Hendra

An assessment of population growth drivers in Hendra reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Hendra's population is estimated at around 5155 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 241 people (4.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4914 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 5148, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 21 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2062 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the Hendra statistical area (Lv2) was primarily driven by natural growth that contributed approximately 55% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Looking at population projections moving forward, over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the Hendra's population expected to decline by 131 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to grow by 141 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Hendra according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Hendra has recorded around 19 residential properties granted approval per year. Over the past five financial years, between FY2021 and FY2025, approximately 98 homes were approved, with a further 10 approved in FY2026 so far. On average, about 1.9 new residents arrived per new home over these five years, indicating balanced supply and demand and stable market conditions. However, this figure has accelerated to 4.7 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting increasing demand and tightening supply.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost of $800,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY2026, around $24.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development compared to Greater Brisbane. Hendra has approximately half the rate of new dwelling approvals per person relative to Greater Brisbane and falls within the 48th percentile nationally for areas assessed, suggesting somewhat limited buyer options while strengthening demand for established dwellings.

Notably, all new construction in Hendra consists of detached houses, sustaining its suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. This is despite the existing pattern implying a lower proportion of detached housing (80.0% at Census), reflecting strong demand for family homes amid densification trends. With around 341 people per dwelling approval, Hendra exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. Given population projections indicating stability or decline, Hendra should see reduced housing demand pressures in the future, benefiting potential buyers.

Hendra has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Eleven projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. Notable ones include Clayfield Development Aggregate, Hendra Residential Subdivision, Clayfield Villagio Shopping Centre Revitalisation, and Oriel Park Masterplan (Mirvac).

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Hendra ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Hendra has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 2.6% in the past year, showing a growth of 0.8%.

As of September 2025, there are 2,978 employed residents, an unemployment rate of 1.4%, and participation rate of 70.7%. Key industries include professional & technical (1.6 times regional level), health care & social assistance (13.7%), and retail trade. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.8, indicating ample local employment opportunities. From September 2024 to September 2025, employment increased by 0.8% while labour force grew by 0.6%, reducing unemployment by 0.2 percentage points.

In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw higher growth rates and a larger drop in unemployment. Statewide in Queensland, as of 25-November-25, employment contracted slightly (-0.01%) with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Hendra's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 7.0% in five years and 14.2% in ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Hendra's median income among taxpayers is $67,616, with an average of $116,911. This places Hendra in the top percentile nationally, compared to Greater Brisbane's median of $58,236 and average of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $74,317 (median) and $128,497 (average). The 2021 Census data ranks Hendra's household, family, and personal incomes highly, between the 92nd and 96th percentiles nationally. The $4000+ earnings band captures 37.1% of Hendra's community (1,912 individuals), differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 33.3%. Higher earners make up a substantial presence with 49.8% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. Housing accounts for 14.0% of income, while residents rank in the 96th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Hendra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Hendra, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 80.0% houses and 20.0% other dwellings. In Brisbane metro, this was 36.5% houses and 63.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Hendra was 32.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.4% and rented at 24.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,855, compared to Brisbane metro's $2,167. The median weekly rent figure was $550, while Brisbane metro recorded $410. Nationally, Hendra's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Hendra has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.0% of all households, including 40.0% couples with children, 24.8% couples without children, and 10.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 24.0%, with lone person households at 21.2% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.2.

Hendra shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Hendra is notably higher than broader benchmarks. As of a recent report, 44.2% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% nationally. This educational advantage positions the area favourably for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 30.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 9.3% and graduate diplomas at 4.4%.

Trade and technical skills are also prominent, with 25.9% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (14.0%). Educational participation is high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.7% in primary education, 8.5% in secondary education, and 7.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 37 active transport stops operating within Hendra. These include a mix of train and bus services. The stops are serviced by 31 individual routes, collectively providing 1,711 weekly passenger trips.

Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 180 meters from the nearest transport stop. Service frequency averages 244 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 46 weekly trips per individual stop.

Hendra's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Hendra, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 74% of the total population (3,789 people), compared to 70.5% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.8 and 6.3% of residents respectively.

Seventy-five point five percent of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 73.7% across Greater Brisbane. Hendra has 15.6% of residents aged 65 and over (804 people), which is higher than the 12.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Hendra records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Hendra's cultural diversity aligns with the broader regional average, with 80.2% of its population born in Australia, 89.9% being citizens, and 90.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Hendra, accounting for 63.6%, compared to 45.9% across Greater Brisbane. The top three ancestry groups are English (28.5%), Australian (22.5%), and Irish (12.5%).

Notably, Scottish ancestry is higher in Hendra at 9.3% than regionally at 8.7%. French and South African ancestries also show minor divergences, with French at 0.7% in both Hendra and the region, and South African at 0.6% in Hendra versus 0.5% regionally.

Hendra's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in Hendra is 39 years, which is slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and close to Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Hendra has a higher percentage of residents aged 55-64 (12.9%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (7.8%). Between the 2021 Census and the latest data, the age group 5-14 grew from 13.3% to 14.5%, while the 75-84 cohort increased from 4.3% to 5.4%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group declined from 10.3% to 7.8%, and the 0-4 age group dropped from 7.2% to 6.0%. By 2041, Hendra's population is expected to see significant shifts in its age composition. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 44% (121 people), reaching 400 from 278. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 73% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, population declines are projected for the 15-24 and 0-4 age cohorts.