Carindale

Carindale is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Carindale's population, as of February 2026, is approximately 17,376 people. This figure represents an increase of 872 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,504. The growth is inferred from ABS data indicating an estimated resident population of 17,371 in June 2024 and an additional 147 validated new addresses post-census. This results in a population density ratio of 1,703 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Carindale's growth rate of 5.3% since the census places it within 2.1 percentage points of the SA3 area (7.4%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 85.7% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth in the area.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; thus, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 using 2022 data as the base year. According to projected demographic shifts, Carindale's population is expected to decrease by 256 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 723 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Carindale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Carindale has seen approximately 77 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 387 homes were approved, with an additional 6 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 1.3 new residents arrived per year for each new home over these five years. However, recent data indicates this has increased to 17.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, reflecting Carindale's growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

The average construction value of development projects in Carindale is $379,000. This year alone, $14.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating steady commercial investment activity. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Carindale shows 18.0% lower construction activity per person. Nationally, it ranks among the 15th percentile of areas assessed, suggesting more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties. New building activity in Carindale consists of 19.0% detached houses and 81.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 89.0% houses.

This trend towards compact living offers affordable entry pathways, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. With around 1171 people per approval, Carindale is considered a mature, established area. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Carindale may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Carindale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

AreaSearch identified 16 projects that could impact the area's performance. Key initiatives include Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment, Fairway Carindale Stage 2, Westfield Carindale Redevelopment & Dining Precinct, and Greendale Village Shopping Centre. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Carindale ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Carindale has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 1.7%, lower than Greater Brisbane's 4.0%. Employment stability was maintained over the past year, from September 2025 to present.

During this period, 9,427 residents were employed and the unemployment rate stood at 2.3%, below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation in Carindale is somewhat lower at 67.5% compared to Greater Brisbane's 70.7%. According to Census responses, 24.8% of residents work from home. Employment concentration lies in health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training sectors.

Notably, the area has a strong specialization in professional & technical services with an employment share 1.3 times higher than the regional level. Conversely, construction is under-represented at 7.0% compared to Greater Brisbane's 9.0%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data on working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period from September 2024 to September 2025, employment increased by 0.3%, labour force grew by 0.5%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points in Carindale. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 3.8%, labour force grow by 3.3%, and unemployment fall by 0.5 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that over five years, national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% and over ten years by 13.7%. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Carindale's employment mix indicates potential local employment increases of 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The median income among taxpayers in Carindale SA2 was $67,355 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $88,485 during the same period. These figures compare to those for Greater Brisbane, which were $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest that median income will be approximately $74,030, while average income is projected to reach around $97,254. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes in Carindale ranked at the 87th percentile with a weekly income of $2,382. The largest segment of earners comprised 25.8% earning over $4,000 weekly, with 4,483 residents falling into this category. This contrasts with the region where the leading bracket was $1,500 - $2,999 at 33.3%. Notably, 40.1% of residents earned more than $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. After accounting for housing costs, residents retained 87.9% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Carindale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Carindale's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.1% houses and 10.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Carindale stood at 47.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.5% and rented ones at 15.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,400, above Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Carindale was $533, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Carindale's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Carindale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.8% of all households, including 43.4% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Carindale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Carindale's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. As of 2016, 41.7% of residents aged 15 years and above held university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees were the most common at 27.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%). Vocational credentials were also prevalent, with 25.1% of residents aged 15 years and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas accounted for 10.9% and certificates for 14.2%.

Educational participation was high in the area, with 29.2% of residents enrolled in formal education as of 2016. This included 9.3% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Carindale has 83 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 25 different routes that together facilitate 4,164 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents living an average of 216 meters from the nearest stop. In this predominantly residential zone, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transport, used by 86% of residents, while buses are employed by 9%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling in Carindale, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 24.8% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, an average of 594 trips are made daily, equating to roughly 50 weekly trips per individual stop.

Carindale's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Carindale's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 65% of the total population (11,329 people), compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and 55.7% nationally.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.3% and 6.3% of residents respectively. 72.1% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, higher than the 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 23.1%, compared to 15.2% in Greater Brisbane (4,019 people). Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Carindale was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Carindale's cultural diversity is notable, with 34.7% of its population born overseas and 29.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Carindale, accounting for 60.4% of people, compared to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. The top three ancestry groups are English (22.3%), Australian (19.0%), and Other (9.7%).

Some ethnic groups have notable representation differences: Russian is at 0.8%, South African at 1.2%, and Korean at 1.2%, compared to regional figures of 0.3%, 0.6%, and 0.5% respectively.

Carindale's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Carindale is 43 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group comprises 11.5% of the population in Carindale, compared to a lower percentage in Greater Brisbane. Conversely, the 25-34 age group makes up only 7.3% of Carindale's population. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.5% to 8.6%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 12.8% to 13.8%. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 age group has decreased from 14.0% to 12.4%, and the 25 to 34 group has dropped from 8.8% to 7.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Carindale, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 39%, reaching 2,059 people from 1,485. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 91% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15 to 24 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.