely, the 5-14 age group has decreased from 8.8% to 7.6%, and the 35-44 age group has fallen from 13.6% to 12.4%. By 2041, Auchenflower's age profile is projected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 85 and above is expected to increase by 173 people (165%) from 104 to 278. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 63% of total population growth, reflecting Auchenflower's aging demographic profile. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 15-24 and 5-14 age cohorts.