Lucknow (Vic.)

Lucknow lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since Feb 2026, Lucknow's population is estimated at around 1,543. This reflects an increase of 104 people (7.2%) since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 1,439 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,474 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 321 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 71 persons per square kilometer. Lucknow's growth of 7.2% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth of 6.5%. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 54.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends forecast a significant population increase, with the suburb expected to grow by 653 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 36.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Lucknow recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Lucknow has averaged approximately 28 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 144 homes. As of FY-26 to date, 16 approvals have been recorded. On average, 0.1 new residents per year arrive with each new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25. This indicates that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more options for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

The average construction value of new properties is $408,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, there have been $3.8 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of Vic., Lucknow has 136.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice while development activity has moderated in recent periods. This activity is significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area. New building activity comprises approximately 89.0% detached houses and 11.0% attached dwellings, preserving Lucknow's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers.

With around 72 people per approval, Lucknow reflects a developing area. Looking ahead, Lucknow is expected to grow by 561 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Lucknow has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

AreaSearch has identified three projects that could impact the area significantly due to changes in local infrastructure. The key projects are: Princes Highway and McEacharn Street Intersection Upgrade, Quest Bairnsdale, Dan Murphy's Bairnsdale, and Wy Yung Acres Rural Lifestyle Subdivision. Details of these projects can be found below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Lucknow has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Lucknow has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent with an unemployment rate of 5.9% and estimated employment growth of 5.8% in the past year (AreaSearch). As of September 2025712 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.2% higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation is similar to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%. Census data shows 10.5% of residents work from home. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade has notably high employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with 3.6% employment compared to 7.5% regionally. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating above-average local employment opportunities. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 5.8%, labour force by 4.0%, reducing the unemployment rate by 1.6 percentage points. This contrasts with Rest of Vic., where employment contracted by 0.7% and unemployment rose marginally. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lucknow's industry mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Lucknow's median income among taxpayers is $49,728 and average income stands at $59,090 in financial year 2023. These figures are below the national averages for Rest of Vic., which are $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. As of September 2025, estimated median and average incomes would be approximately $53,831 and $63,965 based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Lucknow rank modestly between the 24th and 30th percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 30.2% of locals (465 people) with incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999, reflecting patterns seen in the broader area where similarly 30.3% occupy this range. Housing costs are modest with 88.1% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 30th percentile nationally.

Lucknow is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Lucknow, as per the latest Census, 93.5% of dwellings were houses with 6.4% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Non-Metro Vic.'s figures of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lucknow stood at 45.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.4% and rented ones at 17.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Lucknow was $290 compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Lucknow's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,300 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Lucknow has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 71.1% of all households, including 27.0% couples with children, 32.1% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.9%, with lone person households at 25.9% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which matches the average for the Rest of Vic.

Lucknow shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 16.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.8%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 43.3% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 9.0% and certificates at 34.3%. Educational participation is high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lucknow has four active public transport stops operating. These are served by two distinct routes, offering a total of 27 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents situated an average of 360 meters from their nearest stop. Primarily residential, most Lucknow residents commute outward. Cars dominate travel at 94%, while 5% walk. Vehicle ownership stands at 1.8 per dwelling, above the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, only 10.5% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages three trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly six weekly trips per individual stop.

Lucknow's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Lucknow residents show positive health outcomes, matching national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health condition prevalence is low across younger and older age groups.

Private health cover stands at approximately 50% of Lucknow's total population (775 people), slightly lower than the national average of 55.7%. Arthritis and mental health issues are the most prevalent, affecting 11.4% and 8.3% respectively, while 65.8% report no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes for working-age residents are typical. Lucknow has 22.4% seniors (345 people), lower than Rest of Vic.'s 23.9%. Senior health outcomes rank above average nationally, aligning with the general population's rankings.

Lucknow is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Lucknow had cultural diversity levels below average, with 88.3% citizens, 89.4% born in Australia, and 95.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 41.4%. The 'Other' category was underrepresented compared to Rest of Vic., being 0.6% vs 0.8%.

Top ancestry groups were English (32.9%), Australian (31.9%), and Scottish (9.3%). Some ethnicities showed notable variations: Dutch at 1.9% (vs regional 1.7%), Macedonian at 0.2% (vs 0.2%), New Zealand at 0.7% (vs 0.4%).

Lucknow hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Lucknow's median age is 42 years, similar to the Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but considerably older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 25-34 are particularly prominent at 12.9%, while those aged 85 and above are comparatively smaller at 1.3% compared to the Rest of Vic.. Between 2021 and now, the population aged 35-44 has grown from 10.4% to 11.8%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 11.0% to 12.1%. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort has declined from 15.3% to 14.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Lucknow, with the strongest projected growth in the 25-34 age group at 68%, adding 135 residents to reach 335.