Pacific Pines - Gaven

Pacific Pines - Gaven is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Pacific Pines - Gaven's population is 19,194 as of Feb 2026. This figure reflects an increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 18,308 people. The change is inferred from ABS estimates: 19,170 in June 2024 and additional validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,168 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. Pacific Pines - Gaven's growth rate of 4.8% since census is within 0.9 percentage points of its SA3 area (5.7%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; thus, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Looking ahead, lower quartile growth of regional areas nationally is anticipated. Pacific Pines - Gaven is expected to expand by 243 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 1.1% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Pacific Pines - Gaven, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Pacific Pines - Gaven has seen approximately 9 new home approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 46 homes. As of FY26, 9 approvals have been recorded. On average, 1.4 new residents per year per dwelling were constructed between FY21 and FY25, indicating balanced supply and demand. However, recent data shows an increase to 24.6 people per dwelling over the past two years, suggesting growing popularity and potential undersupply. The average construction value of development projects is $277,000, which is below regional levels, offering more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $28.1 million in commercial approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Pacific Pines - Gaven shows significantly reduced construction activity, with 81.0% below the regional average per person. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. The area's building activity consists entirely of detached houses, preserving its suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. Developers are constructing more detached housing than previously indicated (78.0% at Census), reflecting strong demand for family homes despite densification trends.

Pacific Pines - Gaven has approximately 2118 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an established market. By 2041, the area is projected to grow by 219 residents. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing favourable conditions for buyers and potentially supporting population growth beyond current projections.

Pacific Pines - Gaven has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 28 projects likely to affect the region. Notable ones include Arundel Hills Country Club Redevelopment, Pacific Pines Master Planned Community, Weka Parklands Upgrade - Skate Park and Basketball Court, and Coomera Connector Stage 1. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Pacific Pines - Gaven demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Pacific Pines - Gaven has a skilled workforce with an unemployment rate of 3.3% as of September 2025. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.3%. The area's unemployment rate is 0.8% lower than Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%, and its workforce participation rate is higher at 75.3%.

According to Census responses, 12.7% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Construction employment levels are notably high, at 1.3 times the regional average, while agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.3%. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.3% alongside labour force growth of 2.3%, keeping unemployment broadly flat.

In comparison, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.7%, labour force expand by 2.1%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Pacific Pines - Gaven's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, Pacific Pines - Gaven SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $53,380 with the average level standing at $63,944. This is lower than average on a national basis and compares to levels of $53,146 and $66,593 across Rest of Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $58,670 (median) and $70,281 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 71st percentile ($2,086 weekly), while personal income sits at the 53rd percentile. Income analysis reveals that 41.4% of the population (7,946 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, mirroring the region where 31.7% occupy this bracket. High housing costs consume 18.1% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 67th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Pacific Pines - Gaven is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Pacific Pines - Gaven, as per the latest Census, 78.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 21.9% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is similar to Non-Metro Qld's figures of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Pacific Pines - Gaven stood at 18.8%, with mortgaged properties at 50.2% and rented ones at 31.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent in the area was $470, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Pacific Pines - Gaven's mortgage repayments were higher at $2,000 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $470 compared to the national figure of $375.

Pacific Pines - Gaven features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.0% of all households, including 46.5% couples with children, 24.0% couples without children, and 15.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 13.0%, with lone person households at 9.9% and group households at 3.1%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Pacific Pines - Gaven exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

Pacific Pines' educational qualifications show a gap compared to Australian averages, with 21.7% of residents aged 15+ having university degrees versus Australia's 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common (14.7%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.8%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 41.1% of residents holding them, including advanced diplomas (12.5%) and certificates (28.6%). Educational participation is high, with 32.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 4.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Pacific Pines - Gaven has 57 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by five different routes that together facilitate 407 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average situated 308 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards daily due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation, used by 94% of residents. On average, there are 1.9 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, only 12.7% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, an average of 58 trips occur daily, translating to roughly seven weekly trips per individual stop.

Pacific Pines - Gaven's residents are extremely healthy with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Analysis of health metrics shows strong performance throughout Pacific Pines - Gaven. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence were low, particularly among younger cohorts.

Approximately 50% (~9,692 people) had private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions were mental health issues (7.9%) and asthma (7.4%). 73.6% declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, higher than the Rest of Qld's 67.6%. Under-65 population had better-than-average health outcomes. The area has 11.1% (2,130 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Rest of Qld's 20.4%, but ranking lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Pacific Pines - Gaven was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Pacific Pines-Gaven, as per the census conducted on 9 August 2016, had a higher cultural diversity than most local markets. Specifically, 16.9% of its population spoke a language other than English at home and 32.9% were born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Pacific Pines-Gaven, with 44.1% of people identifying as such.

However, Islam had a more significant presence in Pacific Pines-Gaven compared to the rest of Queensland, comprising 2.0% versus 0.6%. In terms of ancestry, English (28.7%), Australian (23.5%), and Other (9.0%) were the top three represented groups. Notably, New Zealanders made up 2.4% of Pacific Pines-Gaven's population compared to 0.9% regionally, Maori comprised 3.0% versus 0.8%, and Koreans accounted for 0.8% versus 0.2%.

Pacific Pines - Gaven's population is younger than the national pattern

The median age in Pacific Pines - Gaven is 35 years, which is lower than the Rest of Qld average of 41 years and under the national average of 38 years. The 15-24 age cohort is notably over-represented at 15.3% locally compared to the Rest of Qld's average, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 6.7%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has grown from 13.9% to 15.3%, and the 25-34 cohort increased from 12.5% to 13.6%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort declined from 16.5% to 13.9%, and the 45-54 group dropped from 15.0% to 13.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Pacific Pines - Gaven, with the 25-34 age group expected to grow by 19% (494 people), reaching 3,099 from 2,604. However, both the 55-64 and 5-14 age groups are projected to have reduced numbers.