Carindale

Carindale is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Carindale's population was around 17,452 as of November 2025. This reflected an increase of 948 people from the 2021 Census figure of 16,504. The growth was inferred from ABS estimated resident population data of 17,371 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. Carindale's population density was 1,711 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 5.7% growth since the census was close to the SA3 area's 7.3%, indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 85.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. These state projections lack age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Projected demographic shifts indicate a decline in overall population by 256 persons by 2041, but specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group with an increase of 723 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Carindale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Carindale has seen approximately 77 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 387 homes were approved, with an additional 5 approved in FY26 so far. On average, about 1.3 new residents have moved into these new homes each year over the last five financial years. However, this figure has increased to 17.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating Carindale's growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

The average construction value of development projects in Carindale is approximately $379,000. This year alone, around $14.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating steady commercial investment activity in the area. Compared to Greater Brisbane, Carindale has 18.0% lower construction activity per person and ranks among the 15th percentile of areas assessed nationally, suggesting limited property choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties. In terms of new building activity, approximately 19.0% are detached houses, with the majority, around 81.0%, being attached dwellings. This shift towards compact living offers affordable entry pathways, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers, marking a significant change from existing housing patterns that currently favour houses at 89.0%.

Carindale's population density, around 1171 people per approval, indicates a mature, established area. With stable or declining population forecasts, Carindale may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Carindale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects that may affect the region. Notable projects include Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment, Fairway Carindale Stage 2, Westfield Carindale Redevelopment & Dining Precinct, and Greendale Village Shopping Centre. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Carindale ranks among the strongest 15% of areas evaluated nationally

Carindale has an educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% in September 2025, lower than Greater Brisbane's 4.0%.

Workforce participation is at par with Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. Carindale specializes particularly in professional & technical jobs, which make up 1.3 times the regional level. However, construction employment is lower than Greater Brisbane's, at 7.0% compared to 9.0%.

Most residents work outside the area. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Carindale's employment rose by 0.3%, labour force increased by 0.5%, leading to a 0.2 percentage point rise in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment growth of 3.8% and a drop in unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. As of 25-November-25, Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01%, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Carindale's employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 7.0% in five years and 14.2% in ten years, though this is an illustrative extrapolation not accounting for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The median income among taxpayers in Carindale SA2 was $64,110 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $85,752 during the same period. In comparison, Greater Brisbane had median and average incomes of $55,645 and $70,520 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest Carindale's median income could reach approximately $73,079 and average income $97,749, accounting for a 13.99% growth since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes in Carindale ranked at the 87th percentile with weekly earnings of $2,382. The largest income segment comprised 25.8% earning over $4,000 weekly (4,502 residents), contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket led at 33.3%. A substantial presence of higher earners was noted, with 40.1% exceeding $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retained 87.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking which places it in the 9th decile.

Carindale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Carindale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.1% houses and 10.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Brisbane metro's 71.2% houses and 28.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Carindale stood at 47.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.5% and rented ones at 15.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,400, exceeding Brisbane metro's average of $2,200. Median weekly rent in Carindale was $533, higher than Brisbane metro's $450. Nationally, Carindale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Carindale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households make up 80.8% of all households, including 43.4% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Carindale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Carindale's residents aged 15+ have a higher proportion with university qualifications (41.7%) compared to Queensland (25.7%) and Australia (30.4%). Bachelor degrees are the most common at 27.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.1% of residents holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (14.2%). Educational participation is high, with 29.2% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.3% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 6.4% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Carindale has 85 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 26 different routes that together facilitate 4,218 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility in Carindale is good, with residents on average being located 214 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 602 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Carindale is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Carindale shows superior health outcomes for both younger and older age groups, with low prevalence of common conditions. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 63% (11,047 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.3%) and asthma (6.3%), while 72.1% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Brisbane's 72.4%. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 22.5% (3,921 people), higher than Greater Brisbane's 15.6%. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, mirroring the general population's health profile.

Carindale was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Carindale's population has a high level of cultural diversity, with 34.7% born overseas and 29.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Carindale, accounting for 60.4%, compared to 54.6% across Greater Brisbane. The top three ancestry groups are English (22.3%), Australian (19.0%), and Other (9.7%).

Notably, Russian (0.8%) and South African (1.2%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Carindale compared to regional averages of 0.5% and 0.8%, respectively. Additionally, Korean ethnicity is also notably higher at 1.2%.

Carindale's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Carindale is 43 years, significantly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age group comprises 11.4% of Carindale's population compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 age group makes up 7.7%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75-84 age group has increased from 6.5% to 8.1%, the 55-64 cohort has decreased from 14.0% to 12.5%, and the 25-34 group has dropped from 8.8% to 7.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Carindale. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 46%, reaching 2,059 people from 1,413. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 92% of total population growth, reflecting Carindale's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15-24 and 65-74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.