Lucknow (Vic.)

Lucknow lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the suburb of Lucknow (Vic.) had an estimated population of 1,753 as of May 2026. This reflected a growth of 314 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,439. The increase was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2025 and an additional 319 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 81 persons per square kilometer. Lucknow's growth rate of 21.8% since the 2021 census exceeded that of its SA3 area (2.3%) and the Rest of Vic., making it a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 54.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch used VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusting with a weighted aggregation method to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, the suburb is forecasted to experience significant population growth in the top quartile of national non-metropolitan areas, expanding by 721 persons to reach 2,474 by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 41.1% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Lucknow when compared nationally

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Lucknow averaged around 29 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 146 homes were approved, with a further 27 so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, the average number of people moving to the area for each dwelling built was 0.6.

This indicates that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average value of new homes being built is $408,000, suggesting developers are focusing on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, $3.8 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Rest of Vic., Lucknow shows 133.0% higher new home approvals per person, offering buyers greater choice. However, building activity has slowed in recent years.

This is well above average nationally, indicating strong developer confidence in the area. New development consists of 89.0% detached houses and 11.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 72 people per dwelling approval, Lucknow shows characteristics of a growth area. Looking ahead, Lucknow is expected to grow by 721 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Existing development levels seem aligned with future requirements, maintaining stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Lucknow has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely to affect this region. Notable ones include the Princes Highway and McEacharn Street Intersection Upgrade, Quest Bairnsdale, Dan Murphy's Bairnsdale, and Wy Yung Acres Rural Lifestyle Subdivision. The following details those most relevant:.

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Lucknow shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Lucknow has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 5.9% and estimated employment growth of 12.1% over the past year. As of December 2025855 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate at 2.2%, above Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.

Workforce participation is 63.0%. Only 10.5% work from home. Dominant sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade has a high representation, at 1.4 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing is lower at 3.6%.

The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating ample local employment opportunities. Over the past year, employment increased by 12.1% and labour force by 9.5%, reducing unemployment by 2.0 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic. saw employment decline by 0.6%. Jobs and Skills Australia's May-25 forecasts project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Lucknow's mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The median taxpayer income in Lucknow suburb is $49,728 and the average is $59,090 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than national averages compared to Regional Vic.'s median income of $50,954 and average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $54,512 (median) and $64,774 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Lucknow rank modestly between the 24th and 30th percentiles. The largest income segment comprises 30.2% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (529 residents), similar to regional trends where this cohort also represents 30.3%. Despite modest housing costs allowing for 88.1% of income retention, total disposable income ranks at just the 30th percentile nationally.

Lucknow is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Lucknow, as per the latest Census, 93.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 6.4% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This compares to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Lucknow stood at 45.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.4% and rented ones at 17.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Lucknow was $290, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Lucknow's mortgage repayments were significantly lower at $1,300 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Lucknow has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 71.1 percent of all households, including 27.0 percent couples with children, 32.1 percent couples without children, and 10.4 percent single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 28.9 percent, with lone person households at 25.9 percent and group households comprising 3.0 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which matches the Regional Vic. average.

Lucknow shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 16.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 12.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.8%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 43.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (34.3%). Educational participation is high, with 28.3% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.0% in primary, 8.2% in secondary, and 1.9% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Lucknow has four operational public transport stops. These are served by two distinct routes, offering a combined total of 27 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents located an average of 360 meters from the nearest stop. Predominantly residential, most residents travel outward for work. Cars are the primary mode of commuting at 94%, while 5% walk. The average vehicle ownership per dwelling stands at 1.8, exceeding regional norms.

According to the 2021 Census, only 10.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, service frequency is three trips per day across all routes, translating to roughly six weekly trips per individual stop.

Lucknow's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data for Lucknow shows positive outcomes overall. Mortality rates and health conditions align with national benchmarks, with low prevalence across both younger and older age groups.

Common health conditions include arthritis (11.4%) and mental health issues (8.3%), while 65.8% report no medical ailments, slightly higher than the Regional Vic average of 63.4%. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50%, compared to the national average of 55.7%. Among working-age residents, health outcomes are typical. The area has 23.5% seniors (aged 65 and over), with health outcomes above average, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

Lucknow is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Lucknow's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 88.3% of its population being citizens, 89.4% born in Australia, and 95.2% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the main religion in Lucknow, comprising 41.4% of people. The 'Other' category comprises 0.6% of Lucknow's population, compared to 0.8% across Regional Vic.

Top ancestry groups include English (32.9%), Australian (31.9%), and Scottish (9.3%). Notably, Dutch are overrepresented at 1.9% in Lucknow (vs regional 1.7%), Macedonian is equally represented at 0.2%, and New Zealand is overrepresented at 0.7%.

Lucknow hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Lucknow has a median age of 43, which matches the Regional Vic. figure and is higher than the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that the 65-74 year-old group makes up 14.5%, while those aged 85 and above constitute only 1.4%. This concentration of people aged 65-74 is notably higher than the national figure of 9.4%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the population aged 35 to 44 has grown from 10.4% to 11.4%, while the 65 to 74 age group has decreased from 15.3% to 14.5%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant changes in Lucknow's age structure, with the most notable shift being a 72% increase in the 25-34 age group, which will grow from 215 to 371 people.