Ashmore

Ashmore has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Ashmore's population is estimated at around 12,878 as of Feb 2026, reflecting an increase of 463 people since the 2021 Census. The 2021 Census reported a population of 12,415 in the suburb of Ashmore. This increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 12,820 following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024, along with an additional 297 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,885 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was primarily responsible for this population growth.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used, applying proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. Future population trends project an above median growth of national non-metropolitan areas, with the suburb of Ashmore expected to increase by 1,868 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 14.1% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ashmore according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Ashmore has averaged approximately 10 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 50 homes. In FY26 so far, 45 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.6 new residents arrive per year per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25. This results in demand exceeding supply, typically leading to price growth and increased buyer competition.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $689,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment with higher-end dwellings. In FY26, there have been $20.5 million in commercial approvals, reflecting moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Ashmore has significantly less development activity, with 84.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, Ashmore's development activity is also lower, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints.

All new construction in the area since FY21 has been comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining Ashmore's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. This trend favours detached housing more than current patterns suggest (69.0% at Census), indicating ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. The location has approximately 1111 people per dwelling approval, demonstrating an established market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Ashmore is projected to add 1,810 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Ashmore has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Thirty-three infrastructure projects have been identified by AreaSearch as potentially impacting the area's performance. Notable projects include The Hills Ashmore, Hart Street Residences, Victoria & Albert Broadbeach, and Pacific Motorway (M1) Upgrades.

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The employment environment in Ashmore shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Ashmore has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.1% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.0%. As of December 2025, there were 6,991 residents employed, and the unemployment rate was 0.9% lower than Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation was similar to Regional Qld's at 65.4%. According to Census responses, 14.5% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries among residents were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Professional & technical services had notable concentration with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing had limited presence at 0.5% compared to Regional Qld's 4.5%. Many residents commuted elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the 12-month period ending in December 2025, employment increased by 3.0% while the labour force grew by 2.5%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.4 percentage points. This contrasted with Regional Qld where employment rose by 0.7%, the labour force grew by 1.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 estimated that Ashmore's employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to Ashmore's employment mix.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Ashmore suburb's income level is below national average per latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Ashmore's median income among taxpayers is $48,928 and average income stands at $63,614, compared to Regional Qld's figures of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $53,777 (median) and $69,918 (average). Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes in Ashmore rank modestly, between the 37th and 40th percentiles. Income distribution reveals that 31.3% of locals (4,030 people) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting broader area patterns where 31.7% occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 80.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 37th percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Ashmore displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Ashmore, as per the latest Census, 68.6% of dwellings were houses while 31.4% were other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Regional Queensland's figures of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashmore was 33.0%, mirroring Regional Queensland's rate. Mortgaged dwellings accounted for 41.6% and rented ones made up 25.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Ashmore was $1,950, higher than Regional Queensland's average of $1,655. Median weekly rent in Ashmore stood at $450, compared to Regional Queensland's $345. Nationally, Ashmore's mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Ashmore features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 69.5% of all households, including 30.6% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households at 26.1% and group households comprising 4.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which matches the Regional Queensland average.

Ashmore shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 26.0% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 14.0% while certificates make up 24.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.0% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Ashmore shows that there are 52 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 7 individual routes providing service. Collectively, these routes facilitate 1,035 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in Ashmore is rated as excellent, with residents typically located an average of 196 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward to other locations for work or leisure. The car remains the dominant mode of transportation, used by 92% of residents.

On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling in Ashmore. According to the 2021 Census, 14.5% of residents work from home, a figure which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 147 trips per day, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashmore's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Ashmore residents have shown relatively positive health outcomes, according to AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions.

Common health conditions were slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts, with arthritis and mental health issues affecting 8.8% and 7.4% of residents respectively. Approximately 62% of the population had private health cover, compared to the average SA2 area at around 50%. The majority of residents, 69.2%, reported being completely clear of medical ailments, slightly higher than the Regional Qld average of 67.6%. Under-65 residents demonstrated better than average health outcomes. The area had 20% of residents aged 65 and over (2,575 people), with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Ashmore was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashmore's population, as per the 2016 Census, comprised 15.1% speaking a language other than English at home and 31.8% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 49.0%. Judaism, however, was more prevalent in Ashmore at 0.3%, compared to Regional Queensland's 0.1%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (30.1%), Australian (21.8%), and Other (9.2%). Notable differences existed in the representation of New Zealanders (1.7% vs regional 0.9%), Maori (1.6% vs 0.8%), and Hungarians (0.4% vs 0.2%).

Ashmore hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Ashmore was close to Regional Queensland's average of 41 years at the time of the census, both figures being well above Australia's median age of 38 years. Comparing Ashmore with Regional Queensland, the cohort aged 35-44 was notably over-represented locally at 14.9%, while those aged 65-74 were under-represented at 8.7%. Between the censuses conducted on 2021-08-10 and 2016-08-09, Ashmore's median age decreased by one year to 42 years. During this period, the proportion of residents aged 35-44 increased from 13.1% to 14.9%, while those aged 25-34 rose from 11.3% to 13.0%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 65-74 declined from 10.5% to 8.7%, and those aged 55-64 decreased from 11.6% to 10.3%. Population forecasts for Ashmore indicate significant demographic changes by 2041. The cohort aged 25-34 is projected to grow steadily, increasing by 559 people (33%) from 1,674 to 2,234 residents. Conversely, the cohort aged 15-24 is forecasted to decrease by 73 residents.