Ashmore

Ashmore has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Ashmore's population is estimated at around 13,072 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 657 people (5.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,415 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 12,935 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 297 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,913 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections are adopted, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort, released in 2023 based on 2022 data. As we examine future population trends, an above median population growth of national non-metropolitan areas is projected, with Ashmore expected to increase by 1,864 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 12.3% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ashmore according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis indicates Ashmore averaged approximately 10 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 50 homes. As of FY26, 39 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.6 new residents arrived per year for each dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25, indicating demand outstripping supply, which typically drives price growth and increased buyer competition. New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $689,000, slightly above the regional average, suggesting a focus on quality developments.

This financial year has seen around $20.5 million in commercial approvals, reflecting moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Ashmore has significantly less development activity (84.0% below regional average per person), which usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. This is also lower than nationally, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. All new construction in the area consists of detached dwellings, maintaining Ashmore's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes. This favours detached housing more than current patterns suggest (69.0% at Census), demonstrating ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures.

The location has approximately 1111 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Future projections estimate Ashmore will add around 1,612 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Ashmore has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 34 projects that may impact the area. Notable ones include The Hills Ashmore, Hart Street Residences, Victoria & Albert Broadbeach, and Pacific Motorway (M1) Upgrades, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Ashmore shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Ashmore's workforce is skilled with well-represented essential services sectors. The unemployment rate was 3.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.4%.

As of June 2025, 7,008 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Rest of Qld's rate of 3.9%. Workforce participation was on par with Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Leading employment industries among residents included health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Professional & technical services had notable concentration, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing had limited presence with 0.5% employment compared to 4.5% regionally. Many residents commuted elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the 12-month period ending Sep-22, employment increased by 2.4%, labour force grew by 2.0%, and unemployment fell by 0.4 percentage points. This contrasted with Rest of Qld where employment rose by 1.8% and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 projected a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashmore's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Ashmore's median income among taxpayers was $48,928 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $63,614 during the same period. In comparison, Rest of Qld's median and average incomes were $50,780 and $64,844 respectively. Based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 13.99% since financial year 2022, estimated current incomes would be approximately $55,773 (median) and $72,514 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household, family, and personal incomes in Ashmore rank modestly, between the 37th and 40th percentiles. Income distribution shows that 31.3% of locals (4,091 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income category, which is similar to the broader area's pattern where 31.7% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Ashmore, with only 80.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 37th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Ashmore displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Ashmore's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 68.6% houses and 31.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 44.5% houses and 55.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashmore stood at 33.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.6% and rented ones at 25.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,750. The median weekly rent figure in Ashmore was $450, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $420. Nationally, Ashmore's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ashmore features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 69.5% of all households, including 30.6% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households at 26.1% and group households comprising 4.3%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.3.

Ashmore shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 26.0% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 14.0% and certificates at 24.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.0% in primary, 9.2% in secondary, and 6.1% in tertiary education. Ashmore's three schools have a combined enrollment of 1,501 students, operating under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1048) with balanced educational opportunities. These schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. School places per 100 residents stand at 11.5, below the regional average of 18.0, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas. Note: where schools show 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis in Ashmore shows 52 active transport stops operating, with a mix of bus services. These stops are served by 7 individual routes, providing a total of 1,035 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 195 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 147 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per stop.

Ashmore's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Ashmore's health metrics are close to national benchmarks. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 52%, impacting around 6,851 people, which is higher than the Rest of Qld's 49.3%. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.8% and 7.4% of residents respectively. About 69.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the Rest of Qld's 69.4%. The area has 20.5% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling 2,679 people, which is higher than the Rest of Qld's 17.1%. This aligns broadly with the general population's health profile.

Ashmore was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashmore's population was found to be more linguistically diverse than most local markets, with 15.1% speaking a language other than English at home as of the census conducted in June 2016. Overseas-born residents comprised 31.8% of Ashmore's population during this period. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 49.0% of people residing there.

Notably, Judaism was overrepresented compared to regional figures, with 0.3% of Ashmore's population identifying as such, compared to 0.2% across Rest of Qld. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups were English (30.1%), Australian (21.8%), and Other (9.2%). There were also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: New Zealanders made up 1.7% of Ashmore's population compared to 1.4% regionally, Maori comprised 1.6%, and Hungarians accounted for 0.4% versus 0.3%.

Ashmore hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Ashmore is 42 years, close to Rest of Qld's average of 41 years, and well above Australia's median of 38 years. Compared to the Rest of Qld average, the 35-44 age cohort is notably over-represented at 14.7% in Ashmore, while the 55-64 year-olds are under-represented at 10.5%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 13.1% to 14.7%, and the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 11.3% to 12.4%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort declined from 10.5% to 9.0%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 11.6% to 10.5%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Ashmore, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to expand by 612 people (38%), from 1,620 to 2,233. Meanwhile, the 55 to 64 and 65 to 74 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.