Ashmore

Ashmore has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Ashmore's population is around 12,878 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 463 people (3.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,415 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,820 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 297 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,885 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which was essentially the sole driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Regarding demographic trends, an above-median population growth for locations outside of capital cities is projected, with the area expected to grow by 1,864 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 14.0% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ashmore according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Ashmore has experienced around 10 dwellings receiving development approval per year, with 50 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 45 so far in FY-26. Given an average of 4.6 new residents per year arriving per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), supply is substantially lagging demand, which generally means heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures, while new homes are being built at an average value of $481,000—moderately above regional levels—indicating an emphasis on quality construction. Additionally, $20.5 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, suggesting balanced commercial development activity.

Compared to the rest of Qld, Ashmore records markedly lower building activity (84.0% below regional average per person). This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes. This level is similarly below the national average, indicating the area's established nature and suggesting potential planning limitations. Meanwhile, recent development has been entirely comprised of standalone homes, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. New construction favours detached housing more than current patterns suggest (69.0% at Census), demonstrating ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. The location has approximately 1309 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market.

Population forecasts indicate Ashmore will gain 1,806 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Ashmore has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 33 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include The Hills Ashmore, Hart Street Residences, Victoria & Albert Broadbeach, and Pacific Motorway (M1) Upgrades, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Ashmore shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Ashmore has a skilled workforce, with essential services sectors well represented, an unemployment rate of only 3.1%, and 3.0% estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 6,991 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 0.9% below Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%, and workforce participation is broadly similar to Regional Qld's 65.4%. Based on Census responses, a moderate 14.5% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. Meanwhile, agriculture, forestry & fishing has a limited presence with 0.5% employment compared to 4.5% regionally. While local employment opportunities exist in the area, it appears many residents commute elsewhere for work, based on the count of the Census working population relative to the local population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increase by 3.0% alongside a labour force increase of 2.5%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Qld experienced employment growth of 0.7% and labour force growth of 1.0%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Ashmore. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Ashmore's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Ashmore SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $51,482 with the average level standing at $64,520. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $53,146 and $66,593 across Regional Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $56,584 (median) and $70,914 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Ashmore, between the 37th and 40th percentiles. Looking at income distribution, the predominant cohort spans 31.3% of locals (4,030 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 31.7% in the same category. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 37th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Ashmore displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure within Ashmore, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 68.6% houses and 31.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Ashmore was in line with that of Regional Qld, at 33.0%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (41.6%) or rented (25.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well above the Regional Qld average at $1,950, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $450, compared to Regional Qld's $1,655 and $345. Nationally, Ashmore's mortgage repayments are higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ashmore features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households dominate at 69.5% of all households, comprising 30.6% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households at 26.1% and group households comprising 4.3% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people matches the Regional Qld average.

The educational profile of Ashmore exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile stands out regionally, with university qualification rates (26.0% of residents aged 15+) exceeding the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%, reflecting the community's emphasis on higher education. Bachelor degrees lead at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (14.0%) and certificates (24.9%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.0% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 52 active transport stops operating within Ashmore, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 7 individual routes, collectively providing 1,035 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 196 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 92%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. Some 14.5% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 147 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashmore's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Ashmore's health metrics sit close to national benchmarks, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~6,593 people).

The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, impacting 8.8% and 7.4% of residents, respectively, while 69.2% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 20.1% of residents aged 65 and over (2,591 people), with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Ashmore was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashmore was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 15.1% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 31.8% born overseas. The main religion in Ashmore is Christianity, which makes up 49.0% of the population. However, the most apparent overrepresentation is in Judaism, which comprises 0.3% of the population, compared to 0.1% across Regional Qld.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Ashmore are English, comprising 30.1% of the population, Australian, comprising 21.8% of the population, and Other, comprising 9.2% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: New Zealand is notably overrepresented at 1.7% of Ashmore (vs 0.9% regionally), Maori at 1.6% (vs 0.8%) and Hungarian at 0.4% (vs 0.2%).

Ashmore's median age exceeds the national pattern

The 42-year median age in Ashmore is close to Regional Qld's average of 41 and similarly well above the Australian median of 38. Compared to the Regional Qld average, the 35 - 44 cohort is notably over-represented (14.9% locally), while 65 - 74 year-olds are under-represented (8.7%). Since the 2021 Census, the area has become younger, with the median age dropping 1.0 years to 42 from 43. In particular, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 13.1% to 14.9% of the population, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 11.3% to 13.0%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 10.5% to 8.7% and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 11.6% to 10.3%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Ashmore. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to grow steadily, expanding by 564 people (34%) from 1,668 to 2,233. Conversely, the 15 to 24 group will contract by 63 residents.