Keperra
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Keperra reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Keperra's population is approximately 7,936 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 520 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 7,416. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,591 in June 2024 and an additional 177 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,529 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Keperra's growth rate of 7.0% since the census is within 1.0 percentage point of the SA3 area's 8.0%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. The population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 77.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings from the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Examining future trends, national areas are anticipated to have lower quartile growth. Keperra is expected to increase by 293 persons to reach a population of approximately 8,229 by 2041, recording a decrease of 0.7% in total over the 17-year period based on the latest population numbers.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Keperra recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Keperra has seen approximately 18 new homes approved each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 94 homes were approved, with an additional 20 approved so far in FY26. On average, 1.6 new residents arrived per new home over these years, indicating a balanced supply and demand market that supports stable conditions.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $581,000, reflecting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. This year has seen $3.8 million in commercial approvals, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Keperra records around 60% of the building activity per person and ranks among the 62nd percentile nationally, though building activity has increased recently. This lower figure relative to national averages reflects market maturity and possible development constraints.

All new construction in Keperra consists of standalone homes, maintaining its traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Notably, developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (83.0% at Census), indicating persistent strong demand for family homes despite densification trends. With around 316 people per dwelling approval, Keperra shows a developing market. However, with population projections indicating stability or decline, reduced housing demand pressures are expected in the future, benefiting potential buyers.

Keperra has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Fourteen projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area. Notable ones include The Quarry - Keperra Quarry Redevelopment, Great Western Super Centre Expansion & Refurbishment, Keperra Sanctuary Retirement Village & Aged Care, and Keperra Country Golf Club Residential Precinct.

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The labour market performance in Keperra lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Keperra has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 8.1% as of June 2025.

This rate is 4.0% higher than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Keperra is lower at 58.1%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. The dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, education & training, and public administration & safety. Public administration & safety has a notable concentration with levels at 1.6 times the regional average.

Manufacturing employs only 3.9% of local workers, below Greater Brisbane's 6.4%. The area appears to have limited local employment opportunities. In the year ending June 2025, Keperra's labour force decreased by 1.5%, and employment decreased by 0.1%, causing unemployment to fall by 1.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane had employment growth of 4.4% and labour force growth of 4.0%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May 2025, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Keperra's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.7% over five years and 13.8% over ten years.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch released postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022. Keperra's median income among taxpayers was $59,274 with an average of $68,892. This was above the national average and compared to Greater Brisbane's median of $55,645 and average of $70,520. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Keperra would be approximately $67,566 (median) and $78,530 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data showed household, family and personal incomes ranked modestly in Keperra, between the 44th and 48th percentiles. The $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominated with 31.4% of residents (2,491 people), consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 33.3% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures were severe, with only 81.3% of income remaining, ranking at the 41st percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Keperra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Keperra's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 83.4% houses and 16.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 81.6% houses and 18.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Keperra was at 28.1%, similar to Brisbane metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.8% and rented ones at 36.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,950, below Brisbane's average of $2,167. Median weekly rent in Keperra was $400, matching Brisbane metro's figure but exceeding the national average of $375. Nationally, Keperra's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863.

Keperra has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 69.5% of all households, including 27.4% couples with children, 26.8% couples without children, and 14.0% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households at 27.6% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Keperra exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 30.5%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 47.4%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 20.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.6%) and graduate diplomas (3.6%). Vocational credentials are held by 32.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.5% and certificates at 22.4%. Current educational participation is high, at 27.4%, including 9.4% in primary education, 7.3% in secondary education, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education.

The area has two primary schools, St William's Primary School and Grovely State School, serving a total of 827 students. These schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. The school places per 100 residents is 10.4, lower than the regional average of 19.2, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1064).

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Keperra has 58 active public transport stops, serving a mix of train and bus services. These stops are covered by 21 individual routes, collectively facilitating 2,263 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 165 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 323 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 39 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Keperra is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data indicates significant health issues in Keperra. Both younger and older age groups experience high prevalence of common conditions.

Approximately 54% (~4,261 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Brisbane's 61.5%. Mental health issues affect 11.2% of residents, while arthritis impacts 9.1%. About 62.0% report no medical ailments, lower than Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. Keperra has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.9% (1,656 people), compared to Greater Brisbane's 15.2%. Senior health outcomes face challenges, generally aligning with the overall population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Keperra records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Keperra's cultural diversity aligns with the broader area, as indicated by its population born in Australia (81.1%), citizens (89.8%), and English-only speakers at home (89.4%). Christianity is the predominant religion in Keperra, accounting for 51.1% of residents, slightly higher than the Greater Brisbane average of 49.2%. The top three ancestry groups in Keperra are English (27.8%), Australian (25.5%), and Irish (11.1%).

Some ethnic groups show notable variations: Hungarians comprise 0.4%, Welsh 0.7%, and Germans 4.4% of Keperra's population, each slightly higher than the regional averages of 0.3%, 0.6%, and 4.3% respectively.

Keperra's population is slightly older than the national pattern

The median age in Keperra is 39 years, which is slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and close to Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Keperra has a higher proportion of residents aged 75-84 (8.8%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (11.8%). Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 15-24 grew from 10.7% to 12.0%, while those aged 25-34 decreased from 13.7% to 11.8%. The proportion of residents aged 65-74 also dropped from 8.8% to 7.6%. By the year 2041, Keperra's age composition is expected to change significantly. The number of residents aged 85 and above is projected to grow by 81%, reaching 651 from 358. This growth will be led by those aged 65 and above, who are expected to comprise 74% of the population increase. Conversely, declines in population are projected for the age groups 0-4 and 15-24.