Arundel
Statistical Area - sa2

Population growth drivers in Arundel are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Arundel's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 11,940 people. This figure represents an increase of 769 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 11,171 people. The estimated resident population in June 2024 was 11,919, with an additional 76 validated new addresses contributing to this growth. This results in a population density ratio of 1,225 persons per square kilometer, exceeding the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Arundel's population growth rate of 6.9% since the 2021 census surpassed that of the SA3 area (6.5%), indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration accounted for approximately 79.8% of overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and interstate migration also contributing positively to this trend.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are used, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; therefore, AreaSearch applies proportional growth weightings aligned with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Considering projected demographic shifts, Arundel is expected to experience a population increase just below the median of regional areas across the nation by 2041. Based on the latest population numbers, the area is projected to gain an additional 1,652 persons over these 17 years, representing a total increase of 13.7%.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Arundel according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Arundel averaged approximately 15 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 78 homes. As of FY26, there has been 1 approval recorded. On average, each home built between FY21 and FY25 accommodated around 13 new residents per year, indicating a significant gap between demand and supply which typically drives price growth and increased competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $356,000.

In FY26, there have been $34.5 million in commercial approvals, reflecting high local commercial activity. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Arundel has notably lower building activity, 65.0% below the regional average per person, which often strengthens demand and prices for existing properties due to scarcity of new homes. This is also below national averages, suggesting maturity in the area and potential planning constraints. New development consists of 57.0% detached dwellings and 43.0% attached dwellings, marking a shift from the current housing pattern of 83.0% houses, likely due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. With around 3588 people per dwelling approval, Arundel reflects a highly mature market. By 2041, projections show Arundel adding approximately 1631 residents.

If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting price growth.

Arundel has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 39 projects that could impact the area. Notable projects include Smith Street Motorway Connection, Arundel Hills Residential Development, Molendinar Creek Flood Mitigation, and Arundel Springs by AVID. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Arundel has been broadly consistent with national averages

Arundel's workforce is highly educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.5% as of June 2025, which is 0.4% lower than the Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.5%. As of June 2025, 6,095 residents were employed. The unemployment rate was 0.4% below the Rest of Qld's rate while workforce participation was broadly similar to the Rest of Qld's 59.1%.

Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training, with agriculture, forestry & fishing employing just 0.2% of local workers compared to Rest of Qld's 4.5%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the past year, employment increased by 2.5%, labour force grew by 2.1%, and unemployment fell by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Qld saw employment grow by 1.8%, labour force expand by 2.0%, and unemployment rise by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Arundel's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.7% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that income in Arundel is below the national average. The median income is $47,275 while the average income stands at $61,464. This contrasts with Rest of Qld's figures where the median income is $50,780 and the average income is $64,844. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 13.99% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Arundel would be approximately $53,889 (median) and $70,063 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Arundel rank modestly, between the 31st and 46th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 34.1% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999, consistent with broader trends across the metropolitan region where 31.7% fall into this category. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Arundel, with only 81.8% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 45th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Arundel is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Arundel, as per the latest Census evaluation, 83.0% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 17.1% comprising semi-detached properties, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro Qld's figures of 41.7% houses and 58.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Arundel stood at 34.2%, similar to Non-Metro Qld's rate. The majority of dwellings were mortgaged (37.5%) or rented (28.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,000, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,733 and the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent in Arundel was recorded at $470, significantly higher than Non-Metro Qld's figure of $410 and the national average of $375.

Arundel features high concentrations of group households and family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.4% of all households, including 33.2% couples with children, 30.0% couples without children, and 13.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 22.6%, with lone person households at 18.4% and group households comprising 4.2%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.2.

The educational profile of Arundel exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 27.3% among residents aged 15+, surpassing both the Rest of Qld average at 20.6% and the SA3 area average at 22.9%. Bachelor degrees are the most common, at 18.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 34.8% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.8% and certificates at 23.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 9.2% in primary, 7.4% in secondary, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education. The area has two schools serving a total of 2,587 students – Arundel State School and A B Paterson College. Socio-educational conditions are above average, with an ICSEA score of 1075. The educational mix includes one primary school and one K-12 school. As an education hub, the area offers 21.7 school places per 100 residents, significantly higher than the regional average of 8.8, attracting students from nearby communities.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 30 active stops operating in Arundel, offering mixed bus services. These stops are served by six routes, facilitating 1567 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is rated good, with residents typically residing 333 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 223 daily trips across all routes, resulting in approximately 52 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Arundel are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Arundel's health indicators show below-average results. Common health conditions are prevalent across both younger and older age groups.

Approximately 51% (~6041 people) have private health cover, lower than Rest of Qld's 53.9%. The most common conditions are arthritis (8.7%) and mental health issues (8.1%). 68.2% report no medical ailments, compared to 64.5% in Rest of Qld. 18.9% (~2251 people) are aged 65 and over, lower than Rest of Qld's 25.8%. Senior health outcomes face challenges, broadly aligning with the general population's profile.

Arundel was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Arundel's population was found to be more linguistically diverse than most local markets, with 22.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Born overseas, 38.2% of Arundel residents were recorded. Christianity was the predominant religion in Arundel, accounting for 46.6%.

Islam's representation was notably higher than the regional average, comprising 4.4% compared to Rest of Qld's 2.5%. In terms of ancestry, English (28.3%), Australian (20.5%), and Other (11.6%) were the top three groups represented in Arundel. Some ethnic groups showed notable differences: New Zealanders made up 1.5% compared to the regional average of 1.4%, Maori comprised 1.7% versus 1.5%, and Koreans accounted for 0.8% against a regional average of 0.5%.

Arundel's median age exceeds the national pattern

Arundel has a median age of 40, close to Rest of Qld's figure of 41 and exceeding the national norm of 38. The 25-34 age group is strongly represented at 14.2%, compared to Rest of Qld. Conversely, the 65-74 cohort is less prevalent at 8.9%. Post the 2021 Census, the 25-34 age group grew from 11.8% to 14.2%, while the 65-74 cohort declined from 10.6% to 8.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling indicates Arundel's age profile will significantly evolve. The 25-34 group is projected to grow by 33%, adding 551 people to reach 2,246 from 1,694. Meanwhile, the 15-24 age range is expected to decrease by 72%.