Pacific Pines - Gaven

Pacific Pines - Gaven is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Pacific Pines - Gaven's population is around 19,194 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 886 people (4.8%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,308 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 19,170 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 9 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,168 persons per square kilometer, which is relatively in line with averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Pacific Pines - Gaven's 4.8% growth since the census positions it within 0.9 percentage points of the SA3 area (5.7%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence, where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Looking at population projections moving forward, lower quartile growth of regional areas nationally is anticipated, with the area expected to expand by 243 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 1.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Pacific Pines - Gaven, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Pacific Pines - Gaven has seen around 9 new homes approved annually, totalling 46 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 9 approvals have been recorded. Given an average of 1.4 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply and demand appear well-balanced, creating stable market conditions, though recent data shows this has intensified to 24.6 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential undersupply. Development projects average $277,000 in construction value—under regional levels—indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers. There have also been $28.1 million in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

Relative to the Rest of Qld, Pacific Pines - Gaven shows substantially reduced construction (81.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This activity is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and pointing to possible planning constraints. Further, recent building activity consists entirely of detached houses, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. Notably, developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (78.0% at Census), reflecting persistent strong demand for family homes amid densification trends. The location has approximately 2118 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market.

Looking ahead, Pacific Pines - Gaven is expected to grow by 219 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Pacific Pines - Gaven has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 28 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Arundel Hills Country Club Redevelopment, Pacific Pines Master Planned Community, Weka Parklands Upgrade - Skate Park and Basketball Court, and Coomera Connector Stage 1, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Pacific Pines - Gaven demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Pacific Pines - Gaven possesses a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of only 3.3%, and 2.6% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 11,214 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.7% below Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (76.1% compared to Regional Qld's 65.4%). Based on Census responses, a low 12.7% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Employment among residents is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in construction, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.3% versus the regional average of 4.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increasing by 2.6% alongside the labour force increasing by 2.6%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. This compares to Regional Qld, where employment grew by 0.7%, the labour force expanded by 1.0%, and unemployment rose 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Pacific Pines - Gaven. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Pacific Pines - Gaven's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Pacific Pines - Gaven SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $53,380 with the average level standing at $63,944. This is lower than average on a national basis and compares to levels of $53,146 and $66,593 across Regional Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $58,670 (median) and $70,281 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 71st percentile ($2,086 weekly), while personal income sits at the 53rd percentile. Income analysis reveals 41.4% of the population (7,946 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, mirroring the region where 31.7% occupy this bracket. High housing costs consume 18.1% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 67th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Pacific Pines - Gaven is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Pacific Pines - Gaven, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 78.1% houses and 21.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Pacific Pines - Gaven was lagging that of Regional Qld, at 18.8%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (50.2%) or rented (31.0%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Regional Qld average at $2,000, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $470, compared to Regional Qld's $1,655 and $345. Nationally, Pacific Pines - Gaven's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Pacific Pines - Gaven features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 87.0% of all households, comprising 46.5% couples with children, 24.0% couples without children, and 15.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 9.9% and group households comprising 3.1% of the total. The median household size of 3.1 people is larger than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Pacific Pines - Gaven exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Educational qualifications in Pacific Pines - Gaven trail regional benchmarks, with 21.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 30.4% in Australia. This gap highlights potential for educational development and skills enhancement. Bachelor degrees lead at 14.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 41.1% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (28.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 57 active transport stops operating within Pacific Pines - Gaven, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 5 individual routes, collectively providing 407 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 308 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.9 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 12.7% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 58 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 7 weekly trips per individual stop.

Pacific Pines - Gaven's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Pacific Pines - Gaven, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Younger cohorts in particular see very low prevalence of common health conditions, and the rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~9,692 people). The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 7.9% and 7.4% of residents, respectively, while 73.6% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 11.1% of residents aged 65 and over (2,130 people), which is lower than the 20.4% in Regional Qld, though ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Pacific Pines - Gaven was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Pacific Pines - Gaven was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 16.9% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 32.9% born overseas. The main religion in Pacific Pines - Gaven is Christianity, which makes up 44.1% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Islam, which comprises 2.0% of the population, compared to 0.6% across Regional Qld.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Pacific Pines - Gaven are English, comprising 28.7% of the population, Australian, comprising 23.5% of the population, and Other, comprising 9.0% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: New Zealand is notably overrepresented at 2.4% of Pacific Pines - Gaven (vs 0.9% regionally), Maori at 3.0% (vs 0.8%) and Korean at 0.8% (vs 0.2%).

Pacific Pines - Gaven's population is younger than the national pattern

The 35-year median age in Pacific Pines - Gaven is considerably lower than Regional Qld's average of 41 and similarly modestly under the 38-year national average. Compared to the Regional Qld average, the 15 - 24 cohort is notably over-represented (15.3% locally), while 65 - 74 year-olds are under-represented (6.7%). Post-2021 Census data shows the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 13.9% to 15.3% of the population, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 12.5% to 13.6%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 16.5% to 13.9% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 15.0% to 13.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Pacific Pines - Gaven. Leading the demographic shift, the 25 to 34 group will grow by 19% (494 people), reaching 3,099 from 2,604. On the other hand, both the 55 to 64 and 5 to 14 age groups will see reduced numbers.