Gumdale

Gumdale has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of Gumdale is around 2,382, reflecting a growth of 84 people since the 2021 Census when it had 2,298 residents. This increase represents a 3.7% change and is inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 2,375, based on ABS ERP data released in June 2024, along with validation of six new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 430 persons per square kilometer. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 54.0% of overall gains. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections from 2023, based on 2021 data, are adopted. Age category splits are applied proportionally using ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023, based on 2022 data. Demographic trends indicate a projected decline of 54 persons by 2041, with the population expected to reduce overall according to current methodologies. However, specific age cohorts like the 75 to 84 group are anticipated to grow, with projections suggesting an increase of 62 people in this age bracket.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Gumdale, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Gumdale has seen approximately three dwelling approvals annually based on AreaSearch analysis using statistical area data. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 17 homes received development approval, with none yet in FY-26.

The average new residents per new home over these years is about 0.8. Developers target the premium market segment, with an average dwelling construction cost of $1,230,000.

All approved dwellings are standalone homes, maintaining Gumdale's low-density character and appealing to families seeking space. The estimated population count per dwelling approval is 677 people. Population projections indicate stability or decline, potentially reducing housing demand pressures in the area.

Gumdale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified five potential impact projects: Greenslopes Private Hospital expansion, Wakerley Specialist Centre development, Brisbane Aquatic Centre upgrades, Wakerley Park Residential Estate construction, and Wakerley Gardens Estate development.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Gumdale performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Gumdale has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 0.8% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 5.0% over the past year, according to AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data.

In Gumdale, 1,477 residents were employed while the unemployment rate was 3.3% lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation in Gumdale was 73.2%, compared to Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Key industries of employment among residents were construction, professional & technical, and health care & social assistance. Construction had notable concentration with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average.

Health care & social assistance had limited presence with 11.7% employment compared to 16.1% regionally. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census working population vs resident population comparison. Over a 12-month period, ending June 2025, employment increased by 5.0% and labour force by 4.8%, resulting in unemployment falling by 0.2 percentage points. In Greater Brisbane, employment grew by 4.4%, labour force expanded by 4.0%, and unemployment fell by 0.4 percentage points during the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Gumdale's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.7% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Gumdale had a median taxpayer income of $74,496 and an average of $104,254 based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is notably higher than Greater Brisbane's median income of $55,645 and average income of $70,520. By September 2025, estimates suggest a median income of approximately $84,918 and an average of $118,839, factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022. According to Census 2021 data, Gumdale's incomes rank highly nationally, between the 89th and 99th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. Income analysis reveals that 40.9% of residents (974 people) fall into the $4000+ bracket, differing from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category is dominant at 33.3%. Notably, 59.0% earn above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 88.5% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Gumdale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Gumdale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.3% houses and 0.7% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Brisbane metropolitan area had no recorded houses or other dwellings at that time. Home ownership in Gumdale stood at 36.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 56.0% and rented ones at 7.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,669, aligning with Brisbane metro's average. The median weekly rent figure was $585, unlike Brisbane metro which had no recorded data. Nationally, Gumdale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Gumdale features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 3.4 people

Family households constitute 93.5% of all households, including 59.1% couples with children, 22.8% couples without children, and 10.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 6.5%, with lone person households at 5.2% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 3.4 people.

Gumdale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Gumdale is notably high, with 37.9% of residents aged 15 years and above holding university qualifications compared to the SA4 region's 23.7% and Queensland's 25.7%. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 26.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.1%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 30.0% of residents aged 15 years and above holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas comprise 11.7% and certificates make up 18.3%. Educational participation is high, with 36.3% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 13.8% in primary, 11.6% in secondary, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Gumdale State School serves as the area's anchor educational institution, catering to 1,127 students. The school focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in surrounding areas. With 47.3 school places per 100 residents, Gumdale demonstrates strong educational infrastructure serving both local and surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Gumdale has 14 active public transport stops in operation. These are served by a mix of buses on three different routes, offering a total of 161 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as moderate, with residents typically residing 430 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 23 trips per day across all routes, which equates to about 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Gumdale's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Gumdale shows excellent health outcomes with very low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. Approximately 69% of Gumdale's total population of 1,631 has private health cover, significantly higher than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 6.1% and 5.3% of residents respectively. A majority, 78.6%, report being completely free from medical ailments compared to none in Greater Brisbane. Gumdale has a senior population of 13.0%, or 309 people aged 65 and over. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Gumdale was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Gumdale was found to have above average cultural diversity, with 24.1% of its population born overseas and 15.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The dominant religion in Gumdale is Christianity, comprising 61.1% of the population, compared to None% across Greater Brisbane. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are English (27.1%), Australian (24.9%), and Irish (8.4%).

Notably, South African descent is overrepresented at 1.6%, Dutch at 2.0%, and New Zealand at 1.1%.

Gumdale's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Gumdale's median age is 38, which is slightly higher than Greater Brisbane's figure of 36 but equal to Australia's median age of 38. The 5-14 age group constitutes 19.4% of Gumdale's population, compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 4.8%. This concentration of the 5-14 age group is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. Between 2021 and present, the 75-84 age group has increased from 2.8% to 4.0% of Gumdale's population. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has decreased from 6.6% to 4.8%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Gumdale's age structure. The 75-84 group is projected to grow by 53%, adding 50 people and reaching a total of 146 from the current figure of 95. This aging population trend is evident, with those aged 65 and above comprising 74% of the projected growth. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 0-4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.