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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Carindale has an estimated 17,404 residents, up from 16,504 at the 2021 Census — a change of 900 people, or 5.5%. Growth has averaged 0.6% a year over five years. 114 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 93.1% of that increase. That puts 1,706 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research by AreaSearch, the resident count in Carindale stands at approximately 17,404 as of Aug 2026. This marks an expansion of 900 people (5.5%) compared to the 2021 Census tally of 16,504 people. Such growth is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population figure of 17,402 recorded in June 2025 alongside 114 validated new addresses added post-Census. With 1,706 persons per square kilometer, the locality's density exceeds the broader standard across areas evaluated nationwide by AreaSearch. Furthermore, Carindale's 5.5% post-Census increase sits within 2.6 percentage points of the wider SA3 area (8.1%), highlighting robust demographic momentum.
International migration served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 93.1% of recent net population additions. SA2 demographic projections released in 2024 (anchored to a 2022 baseline) by the ABS and Geoscience Australia have been incorporated by AreaSearch. For any SA2 locations lacking coverage or for timeframes beyond 2032, figures rely on 2023 Queensland State Government projections calibrated to 2021 data. Because state-level datasets do not break down age brackets, AreaSearch allocates proportional weightings based on the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections (utilising 2022 baseline figures) across each demographic band. Looking ahead, this modelling points toward a slight demographic contraction, forecasting that Carindale will lose 333 persons by 2041. In contrast, older demographics will experience gains, particularly the 75 to 84 age group, which is slated to increase by 636 people.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
477 new dwellings have been approved in Carindale over the past five years, an average of 95 a year. That places the area in the 56th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 5 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 96 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 19% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Over the preceding 5 financial years, residential approvals in Carindale have averaged roughly 95 homes annually, amounting to a cumulative 477 homes. Between FY-22 and FY-26, the area added an average of 1 people per year for every completed dwelling, indicating a balanced supply-demand dynamic supporting market resilience, while newly approved residential builds reflect an average construction value of $436,000. Additionally, commercial development has progressed at a moderate pace, registering $14.4 million in commercial approvals throughout the current financial year. Per capita building activity in Carindale over the 5 year period tracked 14.0% above regional average benchmarks across Greater Brisbane, maintaining adequate purchaser choice while preserving demand, albeit with recent moderation.
Recent residential approvals consist of 19.0% detached houses and 81.0% attached dwellings. This pivot toward higher-density housing creates accessible price points for downsizers, first-time purchasers, and investors. It also represents a stark shift from the prevailing built form (89.0% houses), reflecting tighter land constraints alongside shifting lifestyle and affordability considerations. The presence of roughly 474 people per dwelling approval confirms the suburb's mature, fully established character. Given that demographic forecasts point toward steady or contracting headcount numbers, Carindale is poised to experience softer housing demand pressures, providing favourable conditions for incoming purchasers.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Carindale
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 8 current infrastructure and development projects inside Carindale, worth an estimated $983 million. A further 80 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $11.2 billion. 12 are already under construction and 31 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and health & medical. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Infrastructure investments, major developments, and council planning policies play a pivotal role in shaping local performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed a total of 15 key initiatives expected to influence the district. Among the most notable works are the Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment, Fairway Carindale Stage 2, Westfield Carindale Redevelopment & Dining Precinct, and Greendale Village Shopping Centre.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Greendale Village Shopping Centre
A local retail development comprising a 3,359sqm supermarket, 2,496sqm of specialty shops, food and drink outlets, and health care services. The project includes 306 car parking spaces and significant landscaping on a 2.106ha site. Originally approved in 2008, the development has faced extensive delays, including the 2022 insolvency of a previous contractor. In 2025, the Planning and Environment Court granted a fifth extension to the currency period, allowing the developer until March 2027 to commence construction.
Fairway Carindale Stage 2
Second stage of Fairway Carindale featuring 76 luxury golf-side apartments across three mid-rise buildings. Part of the total 191 apartment retirement village development at Pacific Golf Club. Expected completion 2026.
Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment
$280 million transformation of a 38-year-old retirement village into a modern multi-storey community with 405 independent living apartments and a privately owned 140-bed residential care facility across six stages. Features resort-style amenities and is close to Westfield Carindale.
Westfield Carindale Dining Precinct Expansion
Scentre Group's expansion of Westfield Carindale's dining precinct, featuring seven new dining retailers including Claw BBQ, Bettys Burgers, Sushi Jiro, Nandos, Viet House, and a relocated Yum Cha. The reimagined precinct includes integrated casual dining seating, new flooring, native plants, and a refreshed Funhouse Entertainment area with childrens bowling and family activities, enhancing the retail and entertainment destination in Brisbanes eastern suburbs.
Westfield Carindale Redevelopment & Dining Precinct
A major redevelopment of Westfield Carindale, adding 35,000m2 of retail space over two levels, new basement and rooftop parking, a relocated Target and Coles, and approximately 80 new specialty tenancies. A key component was the Level 1 'Glass House' dining precinct expansion, featuring seven new dining retailers like Claw BBQ and Betty's Burgers, with contemporary design elements. The Funhouse Entertainment area was also reopened.
Fairway Carindale Stage 1
Luxury retirement village at Pacific Golf Club featuring 52 apartments in Stage 1 with golf course frontage, new restaurant, bar, cafe, virtual reality golf simulator, and 18-hole putt putt course. Completed April 2024. Developed by Reside Communities in partnership with Pacific Golf Club.
Citipointe Christian College Master Plan Redevelopment
A staged master plan for the redevelopment of Citipointe Christian College's Carindale campus, supporting growth to a six-stream school by 2027. The Secondary Student Centre, uniting the Pastoral Care Team and Additional Needs Department under one roof, officially opened on 19 January 2026. Upcoming stages include a new Junior Learning Centre for Years 1-2 and a sixth Prep classroom, commencing construction in 2026 for occupation in 2027, followed by 12 new classrooms for Years 3-4, a Grace House extension with a larger Primary Library, Health Bay and Uniform Store, new Secondary learning spaces in F Block, a Performing Arts Theatre, and a second Sports Hall near the oval.
Winstanley Street Medical Centre Development
Development of a four-storey commercial and medical facility spanning 2,833 sqm of gross floor area across three street frontages. The approved project includes dedicated healthcare suites, consulting spaces, professional offices, a neighbourhood supermarket, and ground-floor food and drink outlets serving Carina Heights and surrounding eastern Brisbane suburbs.
9,843 residents of Carindale are employed, from a labour force of 10,001. Unemployment sits at 1.6%, with participation at 69.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 15,267, about 88% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Carindale's labour pool is characterized by high qualification levels, substantial representation in professional sectors, an unemployment rate standing at only 1.6%, and 4.9% yearly employment growth. In March 2026, employed residents numbered 9,843, while local unemployment registered 2.7% below Greater Brisbane's 4.3% benchmark. Labour force participation aligns closely with the regional figure of 70.1%. Census records also show 24.8% of workers operating from home, though pandemic-era restrictions during that period should be kept in mind. The primary employment sectors for local residents include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training.
Professional & technical roles represent a key local specialisation, engaging workers at 1.3 times the regional level. By comparison, construction absorbs a smaller share of workers at 7.0%, underperforming the regional rate of 9.0%. Given the discrepancy between Census daytime worker totals and resident population numbers, this predominantly suburban community generates relatively few jobs within its own borders. SALM and ABS data reviewed by AreaSearch shows that both employment and labour force tallies expanded by 4.9% in the year to March 2026, keeping the local unemployment level stable. Across Greater Brisbane over the same timeframe, jobs increased by 3.2%, the workforce rose by 3.4%, and joblessness edged up by 0.1 percentage points. Looking forward, national forecasts issued in Mar-26 by Jobs and Skills Australia shed light on future occupational demand. Nationwide projections forecast total employment gains of 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, with marked divergence across sectors. When these industry-level expectations are weighted against Carindale's resident skill profile, local jobs are projected to rise by 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years (note that this represents an illustrative weighting model rather than a localized population forecast).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Carindale is $2,382 a week (about $124,000 a year), with median personal income at $910 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $67,355 a year against an average of $88,485. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to financial year 2023 ATO postcode statistics compiled by AreaSearch, taxpayers in the Carindale SA2 earned a median income of $67,355 and an average income of $88,485. These figures rank exceptionally high across the country and substantially outpace Greater Brisbane's median of $58,236 and average of $72,799. Accounting for an 11.36% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated figures as of March 2026 are estimated at $75,007 (median) and $98,537 (average). In the 2021 Census, household earnings reached the 87th percentile ($2,382 weekly). Income distributions reveal that 25.8% of residents (4,490 individuals) make $4000+ each week, whereas the broader region is led by the $1,500 - 2,999 tier at 33.3%.
Overall, 40.1% of residents earn more than $3,000 per week, underpinning affluent retail and commercial services. Households retain 87.9% of their earnings after servicing shelter expenses, which places the district in the 9th decile on the SEIFA economic index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Carindale had 5,721 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 89% detached houses and 4% apartments. 38% are owned with a mortgage, 15% rented and 47% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $533 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,400 a month. Rent absorbs 22.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census findings indicate that Carindale's residential landscape consisted of 89.1% houses and 10.9% other dwellings (encompassing apartments, semi-detached properties, and other formats), standing in contrast to the broader Brisbane metro profile of 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Outright ownership reached 47.4%, significantly outpacing Greater Brisbane norms, while 37.5% of homes were mortgaged and 15.1% were tenanted. Typical mortgage commitments averaged $2,400 monthly, exceeding the Brisbane metro benchmark of $1,863, while weekly median rents registered at $533 compared to $380 across the metropolitan area. Across Australia as a whole, typical monthly home loan repayments average $1,863 and weekly rents sit at $375, both well below local levels.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Carindale counted 5,721 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 6,033 today, averaging 2.8 people each. 43% are couples with children, more than in 86% of areas nationally, against 28% couples without children. 17% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local households at 80.8%, featuring 43.4% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. The remaining 19.2% is made up of non-family living arrangements, which include lone person households at 17.0% and group households at 2.2%. Household occupancy averages 2.8 people, higher than the Greater Brisbane median of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
41.7% of adults in Carindale hold a university qualification, including 27.1% with a bachelor degree and 11.1% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 76% of areas nationally. A further 14.2% hold a vocational qualification. 2 schools serve the area, with 1,168 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,079 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary credentials among Carindale residents far exceed broader averages, with 41.7% of individuals aged 15+ holding a higher education qualification, compared to 25.7% across QLD and 30.4% nationwide. Bachelor degrees account for the largest proportion at 27.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%). Vocational training is also well represented, with 25.1% of residents aged 15+ having earned technical credentials, broken down into advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (14.2%). A substantial 29.2% of the local population is actively undertaking formal education. This proportion comprises 9.3% attending primary school, 8.8% in high school, and 6.4% engaged in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Carindale means driving: households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.1% of residents in Carindale report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 90% of areas nationally. 4.8% need daily assistance with core activities, and 65.2% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Public health records reviewed by AreaSearch indicate strong outcomes in Carindale across both younger and older residents, marked by low chronic illness prevalence and subdued mortality figures. Comprehensive private health insurance coverage extends to roughly 65% of all residents (11,347 people), noticeably above the Greater Brisbane average of 55.8% and the Australia-wide benchmark of 55.7%. Arthritis and asthma constitute the two most widespread conditions locally, documented among 7.3 and 6.3% of residents respectively, while 72.1% reported having no long-term health conditions, exceeding the Greater Brisbane figure of 69.2%. Working-age cohorts display low rates of chronic illness.
Residents aged 65 and over represent 23.5% of the community (4,095 people), higher than the 15.0% observed across Greater Brisbane, with older residents maintaining above-average vitality despite ranking slightly lower against national senior benchmarks.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
34.7% of Carindale residents were born overseas and 29.8% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 76% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are English (22.3%) and Australian (19.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Carindale displays a high degree of cultural variety, with 34.7% of its residents born abroad and 29.8% using a non-English language at home. Christianity is the dominant religious faith, adhered to by 60.4% of the population, compared to 47.8% throughout Greater Brisbane. Looking at ancestral background, the most prevalent heritages across Carindale are English (22.3%), Australian (19.0%), and Other (9.7%). In addition, specific cultural communities show elevated representation relative to the broader region: Russian ancestry accounts for 0.8% of residents (vs 0.3% regionally), South Australian background stands at 1.2% (vs 0.6%), and Korean heritage represents 1.2% (vs 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Carindale is 43. 22.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Carindale exhibits a distinct profile oriented toward older residents and retirees. Based on figures compiled to August 2026, senior cohorts (65+) make up 23.5% of the populace, compared with 15.0% across Greater Brisbane, whereas early-to-mid career adults (25 - 44) comprise 20.6% relative to the regional benchmark of 30.6%. This places the local median age at 43, matching the 2021 Census mark and sitting 7 years above the Greater Brisbane Census figure of 36, as well as outpacing the national median of 38. The share of seniors has increased from 19.8% at the Census to an estimated 23.5%.
Looking ahead to 2041, retirees and elderly residents will drive demographic expansion, growing by 1,034 residents (25%) to reach 5,129, whereas younger adults, children, and mid-age groups are projected to decrease.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Carindale
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jun 2026 4 months ago all 8 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jun 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 114 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (16,504 at the 2021 Census → 17,404 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (303011051). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.