Lucknow (Vic.)

Lucknow lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Lucknow (Vic.) had an estimated population of around 1,904 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 465 people, representing a growth rate of 32.3%, since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 1,439 people in the suburb. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,852 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and an additional 315 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 88 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential room for further development in Lucknow. The suburb's growth rate exceeded that of the SA3 area (4.0%) and the non-metro area, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration which contributed approximately 54.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting them employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering projected demographic shifts, a significant population increase in the top quartile of national non-metropolitan areas is forecasted. The suburb of Lucknow (Vic.) is expected to expand by 602 persons to reach 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an overall increase of 7.7% over these 17 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Lucknow when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Lucknow averaged around 35 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 176 homes were approved, with a further 13 approved so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, an average of only 0.1 people moved to the area for each dwelling built, indicating that new supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction value of these homes was $408,000, consistent with regional patterns. This financial year, $12.5 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Lucknow shows 188.0% higher new home approvals per person, offering buyers greater choice and reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. Recent construction comprises 93.0% detached houses and 7.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The location has approximately 32 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market.

Looking ahead, Lucknow is expected to grow by 147 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Lucknow has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified three projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include the Princes Highway and McEacharn Street Intersection Upgrade, Quest Bairnsdale, Dan Murphy's Bairnsdale, and Wy Yung Acres Rural Lifestyle Subdivision. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Lucknow lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Lucknow has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent.

Its unemployment rate in June 2025 was 6.4%, higher than Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%. Workforce participation is similar to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key employment sectors are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade is particularly strong with an employment share of 1.4 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing has lower representation at 3.6% versus the regional average of 7.5%.

The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating local employment opportunities above the norm. In the 12 months prior to June 2025, labour force decreased by 0.6% and employment by 1.0%, leading to a unemployment rate rise of 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (Sep-22) project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lucknow's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.8% over ten years, although this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Lucknow's median taxpayer income was $49,728 and average income was $59,090 in financial year 2022, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. This is lower than the national average, with Rest of Vic.'s median income being $48,741 and average income being $60,693. Based on a Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Lucknow would be approximately $55,775 (median) and $66,275 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Lucknow rank modestly, between the 24th and 30th percentiles. The largest income segment comprises 30.2% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (575 residents), similar to the regional average of 30.3%. While housing costs are modest, with 88.1% of income retained, total disposable income ranks at just the 30th percentile nationally.

Lucknow is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Lucknow, as per the latest Census evaluation, 93.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 6.4% consisting of semi-detached homes, apartments and other types of dwellings. This is compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.9% houses and 9.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lucknow stood at 45.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.4% and rented ones at 17.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, aligning with Non-Metro Vic.'s average, while the median weekly rent was $290, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $1,300 and $268 respectively. Nationally, Lucknow's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, recorded as of the latest available data, with rents substantially below the national figure of $375.

Lucknow has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 71.1% of all households, including 27.0% couples with children, 32.1% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 28.9%, with lone person households at 25.9% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.4 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.2.

Lucknow shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates at 16.1%, significantly lower than the Victorian average of 33.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 12.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.8%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 43.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials - advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (34.3%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education. OneSchool Global Vic - Bairnsdale Centre provides local educational services within Lucknow, but has no current students enrolled (as of the latest data). All schools offer integrated K-12 education for academic continuity. With no schools located within Lucknow, residents must travel to neighboring areas for educational services. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to parent campus records.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that Lucknow has four active public transport stops in operation. These stops serve mixed bus routes, with a total of 27 weekly passenger trips provided by two individual routes. The accessibility to transport is rated as good, with residents typically located 360 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, services run three times per day across all routes, resulting in approximately six weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lucknow is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Lucknow faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population, which consists of around 956 people. This compares to 46.4% across the Rest of Victoria.

Nationally, the average is 55.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 11.4 and 8.3% of residents respectively, while 65.8% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 60.1% across the Rest of Victoria. The area has 22.9% of residents aged 65 and over, which totals around 436 people, lower than the 30.5% in the Rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Lucknow is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Lucknow had a lower than average cultural diversity, with 88.3% Australian citizens, 89.4% born in Australia, and 95.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 41.4%. The 'Other' category appeared overrepresented at 0.6%, compared to 0.6% regionally.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups were English (32.9%), Australian (31.9%), and Scottish (9.3%). Notably, Dutch were equally represented at 1.9%, Macedonian was overrepresented at 0.2%, and New Zealanders were also overrepresented at 0.7%.

Lucknow hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Lucknow's median age is 42 years, similar to Victoria's average of 43 but older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent at 14.4%, while the 85+ group is smaller at 1.3%. This concentration of those aged 65-74 is higher than the national average of 9.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 11.0% to 12.1%, while the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 15.3% to 14.4%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate that the 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow by 35%, adding 85 residents to reach 327. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 15 to 24 and 55 to 64 cohorts.