Gumdale

Gumdale has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of May 2026, Gumdale's population is estimated at around 2,392. This reflects an increase of 94 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,298. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,389 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 6 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 432 persons per square kilometer. Population growth for Gumdale was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 54.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings are applied in line with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data for each age cohort. According to this methodology, projections indicate a decline in overall population by 60 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts like the 75 to 84 group are expected to grow, with an anticipated increase of 46 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Gumdale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Gumdale has seen around 3 dwellings approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Approximately 15 homes were approved between financial years FY-21 and FY-25, with 2 more approved in FY-26. Each new dwelling is estimated to bring about 4.5 new residents per year over the past five financial years.

This suggests supply lagging demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction cost of new dwellings is $1,091,000, indicating a focus on premium market segment properties.

Commercial approvals totalled $9.1 million in FY-26, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. All recent building activity consists of detached houses, maintaining Gumdale's traditional low density character and appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 946 people. Stable or declining population forecasts may alleviate housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Gumdale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Five projects identified by AreaSearch are expected to impact the area significantly, with key projects including Greenslopes Private Hospital expansion, Wakerley Specialist Centre development, Brisbane Aquatic Centre upgrades, Wakerley Park Residential Estate construction, and Wakerley Gardens Estate development. The following list details those projects likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Gumdale places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Gumdale has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 0.7% in the past year, showing a 5.1% employment growth. As of December 2025, 1,469 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.4%, below Greater Brisbane's 4.1%.

Workforce participation was higher at 81.0%. Home work was high at 26.9%. Leading industries included construction, professional & technical services, and health care & social assistance. Construction had a 1.5 times higher share than the regional level, while health care was under-represented at 11.7% compared to Greater Brisbane's 16.1%.

Employment opportunities seemed limited locally based on resident vs working population counts. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment levels increased by 5.1%, labour force by 5.0%, reducing unemployment by 0.1 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane had employment growth of 3.2% and unemployment falling by 0.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's May-25 forecasts suggest national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gumdale's mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Gumdale suburb has a median taxpayer income of $74,485 and an average income of $104,135 based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is notably high compared to Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. By March 2026, current estimates project the median income to be approximately $82,946 and the average income to be around $115,965, factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023. According to 2021 Census figures, Gumdale's household, family, and personal incomes rank high nationally, between the 89th and 99th percentiles. The $4000+ income bracket dominates with 40.9% of residents (978 people), contrasting with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 33.3%. A substantial proportion of high earners (59.0% above $3,000/week) suggests strong economic capacity within the suburb. After housing costs, residents retain 88.5% of their income, indicating robust purchasing power and placing the area's SEIFA income ranking in the 9th decile.

Gumdale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Gumdale's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Brisbane metro had 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Gumdale was at 36.3%, with the rest either mortgaged (56.0%) or rented (7.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,669, exceeding Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $585, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Gumdale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gumdale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 93.5% of all households, including 59.1% couples with children, 22.8% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 6.5%, with lone person households at 5.2% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 3.4 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Gumdale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Gumdale's educational attainment exceeds broader benchmarks significantly. Among residents aged 15+, 37.9% possess university qualifications, compared to the SA4 region's 23.7% and Queensland's 25.7%. This figure is driven by bachelor degrees (26.7%), postgraduate qualifications (9.1%), and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 30.0% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (18.3%).

Educational participation is notably high in Gumdale, with 36.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (13.8%), secondary education (11.6%), and tertiary education (6.4%).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Gumdale has 14 active public transport stops operating, all of which are bus stops. These stops are serviced by three different routes that collectively facilitate 161 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as moderate, with residents typically residing 430 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuters travel outward. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 91% of residents. On average, there are 2.2 vehicles per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 26.9% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 23 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Gumdale's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Gumdale's health outcomes show notable results, according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 68% of Gumdale's total population (1,637 people) have private health cover, which is higher than Greater Brisbane's 55.8% and the national average of 55.7%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions in Gumdale, affecting 6.1 and 5.3% of residents respectively. 78.6% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% across Greater Brisbane. As of 30 September 20XX, 13.5% of Gumdale's residents are aged 65 and over (322 people), which is lower than Greater Brisbane's 15.1%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Gumdale are strong and align with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Gumdale was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gumdale, surveyed in June 2016, exhibited higher cultural diversity than average with 24.1% of its population born overseas and 15.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 61.1% of Gumdale's population, compared to 47.8% in Greater Brisbane as of June 2016. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (27.1%), Australian (24.9%), and Irish (8.4%).

Notably, South Australian ancestry was higher at 1.6% than the regional average of 0.6%, Dutch at 2.0% compared to 1.2%, and New Zealand at 1.1% versus 1.0%.

Gumdale's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Gumdale's median age is 38 years, slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's 36 but equal to Australia's national figure of 38 years. The 5-14 age group makes up 18.9% of Gumdale's population, higher than Greater Brisbane and significantly above the national average of 12.0%. The 25-34 cohort represents 4.9%, lower than both Greater Brisbane and the national figure. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 2.8% to 4.3% of Gumdale's population, while the 25 to 34 cohort has decreased from 6.6% to 4.9%. By 2041, demographic projections show significant shifts in Gumdale's age structure. Notably, the 75 to 84 group is expected to grow by 37%, reaching 141 people from its current figure of 102. The aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above accounting for 70% of projected growth. Conversely, the 55 to 64 and 25 to 34 age groups are anticipated to experience population declines.