Carindale

Carindale is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of Australian Bureau of Statistics (ABS) population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Carindale's population is estimated at around 17,478 as of November 2025. This reflects an increase of 943 people (5.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,535 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 17,397, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest Estimated Resident Population data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 146 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,641 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 86.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Considering the projected demographic shifts, over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the suburb's population expected to shrink by 246 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 723 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Carindale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Carindale shows around 77 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 389 homes were approved, with an additional 5 approved so far in FY-26. Over the past five financial years, there was an average of 1.3 new residents per year arriving for each new home. However, recent data shows this has increased to 17.9 people per dwelling over the past two financial years.

Development projects have an average construction value of $879,000, indicating a focus on premium market segments with higher-end properties. This year, there have been $188,000 in commercial development approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Recent construction comprises 20% detached houses and 80% attached dwellings, reflecting a trend towards denser development to cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a significant change from the current housing mix of 89% houses, likely due to reduced availability of development sites and shifting lifestyle demands.

With around 1045 people per dwelling approval, Carindale reflects a highly mature market with stable or declining population forecasts, potentially leading to less housing pressure and favourable conditions for buyers in the future.

Carindale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 16 projects likely to impact the region. Notable projects include Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment, Fairway Carindale Stage 2, Citipointe Christian College Master Plan Redevelopment, and Wecker Road Markets. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market strength in Carindale positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Carindale has a highly educated workforce with professional services being well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% in the past year, showing an estimated employment growth of 1.7%.

As of June 2025, there were 9,502 residents employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.4%, which is below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%. Workforce participation was on par with Greater Brisbane at 64.5%. The dominant employment sectors among residents included health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. There was a particularly strong specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share of 1.3 times the regional level.

However, construction had limited presence, with only 7.0% employment compared to the regional average of 9.0%. The area appeared to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. In the 12-month period ending June 2025, employment increased by 1.7%, while labour force grew by 1.9%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.2 percentage points. This contrasted with Greater Brisbane, where employment grew by 4.4%, labour force expanded by 4.0%, and unemployment fell by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggested that national employment was projected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Carindale's employment mix indicated that local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, although this was a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and did not take into account localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Carindale had a median taxpayer income of $63,968 and an average of $85,552 according to AreaSearch's aggregation of postcode level ATO data for the financial year 2022. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's median income of $55,645 and average income of $70,520. As of September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $72,917 (median) and $97,521 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 86th percentile with $2,375 weekly income. The predominant income cohort in Carindale spans 25.7% of locals (4,491 people) earning over $4,000 annually, contrasting with Greater Brisbane where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 33.3%. Economic strength is evident through 39.9% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.8% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Carindale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Carindale, as per the latest Census, 88.8% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 11.1% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. Brisbane metropolitan area had 0.0% houses and other dwellings respectively. Home ownership in Carindale was 47.3%, compared to mortgaged (37.4%) and rented (15.4%) dwellings. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,400, matching Brisbane metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $530, unlike Brisbane metro which recorded $0 for both figures. Nationally, Carindale's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,400 compared to Australia's average of $1,863. Similarly, rents in Carindale were substantially higher at $530 than the national figure of $375.

Carindale features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.8 people

Family households constitute 80.5% of all households, including 43.3% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 19.5%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people.

Carindale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Carindale's educational attainment is notably higher than broader benchmarks. As of 2016 data, 41.5% of residents aged 15+ have university qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland and 30.4% nationally. The area has a substantial educational advantage with bachelor degrees leading at 27.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 25.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas accounting for 10.9% and certificates for 14.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the same year. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education. Carindale's three schools had a combined enrollment of 2,924 students in 2017. The area demonstrates significant socio-educational advantages with an ICSEA score of 1104, indicating high academic achievement. The educational mix includes two primary schools and one K-12 school. As of 2018 data, the area has a strong educational infrastructure with 16.7 school places per 100 residents, serving both local and surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows 85 active transport stops in Carindale, all bus stops. They are serviced by 26 routes, providing a total of 4,218 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 214 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 602 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Carindale is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Carindale shows better-than-average health outcomes for both younger and older age groups, with low prevalence rates for common conditions. Private health cover is high here at approximately 61% of the total population (10,679 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.3%) and asthma (6.3%). A majority, 72%, report no medical ailments, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's 0%. There are 22.5% seniors aged 65 and over (3,932 people). Health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's profile, both being above average.

Carindale is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Carindale's population shows high cultural diversity, with 34.7% born overseas and 29.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, at 60.4%, compared to none specified for Greater Brisbane. The top three ancestral groups are English (22.3%), Australian (19.0%), and Other (9.7%).

Notably, Russian (0.8%) and South African (1.2%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Carindale compared to the regional average of none specified. Korean ethnicity is also notable at 1.2%, with no regional comparison provided.

Carindale hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Carindale is 43 years, significantly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years, and also older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age group constitutes 11.4% of the population in Carindale, compared to a lower percentage in Greater Brisbane. Meanwhile, the 25-34 age group makes up 7.7% of Carindale's population, which is less than the average for Greater Brisbane. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 6.5% to 8.1% of the population in Carindale. Conversely, the 55 to 64 age group has decreased from 14.0% to 12.5%, and the 25 to 34 age group has dropped from 8.8% to 7.7%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Carindale, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 45% (642 people), reaching a total of 2,058 from 1,415. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 92% of the total population growth in Carindale, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15 to 24 and 65 to 74 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.