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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Manly West has an estimated 12,962 residents, up from 12,436 at the 2021 Census — a change of 526 people, or 4.2%. Growth has averaged 0.5% a year over five years. That puts 2,527 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations combining post-Census validated address counts with broader ABS demographic releases, the suburb of Manly West is projected to reach approximately 12,962 residents as of Aug 2026. Relative to the 12,436 people documented in the 2021 Census, this marks an expansion of 526 people (4.2%). This figure builds on AreaSearch's June 2025 calculation of 12,950 residents derived from ABS ERP releases, alongside 58 validated new addresses registered following the Census. The suburb of Manly West records a population density of 2,526 persons per square kilometer, positioning it within the top quartile among locations nationwide evaluated by AreaSearch.
In recent times, natural increase served as the primary growth catalyst, generating roughly 51.0% of the overall population additions. Projections utilize ABS and Geoscience Australia modelling released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline for each SA2. Where locations lack coverage or for timelines extending beyond 2032, figures incorporate Queensland State Government SA2 projections issued in 2023 from 2021 data. Because state figures do not provide specific age brackets, AreaSearch apportions cohort expansions using weights from the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (issued in 2023 based on 2022 figures). Long-term demographic forecasts place the suburb of Manly West in the lower quartile of nationwide statistical areas, with aggregated SA2 figures projecting an increase of 336 persons by 2041, representing an overall gain of 2.5% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
112 new dwellings have been approved in Manly West over the past five years, an average of 22 a year. That is 1.7 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 22 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 68% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 14, well below that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
AreaSearch's evaluation of ABS building approval records apportioned across statistical units indicates that approximately 22 residential dwellings have been approved annually in Manly West, adding up to roughly 112 dwellings over the past 5 financial years. During FY-25 to date, 14 building approvals have been logged. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 3.2 new residents were added for every home built over the past 5 financial years, highlighting an environment where construction falls well behind demand, typically generating competitive purchasing conditions and upward pressure on prices. Furthermore, new homes carry an average expected construction cost of $661,000, pointing toward developer focus on high-end, premium residential projects.
In addition, $49.6 million worth of commercial building approvals were lodged during this financial year, reflecting considerable local commercial building activity. Residential building volumes in Manly West trail Greater Brisbane substantially, registering 59.0% below the broader metropolitan per-capita benchmark. Such constrained new supply tends to bolster pricing and buyer interest for established stock. Building rates also sit lower than the national figure, underscoring the mature nature of the neighbourhood and hinting at possible urban planning constraints. Recent residential construction consists of 68.0% standalone houses and 32.0% attached dwellings, demonstrating an expanding presence of medium-density formats that diversify accommodation types across varying budgets from traditional houses to compact living. The area registers roughly 861 people per dwelling approval, representative of a built-out environment. Demographic outlooks indicate an addition of 324 residents for Manly West by 2041, based on the most recent AreaSearch quarterly update. Under prevailing construction trends, upcoming residential supply is anticipated to comfortably absorb incoming demand, creating favorable market conditions for purchasers and potentially enabling demographic expansion beyond base expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Manly West
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 5 current infrastructure and development projects inside Manly West, worth an estimated $4 million. A further 56 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $6.66 billion. 14 are already under construction and 18 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, business parks & technology hubs and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local economic and social outcomes are heavily shaped by planning decisions, civic infrastructure developments, and capital works. AreaSearch has pinpointed 15 major projects poised to influence the immediate surroundings. Key initiatives among these include Mayfair Village Shopping Centre Expansion, New Special School on Brisbane's Bayside, Rivermakers Precinct, and Manly Road Residences, with notable undertakings summarized below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Mayfair Village Shopping Centre Expansion
The expansion of Mayfair Village involves a 475sqm addition to the existing neighbourhood shopping centre. The development features a two-level extension in the north-east corner, providing new retail tenancies and a drive-thru facility. The project aims to improve streetscape activation and pedestrian connectivity along Burnett Street while maintaining the existing parking capacity of 348 vehicles.
Wynnum, Manly and Lota Foreshores Master Plan
A 20-year strategic master plan led by Brisbane City Council to renew and rejuvenate the bayside foreshore stretching from Wynnum Creek through to Lota. The plan aims to protect and enhance the heritage values and unique natural features of the foreshore, including Ramsar-listed wetlands, while improving connectivity and creating more opportunities for recreation, relaxation and active healthy lifestyles. Suggestions raised through the initial community engagement included refurbishing public toilets near the Wynnum Wading Pool and Bayside Park, addressing sludge and algae build up, separating cyclist and pedestrian pathways, and revitalising the derelict Greene Park building.Following the Stage 1 community engagement which attracted more than 1,400 responses, Council is preparing the draft master plan for further public consultation, with finalisation scheduled for late 2026.
358 Manly Road Townhouse Development
30 low-medium density townhouses in 8 building groups. Comprises 25 x 3-bedroom and 5 x 2-bedroom units. Designed by Christian Zambelli with communal spaces and visitor parking.
New Special School on Brisbane's Bayside
The Queensland Department of Education has purchased a 2.5 hectare site at 218 Manly Road, Manly West, next to Manly West State School, to plan new special education facilities that will relieve enrolment pressure at Darling Point Special School. Darling Point, a Prep to Year 12 special school on less than one hectare at Upper Esplanade, Manly, has no room to expand due to Moreton Bay and surrounding parkland, and a number of students currently attend a temporary satellite campus at Iona College.The Department was preparing a concept master plan and detailed business case in consultation with local schools, with completion targeted for the end of 2025, ahead of public consultation to inform any future town planning approval. Funding and formal planning approval are still required before construction can commence.
Greenslopes Private Hospital Wakerley Specialist Centre
A new specialist medical facility developed by Ramsay Health Care to serve Brisbane's eastern corridor. The centre provides outpatient clinics, diagnostic imaging, and day procedure services, functioning as an extension of the Greenslopes Private Hospital network to improve local access to specialist care.
Wynnum Plaza Redevelopment
DA approved integrated retail mixed-use redevelopment of Wynnum Plaza by Shayher Group, designed by ZENX Architects. The masterplan covers the existing sub-regional shopping centre site and includes new lifestyle retail precincts, food and beverage areas, residential apartments, commercial space and a cinema, with works planned to be staged so the centre can continue operating.
Manly Road Residences
30 townhouse multiple dwelling project at 358 Manly Road, Manly West. Council records show the key applications for material change of use and operational works have been decided/approved for this site, with Capitalink Pty Limited listed as the primary applicant and Steffan Town Planning as consultant.
Bric Housing Social Housing Development - Wynnum (Emsworth St)
Six-storey social housing development delivering 50 apartments (mix of 1- and 2-bedroom) with rooftop communal space and ground-level landscaping. The project was advanced via a Ministerial Infrastructure Designation (MID) and will be managed by Bric Housing, with Niclin Developments as delivery partner. Site fronts Emsworth St with vehicle access from Henry St, close to Wynnum train station and services.
7,552 residents of Manly West are employed, from a labour force of 7,767. Unemployment sits at 2.8%, with participation at 73.6%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 10,725, about 83% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Manly West maintains a capable workforce with solid representation across key community services, an unemployment rate of only 2.8%, and estimated yearly employment expansion of 3.7% according to AreaSearch's statistical area syntheses. In March 2026, 7,552 local residents were gainfully employed, while local unemployment sat 1.6% lower than the 4.3% recorded across Greater Brisbane, alongside an active participation rate of 73.6% compared to 70.1% regionally. Census returns revealed that a moderate 22.4% of working residents performed their duties from home, an observation influenced in part by Covid-19 restrictions. Resident workers are primarily engaged in health care & social assistance, education & training, and construction.
Nevertheless, health care & social assistance accounts for only 15.2% of positions located within the suburb, trailing the 16.1% benchmark across Greater Brisbane. As reflected in the disparity between the resident labour force and locally based jobs in Census data, this largely suburban community features relatively limited local employment generation. AreaSearch synthesis of ABS and SALM metrics over the twelve months leading to March 2026 reveals that total employment expanded by 3.7% alongside a 4.0% increase in the labour force, yielding a 0.3 percentage points rise in the local unemployment rate. Over the identical timeframe, Greater Brisbane recorded employment gains of 3.2% and labour force expansion of 3.4%, accompanied by a 0.1 percentage points uptick in unemployment. National outlooks from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide additional context on potential medium- to long-term employment shifts in Manly West. Countrywide employment is anticipated to grow by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, though sector-specific trajectories diverge substantially. Extrapolating these broader industry forecasts onto the existing local workforce profile suggests employment for Manly West could expand by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, representing a simple proportional model for illustrative purposes that excludes localised population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Manly West is $2,039 a week (about $106,000 a year), with median personal income at $897 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $60,157 a year against an average of $77,757. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxation records compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 demonstrate that personal earnings in Manly West rank in the upper tier nationally. The median taxpayer income is $60,157 and the average reaches $77,757, outperforming the Greater Brisbane medians of $58,236 and $72,799 respectively. Adjusted for cumulative Wage Price Index gains of 11.36% since financial year 2023, updated estimates reach approximately $66,991 for median income and $86,590 for average income as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census, individual, household, and family remuneration in Manly West clusters near the 66th percentile across Australia.
The most common weekly earning band is $1,500 - 2,999, capturing 30.3% of the community (3,927 people) against 33.3% across the greater region. High-income earners form a prominent component, with 30.3% earning over $3,000 weekly, highlighting substantial discretionary spending capacity. Following accommodation payments, households retain 84.9% of income for living requirements, placing the district in the 7th decile on the SEIFA income distribution.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Manly West had 4,589 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 78% detached houses and 1% apartments. 43% are owned with a mortgage, 24% rented and 33% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $430 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,053 a month. Rent absorbs 21.1% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.2%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, the local housing stock comprised 78.1% standalone houses and 21.9% other dwellings such as apartments and townhouses, differing from the Brisbane metro distribution of 73.5% separate houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Outright home ownership stood at 32.9%, significantly above the Brisbane metro average, while 43.4% of properties were being purchased with a mortgage and 23.7% were tenanted. Monthly mortgage commitments carried a median of $2,053, substantially higher than the Brisbane metro benchmark of $1,863, whereas weekly rental payments averaged $430 compared to $380 regionally. On a nationwide basis, local mortgage repayments considerably outpace the Australian median of $1,863, with local rents also resting substantially above the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Manly West counted 4,589 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.6 people each. 37% are couples with children, against 26% couples without children. 21% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute the predominant living arrangement, accounting for 76.6% of households, which breaks down into 36.8% couples with children, 26.0% couples without children, and 12.8% single parent families. Non-family living situations make up 23.4%, comprising single-person households at 21.4% and shared group residences at 1.9%. The median household size stands at 2.6 people, identical to the Greater Brisbane average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
27.5% of adults in Manly West hold a university qualification, including 18.9% with a bachelor degree and 5.6% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 76% of areas nationally. A further 24.0% hold a vocational qualification. 4 schools serve the area, with 2,712 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,076 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Attainment of higher education credentials in Manly West is strong, with 27.5% of residents aged 15+ holding a tertiary qualification compared to 23.7% across the broader SA4 region. Bachelor degrees represent 18.9%, postgraduate degrees account for 5.6%, and graduate diplomas comprise 3.0%. Vocational training also forms an important pillar of local qualifications, as 35.9% of residents aged 15+ possess vocational accreditations, divided into advanced diplomas (11.9%) and certificates (24.0%). Engagement with the education sector is substantial, with 29.6% of the population actively enrolled in an educational institution. Specifically, 10.7% attend primary schooling, 9.4% are in secondary education, and 4.5% are undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Manly West means driving: households keep an average of 1.5 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.6% of residents in Manly West report no long-term health condition. 5.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 58.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health measures in Manly West point toward lower-than-average outcomes according to AreaSearch evaluations of chronic condition incidence and mortality statistics. Overall chronic condition prevalence is generally typical among the general population but elevated among mature age groups, while private health insurance adoption is pronounced at approximately 58% of all residents (~7,519 people), outperforming the 55.8% figure recorded across Greater Brisbane. The most prevalent chronic health issues among residents are arthritis and asthma, affecting 8.4 and 7.7% of the community respectively, while 68.6% reported having no long-term medical conditions compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane.
Working-age cohorts exhibit typical health patterns. Older residents aged 65 and over account for 19.0% of the population (2,462 people), higher than the 15.0% proportion across Greater Brisbane, with senior cohorts facing health challenges that rank below national averages.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Manly West is largely Australian-born, at 78.2% of residents, with 9.0% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.1%) and Australian (24.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural and demographic metrics in Manly West align closely with wider regional figures, with 78.2% of residents born in Australia, 88.8% holding Australian citizenship, and 91.0% communicating solely in English at home. Christianity constitutes the predominant religious affiliation, encompassing 55.1% of the local population in comparison to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. Looking at parental background and ancestry, the three most prominent heritages in Manly West are English (31.1%), Australian (24.4%), and Irish (9.9%). Minor concentrations of other specific ancestries are also evident, including New Zealand heritage at 1.2% (against 1.0% regionally), Maori ancestry at 1.1% (vs 1.1%), and South Australian background at 0.8% (compared to 0.6%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Manly West is 41. 21.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Age distributions across Manly West closely mirror Greater Brisbane, with the most pronounced difference among the four main brackets reaching 8.1 percentage points. AreaSearch calculates the local median age at 41 as at August 2026, holding steady from the 2021 Census and remaining 5 years older than the Greater Brisbane median of 36 recorded during that Census. Since that period, the proportion of young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) has declined from 24.4% to an estimated 22.5%. Heading toward 2041, expansion will be heavily driven by retirees and seniors (65+), adding 880 residents (36%) to reach 3,343, whereas young to middle aged adults, children, and young adults are forecast to see decreases.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Manly West
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 3 months ago all 5 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 58 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (12,436 at the 2021 Census → 12,962 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL31749). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.