Lucknow (Vic.)

Lucknow lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of Nov 2025 the Lucknow (Vic.) statistical area's population is estimated at around 1,544. This reflects an increase of 105 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,439. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of resident population at 1,474 following examination of ABS' latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 315 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 71 persons per square kilometer. The Lucknow (Vic.) SA2's growth rate of 7.3% since the 2021 census exceeded the broader area's 6.4%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 54.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the Lucknow (Vic.) SA2 expected to expand by 654 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 36.2% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Lucknow recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis shows Lucknow had around 28 dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 144 homes were approved, with a further 16 in FY-26. Over these years, an average of 0.1 person moved to the area per dwelling built.

This suggests supply is meeting or exceeding demand, offering more buyer choices while supporting potential population growth. The average construction cost for new properties was $408,000, indicating a focus on premium segment developments. In FY-26, $3.8 million in commercial approvals were registered, suggesting limited commercial development focus. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Lucknow has 136.0% more building activity per person, providing ample buyer choice but with recent periods showing moderated development activity. This is significantly above the national average, indicating strong developer interest.

New developments consist of 89.0% standalone homes and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 72 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. Future projections estimate Lucknow to add 559 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Lucknow has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified three projects potentially impacting the area. Key projects include Princes Highway and McEacharn Street Intersection Upgrade, Quest Bairnsdale, Dan Murphy's Bairnsdale, and Wy Yung Acres Rural Lifestyle Subdivision. Relevant details are listed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Lucknow recording weaker employment conditions than most comparable areas nationwide

Lucknow's workforce is balanced across white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector stands out with significant representation.

Unemployment was 6.1% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 5.8%. As of September 2025714 residents are employed, an unemployment rate of 2.3% higher than Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%, and workforce participation is similar at 57.4%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction, with retail trade particularly prominent at 1.4 times the regional level. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 3.6% compared to the regional 7.5%.

The worker-to-resident ratio of 0.7 indicates above-norm local employment opportunities. Over a year ending in September 2025, employment grew by 5.8%, labour force increased by 4.1%, and unemployment fell by 1.5 percentage points. State-level data to November 25, 2025 shows VIC employment growth of 1.13% with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts project total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections suggest Lucknow's employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2023 shows median income in Lucknow is $49,728, with average income at $59,090. This contrasts with Rest of Vic., where median income is $50,954 and average income is $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year ended June 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $53,831 (median) and $63,965 (average). Census 2021 data shows household, family, and personal incomes in Lucknow rank modestly, between the 24th and 30th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 30.2% of locals (466 people) fall into the $1,500 - $2,999 category, similar to the metropolitan region at 30.3%. Housing costs are modest, with 88.1% of income retained, but total disposable income ranks at just the 30th percentile nationally.

Lucknow is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The dwelling structure in Lucknow, as per the latest Census, consisted of 93.5% houses and 6.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic.'s dwelling structure was 90.9% houses and 9.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lucknow stood at 45.3%, with the rest being mortgaged (37.4%) or rented (17.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, aligning with Non-Metro Vic.'s average, while the median weekly rent was $290, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $1,300 and $268 respectively. Nationally, Lucknow's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Lucknow has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 71.1% of all households, including 27.0% couples with children, 32.1% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.9%, with lone person households at 25.9% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.4 people, higher than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.2.

Lucknow shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 16.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.8%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (34.3%). Educational participation is high at 28.3%, with 11.0% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Lucknow shows that there are four active transport stops currently operating. These stops offer a mix of bus services, with two individual routes providing a total of 27 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as good, with residents typically located approximately 360 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, service frequency across all routes is around three trips per day, which translates to roughly six weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Lucknow is lower than average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Lucknow faces significant health challenges with common health conditions prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population, which is around 775 people. This compares to 46.6% across Rest of Vic..

The national average is 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 11.4% and 8.3% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 65.8% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 60.1% across Rest of Vic.. As of 2021 data, the area has 22.9% of residents aged 65 and over, which is around 353 people, lower than the 30.5% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, performing even better than the general population in health metrics.

Lucknow is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Lucknow's cultural diversity was below average, with 88.3% of its population being citizens born in Australia who spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 41.4% of Lucknow's population. The 'Other' category was proportionally similar to the rest of Victoria, at 0.6%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (32.9%), Australian (31.9%), and Scottish (9.3%). Notably, Dutch (1.9%) and New Zealand (0.7%) ethnicities had higher representation in Lucknow compared to regional averages.

Lucknow hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Lucknow's median age is 42 years, similar to the Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 and considerably older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, comprising 14.3%, while those aged 85+ are comparatively smaller at 1.3%. In the period from 2021 to present, the population aged 15-24 has grown from 11.0% to 12.0%. Conversely, the population aged 65-74 has declined from 15.3% to 14.3%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Lucknow. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to grow by 72%, adding 139 residents and reaching a total of 334.