Ashmore

Ashmore has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Ashmore's population is estimated at around 12,878 as of February 2026. This reflects an increase of 463 people (3.7%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,415 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 12,820, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 297 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 1,885 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration, which was essentially the sole driver of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. As we examine future population trends, an above median population growth of national non-metropolitan areas is projected, with the suburb expected to increase by 1,864 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 14.0% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ashmore according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis indicates Ashmore averaged approximately 10 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 50 homes. As of FY26, 42 approvals have been recorded. Historically, about 4.6 new residents per year have arrived per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25, indicating demand significantly exceeds supply. New properties are constructed at an average value of $689,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year has seen around $20.5 million in commercial approvals, suggesting moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Rest of Qld, Ashmore has significantly less development activity, approximately 84.0% below regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, development activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. All new construction in the area has been detached dwellings, maintaining Ashmore's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

The location has approximately 1111 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Future projections estimate Ashmore adding around 1,806 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Ashmore has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of a region can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 33 such projects that are expected to impact this area. Key projects include The Hills Ashmore, Hart Street Residences, Victoria & Albert Broadbeach, and Pacific Motorway (M1) Upgrades.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Ashmore shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Ashmore has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 3.2% in the past year, with estimated employment growth of 2.3%. As of September 2025, 6,918 residents were employed, an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Rest of Qld's 4.1%, and workforce participation similar to Rest of Qld's 65.7%.

According to Census responses, 14.5% of residents worked from home. Leading employment industries include health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area has a notable concentration in professional & technical services, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has limited presence, with 0.5% employment compared to 4.5% regionally.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.3%, labour force grew by 2.1%, and unemployment fell by 0.3 percentage points in Ashmore, contrasting with Rest of Qld's trends. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashmore's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Ashmore's income level is below the national average, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income among taxpayers in Ashmore is $48,928 and the average income stands at $63,614, compared to figures for Rest of Qld's of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $53,777 (median) and $69,918 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Ashmore rank modestly, between the 37th and 40th percentiles. Income distribution reveals that 31.3% of locals (4,030 people) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 category, similar to the broader area where 31.7% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Ashmore, with only 80.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 37th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Ashmore displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Ashmore, as recorded in the latest Census, 68.6% of dwellings were houses with 31.4% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and others. This differed from Non-Metro Qld's figures of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashmore was at 33.0%, similar to Non-Metro Qld's level. Mortgaged dwellings made up 41.6% and rented ones, 25.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Ashmore was $1,950, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent figure for Ashmore was $450, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $375. Nationally, Ashmore's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Ashmore features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 69.5% of all households, including 30.6% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households at 26.1% and group households comprising 4.3%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which matches the average for the Rest of Qld.

Ashmore shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 26.0% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas comprise 14.0% while certificates make up 24.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.1% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.0% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Ashmore shows that there are currently 52 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 7 individual routes providing service to these locations. The combined weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes amount to 1,035. The accessibility of public transport in Ashmore is rated as excellent, with residents typically residing an average distance of 196 meters from the nearest transport stop. As primarily a residential area, most residents commute outward for work or other purposes. The car remains the dominant mode of transportation among residents, with approximately 92% of them using this method of travel.

On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling in Ashmore. According to the 2021 Census, some 14.5% of residents work from home, which may be partially attributed to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages at 147 trips per day, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashmore's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Ashmore's health data shows positive outcomes overall.

Mortality rates and health conditions align with national averages, though common health issues are slightly more prevalent than average across all age groups. Private health cover stands at approximately 52% of Ashmore's total population (~6,749 people), slightly higher than the SA2 area average. The most frequent medical conditions are arthritis (8.8%) and mental health issues (7.4%). A majority, 69.2%, report being free from medical ailments, compared to 67.6% in the rest of Queensland. Under-65 residents show better-than-average health outcomes. Ashmore has a higher proportion of older residents (aged 65 and over), at 20.1% (2,588 people). Health rankings for this age group are generally in line with national averages.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Ashmore was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashmore's population was found to be more linguistically diverse than most local markets, with 15.1% speaking a language other than English at home as of the last census. Additionally, 31.8% were born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Ashmore, making up 49.0% of its population.

However, Judaism was notably overrepresented compared to regional averages, comprising 0.3% of Ashmore's population versus 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (30.1%), Australian (21.8%), and Other (9.2%). Some ethnic groups showed significant differences in representation: New Zealanders comprised 1.7% of Ashmore's population compared to 0.9% regionally, Maori made up 1.6% versus 0.8%, and Hungarians accounted for 0.4% versus 0.2%.

Ashmore hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Ashmore was close to Rest of Qld's average of 41 years old at the time of the census, both being well above the Australian median of 38 years old. The 35-44 age cohort was notably over-represented in Ashmore with 14.9% of the population compared to the Rest of Qld average, while the 65-74 year-olds were under-represented at 8.7%. Between the 2016 and 2021 censuses, Ashmore's median age dropped by one year from 43 to 42 years old. During this period, the 35 to 44 age group grew from 13.1% to 14.9%, and the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 11.3% to 13.0%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age group declined from 10.5% to 8.7%, and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 11.6% to 10.3%. Population forecasts for Ashmore in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes, with the 25 to 34 age cohort projected to grow by 558 people (a 33% increase) from 1,674 to 2,233 residents. Conversely, the 15 to 24 age group is forecasted to decrease by 59 residents.