Ashmore

Ashmore has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Ashmore's population is around 12,878 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 463 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,415 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,820 from the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 297 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,885 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 based on 2021 data. These state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023) are applied for each age cohort. An above median population growth is projected for locations outside of capital cities, with the area expected to grow by 1,864 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 14.0% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ashmore according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Ashmore has experienced approximately 10 dwelling approvals per year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 50 homes were approved, with an additional 42 approved so far in FY26. On average, 4.6 new residents have arrived annually for each dwelling constructed during this period.

This suggests a significant gap between supply and demand, leading to increased buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction value of new homes is $481,000, which is moderately higher than regional levels, indicating an emphasis on quality construction. In FY26, commercial approvals totaling $20.5 million have been registered, suggesting balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the rest of Queensland, Ashmore has markedly lower building activity, with 84% below the regional average per person. This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes, which is also under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and potential planning limitations.

Recent development in Ashmore has been entirely comprised of standalone homes, maintaining its traditional suburban character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. New construction favours detached housing more than current patterns suggest, with 69% at Census, demonstrating ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. The location has approximately 1309 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Population forecasts estimate Ashmore will gain 1806 residents by 2041, suggesting that at current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Ashmore has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 33 projects likely impacting the region. Key projects include The Hills Ashmore, Hart Street Residences, Victoria & Albert Broadbeach, and Pacific Motorway (M1) Upgrades. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Ashmore shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Ashmore's workforce is skilled with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.2% in the past year. Employment growth was estimated at 2.3%.

As of September 2025, 6,918 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Rest of Qld's 4.1%. Workforce participation was similar to Rest of Qld's 65.7%. According to Census responses, 14.5% worked from home. Dominant sectors include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Professional & technical sectors have notable concentration at 1.5 times the regional average. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence with 0.5% employment compared to 4.5% regionally. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data comparison of working population to local population. In the 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.3%, labour force by 2.1%, reducing unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. Rest of Qld experienced employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts, released May-25, project national employment expansion by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashmore's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ended 30 June 2023, Ashmore SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $51,482 and an average income of $64,520. Both figures are below the national averages of $53,146 (median) and $66,593 (average) for Rest of Qld. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% from financial year ended 30 June 2023 to September 2025, current estimates would be approximately $56,584 (median) and $70,914 (average). The 2021 Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in Ashmore rank modestly, between the 37th and 40th percentiles. Income distribution reveals that 31.3% of locals (4,030 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region where 31.7% are in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 37th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Ashmore displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Ashmore, as per the latest Census evaluation, 68.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 31.4% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This differs from Non-Metro Queensland's figures of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashmore stood at 33.0%, similar to Non-Metro Qld, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.6% and rented ones at 25.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Ashmore was $1,950, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. Weekly rent in Ashmore was recorded at $450, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $375. Nationally, Ashmore's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ashmore features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households comprise 69.5% of all households, including 30.6% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households at 26.1% and group households comprising 4.3%. The median household size is 2.5 people, matching the average in the Rest of Qld.

The educational profile of Ashmore exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 26.0% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 14.0% and certificates at 24.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.0% in primary, 9.2% in secondary, and 6.1% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Ashmore has 52 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These are covered by seven distinct routes, offering a total of 1,035 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 196 meters to the nearest stop. Primarily residential, most commuters travel outward, with cars being the primary mode at 92%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 14.5% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency across all routes averages 147 trips daily, translating to roughly 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashmore's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Ashmore's health metrics are close to national benchmarks as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low, at approximately 51% of the total population (~6,593 people). The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.8 and 7.4% of residents respectively. 69.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.6% across Rest of Qld. Health outcomes for the under-65 population are better than average. The area has 20.1% of residents aged 65 and over (2,591 people), with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Ashmore was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashmore's population is more linguistically diverse than most local markets, with 15.1% speaking a language other than English at home, and 31.8% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Ashmore, practiced by 49.0%. Judaism is overrepresented compared to regional averages, comprising 0.3% of Ashmore's population versus 0.1% across Rest of Qld.

The top three ancestry groups are English (30.1%), Australian (21.8%), and Other (9.2%). Notably, New Zealanders are overrepresented at 1.7%, Maori at 1.6%, and Hungarians at 0.4%.

Ashmore's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Ashmore was 42 years old, close to Rest of Qld's average of 41 and significantly higher than Australia's median of 38. Comparing to Rest of Qld's average, the 35-44 cohort was notably over-represented at 14.9% locally, while the 65-74 age group was under-represented at 8.7%. Between the 2021 Census and present day, Ashmore has seen its median age decrease by 1 year to 42 from 43. The 35 to 44 age group grew from 13.1% to 14.9%, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 11.3% to 13%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort declined from 10.5% to 8.7% and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 11.6% to 10.3%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic shifts in Ashmore. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to grow by 564 people (34%), from 1,668 to 2,233 residents. Conversely, the 15 to 24 age group is expected to decrease by 63 residents.