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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Runaway Bay has an estimated 9,774 residents, up from 9,308 at the 2021 Census — a change of 466 people, or 5.0%. Growth has averaged 0.7% a year over five years. Overseas migration accounts for 86.0% of that increase. That puts 1,780 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations combining regional ABS demographic updates with post-Census address validations, the suburb of Runaway Bay has an estimated total of approximately 9,774 residents as of Aug 2026. Compared with the 9,308 people recorded at the 2021 Census, this marks an expansion of 466 individuals, or 5.0%. This figure is deduced from an estimated resident population base of 9,755 determined via the ABS ERP release from June 2025 alongside 31 validated new addresses catalogued after the Census. Consequently, the population density stands at 1,780 persons per square kilometer, placing it higher than the typical benchmark across nationwide locations evaluated by AreaSearch.
The 5.0% post-census rise in the suburb of Runaway Bay is within 2.0 percentage points of the broader SA3 area (7.0%), reflecting solid underlying demographic momentum. Net overseas arrivals served as the principal driver of this expansion, accounting for roughly 86.0% of the overall population additions in recent times. Projections compiled by AreaSearch incorporate the 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia dataset utilising 2022 as its base period for each SA2 district. Where SA2 coverage is absent, or when examining years beyond 2032, models draw upon the Queensland State Government SA2 releases from 2023 that rely on 2021 numbers. Because state-level estimates omit age-specific breakdowns, AreaSearch weights age brackets proportionally using the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region projections based on 2022 benchmarks. Factoring in anticipated demographic changes, the suburb of Runaway Bay is slated for higher-than-median growth relative to non-metropolitan locations, with SA2 aggregates forecasting an influx of 1,372 persons by 2041, representing a cumulative increase of 13.8% across the 16-year timeframe.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
118 new dwellings have been approved in Runaway Bay over the past five years, an average of 23 a year. That is 2.5 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 25 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 36% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 23, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of building approvals across statistical areas show that Runaway Bay averages roughly 23 residential approvals annually, amounting to an aggregate of approximately 118 residences over the past 5 financial years. During FY-25 to date, 23 approvals have been documented. Over the 5 financial years span between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 2.8 incoming residents per dwelling was recorded, underscoring solid structural demand that bolsters real estate values. Furthermore, approved residences carry an average construction value of $1,440,000, illustrating builder concentration in the luxury and high-end residential market.
Alongside this, $8.7 million in non-residential commercial approvals were logged in the current financial year, highlighting the district's predominantly residential character. When measured against Rest of Qld, per-capita residential approvals in Runaway Bay run at roughly two-thirds the regional rate, ranking the suburb in the 36th percentile among nationally tracked territories. This constrained delivery limits prospective purchaser options and reinforces demand across established housing stock. Approval volumes are similarly below national norms, pointing to an established urban footprint with possible planning constraints. Of all new residential construction activity, 36.0% consists of detached houses while 64.0% comprises medium-to-high density attached dwellings. This orientation toward higher-density building offers accessible entry points suited for downsizers, first-home purchasers, and investors. With approximately 422 residents for each approved dwelling, Runaway Bay represents a mature residential property market. Long-term demographic forecasts anticipate Runaway Bay expanding by 1,353 residents through to 2041 relative to the latest AreaSearch quarterly figures. If dwelling construction volumes continue at current tempos, additions to housing supply may fall short of population growth, which could heighten buyer competition and provide ongoing support for capital values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Runaway Bay
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 15 current infrastructure and development projects inside Runaway Bay, worth an estimated $1.8 billion. A further 153 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $53.8 billion. 65 are already under construction and 89 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and communities. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Regional development and capital works play a crucial role in shaping future community performance. In total, AreaSearch has highlighted 26 projects poised to influence the immediate area. Notable developments include the Harbour Town Premium Outlets Expansion, Twenty Hollywell Townhouses, Runaway Bay - Lae Drive & Bayview Street Road Works, and the 31 Madang Crescent Townhouses, with the most impactful works outlined in the accompanying register.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Ocean Suites on Jennifer
Ocean Suites on Jennifer is a boutique multi-residential waterfront development situated in Runaway Bay. The project delivers premium luxury apartments featuring private marina berths, direct Broadwater access, and high-end resident amenities. Construction works are progressing following development approval by the City of Gold Coast.
Marella Residences
Marella Residences is a luxury four-storey waterfront residential development in Runaway Bay comprising 10 multi-level four-bedroom boutique villas. Developed by BBIGA, each residence includes private marina berths, individual rooftop terraces, and plunge pools overlooking the canal.
Runaway Bay - Lae Drive & Bayview Street Road Works
Works are underway to upgrade the road and footpaths from the roundabout at Lae Drive and Bayview Street to the south end of Bayview Street Bridge, including upgrading the road surface, watermain replacement, stormwater pipes, kerbs, channels, driveways, footpath, and pedestrian/cycle ramp to improve infrastructure and safety.
Twenty Hollywell Townhouses
A boutique residential development featuring 5 three-storey townhouses offering modern luxury living with premium finishes including timber flooring, stone benches, custom cabinetry, and top-of-the-line appliances. Each townhouse includes intimate patio and garden spaces in a prestigious waterfront location with stunning Broadwater views.
31 Madang Crescent Townhouses
Boutique residential development comprising multi-dwelling townhouses located at 31 Madang Crescent in Runaway Bay. The project delivers contemporary townhouse residences featuring private outdoor courtyards, landscaped amenity, and parking under City of Gold Coast planning scheme provisions.
Harbour Town Premium Outlets Expansion
Major expansion of the popular Harbour Town Premium Outlets shopping precinct with new retail spaces, dining options, and entertainment facilities.
Belvue At Runaway Bay
Belvue is a $105 million luxury waterfront residential development comprising a 31-storey tower with 31 whole-floor residences and three two-level waterfront villas. Designed by Plus Architecture and developed jointly by Monaco Property Group and Polites Property Group, the scheme includes private marina berths and Palm Springs-inspired amenities.
Esprit de Vie Runaway Bay
A retirement living development featuring 57 two- and three-bedroom apartments across two towers of 21 and 20 storeys, with communal facilities including a resident cafe, pool, spa, gym, treatment rooms, wellness area, and multipurpose room.
4,587 residents of Runaway Bay are employed, from a labour force of 4,746. Unemployment sits at 3.4%, with participation at 54.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 8,933, about 91% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Runaway Bay features an accomplished local workforce across a broad spectrum of industries, maintaining a low unemployment rate of 3.4% and an estimated 3.3% annual expansion in employment based on aggregated statistical area figures from AreaSearch. By March 2026, total employed locals stood at 4,587. The local jobless rate sits 0.6% lower than the 3.9% recorded across Regional Qld, though the labour force participation rate of 54.5% is considerably lower than the 64.2% found across Regional Qld. Census data showed that a moderate 20.0% of working residents performed their duties from home, though this metric was subject to prevailing Covid-19 restrictions.
Resident employment is primarily anchored in health care & social assistance, construction, as well as retail trade. The local labour market shows an exceptionally high weighting in rental, hiring & real estate, where worker representation reaches 2.5 times the regional norm. In contrast, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 0.6% of employment compared to the regional figure of 4.5%. Comparing Census counts of local workplace employment against the resident labour base indicates that this predominantly residential precinct provides relatively few employment opportunities within its own boundaries. Employment rose by 3.3% during the 12-month period according to AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, while the labour force expanded by 3.2%, resulting in relatively stable unemployment levels. This trend contrasts with Regional Qld, where employment grew by 0.1%, the labour force increased by 0.3%, and unemployment climbed by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Mar-26 provide additional context for understanding potential future demand in Runaway Bay. These projections span five and ten-year periods and have been overlaid onto the local employment profile to estimate growth trajectories. National employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though growth varies considerably across industry sectors. When these sector-specific forecasts are applied to Runaway Bay's employment composition, local employment is expected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.5% over ten years. This calculation uses a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate localised population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Runaway Bay is $1,382 a week (about $72,000 a year), with median personal income at $727 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $49,814 a year against an average of $76,105. The average runs 53% above the median, a wider spread than most areas and a sign of a concentrated group of high earners. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Taxation records compiled by AreaSearch from postcode-level ATO releases for financial year 2023 indicate that the suburb of Runaway Bay registered a median taxpayer income of $49,814 and an average income of $76,105. These figures contrast with $53,146 and $66,593 recorded across Regional Qld, while remaining well above wider national averages. Incorporating an 11.36% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated estimates as of March 2026 reach approximately $55,473 for the median and $84,751 for the average. In the 2021 Census, Runaway Bay personal, family, and household earnings placed moderately between the 27th and 34th percentiles.
At that time, 26.4% of local residents (2,580 individuals) earned between $1,500 - 2,999, which aligned closely with the 31.7% share seen regionally. Housing cost pressures are pronounced, with an average of only 82.3% of income retained after shelter costs (placing in the 25th percentile), while the area's overall SEIFA income metric sits in the 6th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Runaway Bay had 3,971 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 45% detached houses and 28% apartments. 29% are owned with a mortgage, 25% rented and 45% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $435 a week and the median mortgage repayment $2,000 a month. Rent absorbs 31.5% of household income here and mortgage repayments 33.4%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records show that the housing profile in Runaway Bay consists of 45.3% separate houses and 54.7% medium or high-density dwellings (including semi-detached units, apartments, and other configurations), contrasting with Regional Qld where houses account for 76.4% and other dwellings comprise 23.6%. Outright home ownership in Runaway Bay is notably elevated compared to Regional Qld, reaching 45.4%, with remaining properties either being purchased with a mortgage (29.2%) or tenanted (25.3%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the locality was $2,000, higher than the Regional Qld benchmark of $1,655 and the nationwide figure of $1,863.
Median weekly rent stood at $435, exceeding the Regional Qld baseline of $345 and the Australian average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Runaway Bay counted 3,971 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 4,170 today, averaging 2.2 people each. 20% are couples with children, fewer than in 87% of areas nationally, against 38% couples without children. 29% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the vast majority of local households at 67.7%, divided into couples without children (37.5%), couples with children (19.9%), and single parent households (9.2%). Non-family living arrangements account for the remaining 32.3%, comprising single-person households (28.7%) and shared group homes (3.5%). The typical household size in the area is 2.2 residents, which is smaller than the 2.5 average observed across Regional Qld.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
22.4% of adults in Runaway Bay hold a university qualification, including 15.4% with a bachelor degree and 4.7% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 25.7% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 663 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,070 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary educational attainment in Runaway Bay is lower than broader benchmarks, with 22.4% of individuals aged 15+ holding higher education qualifications compared to 30.4% across Australia, indicating opportunities for further workforce upskilling. Bachelor-level degrees represent 15.4% of qualifications, followed by postgraduate degrees at 4.7% and graduate diplomas at 2.3%. Vocational and trade education is widely held, with 39.3% of residents aged 15+ holding technical qualifications, split between certificates (25.7%) and advanced diplomas (13.6%). Currently, 21.1% of the local population is enrolled in formal study. This comprises 7.1% attending primary schooling, 6.3% engaged in secondary education, and 3.6% pursuing higher educational studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Runaway Bay means driving: households keep an average of 1.3 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
63.5% of residents in Runaway Bay report no long-term health condition. 7.6% need daily assistance with core activities, and 57.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Public health metrics reflect generally favorable conditions for Runaway Bay residents, with AreaSearch analyses of mortality and health profiles indicating outcomes that align with Australian benchmarks and show typical prevalence rates for common medical conditions across younger and older demographics. Private health insurance participation is especially prominent, covering approximately 57% of the population (~5,606 people), higher than the 52.5% documented across Regional Qld. The two most prevalent health diagnoses identified among residents are arthritis (11.4%) and mental health conditions (6.7%), while 63.5% of the community reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld.
General health status across the working-age cohort remains standard. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 33.7% of the populace (3,293 people), well above the 20.3% recorded in Regional Qld. Older residents experience above-average health outcomes, with national rankings tracking closely with broader community patterns.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
31.7% of Runaway Bay residents were born overseas and 11.7% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (33.7%) and Australian (21.7%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity in Runaway Bay surpasses that of most comparable local markets, with 31.7% of residents born abroad and 11.7% utilizing a non-English language at home. Christianity is the predominant religious affiliation, encompassing 58.7% of the community. The most notable religious overrepresentation is Judaism, which accounts for 0.3% of locals compared to 0.1% across Regional Qld. Looking at parental heritage, the three most common ancestral backgrounds identified in Runaway Bay are English (33.7%), Australian (21.7%), and Irish (8.6%). Several other nationalities display noticeable differences in local representation, with New Zealand background accounting for 1.3% (versus 0.9% across the region), French background at 0.6% (versus 0.5%), and Russian ancestry at 0.5% (versus 0.2%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Runaway Bay is 53, older than 96% of areas nationally. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 17.8% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Demographics in the suburb of Runaway Bay are heavily weighted toward older and retired generations. AreaSearch estimates for August 2026 show that 33.7% of the populace belongs to senior and retirement cohorts (65+), substantially higher than the 20.4% recorded across Regional Qld. Conversely, younger and middle-aged adults (25 - 44) make up only 17.1% of the community, compared to 25.5% across the wider region. As of August 2026, the estimated median age is 53 years, shifting down from 54 at the 2021 Census, but remaining 12 years higher than the Regional Qld Census median of 41 and above the national median of 38 at that same Census.
The most noticeable change across broad age bands since the Census occurred in the mature adult and early retiree group (45 - 64), which decreased from 29.5% to an estimated 28.2%. By 2041, senior cohorts are projected to drive the bulk of local population growth, expanding by 834 residents (25%) to reach 4,128, while younger demographics and child cohorts are expected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Runaway Bay
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Sep 2026 last month all 15 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Sep 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 31 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (9,308 at the 2021 Census → 9,774 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL32490). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.