Carindale

Carindale is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Carindale's population, as of May 2026, is approximately 17,404 people. This figure represents an increase of 900 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,504. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 17,402 in June 2025 and an additional 112 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 1,706 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Carindale's 5.5% growth since the census is within 2.6 percentage points of the SA3 area (8.1%), indicating strong growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 93.1% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 using 2022 data. Looking ahead, projections indicate a decline in overall population by 351 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts are expected to grow, notably the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 648 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Carindale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Carindale has seen approximately 77 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 387 homes were approved, with an additional 8 approved so far in FY26. On average, about 1.3 new residents have arrived per new home each year over these five years. However, recent data shows this has increased to 17.8 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating Carindale's growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

The average construction value of development projects in Carindale is approximately $379,000. This year, around $14.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, showing steady commercial investment activity in the area. Comparatively, Carindale shows 17.0% lower construction activity per person relative to Greater Brisbane and ranks among the 15th percentile of areas assessed nationally. This suggests more limited housing choices for buyers, supporting demand for existing properties. New building activity in Carindale consists of approximately 19.0% detached houses and 81.0% attached dwellings.

This shift towards compact living offers affordable entry pathways, attracting downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers, marking a significant departure from the current housing pattern of 89.0% houses. With around 1171 people per approval, Carindale indicates a mature, established area. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Carindale may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Carindale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 15 projects likely affecting the region. Notable initiatives include Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment, Fairway Carindale Stage 2, Westfield Carindale Redevelopment & Dining Precinct, and Greendale Village Shopping Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Carindale rank among the top 10% of areas assessed nationally

Carindale has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 1.7% as of December 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.2%.

As of that date, 9,634 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.5%, lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation was broadly similar to Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. According to Census responses, 24.8% of residents worked from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training.

The area shows strong specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. However, construction is under-represented, with only 7.0% of Carindale's workforce compared to Greater Brisbane's 9.0%. Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending December 2025, employment increased by 2.2%, labour force grew by 2.5%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment rise by 3.2%, labour force grow by 3.0%, and unemployment fall by 0.1 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, published in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Carindale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Carindale SA2 had one of the highest income levels in Australia according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers was $67,355 and the average income stood at $88,485. For Greater Brisbane, these figures were $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Carindale SA2 would be approximately $75,007 (median) and $98,537 (average) as of March 2026. From the 2021 Census data, household incomes ranked exceptionally at the 87th percentile ($2,382 weekly). The earnings profile showed that the largest segment comprised 25.8% earning $4000+ weekly (4,490 residents), contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket led at 33.3%. Higher earners represented a substantial presence with 40.1% exceeding $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retained 87.9% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Carindale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Carindale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 89.1% houses and 10.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Carindale stood at 47.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.5% and rented ones at 15.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,400, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Carindale was $533, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Carindale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,400 against the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Carindale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.8% of all households, including 43.4% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.2%, with lone person households at 17.0% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Carindale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Carindale is notably high, with 41.7% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications as of the latest data. This compares to 25.7% in Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 27.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 11.1% and graduate diplomas at 3.5%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.1% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (14.2%).

Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.3% in primary, 8.8% in secondary, and 6.4% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Carindale has 83 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 25 different routes that together facilitate 4,164 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically living within 216 meters of the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential zone, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 86% of residents, while buses are used by 9%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling in Carindale, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 24.8% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The average service frequency across all routes is 594 trips per day, translating to approximately 50 weekly trips per individual stop.

Carindale's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Carindale's health outcomes show impressive results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are low across both young and old age cohorts. Approximately 65% of Carindale's total population (11,347 people) has private health cover, compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.3 and 6.3% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 72.1%, report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents display low chronic condition prevalence. Carindale has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 23.3% (4,048 people), compared to 15.1% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Carindale was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Carindale's population shows high cultural diversity, with 34.7% born overseas and 29.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Carindale, accounting for 60.4% of its population, compared to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. The top three ancestral groups are English (22.3%), Australian (19.0%), and Other (9.7%).

Notably, Russian (0.8%) is overrepresented in Carindale compared to the regional average of 0.3%, as are South Australian (1.2% vs 0.6%) and Korean (1.2% vs 0.5%).

Carindale's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Carindale is 43 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years, and also considerably older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age group constitutes 11.6% of the population in Carindale, compared to a lower percentage in Greater Brisbane. Conversely, the 25-34 age group makes up only 8.0% of the population in Carindale. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 6.5% to 8.6% of the population. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 cohort has decreased from 14.0% to 12.5%, and the 45 to 54 age group has dropped from 14.1% to 13.0%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 suggest substantial demographic changes in Carindale. Notably, the 85+ age group is projected to grow by 106%, reaching a total of 1,108 people from its current figure of 537. The combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 92% of the total population growth in Carindale, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15-24 and 65-74 age cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.