Carindale

Carindale is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Carindale's population is around 17,376 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 872 people (5.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,504 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,371 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 147 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,703 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Carindale's 5.3% growth since the census positions it within 2.1 percentage points of the SA3 area (7.4%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 85.7% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Considering the projected demographic shifts, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to shrink by 256 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 723 people. See the age section for more details.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Carindale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Carindale has seen around 77 new homes approved annually, with 387 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 6 so far in FY-26. At an average of 1.3 new residents per year arriving per new home over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, though recent data reveals this has increased to 17.8 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, reflecting the area's growing popularity and potential supply constraints. Development projects average $379,000 in construction value. Additionally, $14.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, indicating steady commercial investment activity.

Relative to Greater Brisbane, Carindale shows 18.0% lower construction activity (per person) and ranks within the 15th percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties. New building activity consists of 19.0% detached houses and 81.0% attached dwellings. This skew toward compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 89.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. At around 1171 people per approval, Carindale is a mature, established area.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Carindale may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Carindale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 16 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment, Fairway Carindale Stage 2, Westfield Carindale Redevelopment & Dining Precinct, and Greendale Village Shopping Centre, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Carindale rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Carindale possesses a highly educated workforce, with professional services showing strong representation, an unemployment rate of just 1.7%, and 2.2% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 9,634 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 2.5% below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation is somewhat below standard (69.0% compared to Greater Brisbane's 71.2%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 24.8% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training. The area shows particularly strong specialization in professional & technical, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level. On the other hand, construction is under-represented, with only 7.0% of the Carindale workforce compared to 9.0% in Greater Brisbane. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increasing by 2.2% alongside the labour force increasing by 2.5%, resulting in unemployment rising by 0.3 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Brisbane, where employment rose by 3.2%, the labour force grew by 3.0%, and unemployment fell 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Carindale. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Carindale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Carindale SA2's income level is among the highest in Australia according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for FY-23. The Carindale SA2's median income among taxpayers is $67,355 and the average income stands at $88,485, which compares to figures for Greater Brisbane's of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $74,030 (median) and $97,254 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household incomes rank exceptionally at the 87th percentile ($2,382 weekly). The earnings profile shows the largest segment comprises 25.8% earning $4000+ weekly (4,483 residents), contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 33.3%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 40.1% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. After housing costs, residents retain 87.9% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Carindale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Carindale, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 89.1% houses and 10.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Carindale was well beyond that of Brisbane metro, at 47.4%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (37.5%) or rented (15.1%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Brisbane metro average at $2,400, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $533, compared to Brisbane metro's $1,863 and $380. Nationally, Carindale's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Carindale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 80.8% of all households, comprising 43.4% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 2.2% of the total. The median household size of 2.8 people is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Carindale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Carindale significantly surpasses broader benchmarks, with 41.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications compared to 25.7% in QLD and 30.4% in Australia. This substantial educational advantage positions the area strongly for knowledge-based opportunities. Bachelor degrees lead at 27.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.1%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 25.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (14.2%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 83 active transport stops operating within Carindale, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 25 individual routes, collectively providing 4,164 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 216 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 86%, with 9% by bus. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. Some 24.8% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 594 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 50 weekly trips per individual stop.

Carindale's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data demonstrates outstanding results across Carindale, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both young and old age cohorts show low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 65% of the total population (11,329 people). This compares to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and asthma, impacting 7.3% and 6.3% of residents, respectively, while 72.1% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents are notably healthy with low chronic condition prevalence. The area has 23.1% of residents aged 65 and over (4,019 people), which is higher than the 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

Carindale was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Carindale scores highly on cultural diversity, with 34.7% of its population born overseas and 29.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The main religion in Carindale is Christianity, which makes up 60.4% of the population, compared to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Carindale are English, comprising 22.3% of the population, Australian, comprising 19.0% of the population, and Other, comprising 9.7% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Russian is notably overrepresented at 0.8% of Carindale (vs 0.3% regionally), South Australian at 1.2% (vs 0.6%), and Korean at 1.2% (vs 0.5%).

Carindale's median age exceeds the national pattern

The 43-year median age in Carindale is significantly above Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and similarly considerably older than Australia's 38 years. The 65 - 74 age group shows strong representation at 11.5% compared to Greater Brisbane, whereas the 25 - 34 cohort is less prevalent at 7.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.5% to 8.6% of the population, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 12.8% to 13.8%. Conversely, the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 14.0% to 12.4% and the 25 to 34 group dropped from 8.8% to 7.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Carindale. Leading the demographic shift, the 75 to 84 group will grow by 39% (573 people), reaching 2,059 from 1,485. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 91% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15 to 24 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.