Auchenflower

An assessment of population growth drivers in Auchenflower reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the Auchenflower statistical area (Lv2) was estimated at around 6,551 as of Nov 2025, reflecting an increase of 498 people since the 2021 Census. This growth rate of 8.2% places Auchenflower within 1.3 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 9.5%. The population density ratio of 4,712 persons per square kilometer ranks Auchenflower in the top 10% nationally. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains since the Census date. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in June 2024 with a base year of 2022, and Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data for years post-2032. Future population trends indicate an expected increase just below the median of statistical areas nationally, with Auchenflower projected to expand by 528 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 7.8% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. As we examine future population trends, a population increase just below the median of statistical areas across the nation is expected, with the area expected to expand by 528 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting reflecting an increase of 7.8% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Auchenflower recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Auchenflower has averaged around 9 new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 47 homes. So far in FY-26, 2 approvals have been recorded. Over these five years (FY-21 to FY-25), there has been an average of 4.8 people moving to the area for each dwelling built, indicating significant demand exceeding new supply. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $560,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments.

This financial year has seen $35.5 million in commercial approvals, reflecting robust local business investment. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Auchenflower has significantly less development activity (70.0% below regional average per person), which generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. However, construction activity has intensified recently. This limited new supply is also lower than nationally, possibly indicating market maturity and potential development constraints. New building activity shows 20.0% detached houses and 80.0% townhouses or apartments, offering affordable entry pathways and attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition (currently 41.0% houses), suggesting decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and demand for diverse, affordable housing options. Auchenflower indicates a mature market with around 444 people per approval.

Population forecasts suggest Auchenflower will gain 513 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Auchenflower has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 23 potential impact projects. Key ones are Wesley Hospital Expansion (Chasely Street Health Hub), 305-unit Milton Development, Kings Row Redevelopment, and Tannery Residences. Below listed are those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Auchenflower shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

Auchenflower has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. The unemployment rate was 2.9% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 1.2%.

As of September 2025, 4,448 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1%, lower than Greater Brisbane's 4.0%. Workforce participation was 74.9%, higher than Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key industries included professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Auchenflower had a high specialization in professional & technical jobs, with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level.

Construction employed only 4.8% of local workers compared to Greater Brisbane's 9.0%. Employment opportunities may be limited locally as indicated by Census data. Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 1.2%, labour force by 0.9%, reducing unemployment by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane had higher growth rates and a larger drop in unemployment. State-level data from 25-Nov showed Queensland's employment contracted slightly (-0.01%), with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National forecasts predict total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Auchenflower's industry mix suggests local employment could grow by 7.4% in five years and 14.9% in ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

In AreaSearch's latest data released for financial year 2023, Auchenflower's median income among taxpayers is $60,084 with an average of $92,280. These figures are among the highest in Australia. Greater Brisbane's median income is $58,236 and average is $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for September 2025 would be approximately $66,038 (median) and $101,425 (average). According to the 2021 Census, Auchenflower's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 78th and 85th percentiles. The earnings profile shows that 31.2% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999, similar to the metropolitan region's 33.3%. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 35.4% of households, indicating strong consumer spending power. Housing accounts for 14.8% of income, and residents rank highly in disposable income at the 79th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Auchenflower features a more urban dwelling mix with significant apartment living, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Auchenflower, as recorded in the latest Census, 40.6% of dwellings were houses while 59.4% were other types such as semi-detached homes and apartments. This is compared to Brisbane's metropolitan area where 56.6% were houses and 43.3% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Auchenflower stood at 24.4%, similar to the Brisbane metro level, with mortgaged dwellings at 28.4% and rented ones at 47.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Auchenflower was $2,167, lower than the Brisbane metro average of $2,513. The median weekly rent figure in Auchenflower was $390, compared to $430 in Brisbane metro. Nationally, Auchenflower's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,167 against the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also higher at $390 versus the national figure of $375.

Auchenflower features high concentrations of group households and lone person households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 57.3% of all households, consisting of 21.8% couples with children, 27.5% couples without children, and 5.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 42.7%, with lone person households at 30.1% and group households comprising 12.5%. The median household size is 2.3 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.5.

Auchenflower demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Auchenflower has a notably high level of educational attainment, with 56.8% of its residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications. This figure is significantly higher than the state (QLD) average of 25.7% and the national average of 30.4%. The area's residents have a substantial educational advantage, which positions them well for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 37.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 15.0% and graduate diplomas at 4.8%.

Vocational pathways account for 19.8% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas making up 9.3% and certificates 10.5%. Educational participation is notably high in Auchenflower, with 34.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 16.4% in tertiary education, 6.7% in primary education, and 5.8% pursuing secondary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Auchenflower has 31 active public transport stops, offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 104 individual routes, facilitating 5,381 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 140 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency across all routes averages 768 trips per day, equating to approximately 173 weekly trips per stop.

Auchenflower's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Auchenflower shows excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 64% (4,176 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.6%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.7%.

Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 9.8% and 8.4% of residents respectively. 73.0% report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Brisbane's 74.7%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 13.6%, or 890 people, compared to Greater Brisbane's 11.6%. Despite this, health outcomes among Auchenflower's senior residents are strong and largely align with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Auchenflower was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Auchenflower's cultural diversity was found to be above average, with 14.4% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 26.2% born overseas. The dominant religion in Auchenflower was Christianity, comprising 42.3% of the population. Hinduism, however, showed notable overrepresentation, making up 2.8% compared to the Greater Brisbane average of 1.4%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English at 26.1%, Australian at 22.4%, and Irish at 11.7%. Additionally, French (0.8%), Scottish (9.4%) and Russian (0.4%) ethnicities showed similar representation to Greater Brisbane's regional averages.

Auchenflower hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Auchenflower's median age is 32 years, which is lower than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and significantly below Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Auchenflower has a higher percentage of residents aged 15-24 (20.1%) but fewer residents aged 5-14 (7.7%). This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.5%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 75-84 has grown from 3.9% to 5.0%, while the percentage of residents aged 5-14 has declined from 8.8% to 7.7%, and the 35-44 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.5%. By 2041, Auchenflower's age profile is projected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 85+ is expected to increase by 182 people (199%), from 91 to 274. Notably, the combined population aged 65+ will account for 64% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Conversely, declines are projected for the 15-24 and 5-14 age cohorts.