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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Manly West has an estimated 12,390 residents, up from 11,860 at the 2021 Census — a change of 530 people, or 4.5%. Growth has averaged 0.6% a year over five years. That puts 2,523 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research from AreaSearch, the resident count in Manly West stands at approximately 12,390 as of Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 530 residents (4.5%) relative to the 11,860 individuals documented in the 2021 Census. This adjustment stems from an ABS estimated resident population figure of 12,380 recorded in June 2025, alongside 57 validated new addresses registered following the census benchmark. With 2,523 persons per square kilometer, the locality exhibits a density profile placing it within the upper quartile among nationwide benchmarks evaluated by AreaSearch. Furthermore, the local 4.5% post-census expansion trails the broader SA3 figure (7.2%) by only 2.7 percentage points, reflecting resilient local dynamics.
The primary engine of demographic expansion has been international migration, which accounted for roughly 60.0% of recent population additions. Projections for each SA2 district rely on ABS/Geoscience Australia models published in 2024 using 2022 as a starting baseline. Whenever SA2 areas fall outside this series, or for timeframes beyond 2032, Queensland State Government SA2 forecasts issued in 2023 utilizing 2021 numbers are incorporated. Because these state figures do not break down age brackets, AreaSearch applies proportional adjustments matching the ABS Greater Capital Region forecasts (published in 2023, utilizing 2022 benchmarks) across each age band. Looking ahead, future population trends are expected to track within the lower quartile of statistical zones nationally, with the district projected to add 168 persons by 2041 according to current annual ERP statistics, denoting an overall rise of 1.3% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
110 new dwellings have been approved in Manly West over the past five years, an average of 22 a year. That is 1.8 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 22 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 68% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential planning approvals across Manly West have averaged roughly 22 dwellings annually, totaling 110 residential units authorized over the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26). Given that an average of 3.2 individuals arrived in the suburb for each new home built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26), structural demand continues to outstrip incoming supply, typically placing upward pressure on property values and intensifying buyer competition, with incoming stock reporting an expected average construction cost of $500,000. Additionally, commercial sector development authorizations reached $49.6 million throughout the current financial year, signaling strong local commercial confidence.
Residential building volumes in Manly West trail Greater Brisbane substantially, registering 57.0% below the regional per capita benchmark. This constrained delivery of new dwellings generally underpins buyer interest and pricing for established properties. Activity is similarly below nationwide levels, underscoring the mature character of the suburb and pointing to possible planning constraints. Of all new residential approvals, 68.0% comprise detached houses while 32.0% represent medium and high-density formats, expanding medium-density housing opportunities across various price points from standalone family properties to entry-level compact options. The suburb maintains around 827 persons for every approved dwelling, highlighting its established market status. Over the period extending to 2041, Manly West is projected to welcome 158 additional inhabitants based on the latest quarterly calculations from AreaSearch. Considering ongoing construction trajectories, local dwelling completions appear well placed to absorb projected demand, providing favorable purchasing conditions and potentially enabling demographic gains beyond existing baseline expectations.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Manly West
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 6 current infrastructure and development projects inside Manly West, worth an estimated $59 million. A further 85 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $9.18 billion. 19 are already under construction and 33 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and business parks & technology hubs. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Community momentum and real estate trends are heavily shaped by civil infrastructure works, master planning, and capital projects. AreaSearch has pinpointed 15 specific developments positioned to influence the local area. Notable undertakings include the Mayfair Village Shopping Centre Expansion, the New Special School on Brisbane's Bayside, the Rivermakers Precinct, and the Manly Road Residences, with details on the most prominent initiatives outlined below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Mayfair Village Shopping Centre Expansion
The expansion of Mayfair Village involves a 475sqm addition to the existing neighbourhood shopping centre. The development features a two-level extension in the north-east corner, providing new retail tenancies and a drive-thru facility. The project aims to improve streetscape activation and pedestrian connectivity along Burnett Street while maintaining the existing parking capacity of 348 vehicles.
358 Manly Road Townhouse Development
30 low-medium density townhouses in 8 building groups. Comprises 25 x 3-bedroom and 5 x 2-bedroom units. Designed by Christian Zambelli with communal spaces and visitor parking.
New Special School on Brisbane's Bayside
The Queensland Department of Education has purchased a 2.5 hectare site at 218 Manly Road, Manly West, next to Manly West State School, to plan new special education facilities that will relieve enrolment pressure at Darling Point Special School. Darling Point, a Prep to Year 12 special school on less than one hectare at Upper Esplanade, Manly, has no room to expand due to Moreton Bay and surrounding parkland, and a number of students currently attend a temporary satellite campus at Iona College.The Department was preparing a concept master plan and detailed business case in consultation with local schools, with completion targeted for the end of 2025, ahead of public consultation to inform any future town planning approval. Funding and formal planning approval are still required before construction can commence.
Greenslopes Private Hospital Wakerley Specialist Centre
A new specialist medical facility developed by Ramsay Health Care to serve Brisbane's eastern corridor. The centre provides outpatient clinics, diagnostic imaging, and day procedure services, functioning as an extension of the Greenslopes Private Hospital network to improve local access to specialist care.
Wynnum Plaza Redevelopment
DA approved integrated retail mixed-use redevelopment of Wynnum Plaza by Shayher Group, designed by ZENX Architects. The masterplan covers the existing sub-regional shopping centre site and includes new lifestyle retail precincts, food and beverage areas, residential apartments, commercial space and a cinema, with works planned to be staged so the centre can continue operating.
Manly Road Residences
30 townhouse multiple dwelling project at 358 Manly Road, Manly West. Council records show the key applications for material change of use and operational works have been decided/approved for this site, with Capitalink Pty Limited listed as the primary applicant and Steffan Town Planning as consultant.
Bric Housing Social Housing Development - Wynnum (Emsworth St)
Six-storey social housing development delivering 50 apartments (mix of 1- and 2-bedroom) with rooftop communal space and ground-level landscaping. The project was advanced via a Ministerial Infrastructure Designation (MID) and will be managed by Bric Housing, with Niclin Developments as delivery partner. Site fronts Emsworth St with vehicle access from Henry St, close to Wynnum train station and services.
Crawford Road Social Housing and Subdivision
Development of 6 Platinum and Gold level social housing units alongside a 20-lot freehold residential subdivision in Wynnum West. The project is being delivered in partnership with the National Affordable Housing Consortium and the Queensland Department of Housing.
7,323 residents of Manly West are employed, from a labour force of 7,525. Unemployment sits at 2.7%, with participation at 74.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 9,815, about 79% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Manly West benefits from a highly capable labor force with substantial representation across critical services sectors, maintaining a jobless rate of merely 2.7% and recording a 3.7% expansion in estimated employment across the preceding year. There are 7,323 working locals as of March 2026, with local unemployment sitting 1.6% below the 4.3% recorded across Greater Brisbane, alongside an active labor participation rate of 74.8% (outperforming the Greater Brisbane mark of 70.1%). Furthermore, Census records indicate that 22.4% of employed residents conducted their work from home, a figure influenced by prevailing Covid-19 restrictions.
Major industries employing local residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, along with construction. In contrast, health care & social assistance remains slightly underrepresented locally at 15.3% compared to the regional benchmark of 16.1%. Given the comparison between Census daytime workers and total resident labor force, this predominantly suburban locality provides a relatively small volume of internal local jobs. Analysis by AreaSearch incorporating SALM and ABS statistics reveals that over a 12-month span, local employment expanded by 3.7% while the overall workforce grew by 4.0%, leading to an increase in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. Across Greater Brisbane over the same timeframe, jobs increased by 3.2%, labor supply grew by 3.4%, and the jobless metric rose 0.1 percentage points. National workforce projections from Jobs and Skills Australia as of Mar-26 provide additional context regarding future employment trends for Manly West. These five and ten-year outlooks have been aligned with local industry distributions to estimate potential trajectory paths. Nationwide employment is anticipated to increase by 6.6% across five years and 13.7% across ten years, with distinct variations across different sectors. Applying these industry sector weightings directly to the local workforce composition implies an employment expansion in Manly West of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years (note that this represents a direct proportional calculation for modeling and excludes localized population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Manly West is $2,117 a week (about $110,000 a year), with median personal income at $919 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $64,404 a year against an average of $84,352. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Latest postcode ATO figures compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicate that taxpayers across the Manly West SA2 earn a median income of $64,404 and an average income of $84,352. These figures position the suburb significantly above national norms, comparing favorably against the Greater Brisbane median of $58,236 and average of $72,799. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, updated figures reach roughly $71,720 for median earnings and $93,934 for average earnings as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census reveals that household, family, and individual income levels across Manly West sit around the 71st percentile across Australia.
In terms of earnings distribution, the largest segment comprises 31.4% of residents (3,890 people) within the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, closely tracking the metropolitan share of 33.3%. Overall local purchasing power remains elevated, with 31.5% of earners receiving over $3,000 weekly, fostering demand for higher-end retail and commercial services. Housing expenses account for 14.7% of total earnings, with solid wages elevating local disposable income to the 75th percentile and securing a SEIFA income placement in the 7th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Manly West had 4,303 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 81% detached houses and 1% apartments. 44% are owned with a mortgage, 23% rented and 32% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $435 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,050 a month. Rent absorbs 20.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 22.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census, the housing composition in Manly West consisted of 80.6% standalone houses alongside 19.4% alternative dwelling formats (such as semi-detached residences, flats, and other configurations), whereas metropolitan Brisbane recorded 73.5% detached homes and 26.5% other formats. Outright homeownership was also higher than the metropolitan benchmark, sitting at 32.2%, while remaining homes were under an active mortgage (44.4%) or rented (23.4%). Monthly mortgage commitments averaged a median of $2,050, visibly higher than the Brisbane metro norm of $1,863, with weekly median rents reaching $435 against $380 regionally.
Relative to Australia-wide benchmarks, Manly West mortgage payments exceed the national median of $1,863, and weekly rents stand comfortably above the nationwide median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Manly West counted 4,303 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.7 people each. 38% are couples with children, against 27% couples without children. 19% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.6 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The domestic landscape is predominantly composed of family arrangements, which account for 78.7% of households. These include couples with children at 38.2%, couples without children at 26.5%, and single parent families representing 13.0%. Non-family setups constitute the remaining 21.3%, with single-person residences making up 19.1% and shared group dwellings accounting for 2.0%. The typical household size stands at 2.7 residents, slightly above the Greater Brisbane mark of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
27.5% of adults in Manly West hold a university qualification, including 19.0% with a bachelor degree and 5.6% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 75% of areas nationally. A further 24.1% hold a vocational qualification. 4 schools serve the area, with 2,712 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,076 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary attainment within Manly West (held by 27.5% of individuals aged 15+) surpasses the regional SA4 level of 23.7%, reflecting strong educational standing within the wider territory. Bachelor qualifications represent the primary award at 19.0%, accompanied by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.9%). Vocational training is also prominent across the community, with 36.2% of residents aged 15+ holding technical certifications, including advanced diplomas (12.1%) and standard certificates (24.1%). Participation in formal learning across the suburb is extensive, with 29.6% of the population attending an educational institution. This proportion comprises 10.6% enrolled in primary education, 9.3% in secondary education, and 4.5% undertaking tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Manly West means driving: households keep an average of 1.6 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
69.1% of residents in Manly West report no long-term health condition. 5.0% need daily assistance with core activities, and 61.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health metrics in Manly West remain favorable overall based on AreaSearch evaluations of general mortality figures and chronic disease incidence. General community rates of common ailments remain muted, although elevated levels appear within older demographic cohorts, while private healthcare coverage is exceptionally strong, encompassing approximately 62% of all residents (7,632 people). By comparison, coverage stands at 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and 55.7% across the country. Arthritis and asthma constitute the most frequently diagnosed chronic ailments in the suburb, affecting 8.0 and 7.8% of individuals, respectively. At the same time, 69.1% of residents reported having no diagnosed chronic medical conditions, closely matching the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 69.2%.
General health standards across the working-age population align with broad expectations. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 17.8% of the community (2,202 people), exceeding the 15.0% regional proportion in Greater Brisbane. While health indicators among elderly cohorts present certain difficulties, the wider community continues to record favorable outcomes relative to national standards.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Manly West is largely Australian-born, at 78.3% of residents, with 9.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.0%) and Australian (24.4%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural background measures in Manly West closely reflect wider regional averages, with 78.3% of the community born in Australia, 89.0% holding Australian citizenship, and 90.9% communicating exclusively in English at home. Christianity represents the most widespread faith, accounting for 54.9% of residents in Manly West compared with 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. Looking at parental heritage, the three most common ancestries identified across Manly West are English at 31.0% of the populace, Australian at 24.4%, and Irish at 9.9%. Other distinctive cultural representations include residents of New Zealand heritage at 1.2% (against 1.0% across the region), Maori heritage at 1.1% (matching 1.1% regionally), and South Australian background at 0.8% (relative to 0.6% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Manly West is 40. 21.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Age structures across Manly West correlate strongly with Greater Brisbane across broad cohorts, with the largest divergence across the four main divisions measuring 7.9 percentage points. The estimated median age reaches 40 as at August 2026, remaining stable from the 2021 Census and sitting 4 years higher than the Greater Brisbane median of 36 recorded at that Census. Since that time, the share of young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) has declined from 24.7% to an estimated 22.6%. The most substantial demographic expansion projected through to 2041 will occur across the senior population (65+), growing by 719 residents (33%) to reach 2,922.
Conversely, young to middle aged adults are expected to experience a reduction over this timeframe, alongside contractions in child and young adult age segments.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Manly West
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 3 months ago all 6 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 57 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (11,860 at the 2021 Census → 12,390 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (301031016). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.