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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Carindale has an estimated 17,429 residents, up from 16,535 at the 2021 Census — a change of 894 people, or 5.4%. Growth has averaged 0.6% a year over five years. 114 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 86.0% of that increase. That puts 1,637 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations integrating ABS regional population figures with 114 validated new addresses added post-Census, the suburb of Carindale is recorded at approximately 17,429 residents as of Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 894 people (5.4%) compared to the 16,535 people documented in the 2021 Census, aligning closely with an estimated resident population count of 17,427 derived from ABS ERP releases through June 2025. With a population density of 1,636 persons per square kilometer, the suburb sits above broad national averages tracked by AreaSearch. Inbound international arrivals served as the principal growth catalyst, accounting for roughly 86.0% of recent population gains in the suburb of Carindale.
Demographic modeling for the suburb of Carindale utilises ABS/Geoscience Australia SA2 projections published in 2024 (using a 2022 baseline), supplemented for non-covered locations and post-2032 horizons by 2023 Queensland State Government projections based on 2021 numbers. Because state projections omit age breakdowns, proportional cohort distributions from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region data (2022 baseline) are applied. Under this forecasting approach, the overall head count is projected to contract by 329 persons by 2041. In contrast to broad declines, mature age brackets are expected to rise, prominently within the 75 to 84 age group which is forecast to gain 638 people. Details regarding age distributions can be reviewed in the age section.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
391 new dwellings have been approved in Carindale over the past five years, an average of 78 a year. That places the area in the 57th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 4 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 96 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 19% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 110, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
ABS residential approval data compiled by AreaSearch shows the suburb of Carindale averaging roughly 78 dwellings granted approval each year, totaling approximately 391 homes over the 5 financial years spanning FY-21 through FY-25, alongside 110 recorded during FY-25 to date. With an average influx of 1 new residents per year per dwelling constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, residential construction aligns neatly with demographic demand to foster market equilibrium. Construction costs average $557,000 per dwelling, sitting moderately above broad regional levels and pointing toward higher-end builds. Furthermore, commercial building approvals have reached $14.4 million this financial year, indicating steady non-residential development activity.
Medium and high-density housing has represented 81.0% of recently approved residential construction, with detached houses accounting for the remaining 19.0%. This pivot toward higher-density stock offers accessible pathways for downsizers, new buyers, and investors, presenting a clear departure from the established neighborhood fabric where houses currently make up 89.0% of dwellings. This shift reflects tighter development site availability alongside changing household preferences and price constraints. A metric of roughly 264 people per dwelling approval characterizes the locality as a low density environment. With demographic projections showing stable or decreasing local headcount, reduced demand pressure on housing stock may establish favorable buying conditions across the suburb.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Carindale
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 4 current infrastructure and development projects inside Carindale, worth an estimated $653 million. A further 64 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $41.9 billion. 10 are already under construction and 22 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and retail. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local capital expenditure, planning initiatives, and civic development exert substantial influence over neighborhood development. AreaSearch has pinpointed a total of 15 projects likely to impact the locality, highlighted by the Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment, Fairway Carindale Stage 2, Citipointe Christian College Master Plan Redevelopment, and Wecker Road Markets.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment
$280 million transformation of a 38-year-old retirement village into a modern multi-storey community with 405 independent living apartments and a privately owned 140-bed residential care facility across six stages. Features resort-style amenities and is close to Westfield Carindale.
Greendale Village Shopping Centre
A local retail development comprising a 3,359sqm supermarket, 2,496sqm of specialty shops, food and drink outlets, and health care services. The project includes 306 car parking spaces and significant landscaping on a 2.106ha site. Originally approved in 2008, the development has faced extensive delays, including the 2022 insolvency of a previous contractor. In 2025, the Planning and Environment Court granted a fifth extension to the currency period, allowing the developer until March 2027 to commence construction.
Fairway Carindale Stage 2
Second stage of Fairway Carindale featuring 76 luxury golf-side apartments across three mid-rise buildings. Part of the total 191 apartment retirement village development at Pacific Golf Club. Expected completion 2026.
Westfield Carindale Redevelopment & Dining Precinct
A major redevelopment of Westfield Carindale, adding 35,000m2 of retail space over two levels, new basement and rooftop parking, a relocated Target and Coles, and approximately 80 new specialty tenancies. A key component was the Level 1 'Glass House' dining precinct expansion, featuring seven new dining retailers like Claw BBQ and Betty's Burgers, with contemporary design elements. The Funhouse Entertainment area was also reopened.
Citipointe Christian College Master Plan Redevelopment
A staged master plan for the redevelopment of Citipointe Christian College's Carindale campus, supporting growth to a six-stream school by 2027. The Secondary Student Centre, uniting the Pastoral Care Team and Additional Needs Department under one roof, officially opened on 19 January 2026. Upcoming stages include a new Junior Learning Centre for Years 1-2 and a sixth Prep classroom, commencing construction in 2026 for occupation in 2027, followed by 12 new classrooms for Years 3-4, a Grace House extension with a larger Primary Library, Health Bay and Uniform Store, new Secondary learning spaces in F Block, a Performing Arts Theatre, and a second Sports Hall near the oval.
Winstanley Street Medical Centre Development
Development of a four-storey commercial and medical facility spanning 2,833 sqm of gross floor area across three street frontages. The approved project includes dedicated healthcare suites, consulting spaces, professional offices, a neighbourhood supermarket, and ground-floor food and drink outlets serving Carina Heights and surrounding eastern Brisbane suburbs.
Wecker Road Markets
Wecker Road Markets is a three-stage redevelopment of the historic Mansfield Tavern site into a 2.1-hectare mixed-use community hub. The project features a modernized tavern and bistro, 'The Arena' live music venue, fresh food markets, specialty retail, commercial offices, healthcare services, and indoor sports facilities. Stage 1, including the renovated tavern and music venue, officially reopened in June 2025. Remaining stages involving the broader retail and commercial precinct are currently under construction with a focus on high-quality landscape architecture and urban greenery.
Shopping Centre Expansion - 789-805 Old Cleveland Road, Carina
Expansion and refurbishment of the Carina neighbourhood shopping centre into an open-air, four-storey complex delivered over two stages. The development, designed by WSA Architecture and planned by Place Design Group, includes new shops, food and drink outlets, office space, healthcare services, and indoor sport and recreation facilities. Stage 1 provides 181 car spaces (including 23 motorcycle) with the full two-stage build providing 441 spaces. The project maintains a local scale while significantly upgrading customer amenity and the streetscape along Old Cleveland Road.
9,859 residents of Carindale are employed, from a labour force of 10,017. Unemployment sits at 1.6%, with participation at 69.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.0% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 15,869, about 91% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Carindale's local labor market is defined by a skilled workforce and prominent professional services presence, recording an unemployment rate of only 1.6% alongside a 5.0% expansion in employment over the preceding year based on AreaSearch statistical aggregations. By March 2026, employed residents reached 9,859, maintaining an unemployment rate 2.8% lower than the 4.3% benchmark for Greater Brisbane, while labor force participation tracked near the regional benchmark of 70.1%. Census records show 24.7% of working residents operated from home, reflecting conditions influenced by Covid-19 restrictions. Health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training represent the primary employment sectors for local residents.
The workforce exhibits pronounced specialization in professional & technical fields, capturing an employment share 1.3 times the Greater Brisbane benchmark. In contrast, construction employs 7.0% of resident workers compared to the 9.0% regional standard. A comparison between Census working figures and the resident population highlights that this predominantly residential district provides limited employment positions within its own boundaries. Aggregated SALM and ABS figures compiled by AreaSearch for the twelve months ending March 2026 indicate that resident employment expanded by 5.0% while the local labor pool grew by 4.9%, keeping joblessness virtually steady. Across Greater Brisbane over the same period, employment expanded by 3.2%, the labor force increased by 3.4%, and the jobless rate climbed by 0.1 percentage points. Long-term labor expectations are informed by Jobs and Skills Australia national projections from Mar-26, which anticipate nationwide job growth of 6.6% across five years and 13.7% over ten years. Mapping these sector-specific trajectories onto the local industry distribution suggests resident employment growth of 7.0% across five years and 14.2% across ten years, representing an illustrative industry-weighted projection that excludes localized demographic variables.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Carindale is $2,375 a week (about $124,000 a year), with median personal income at $908 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $63,968 a year against an average of $85,552. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxation records compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 place taxpayer earnings in the suburb of Carindale at an elevated tier nationwide. The median taxable income stands at $63,968 and the average reaches $85,552, compared to $58,236 and $72,799 across Greater Brisbane. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 11.36% following financial year 2023, updated March 2026 estimates position median earnings at approximately $71,235 and average earnings at $95,271. According to the 2021 Census, weekly household earnings reached the 86th percentile at $2,375. The $4000+ weekly earnings tier includes 25.7% of the community (4,479 individuals), diverging from regional distributions where 33.3% earn between $1,500 - 2,999.
In total, 39.9% of earners receive weekly amounts exceeding $3,000, underpinning strong economic capacity. Residents preserve 87.8% of income after servicing housing obligations, supporting a SEIFA income ranking in the 9th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Carindale had 5,743 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 89% detached houses and 4% apartments. 37% are owned with a mortgage, 15% rented and 47% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $530 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,400 a month. Rent absorbs 22.3% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the most recent Census, the residential landscape in Carindale consisted of 88.8% detached houses and 11.1% other dwellings (including townhouses, apartments, and alternative structures), contrasting with the wider metropolitan standard of 73.5% houses and 26.5% other dwellings across Brisbane metro. Fully owned properties accounted for 47.3% of homes, substantially exceeding metropolitan levels, while 37.4% were held with a mortgage and 15.4% were rented. Median monthly mortgage obligations were $2,400 and median weekly rent was $530, compared to Brisbane metro benchmarks of $1,863 and $380 respectively. In a national context, Carindale mortgages substantially outpace the Australian median of $1,863, with weekly rental rates also sitting well above the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Carindale counted 5,743 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 6,054 today, averaging 2.8 people each. 43% are couples with children, more than in 86% of areas nationally, against 28% couples without children. 17% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute 80.5% of all local domestic arrangements, broken down into couples with children at 43.3%, couples without children at 28.1%, and single parent families at 8.2%. The remaining 19.5% comprises non-family households, including single-person living arrangements at 17.3% and group households at 2.2%. Average household occupancy sits at 2.8 people, exceeding the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 2.6.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
41.5% of adults in Carindale hold a university qualification, including 27.1% with a bachelor degree and 11.0% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 83% of areas nationally. A further 14.2% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 2,924 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,104 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary qualification levels in Carindale comfortably exceed state and national standards, with 41.5% of persons aged 15+ holding university degrees, compared with 25.7% across QLD and 30.4% nationally. This educational profile positions the community advantageously for professional roles. Bachelor degrees account for 27.1% of residents, followed by 11.0% with postgraduate qualifications and 3.4% with graduate diplomas. Vocational education is also widespread, with 25.1% of the population aged 15+ holding technical qualifications, split between certificates at 14.2% and advanced diplomas at 10.9%. A significant 29.1% of local residents are actively participating in formal study.
By educational tier, primary schooling accounts for 9.3% of the populace, secondary schooling comprises 8.8%, and tertiary programs engage 6.4%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Carindale means driving: households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
72.0% of residents in Carindale report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 80% of areas nationally. 4.9% need daily assistance with core activities, and 61.1% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.2 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators across Carindale demonstrate favorable patterns based on AreaSearch evaluations of chronic conditions and mortality figures, characterized by low illness rates among younger age groups. Private medical insurance coverage is widespread, held by approximately 61% of residents (10,649 people), outpacing both the Greater Brisbane benchmark of 55.8% and the broader Australian level of 55.7%. Arthritis and asthma are the most prevalent diagnosed conditions, recorded among 7.3 and 6.3% of local residents respectively, while 72.0% reported no medical ailments, outperforming the 69.2% rate for Greater Brisbane. The working-age populace displays strong health profiles with minimal chronic illness.
Seniors aged 65 and over represent 23.6% of residents (4,113 people), exceeding the 15.0% proportion across Greater Brisbane. Health measures within this older cohort track above broad averages, despite placing somewhat lower in national rankings than the local population as a whole.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
34.7% of Carindale residents were born overseas and 29.8% speak a language other than English at home, more culturally diverse than 76% of areas nationally. The largest reported ancestries are English (22.3%) and Australian (19.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity measures indicate strong multicultural representation in Carindale, with 34.7% of the populace born overseas and 29.8% using a non-English language in domestic settings. Christianity represents the primary religious affiliation, encompassing 60.4% of local residents compared to 47.8% across Greater Brisbane. Evaluating parental birthplace, the leading ancestral backgrounds in Carindale comprise English at 22.3%, Australian at 19.0%, and Other at 9.7%. Several communities display higher local concentrations relative to wider patterns, including residents of South Australian heritage at 1.2% (vs 0.6% regionally), Korean ancestry at 1.2% (vs 0.5%), and Russian ancestry at 0.8% (vs 0.3% regionally).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Carindale is 43. 22.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The demographic structure in the suburb of Carindale clearly reflects its status as an established lifestyle and retirement community. As of August 2026 updates, retirees and seniors aged 65+ account for 23.6% of the local population, compared to 15.0% across Greater Brisbane, whereas young to middle aged adults (25 - 44) make up 20.5% against a 30.6% regional benchmark. The median age remains steady at an estimated 43, unchanged since the 2021 Census, which stands 7 years older than the Greater Brisbane median of 36 and above the national median of 38 recorded at that Census.
Senior cohorts have expanded from 19.8% at Census time to an estimated 23.6%. By 2041, older age groups are forecast to capture the majority of local growth by expanding 25% (adding 1,043 residents to reach 5,156), while younger adult brackets, children, and youth populations are anticipated to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Carindale
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jun 2026 4 months ago all 4 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jun 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 114 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (16,535 at the 2021 Census → 17,429 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL30540). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.