Lucknow (Vic.)

Lucknow lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Lucknow (Vic.) is around 1,543. This figure reflects an increase of 104 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,439. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 1,474 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 321 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 71 persons per square kilometer. Lucknow's growth of 7.2% since the 2021 census exceeded that of the SA3 area at 6.5%, indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 54.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is utilising ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future trends indicate a significant population increase in the top quartile of national non-metropolitan areas, with Lucknow expected to grow by 660 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 38.3% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Lucknow recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Lucknow averaged approximately 29 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling about 146 homes. As of FY-26, 19 approvals have been recorded. The average number of new residents per year arriving per new home between FY-21 and FY-25 was around 0.1. This indicates that new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and potentially supporting population growth beyond current expectations.

The average expected construction cost value of new properties over the past five financial years was approximately $408,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, there have been around $3.8 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of Vic., Lucknow has about 143.0% more construction activity per person, offering buyers greater choice. However, development activity has moderated in recent periods. This activity is significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area.

New building activity shows approximately 89.0% detached houses and 11.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. At around 71 people per approval, Lucknow reflects a developing area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Lucknow is expected to grow by approximately 591 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Lucknow has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

"Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified three projects likely affecting this region. Major initiatives include the Princes Highway and McEacharn Street Intersection Upgrade, Quest Bairnsdale, Dan Murphy's Bairnsdale, and Wy Yung Acres Rural Lifestyle Subdivision.".

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Employment performance in Lucknow has been below expectations when compared to most other areas nationally

Lucknow has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 5.8% in the past year. Employment growth was estimated at 7.5%.

As of December 2025715 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.1%, above Regional Vic.'s 3.7%. Workforce participation is similar to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. Only 10.5% work from home, considering Covid-19 impacts. Leading industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Retail trade has a notable concentration with employment levels at 1.4 times the regional average. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence at 3.6%, compared to 7.5% regionally. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating ample local employment opportunities. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 7.5% while labour force increased by 5.3%, reducing the unemployment rate by 2.0 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional Vic., where employment contracted by 0.6%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Lucknow. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ between sectors. Applying these projections to Lucknow's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.0% over five years and 12.8% over ten years.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

The suburb of Lucknow's income level is below the national average according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Lucknow is $49,728 and the average income stands at $59,090. In comparison, Regional Vic.'s median income is $50,954 and average income is $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Lucknow would be approximately $53,831 (median) and $63,965 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Lucknow rank modestly, between the 24th and 30th percentiles. The predominant income cohort spans 30.2% of locals, comprising 465 people with incomes ranging from $1,500 to $2,999. This pattern is similar to the broader area where 30.3% occupy this income range. Housing costs are modest in Lucknow, with 88.1% of income retained after housing expenses. However, total disposable income ranks at just the 30th percentile nationally.

Lucknow is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Lucknow, as per the latest Census evaluation, 93.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 6.4% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Regional Vic., where 90.1% of dwellings were houses and 9.9% were other types. Home ownership in Lucknow stood at 45.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.4% and rented ones at 17.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Lucknow was $290, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Lucknow's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Lucknow has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 71.1% of all households, including 27.0% couples with children, 32.1% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.9%, with lone person households at 25.9% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the Regional Vic. average.

Lucknow shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's university qualification rate is 16.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.1%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.8%) and postgraduate qualifications (1.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.0%) and certificates (34.3%). Educational participation is high at 28.3%, comprising primary education (11.0%), secondary education (8.2%), and tertiary education (1.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.0% in primary education, 8.2% in secondary education, and 1.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis indicates four active transport stops operating within Lucknow. These stops are serviced by two individual routes, collectively providing twenty-seven weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located three hundred and sixty meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode of transportation at ninety-four percent, with five percent walking. Vehicle ownership averages one point eight per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a relatively low ten point five percent of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages three trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately six weekly trips per individual stop.

Lucknow's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Lucknow's health data shows positive outcomes for its residents. Mortality rates and health conditions align with national benchmarks.

Common health condition prevalence is low across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 50% of the total population, around 775 people, slightly lower than the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.4%) and mental health issues (8.3%), with 65.8% reporting no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic. Health outcomes among working-age residents are typical. The area has 22.8%, or 351 people, aged 65 and over, lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic. Senior health outcomes are above average, ranking in line with national averages.

Lucknow is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Lucknow was found to have a below average level of cultural diversity, with 88.3% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia, and speaking English only at home. The predominant religion in Lucknow is Christianity, which accounts for 41.4% of the population. However, the most significant overrepresentation was seen in the 'Other' category, comprising 0.6% of Lucknow's population compared to 0.8% across Regional Vic.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three groups represented in Lucknow are English at 32.9%, Australian at 31.9%, and Scottish at 9.3%. Notably, Dutch ethnicity is slightly overrepresented at 1.9% compared to 1.7% regionally, Macedonian remains consistent at 0.2%, and New Zealand ethnicity is also overrepresented at 0.7% versus the regional average of 0.4%.

Lucknow hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Lucknow's median age is 42 years, similar to Regional Vic.'s average of 43 but older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile indicates that those aged 25-34 are prominent (12.9%) while the 85+ group is smaller (1.4%) compared to Regional Vic.. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has increased from 10.4% to 11.6%. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort has decreased from 15.3% to 14.3%. By 2041, population forecasts suggest significant demographic changes in Lucknow. The 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 71%, adding 140 residents to reach 340.