Carindale

Carindale is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of Nov 2025, Carindale's estimated population is around 17,401. This reflects an increase of 866 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,535. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 17,396 residents following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release (June 2024) and an additional 146 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,633 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 86.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

For projections, AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, applying proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023) for each age cohort. Considering projected demographic shifts, the population is expected to shrink by 246 persons by 2041 according to this methodology, with specific age cohorts like 75 to 84 increasing by 723 people.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Carindale according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers for Carindale shows around 77 new homes approved annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 389 homes were approved, with an additional 6 in FY-26 so far. Over the past five financial years, an average of 1.3 new residents arrived per new home. However, this figure increased to 17.9 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential supply constraints.

Development projects averaged $879,000 in construction value between FY-21 and FY-25, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, commercial development approvals totalled $14.4 million, demonstrating steady commercial investment activity. Recent construction comprised 20.0% detached houses and 80.0% attached dwellings, reflecting a trend towards denser development to cater to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This shift contrasts with the current housing mix of 89.0% houses, indicating reduced availability of development sites and changing lifestyle demands and affordability requirements.

Carindale's population density is around 1045 people per dwelling approval, reflecting a highly mature market. With stable or declining population forecasts, Carindale may experience less housing pressure, creating favourable conditions for buyers.

Carindale has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

AreaSearch has identified 16 infrastructure projects that may impact the area. Key projects include Aveo Parkside Carindale Redevelopment, Fairway Carindale Stage 2, Wecker Road Markets, and Citipointe Christian College Master Plan Redevelopment. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market strength in Carindale positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Carindale has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate is 1.7%.

Over the past year, it maintained relative employment stability. As of September 2025, 9,442 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.3%, below Greater Brisbane's rate of 4.0%. Workforce participation matches Greater Brisbane's 64.5%. Dominant sectors include health care & social assistance, professional & technical, and education & training.

Professional & technical employment is particularly strong at 1.3 times the regional level, while construction has limited presence at 7.0% compared to 9.0% regionally. The area offers limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 0.3%, labour force by 0.5%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Brisbane saw employment grow by 3.8% and unemployment fall by 0.5%. State-level data to November 25, 2025 shows Queensland's employment contracted by 0.01% with an unemployment rate of 4.2%, closely aligned with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but projections vary significantly between sectors. Applying these to Carindale's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.0% over five years and 14.2% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The median taxpayer income in Carindale suburb is $63,968, with an average of $85,552, based on the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Nationally, this is extremely high compared to Greater Brisbane's median income of $58,236 and average income of $72,799. By September 2025, based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91%, current estimates would be approximately $70,307 for the median and $94,030 for the average. According to the 2021 Census figures, household incomes rank at the 86th percentile with $2,375 weekly. In Carindale, 25.7% of locals (4,472 people) fall into the $4000+ income category, contrasting with the region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 33.3%. Economic strength is evident as 39.9% of households achieve high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 87.8% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Carindale is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Carindale's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 88.8% houses and 11.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). Home ownership in Carindale was at 47.3%, with 37.4% of dwellings mortgaged and 15.4% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,400, while the median weekly rent was $530. Nationally, Carindale's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

Carindale features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.8 people

Family households account for 80.5% of all households, including 43.3% couples with children, 28.1% couples without children, and 8.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 19.5%, with lone person households at 17.3% and group households comprising 2.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people.

Carindale shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Carindale, the proportion of residents aged 15 and above with university qualifications is notably higher than broader state and national averages. Specifically, 41.5% of residents have such qualifications, compared to 25.7% in Queensland and 30.4% across Australia. This high educational attainment is predominantly composed of bachelor degrees (27.1%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.0%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent among residents, with 25.1% holding such qualifications.

This includes advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (14.2%). Educational participation is notably high in the area, with 29.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (9.3%), secondary education (8.8%), and tertiary education (6.4%).

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Carindale has 83 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 25 different routes that together facilitate 4,164 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility in Carindale is rated as good, with residents on average being located 216 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Across all routes, there are an average of 594 trips per day, which equates to approximately 50 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Carindale is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Carindale shows superior health outcomes for both younger and older age groups, with low prevalence rates for common health conditions. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 61% of its total population of 10,632 people, compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 7.3%) and asthma (affecting 6.3%). A significant majority, 72%, report no medical ailments, contrasting with Greater Brisbane's 0%. As of 2018, 22.5% of residents are aged 65 or older, totaling 3,915 people. Health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's health profile.

Carindale was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Carindale has a high level of cultural diversity, with 34.7% of its population born overseas and 29.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Carindale, accounting for 60.4% of the population, compared to None% across Greater Brisbane. The top three ancestry groups are English (22.3%), Australian (19.0%), and Other (9.7%).

Notably, Russian (0.8%) is overrepresented in Carindale compared to None% regionally, as are South African (1.2%) and Korean (1.2%) populations.

Carindale hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Carindale is 43 years, significantly higher than Greater Brisbane's average of 36 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 65-74 age group makes up 11.4% of the population, compared to Greater Brisbane, while the 25-34 cohort comprises only 7.7%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 6.5% to 8.1%, whereas the 55 to 64 cohort has decreased from 14.0% to 12.5% and the 25 to 34 group has dropped from 8.8% to 7.7%. Population forecasts for Carindale in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the 75 to 84 age group expected to grow by 46%, reaching 2,058 people from 1,409. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 91% of total population growth, reflecting Carindale's aging demographic profile. Conversely, the 15 to 24 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.