Carindale

Carindale is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of Feb 2026 the suburb of Carindale's population is estimated at around 17,401. This reflects an increase of 866 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,535. The change is inferred from the resident population of 17,396, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, and an additional 147 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,633 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 86.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits, so AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Considering these projected demographic shifts, over this period, projections indicate a decline in overall population by 247 persons by 2041 according to this methodology. However, growth across specific age cohorts is anticipated, led by the 75 to 84 age group, which is projected to increase by 723 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Carindale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Carindale shows around 77 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, approximately 389 homes were approved, with a further six approved so far in FY26. On average, about 1.3 new residents per year arrived for each new home over these five years. However, recent data indicates this has increased to 17.9 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, suggesting growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

The average construction value of development projects in Carindale is $879,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This year alone, $14.4 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, demonstrating steady commercial investment activity. Recent construction comprises 20% detached houses and 80% attached dwellings, reflecting a trend towards denser development that caters to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This shift marks a significant change from the current housing mix of 89% houses, likely due to reduced availability of development sites and evolving lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

With around 1045 people per dwelling approval, Carindale exhibits a highly mature market. Given stable or declining population forecasts, Carindale may experience less housing pressure in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Carindale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of sixteen projects that are expected to impact the area. Notable projects include Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment, Fairway Carindale Stage 2, Wecker Road Markets, and Citipointe Christian College Master Plan Redevelopment. The following list details those projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market strength in Carindale positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Carindale has an educated workforce with significant professional services representation. Its unemployment rate is 1.7%. Over the past year, it maintained relative employment stability.

As of September 2025, 9442 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.3%, lower than Greater Brisbane's 4.0%. Workforce participation is slightly below standard at 67.4%. According to Census data, 24.7% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Prominent employment sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training.

Carindale specializes in professional & technical jobs, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. However, construction has limited presence at 7.0% compared to the regional 9.0%. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the working population versus resident population count. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 0.3%, labour force by 0.5%, and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.8% and unemployment fall by 0.5%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Carindale's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Carindale suburb shows median taxpayer income $63,968 and average $85,552 in latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is high nationally compared to Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 are approximately $70,307 (median) and $94,030 (average). According to 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank at the 86th percentile with weekly earnings of $2,375. Income distribution shows 25.7% of locals (4,472 people) in the $4000+ category, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's leading bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 at 33.3%. Economic strength is evident with 39.9% of households earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.8% of income, indicating strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Carindale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Carindale's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.8% houses and 11.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Brisbane metro's 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Carindale stood at 47.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.4% and rented ones at 15.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,400, higher than Brisbane metro's average of $1,863. Median weekly rent in Carindale was $530, compared to Brisbane metro's $380. Nationally, Carindale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,400 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Carindale features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.5% of all households, including 43.3% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.5%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Brisbane average of 2.6.

Carindale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational attainment in Carindale is notably high, with 41.5% of residents aged 15 years and above holding university qualifications as of the latest data. This compares to 25.7% in Queensland (QLD) and 30.4% nationally. Bachelor degrees are most common at 27.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 11.0% and graduate diplomas at 3.4%. Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 25.1% of residents holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 14.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in primary education, 8.8% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Carindale has 83 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 25 different routes that together facilitate 4,164 weekly passenger trips. Transport access in the area is rated as good, with residents typically living within 216 meters of their nearest stop. As a predominantly residential region, most commuters travel outward from Carindale. The car remains the primary mode of transport at 86%, while buses account for 9%. On average, each dwelling owns 1.7 vehicles, which is higher than the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 24.7% of residents work from home, a figure that may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 594 trips per day, equating to approximately 50 weekly trips per stop.

Carindale's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows notable results for Carindale, with AreaSearch's assessment indicating low mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, particularly among younger residents. Approximately 61% of Carindale's total population (10,632 people) has private health cover, compared to 55.8% in Greater Brisbane and the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.3%) and asthma (6.3%), while 72.0% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, higher than the 69.2% across Greater Brisbane.

Working-age residents display low chronic condition prevalence. Carindale has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 23.1% (4,019 people), compared to 15.2% in Greater Brisbane. While health outcomes among seniors are above average, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

Carindale was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Carindale has a high cultural diversity, with 34.7% of its population born overseas and 29.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Carindale, accounting for 60.4% of the population, compared to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. The top three ancestry groups are English (22.3%), Australian (19.0%), and Other (9.7%).

Notably, Russian (0.8%) is overrepresented in Carindale compared to the regional average of 0.3%. South African (1.2%) and Korean (1.2%) also have higher representation than the region's averages of 0.6% and 0.5%, respectively.

Carindale hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Carindale is 43 years, significantly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 and Australia's average of 38. The 65-74 age group comprises 11.5% of the population, compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 7.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows the 75 to 84 age group grew from 6.5% to 8.5%, the 55 to 64 cohort declined from 14.0% to 12.4%, and the 25 to 34 group decreased from 8.8% to 7.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the 85+ age group expected to grow by 108% (from 539 to 1,123 people). The combined 65+ age groups will account for 92% of total population growth, reflecting Carindale's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15 to 24 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.