Gumdale

Gumdale has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, Gumdale's estimated population as of Nov 2025 is around 2,375. This reflects a growth of 77 people since the 2021 Census, which reported 2,298 residents. AreaSearch estimates this based on resident population data from June 2024 and six new addresses validated post-Census. The resulting density is 429 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 54% of recent population gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023 (based on 2021 data) are adopted, applying proportional growth weightings for age cohorts. Projected demographic trends indicate an overall population decline of 54 persons by 2041. However, specific age groups like the 75 to 84 cohort are expected to grow by 62 people during this period.

The level of residential development activity in Gumdale is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Gumdale shows approximately 3 dwellings receiving development approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, about 15 homes were approved, with one more approved so far in FY26. On average, around 0.9 new residents per year have arrived for each new home over these five years, indicating that supply is meeting or exceeding demand, offering greater buyer choice and supporting potential population growth above projections.

The average construction cost value of new dwellings is $1,091,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year has seen $9.1 million in commercial approvals, reflecting Gumdale's primarily residential nature.

Recent building activity consists solely of detached houses, maintaining the area's traditional low-density character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 948 people, suggesting a quiet, low-activity development environment. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Gumdale may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Gumdale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to influence the local area's performance: Greenslopes Private Hospital redevelopment, Wakerley Specialist Centre construction, Brisbane Aquatic Centre upgrades (commencing 2018), Wakerley Park Residential Estate development (scheduled for completion in 2021), and Wakerley Gardens Estate expansion.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Gumdale places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Gumdale has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 0.7%, with an estimated employment growth of 6.5% over the past year.

As of September 2025, 1,498 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 3.3% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation in Gumdale is higher at 73.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Leading employment industries among residents include construction, professional & technical services, and health care & social assistance. Construction is particularly specialized, with an employment share 1.5 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance is under-represented at 11.7% of Gumdale's workforce compared to Greater Brisbane's 16.1%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 6.5%, labour force increased by 6.3%, resulting in a unemployment rate fall of 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane recorded employment growth of 3.8% during the same period. State-level data from QLD to 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.01%, with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that while national employment is projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Gumdale's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The median taxpayer income in Gumdale, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023, is $74,485. The average income stands at $104,135. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median income will be approximately $81,866, and the average will reach around $114,455, based on a 9.91% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. The 2021 Census figures place Gumdale's household, family, and personal incomes between the 89th and 99th percentiles nationally. A significant proportion of residents (40.9%, or 971 people) fall into the $4000+ income bracket, diverging from surrounding regions where the $1,500 - 2,999 category is predominant at 33.3%. This indicates strong economic capacity with 59.0% of residents earning above $3,000 per week. After housing costs, residents retain 88.5% of their income, reflecting robust purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Gumdale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Gumdale, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings including semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. Home ownership stood at 36.3%, with 56.0% of dwellings mortgaged and 7.7% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,669, while the median weekly rent was $585. Nationally, Gumdale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gumdale features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.4 people

Family households constitute 93.5% of all households, including 59.1% couples with children, 22.8% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 6.5%, with lone person households at 5.2% and group households making up 1.0%. The median household size is 3.4 people.

Gumdale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Gumdale is notably high, with 37.9% of residents aged 15 years and over holding university qualifications as of 2021, compared to the SA4 region's 23.7% and Queensland's 25.7%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 26.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 30.0% of residents aged 15 years and over holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 11.7% and certificates for 18.3%. Educational participation is high, with 36.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest available data.

This includes 13.8% in primary education, 11.6% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Gumdale has 14 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by three distinct bus routes that together facilitate 161 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility to these transport services is rated as moderate, with residents on average being located 430 meters away from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are approximately 23 trips across all routes, which translates to about 11 weekly trips per individual bus stop.

Gumdale's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Gumdale shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. Private health cover is high at approximately 68%, compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent conditions are asthma (6.1%) and arthritis (5.3%). 78.6% of residents report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Brisbane's 0%. There are 308 people aged 65 and over (13.0% of the population). Seniors' health outcomes align with those of the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Gumdale was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gumdale had a cultural diversity level above average, with 24.1% of its population born overseas and 15.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Gumdale, accounting for 61.1%. This figure contrasted with None% across Greater Brisbane.

The top three ancestry groups were English (27.1%), Australian (24.9%), and Irish (8.4%). Notably, South African ethnicity was overrepresented at 1.6%, Dutch at 2.0%, and New Zealand at 1.1%.

Gumdale's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Gumdale's median age is 38, which is slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 36 but equal to Australia's 38 years. The 5-14 age group constitutes 19.4% of Gumdale's population, compared to Greater Brisbane's figure, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 4.9%. This concentration in the 5-14 age group is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. Between 2021 and present day, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 2.8% to 4.0% of Gumdale's population. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 6.6% to 4.9%. Looking ahead to the year 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Gumdale's age structure. Notably, the 75 to 84 group is projected to grow by 54%, reaching a population of 146 from its current figure of 95. This aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 71% of the projected growth in Gumdale's population. Conversely, both the 25 to 34 and 0 to 4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.