Carindale
Statistical Area - sa2

Carindale is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Carindale's population, as of August 2025, is approximately 17,446, reflecting a growth of 942 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 5.7% rise from the previously reported figure of 16,504. The change can be inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,371 in June 2024 and an additional 144 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of approximately 1,710 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Carindale's growth rate of 5.7% since the census places it within 1.5 percentage points of the SA3 area (7.2%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. The primary driver for this population growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 85.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used. These state projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, do not provide age category splits. Therefore, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Considering these projected demographic shifts, over this period, a decline in overall population is anticipated. According to this methodology, Carindale's population is expected to shrink by 256 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are projected to grow, with the 75 to 84 age group anticipating an increase of 723 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Carindale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Carindale has seen approximately 77 new homes approved annually. Development approval data is produced by the ABS on a financial year basis: 387 homes over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with three already recorded in FY-26. On average, 1.3 new residents per year were associated with each dwelling constructed during these five years. However, recent figures show this has accelerated to 17.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years. New properties are constructed at an average value of $879,000.

In FY-26, $14.4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Carindale shows 18.0% lower construction activity per person and ranks among the 16th percentile nationally for areas assessed, suggesting limited buyer options but strengthening demand for established homes. Recent construction comprises 19.0% detached dwellings and 81.0% attached dwellings, indicating a shift towards compact living which offers affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This represents a notable change from the area's existing housing composition of 89.0% houses. The location has approximately 1171 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market with stable or declining population projections, suggesting reduced future housing demand pressures.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Carindale should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Carindale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

AreaSearch has identified 13 projects that could impact the area. Key projects include Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment, Fairway Carindale Stage 2, Westfield Carindale Redevelopment & Dining Precinct, and Greendale Village Shopping Centre. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

The exceptional employment performance in Carindale places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Carindale has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% as of June 2025.

The area experienced an employment growth of 1.6% over the past year. As of June 2025, 9,487 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 2.4% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Carindale was on par with Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key industries for employment among residents were health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training.

Notably, professional & technical services had employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. However, construction had limited presence with only 7.0% of residents employed in this sector compared to 9.0% regionally. The area's predominantly residential nature seems to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, employment increased by 1.6%, labour force grew by 1.9%, leading to a rise in unemployment of 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 4.4% with labour force growth at 4.0% and unemployment falling by 0.4 percentage points. State-level data from Sep-25 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.23%, losing 8,070 jobs, while the state unemployment rate was 4.2%. This compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.5% but lags behind national employment growth of 0.26%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with significant variations between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Carindale's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2022 shows Carindale's median income was $64,110 and average income was $85,752. This is higher than Greater Brisbane's median of $55,645 and average of $70,520. By March 2025, adjusted for Wage Price Index growth of 11.71%, estimated incomes are approximately $71,617 (median) and $95,794 (average). Census 2021 data ranks Carindale's household incomes at the 87th percentile ($2,382 weekly). Income distribution shows 25.8% of locals earn over $4,000 weekly, compared to the region's predominant cohort of 33.3% earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly. Notably, 40.1% earn above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Carindale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Carindale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.1% houses and 10.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Brisbane metro had 71.2% houses and 28.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Carindale was at 47.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.5% and rented ones at 15.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,400, while the median weekly rent was $533. Brisbane metro's figures were $2,200 for mortgage repayments and $450 for rents. Nationally, Carindale's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national average of $375.

Carindale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.8% of all households, including 43.4% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Carindale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Carindale is notably higher than broader benchmarks. 41.7% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are most common at 27.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.1% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 14.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education. Two state schools serve the area - Belmont State School and Carina State School, collectively educating 1,168 students. The area demonstrates above-average socio-educational conditions, with an ICSEA score of 1079. Both schools focus on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. There are fewer school places per 100 residents (6.7) compared to the regional average (12.4), suggesting some students may attend schools outside Carindale.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis finds 85 active transport stops in Carindale, serving a mix of buses. These are covered by 26 different routes, offering 4,218 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport access is rated good, with residents on average 214 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 602 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Carindale is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Carindale shows superior health outcomes for both young and elderly residents, with low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover stands at approximately 63% (11,043 people), exceeding the national average of 55.3%.

The most frequent medical issues are arthritis (7.3%) and asthma (6.3%). About 72.1% of residents report no medical ailments, close to Greater Brisbane's 72.4%. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 22.5% (3,920 people), higher than Greater Brisbane's 15.6%. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

Carindale is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Carindale has high cultural diversity, with 34.7% of its population born overseas and 29.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Carindale, comprising 60.4%, which is higher than Greater Brisbane's 54.6%. The top three ancestry groups are English (22.3%), Australian (19.0%), and Other (9.7%).

Notably, Russian (0.8% vs regional 0.5%), South African (1.2% vs regional 0.8%), and Korean (1.2% vs regional 0.7%) ethnic groups are overrepresented in Carindale compared to the Greater Brisbane region.

Carindale hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Carindale as of the 2016 Census was 43 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and also older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age group constituted 11.4% of Carindale's population at that time, compared to a lower representation of the 25-34 cohort at 7.7%. Post-Census data from 2021 shows an increase in the 75-84 age group from 6.5% to 8.1%, while the 55-64 cohort declined from 14.0% to 12.5% and the 25-34 group dropped from 8.8% to 7.7%. Population forecasts for Carindale in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the 75-84 age group expected to grow by 46%, reaching a total of 2,059 people from 1,413. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 92% of Carindale's total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 15-24 and 65-74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.