Carindale

Carindale is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As per ABS population updates for the broader area and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the suburb of Carindale's estimated population is around 17,429 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 894 people (5.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,535. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimated resident population of 17,427 based on their examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 112 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,636 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 86.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary growth for the area.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; thus, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 and based on 2022 data for each age cohort. Considering projected demographic shifts, over this period, the suburb's population is expected to decline by 346 persons by 2041 according to these projections. However, specific age cohorts are anticipated to grow, led by the 75 to 84 age group with a projected increase of 652 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Carindale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Carindale saw approximately 77 new homes approved annually, with around 389 homes approved between FY-21 and FY-25, and 8 more in FY-26. On average, about 1.3 new residents arrived per new home over the past five financial years. However, this figure increased to 17.7 people per dwelling over the last two years. Development projects averaged $879,000 in construction value.

This year, $14.4 million in commercial development approvals were recorded. Recent construction comprised 20% detached houses and 80% attached dwellings. Currently, around 89% of homes are houses, indicating a shift towards denser development to cater to various buyer segments. With approximately 1046 people per dwelling approval, Carindale reflects a mature market with stable population forecasts, suggesting less housing pressure in the future.

Given stable or declining population forecasts, Carindale may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Carindale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified a total of 15 projects that are expected to impact the area significantly due to their influence on local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Among these key projects are Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment, Fairway Carindale Stage 2, Wecker Road Markets, and Citipointe Christian College Master Plan Redevelopment. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The exceptional employment performance in Carindale places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Carindale has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 1.7% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.2%. As of December 2025, there were 9,649 residents employed, and the unemployment rate was 2.5 percentage points lower than Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.1%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Brisbane's 69.6%. A moderate 24.7% of residents worked from home, considering Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area specializes in professional & technical jobs with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level, while construction has limited presence at 7.0% compared to the regional average of 9.0%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by the working population count versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 2.2%, and labour force grew by 2.6%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.3 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.2% and labour force expand by 3.0%, with a decrease in unemployment of 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Carindale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of Carindale, based on latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch, shows a median taxpayer income of $63,968 and an average of $85,552 for the financial year 2023. This is notably higher than Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799 during the same period. Considering a Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for March 2026 would be approximately $71,235 (median) and $95,271 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, household incomes in Carindale rank at the 86th percentile with a weekly income of $2,375. The predominant income cohort spans 25.7% of locals (4,479 people) earning more than $4,000 per week, contrasting with Greater Brisbane where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 33.3%. Economic strength is evident with 39.9% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.8% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Carindale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Carindale, evaluated at the latest Census, consisted of 88.8% houses and 11.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Brisbane metro's 78.2% houses and 21.8% other dwellings. Home ownership in Carindale stood at 47.3%, with the remaining dwellings either mortgaged (37.4%) or rented (15.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,400, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $530, compared to Brisbane metro's $380 and the national average of $375. Nationally, Carindale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure.

Carindale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households compose 80.5% of all households, including 43.3% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for 19.5%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Carindale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Carindale is notably high, with 41.5% of residents aged 15+ having university qualifications as of the latest data point. This compares to 25.7% in Queensland and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are most common at 27.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 11.0% and graduate diplomas at 3.4%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 14.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest figures available. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Carindale has 83 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 25 different routes that together facilitate 4,164 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility in the area is rated as good, with residents typically located 216 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most residents commute outward. The car remains the primary mode of transportation, used by 86% of residents, while only 9% use public buses. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling in Carindale, which is above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 24.7% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 594 trips per day, equating to approximately 50 weekly trips per individual stop.

Carindale's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows notable results for Carindale based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Younger cohorts particularly have a very low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of the total population (10,649 people), compared to 55.8% across Greater Brisbane and 55.7% nationally.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and asthma, affecting 7.3 and 6.3% of residents respectively, while 72.0% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 69.2% in Greater Brisbane. Working-age residents have low chronic condition prevalence. Carindale has 23.4% of residents aged 65 and over (4,078 people), higher than the 15.1% in Greater Brisbane. Health outcomes among seniors are above average but rank lower nationally compared to the broader population.

Carindale was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Carindale's population shows high cultural diversity, with 34.7% born overseas and 29.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Carindale, accounting for 60.4%, compared to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. The top three ancestry groups are English (22.3%), Australian (19.0%), and Other (9.7%).

Notably, Russian (0.8%) and South Australian (1.2%) ethnicities are overrepresented in Carindale compared to regional averages of 0.3% and 0.6%, respectively. Korean ethnicity is also notably higher at 1.2%.

Carindale hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Carindale is 43 years, significantly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years, and also older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 65-74 age group makes up 11.6% of the population in Carindale, which is higher compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 age group is less prevalent at 8.0%. According to data from the post-2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 6.5% to 8.6% of the population. Conversely, the 55 to 64 age group has decreased from 14.0% to 12.5%, and the 45 to 54 age group has dropped from 14.1% to 13.0%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Carindale, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 38%, reaching 2,068 people from 1,498. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 92% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15 to 24 and 65 to 74 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.