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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Carina has an estimated 12,925 residents, up from 11,826 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,099 people, or 9.3%. Growth has averaged 1.5% a year over five years. 432 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 76.3% of that increase. That puts 2,951 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Carina's population is around 12,925 as of May 2026. This represents a gain of 1,099 people (9.3%) compared to the 2021 Census, which counted a population of 11,826 people. This shift is calculated using the estimated resident population of 12,897 from the ABS as of June 2025 and 432 validated new addresses confirmed since the Census date. The population size results in a density ratio of 2,950 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality in the top quartile of all Australian locations analyzed by AreaSearch. The suburb's 9.3% growth since the 2021 census was higher than the SA3 area (8.1%), establishing it as a growth leader in the region.
Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth, accounting for approximately 76.3% of total gains in recent times, though all other contributors, such as interstate migration and natural growth, remained positive. AreaSearch implements ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, which were published in 2024 using 2022 as the base year. For SA2 areas without this data, and for any years after 2032, projections from the Queensland State Government released in 2023 and based on 2021 data are utilized. Because these state projections do not include breakdowns by age category, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings matching the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (published in 2023, using 2022 data) to each age cohort. Reflecting these projected demographic adjustments, a population rise slightly below the median of national areas is anticipated, with the locality expected to add 1,304 persons to 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP population numbers, representing a total expansion of 9.9% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
437 new dwellings have been approved in Carina over the past five years, an average of 87 a year. That places the area in the 74th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 7 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 43 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 74% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 78, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Carina has registered approximately 87 residential properties approved for construction each year, with 437 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 72 so far in FY-26. An average of 2 new residents per year was added for each dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating healthy demand that helps sustain property values, with new homes built at an average value of $266,000, which aligns with regional trends. Furthermore, $18.3 million in commercial development approvals was registered this financial year, pointing to steady commercial development activity.
Compared to Greater Brisbane, Carina displays slightly higher construction activity (29.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), ensuring adequate choices for buyers while supporting existing property values, even though building activity has slowed down lately. Recent projects consist of 74.0% detached dwellings and 26.0% medium and high-density housing, which helps preserve the suburban feel of the neighborhood with a focus on free-standing homes that appeal to buyers looking for space. Notably, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix indicates (55.0% at Census), showing ongoing demand for family homes despite pressure for higher density. At approximately 210 people per approval, Carina reflects a developing area. Moving forward, Carina is projected to add 1,276 residents through to 2041 (starting from the most recent quarterly estimate by AreaSearch). At current construction paces, the supply of new housing should easily satisfy demand, creating favorable market conditions for buyers and potentially encouraging growth beyond existing population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Carina
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 12 current infrastructure and development projects inside Carina, worth an estimated $333 million. A further 73 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $9.57 billion. 14 are already under construction and 29 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects and planning initiatives. In total 18 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Shopping Centre Expansion - 789-805 Old Cleveland Road, Carina, Kensho Carina, Retail, Community Use Centre & Place of Worship - Creek Road, and Minnippi Quarter - Ellen Street & Fursden Road, with the below list detailing those likely to be of most relevance.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Retail, Community Use Centre and Place of Worship - Creek Road
Proposed mixed-use development by The Salvation Army involving a four-stage rollout at 1529 Creek Road. The project includes a shop, community care centre, and a place of worship. The design features a two-storey community building, 105 car parking spaces, and extensive landscaping, replacing the existing single-storey buildings on the site to better serve the Carina community.
Kensho Carina
Proposed residential townhouse development at 141 Fursden Road, Carina by Roycorp. Previously planned for 85 attached dwellings with 193 car spaces, the development application faced refusal from the Brisbane City Council due to the site's Community Facilities zoning, and a subsequent appeal was dismissed by the Planning and Environment Court in early 2025. The site remains in the planning phase pending an updated proposal or alternative development strategy.
20 Dickenson Street Carina Apartments
A contemporary apartment development at 20 Dickenson Street featuring one, two and three-bedroom units with modern design and quality finishes. The development offers convenient access to local shops, schools and transport.
25 Adelaide Street Carina Townhouses
A modern townhouse development at 25 Adelaide Street featuring contemporary three-bedroom homes with private courtyards and quality finishes. The development offers convenient access to local amenities and transport links.
208 Meadowlands Road Carina Development
A residential townhouse development at 208 Meadowlands Road featuring modern three and four-bedroom homes with contemporary design and sustainable features. The development is located in the established Carina suburb with good access to schools and amenities.
Cannon Hill Shopping Centre Bus Station Upgrade
Upgrade of existing bus facility to meet accessibility requirements in accordance with Disability Discrimination Act. Improvements to operational efficiency during peak periods and special events.
Shopping Centre Expansion - 789-805 Old Cleveland Road, Carina
Expansion and refurbishment of the Carina neighbourhood shopping centre into an open-air, four-storey complex delivered over two stages. The development, designed by WSA Architecture and planned by Place Design Group, includes new shops, food and drink outlets, office space, healthcare services, and indoor sport and recreation facilities. Stage 1 provides 181 car spaces (including 23 motorcycle) with the full two-stage build providing 441 spaces. The project maintains a local scale while significantly upgrading customer amenity and the streetscape along Old Cleveland Road.
Gym & Office Development - Wynnum Road
Two-storey commercial building with Indoor Sport and Recreation (Gym) on first floor and Office Space on second floor. Located at 1041-1045 Wynnum Road & 67 Ludwick Street. Features 54 car parking spaces and quality architectural design.
7,690 residents of Carina are employed, from a labour force of 7,880. Unemployment sits at 2.4%, with participation at 73.7%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.9% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 10,392, about 80% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Carina has a highly educated workforce, with professional services highly represented, an unemployment rate of only 2.4%, and 5.5% in estimated job growth over the past year. As of March 2026, 7,690 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 1.9% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.3%, and workforce participation is standard (73.7% compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.4%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 23.9% of residents worked from home, although Covid-19 lockdown influences should be taken into account. The primary employment sectors for local residents are health care & social assistance, education & training, and professional & technical.
The suburb displays a strong concentration in professional & technical fields, with employment levels at 1.2 times the regional average. Conversely, manufacturing is under-represented, employing only 4.8% of Carina's workforce compared to 6.4% in Greater Brisbane. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Based on AreaSearch's analysis of SALM and ABS statistics, over the 12 months to March 2026, employment grew by 5.5% while the labour force expanded by 4.9%, resulting in a 0.5 percentage point drop in the unemployment rate. In comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.2%, labour force growth of 3.4%, and a 0.1 percentage point increase in unemployment. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia from May-25 offer additional context on future demand in Carina. These projections, spanning five and ten-year periods, are mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Carina's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.1% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Carina is $2,075 a week (about $108,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,021 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $68,441 a year against an average of $89,911. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
The Carina SA2 shows a median taxpayer income of $68,441 and an average of $89,911 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is extremely high nationally, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $76,216 (median) and $100,125 (average) as of March 2026. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Carina, between the 70th and 80th percentiles nationally.
Income brackets indicate the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 33.6% of the community (4,342 individuals), consistent with broader trends across regional levels showing 33.3% in the same category. High housing costs consume 16.0% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 70th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 7th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Carina had 4,723 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 55% detached houses and 11% apartments. 39% are owned with a mortgage, 34% rented and 27% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $440 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,000 a month, a total housing cost higher than 76% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 21.2% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Dwelling structure within Carina, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 55.4% houses and 44.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Carina was in line with that of Brisbane metro, at 26.7%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (39.3%) or rented (34.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Brisbane metro average at $2,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $440, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380.
Nationally, Carina's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Carina counted 4,723 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 5,162 today, averaging 2.4 people each. 29% are couples with children, against 27% couples without children. 26% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.4 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households dominate at 69.0% of all households, comprising 29.0% couples with children, 26.5% couples without children, and 11.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 31.0%, with lone person households at 26.4% and group households comprising 4.7% of the total. The median household size of 2.4 people is smaller than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
37.7% of adults in Carina hold a university qualification, including 25.9% with a bachelor degree and 7.7% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 83% of areas nationally. A further 18.9% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 1,800 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,089 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment in Carina significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 37.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 25.7% in QLD and 30.4% in Australia. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 25.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 30.7% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.8%) and certificates (18.9%). Educational participation is notably high, with 27.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.9% in primary education, 6.7% in tertiary education, and 6.0% pursuing secondary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Carina reaches 35 stops on 19 routes, timetabled for about 3,200 services a week. The typical home sits about 230 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.2 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of public transit indicates there are 35 active stops within Carina, which offer a combination of bus options. These stops are served by 19 unique routes, which together provide 3,249 passenger trips each week. Transport connectivity is classified as good, with residents living an average of 226 meters from the nearest stop. Because it is a mostly residential suburb, the majority of working residents commute elsewhere, and driving remains the primary travel method at 83%, compared to 9% who travel by bus. Car ownership stands at 1.2 vehicles per household, which is below the regional average.
Around 23.9% of residents worked from home, which was recorded during the 2021 Census and might reflect pandemic-related conditions. Service frequency averages 464 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 92 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
70.2% of residents in Carina report no long-term health condition. 6.4% need daily assistance with core activities, and 65.9% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 7.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Carina faces significant health challenges, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts , and the rate of private health cover found to be exceptionally high at approximately 66% of the total population (8,517 people). This compares to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane. The national average is 55.7%. The most common medical conditions in the area were found to be mental health issues and asthma, impacting 8.8 and 7.4% of residents, respectively, while 70.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane.
The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 16.4% of residents aged 65 and over (2,114 people), which is higher than the 15.1% in Greater Brisbane. , with national rankings even higher than the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
25.1% of Carina residents were born overseas and 15.8% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (26.4%) and Australian (23.8%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Carina was found to be above average in terms of cultural diversity, with 25.1% of its population born overseas and 15.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Carina was found to be Christianity, which makes up 52.4% of people in Carina. This compares to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Carina are English, comprising 26.4% of the population, Australian, comprising 23.8% of the population, and Irish, comprising 10.1% of the population.
Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: New Zealand is notably overrepresented at 1.1% of Carina (vs 1.0% regionally), Korean at 0.7% (vs 0.5%) and Spanish at 0.6% (vs 0.4%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Carina is 37. 27.4% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
At 37 years, Carina's median age is nearly matching the Greater Brisbane average of 36 while also very close to the Australian median of 38. Relative to Greater Brisbane, Carina has a higher concentration of 35 - 44 residents (17.9%) but fewer 15 - 24 year-olds (11.4%). Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 16.5% to 17.9% of the population. Conversely, the 0 to 4 cohort has declined from 6.7% to 5.6%. Demographic modeling suggests Carina's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 75 to 84 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 52%, adding 404 residents to reach 1,181.
Senior residents (65+) will drive 57% of population growth, underscoring demographic aging trends. On the other hand, the 5 to 14 and 0 to 4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Carina
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 12 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 432 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (11,826 at the 2021 Census → 12,925 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (303011049). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.