Carindale
Statistical Area - sa2

Carindale is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Carindale's population was approximately 17,452 as of November 2025. This figure represents an increase of 948 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,504. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 17,371 in June 2024 and validated new addresses totalling 146 since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,711 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Carindale's growth rate of 5.7% since the census places it within 1.6 percentage points of the SA3 area (7.3%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 85.7% of overall population gains during recent periods in Carindale.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Projected demographic shifts indicate a decline in overall population by 256 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, projected to increase by 723 people over this period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Carindale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Carindale has seen approximately 77 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 387 homes were approved, with an additional 5 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 1.3 new residents arrived per new home each year over these five years. However, recent data shows this has increased to 17.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential supply constraints in the area.

Development projects have averaged around $379,000 in construction value. Additionally, $14.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered during FY26, suggesting steady commercial investment activity in Carindale compared to Greater Brisbane, where construction activity is 18.0% higher per person. Nationally, Carindale ranks at the 16th percentile among assessed areas, offering limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties. New building activity consists of 19.0% detached houses and 81.0% attached dwellings, marking a significant shift from the current housing pattern of 89.0% houses. This trend may be due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences.

With around 1171 people per approval, Carindale is considered a mature, established area with stable or declining population forecasts, potentially reducing housing pressure and creating favourable conditions for buyers in the future.

Carindale has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

AreaSearch has identified 16 projects that could impact the area significantly. These include Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment, Fairway Carindale Stage 2, Westfield Carindale Redevelopment & Dining Precinct, and Greendale Village Shopping Centre. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Carindale rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Carindale has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% as of June 2025, which is 2.4% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.6%. As of June 2025, 9,487 residents were in work and workforce participation was on par with Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key industries for employment include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area shows particular strength in professional & technical services, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

However, construction is under-represented, at 7.0% compared to Greater Brisbane's 9.0%. Analysis of SALM and ABS data for a 12-month period showed employment increasing by 1.6%, alongside labour force growth of 1.9%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Brisbane, where employment rose by 4.4% and unemployment fell by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Carindale's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Carindale's median income among taxpayers was $64,110 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $85,752 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Brisbane's median and average incomes of $55,645 and $70,520 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimated median and average incomes for Carindale as of September 2025 would be approximately $73,079 and $97,749 respectively. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes in Carindale rank at the 87th percentile with a weekly income of $2,382. The largest segment of earners comprises 25.8% earning over $4,000 weekly (4,502 residents), contrasting with Greater Brisbane where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 33.3%. A substantial presence of higher earners is indicated by the fact that 40.1% exceed $3,000 weekly in Carindale. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Carindale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Carindale's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, comprised 89.1% houses and 10.9% other dwellings. In contrast, Brisbane metropolitan area had 71.2% houses and 28.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Carindale stood at 47.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.5% and rented ones at 15.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,400, higher than Brisbane metro's $2,200. Median weekly rent in Carindale was $533, compared to Brisbane metro's $450. Nationally, Carindale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national average of $375.

Carindale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.8% of all households, including 43.4% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Carindale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Carindale is notably high, with 41.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland and 30.4% nationally as of the latest available data. Bachelor degrees are most common at 27.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.1% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (14.2%). Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.3% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 6.4% in tertiary education as of the latest figures.

The area's schools include Belmont State School and Carina State School, serving a total of 1,168 students, with an ICSEA score of 1079 indicating above-average socio-educational conditions. Both schools cater exclusively to primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. The school places per 100 residents ratio is 6.7, lower than the regional average of 12.4, suggesting some students may attend schools outside the area.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Carindale has 85 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 26 different routes that together facilitate 4,218 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility in Carindale is considered good, with residents on average located 214 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency across all routes averages 602 trips per day, which amounts to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Carindale is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Carindale shows superior health outcomes for both young and elderly populations, with low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63%, compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.3%) and asthma (6.3%). 72.1% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Brisbane's 72.4%. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 22.5%, higher than Greater Brisbane's 15.6%. Seniors' health outcomes are above average, mirroring the general population's profile.

Carindale is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Carindale has a high level of cultural diversity, with 34.7% of its population born overseas and 29.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Carindale, making up 60.4% of people, compared to 54.6% across Greater Brisbane. The top three ancestry groups in Carindale are English (22.3%), Australian (19.0%), and Other (9.7%).

Notably, Russian (0.8%) is overrepresented compared to the regional average of 0.5%, South African (1.2% vs 0.8%) and Korean (1.2% vs 0.7%) are also more prevalent in Carindale than in the Greater Brisbane region.

Carindale hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Carindale is 43 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years, and also older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age group makes up 11.4% of the population in Carindale, compared to a lower percentage in Greater Brisbane. Meanwhile, the 25-34 age group is less prevalent at 7.7%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group grew from 6.5% to 8.1%, while the 55 to 64 cohort declined from 14.0% to 12.5%, and the 25 to 34 group decreased from 8.8% to 7.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Carindale, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 46% (645 people), reaching a total of 2,059. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 92% of the total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 15 to 24 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.