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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Carina Heights has an estimated 7,833 residents, up from 7,103 at the 2021 Census — a change of 730 people, or 10.3%. Growth has averaged 1.5% a year over five years. Overseas migration accounts for 62.0% of that increase. That puts 2,277 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Carina Heights has an estimated population of approximately 7,833, determined through AreaSearch's evaluation of broader ABS demographic releases alongside post-Census validated addresses. Compared to the 2021 Census count of 7,103 people, this represents a rise of 730 people (10.3%). This trend is drawn from an estimated resident count of 7,804 established via the ABS June 2025 ERP update, combined with 89 validated new addresses confirmed since the Census. Consequently, the suburb of Carina Heights registers a population density of 2,277 persons per square kilometer, tracking higher than typical benchmarks nationwide evaluated by AreaSearch.
Outpacing both the 8.1% figure recorded across the SA3 area and broader nationwide rates, the 10.3% expansion recorded by the suburb of Carina Heights since the 2021 census positions it at the forefront of local growth. Net overseas arrivals served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 62.0% of recent population additions. SA2-level geographic projections sourced from the ABS and Geoscience Australia (published in 2024 using 2022 as baseline data) form the foundation of AreaSearch's modeling, while Queensland Government 2021-based projections issued in 2023 are referenced for uncovered zones and horizons extending beyond post-2032. Because state datasets omit demographic age breakdowns, AreaSearch applies proportional distribution weights derived from the ABS Greater Capital Region 2022-based series (published in 2023) across each demographic segment. Long-range modeling indicates expansion tracking slightly beneath national median rates, with the suburb of Carina Heights projected to add 931 persons by 2041 according to combined SA2 projections, representing a cumulative rise of 11.5% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
203 new dwellings have been approved in Carina Heights over the past five years, an average of 40 a year. That places the area in the 57th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 5 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 28 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 61% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 14, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Analysis of ABS residential building approvals by AreaSearch shows that Carina Heights generated roughly 40 new dwelling permits annually, reaching an aggregate of 203 homes across the past 5 financial years. In FY-25 to date, 14 approvals have been recorded. With approximately 4.2 new residents arriving each year per home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25 (the past 5 financial years), dwelling demand heavily outpaces newly completed stock, typically driving heightened competition among buyers and upward price movement. Concurrently, anticipated construction costs average $1,133,000 per dwelling, demonstrating a clear orientation by builders toward premium, upscale residential projects.
Furthermore, commercial approvals totaling $29.0 million have been documented during the current financial year, underscoring significant non-residential development activity. Per capita building volumes in Carina Heights reach roughly three-quarters of the levels observed across Greater Brisbane, placing the locality within the 40th percentile across the country and restricting overall housing availability, which in turn reinforces buyer demand for established homes. Recent residential approvals are split between 61.0% detached dwellings and 39.0% attached dwellings, providing an expanding variety of medium-density formats that span broad price points, from larger family residences to entry-level compact layouts. Recording approximately 369 people per dwelling approval, Carina Heights reflects an established, mature urban environment. Projections indicate Carina Heights will expand by 902 residents between the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate and 2041. Under prevailing building trajectories, anticipated residential supply appears well positioned to absorb incoming demand, creating favorable market conditions for purchasers and potentially enabling population increases above baseline estimates.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Carina Heights
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Carina Heights, worth an estimated $36.1 billion. A further 69 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $43.4 billion. 9 are already under construction and 26 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Urban development, major capital works, and planning frameworks play a fundamental role in shaping neighborhood trajectory. AreaSearch has identified 18 projects with the capacity to influence the locality. Prominent schemes include the Greendale Village Shopping Centre, Holland Park Busway Station Upgrade, 208 Meadowlands Road Carina Development, and Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment, with key initiatives outlined below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Greendale Village Shopping Centre
A local retail development comprising a 3,359sqm supermarket, 2,496sqm of specialty shops, food and drink outlets, and health care services. The project includes 306 car parking spaces and significant landscaping on a 2.106ha site. Originally approved in 2008, the development has faced extensive delays, including the 2022 insolvency of a previous contractor. In 2025, the Planning and Environment Court granted a fifth extension to the currency period, allowing the developer until March 2027 to commence construction.
Queensland Energy Roadmap 2026
The Queensland Energy Roadmap is a strategic policy framework released by the Crisafulli Government, shifting focus toward a market-based approach to power reliability, affordability, and energy security. Key pillars include extending state-owned coal power station operating life until 2046, doubling gas-fired generation capacity to 8.3GW by 2035, and transitioning renewable energy zones into regional hubs. Major active components include a $1.8 billion Electricity Maintenance Guarantee, a 400MW gas generation tender in Central Queensland, and the CopperString transmission link project.
Winstanley Street Medical Centre Development
Development of a four-storey commercial and medical facility spanning 2,833 sqm of gross floor area across three street frontages. The approved project includes dedicated healthcare suites, consulting spaces, professional offices, a neighbourhood supermarket, and ground-floor food and drink outlets serving Carina Heights and surrounding eastern Brisbane suburbs.
Shopping Centre Expansion - 789-805 Old Cleveland Road, Carina
Expansion and refurbishment of the Carina neighbourhood shopping centre into an open-air, four-storey complex delivered over two stages. The development, designed by WSA Architecture and planned by Place Design Group, includes new shops, food and drink outlets, office space, healthcare services, and indoor sport and recreation facilities. Stage 1 provides 181 car spaces (including 23 motorcycle) with the full two-stage build providing 441 spaces. The project maintains a local scale while significantly upgrading customer amenity and the streetscape along Old Cleveland Road.
Belmont Private Hospital Expansion
A $21 million expansion of Belmont Private Hospital. The project includes a new purpose-built women's centre for perinatal mood disorders, a new adolescent mental health ward, additional patient rooms, and new operating theatres. The expansion will increase the total number of beds by 35 to 185 to serve the growing healthcare needs of the eastern Brisbane region.
Fairway Carindale Stage 2
Second stage of Fairway Carindale featuring 76 luxury golf-side apartments across three mid-rise buildings. Part of the total 191 apartment retirement village development at Pacific Golf Club. Expected completion 2026.
Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment
$280 million transformation of a 38-year-old retirement village into a modern multi-storey community with 405 independent living apartments and a privately owned 140-bed residential care facility across six stages. Features resort-style amenities and is close to Westfield Carindale.
Jardin Collection - 31 Anzac Road Carina Heights
Jardin Collection is a boutique medium-density residential development at 31 Anzac Road, Carina Heights. The proposal includes a mix of contemporary apartments and townhomes featuring landscaped communal spaces and sustainable design elements. The development application is currently under assessment by Brisbane City Council.
4,732 residents of Carina Heights are employed, from a labour force of 4,967. Unemployment sits at 4.7%, with participation at 75.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 5,951, about 76% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Carina Heights features a well-educated labor base with notable concentration in professional services, maintaining an unemployment rate of 4.7% alongside annual job growth estimated at 5.4%, according to aggregated district metrics by AreaSearch. In March 2026, employed residents reached 4,732, while local unemployment sat 0.4% higher than the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 4.3%. Labor market engagement remains elevated, with a participation rate of 75.7% relative to 70.1% across Greater Brisbane. Census findings revealed that 24.0% of local workers performed their duties from home, a figure partly shaped by prevailing Covid-19 restrictions.
Local workforce engagement is heavily weighted toward health care & social assistance, education & training, along with professional & technical. The locality demonstrates distinct specialization in professional & technical, where employment concentration reaches 1.2 times the broader regional benchmark. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing represents a modest 4.1% of employment compared to 5.6% across the region. As reflected by the variance between local resident workers and Census workplace tallies, this predominantly residential community contains relatively few employment positions within its own boundaries. According to analysis conducted by AreaSearch using data from SALM and ABS, which were consolidated from larger statistical regions, employment rose by 5.4% and the labour force grew by 5.0% during the year ending March 2026, leading to a 0.4 percentage point decline in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Brisbane experienced employment growth of 3.2%, a labour force expansion of 3.4%, and a 0.1 percentage point increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts released in Mar-26 provide additional context regarding future demand within Carina Heights. These projections, which span five and ten-year horizons, have been overlaid with the local employment composition to estimate potential growth trajectories. Although national employment is expected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, expansion varies considerably across different industry sectors. When these sector-specific forecasts are applied to Carina Heights's employment structure, local employment is projected to rise by 7.0% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this figure represents a basic weighted extrapolation for illustrative use and does not incorporate localized population estimates.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Carina Heights is $1,997 a week (about $104,000 a year), with median personal income at $984 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $62,097 a year against an average of $83,061. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxation metrics compiled by AreaSearch from the ATO for financial year 2023 reveal substantial personal earnings in the suburb of Carina Heights relative to national standards. Taxpayers in the suburb of Carina Heights record a median income of $62,097 alongside an average income of $83,061, both exceeding the Greater Brisbane benchmarks of $58,236 and $72,799. Factoring in an 11.36% rise in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, indexed values reach approximately $69,151 for median earnings and $92,497 for average earnings by March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, personal, family, and household earnings position the suburb around the 71st percentile nationally.
Furthermore, 35.3% of local residents (2,765 individuals) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, aligning closely with the 33.3% regional benchmark. Even with housing overheads accounting for 16.3% of earnings, disposable income remains strong at the 65th percentile, supporting a SEIFA income position in the 7th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Carina Heights had 2,909 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 51% detached houses and 6% apartments. 35% are owned with a mortgage, 42% rented and 23% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $403 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,950 a month. Rent absorbs 20.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.5%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The residential stock in Carina Heights recorded at the latest Census consisted of 51.1% houses alongside 48.9% other dwellings (incorporating apartments, semi-detached properties, and 'other' dwellings), contrasting with the wider Brisbane metro distribution of 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Outright property ownership in Carina Heights tracked lower than Brisbane metro at 23.1%, while 34.9% of homes were held under a mortgage and 42.0% were occupied by tenants. Typical housing expenses showed median monthly mortgage payments of $1,950 and median weekly rent of $403, surpassing Brisbane metro averages of $1,863 and $380 respectively.
On a national scale, mortgage commitments exceed the Australian benchmark of $1,863, and local rental figures track above the national standard of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Carina Heights counted 2,909 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 3,208 today, averaging 2.3 people each. 25% are couples with children, against 27% couples without children. 27% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.3 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the majority of local living arrangements at 67.3% of all households, encompassing couples without children (27.1%), couples with children (24.6%), and single parent families (14.1%). The remaining 32.7% comprises non-family residences, consisting of lone person households (26.5%) and group households (6.2%). The area records an average household size of 2.3 people, which is below the Greater Brisbane norm of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
39.2% of adults in Carina Heights hold a university qualification, including 26.8% with a bachelor degree and 8.4% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 99% of areas nationally. A further 19.0% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Academic credentials in Carina Heights exceed regional and national standards, with 39.2% of residents aged 15+ holding tertiary degrees compared to 25.7% across QLD and 30.4% across Australia, establishing strong human capital for professional industries. Bachelor degrees constitute the largest share at 26.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 8.4% and graduate diplomas at 4.0%. Vocational qualifications are held by 30.7% of residents aged 15+, consisting of certificates (19.0%) and advanced diplomas (11.7%). Formal study engagement is substantial throughout the community, with 27.8% of the population actively enrolled in education. Within this cohort, tertiary education accounts for 8.1%, primary education comprises 7.6%, and 6.0% attend secondary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Carina Heights means driving: households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.7% of residents in Carina Heights report no long-term health condition. 5.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 60.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.1 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of chronic condition incidence and mortality statistics point to below-average overall health metrics in Carina Heights, with common illnesses distributed across younger as well as older demographics. Conversely, private health insurance coverage is extensive, encompassing approximately 60% of residents (4,708 people), which tracks ahead of the 55.8% proportion seen across Greater Brisbane. Asthma and mental health issues represent the most prevalent diagnosed conditions locally, reported by 8.1% and 10.7% of residents, while 68.7% indicated having no long-term medical conditions, comparable to the 69.2% mark across Greater Brisbane. General health among working-age individuals aligns with standard benchmarks.
Residents aged 65 and over account for 13.4% of the population (1,049 people), below the 15.0% share in Greater Brisbane, with senior health indicators matching broader national rankings.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
27.5% of Carina Heights residents were born overseas and 19.3% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (25.0%) and Australian (21.8%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Carina Heights demonstrates broad cultural diversity, with 27.5% of residents born abroad and 19.3% using a language other than English in their households. Christianity forms the predominant religious affiliation, representing 49.8% of the community. Judaism exhibits a distinct relative concentration, accounting for 0.1% of the local population compared to 0.1% throughout Greater Brisbane. Evaluating ancestral background through parental country of birth, the primary groups identified in Carina Heights are English (25.0%), Australian (21.8%), and Other (10.1%). Furthermore, specific ancestries show higher concentrations relative to broader area benchmarks, including Russian at 0.7% (compared to 0.3% regionally), New Zealand at 1.2% (compared to 1.0%), and Spanish at 0.7% (compared to 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Carina Heights is 36. 30.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Residents of the suburb of Carina Heights reflect a younger demographic weighting than Greater Brisbane overall. As at August 2026, young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) make up 34.6% of the local populace compared to 30.6% across Greater Brisbane, while children and young adults (0 - 24) represent 27.4% against 31.8% regionally. The median age is estimated by AreaSearch at 36 as at August 2026, remaining unchanged from the 2021 Census and matching the Greater Brisbane median of 36 from that same census. The most notable change across demographic brackets since the Census occurred in the children and young adults segment, which shifted from 28.5% down to an estimated 27.4%.
Looking toward 2041, retiree and elderly cohorts (65+) are modeled to register the greatest nominal expansion, rising by 505 (48%) to reach 1,555, whereas the young to middle aged adults segment is projected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Carina Heights
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 89 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (7,103 at the 2021 Census → 7,833 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL30539). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.