Ashmore

Ashmore has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Ashmore's population is estimated at around 12,809 as of May 2026, reflecting an increase of 394 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 12,415. This change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population using latest ERP data release by ABS (June 2025) and additional 297 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 1,875 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration primarily drove recent population growth in the suburb of Ashmore. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are adopted, applying proportional growth weightings for age cohorts using ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Future population trends project an above median growth for national non-metropolitan areas, with the suburb of Ashmore expected to increase by 1,734 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 13.5% over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ashmore according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Ashmore averaged around 10 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 50 homes. As of FY26 so far, 50 approvals have been recorded. Historically, each year has seen an average of 4.6 new residents per dwelling constructed between FY21 and FY25, indicating demand exceeds supply. New properties are constructed at an average value of $689,000, targeting the premium market segment.

This financial year has seen $20.5 million in commercial approvals, showing moderate commercial development levels. Compared to Rest of Qld, Ashmore has significantly less development activity, 84.0% below regional average per person. This constrained new construction often reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, Ashmore's development activity is also lower, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints. All new construction in the area has been detached dwellings, maintaining its suburban identity with family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

Detached housing favours more than current patterns suggest (69.0% at Census), demonstrating robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. Ashmore has approximately 1111 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Future projections estimate Ashmore adding 1,734 residents by 2041 from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Ashmore has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 33 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include De Hart (Hart Street Residences), The Hills Ashmore, Victoria & Albert Broadbeach, and Pacific Motorway (M1) Upgrades. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in Ashmore shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Ashmore has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.1% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 3.0%. As of December 2025, 6,991 residents were employed, and the unemployment rate was 0.9% lower than Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%.

Workforce participation was 67.3%, compared to Regional Qld's 64.5%. According to Census responses, 14.5% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Professional & technical services had notably high concentration, with employment levels at 1.5 times the regional average.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing had limited presence, with only 0.5% employment compared to Regional Qld's 4.5%. Many residents commuted elsewhere for work based on Census data comparison of working population and local population. In the 12-month period ending May-25, employment increased by 3.0%, labour force grew by 2.5%, and unemployment rate fell by 0.4 percentage points in Ashmore. This contrasted with Regional Qld, where employment rose by 0.7%, labour force grew by 1.0%, and unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia projected a 6.6% expansion over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashmore's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years, though this was a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and did not account for localised population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

The suburb of Ashmore had a median income among taxpayers of $48,928 and an average income of $63,614 in the financial year 2023, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. These figures are below those for Regional Qld, which were $53,146 (median) and $66,593 (average). By March 2026, current estimates project these figures to be approximately $54,486 (median) and $70,841 (average), based on a Wage Price Index growth of 11.36%. Census 2021 income data shows that in Ashmore, household incomes rank at the 37th percentile, family incomes at the 39th percentile, and personal incomes at the 40th percentile. The predominant income cohort in Ashmore spans 31.3% of locals (4,009 people), earning between $1,500 - 2,999 annually. This is similar to the broader area where 31.7% fall within this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe in Ashmore, with only 80.9% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 37th percentile. The suburb's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Ashmore displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Ashmore, as per the latest Census evaluation, 68.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 31.4% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This differs from Regional Queensland's dwelling structure, which was 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashmore stood at 33.0%, similar to Regional Queensland's rate. The majority of dwellings were mortgaged (41.6%), with the rest rented (25.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in Ashmore was $1,950, higher than Regional Queensland's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent in Ashmore was recorded at $450, compared to Regional Queensland's $375 and the national average of $375. Nationally, Ashmore's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863.

Ashmore features high concentrations of group households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 69.5% of all households, including 30.6% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households at 26.1% and group households making up 4.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.5 people, which aligns with the Regional Queensland average.

Ashmore shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 26.0% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 14.0% and certificates for 24.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.0% in primary, 9.2% in secondary, and 6.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that there are 52 active public transport stops in Ashmore. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with seven individual routes operating collectively providing 1035 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 196 meters from the nearest stop. As primarily residential area, most commutes are outward-bound and cars remain the dominant mode of transport at 92%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census data (which may reflect COVID-19 conditions), 14.5% of residents work from home.

The service frequency averages 147 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashmore's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Ashmore's health metrics closely match national benchmarks, as assessed by AreaSearch using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts. Private health cover stands at approximately 52% of the total population (~6,713 people), leading the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (8.8%) and mental health issues (7.4%). A total of 69.2% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. Health outcomes for the under-65 population are better than average. The area has 20.5% of residents aged 65 and over (2,625 people), with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Ashmore was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashmore's population showed high diversity, with 15.1% speaking a language other than English at home and 31.8% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 49.0%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to Regional Qld's 0.1%.

In ancestry, English (30.1%), Australian (21.8%), and Other (9.2%) were the top groups. Notable ethnic group divergences included New Zealand (Ashmore: 1.7% vs regional: 0.9%), Maori (Ashmore: 1.6% vs regional: 0.8%), and Hungarian (Ashmore: 0.4% vs regional: 0.2%).

Ashmore hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Ashmore is 42 years, which is close to Regional Queensland's average of 41 and well above Australia's median of 38. Compared to Regional Queensland's average, the 35-44 age group is notably over-represented at 14.5% locally, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 8.8%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 13.1% to 14.5%, while the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 10.5% to 8.8%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Ashmore. The 25-34 age group is projected to expand by 526 people (33%), growing from 1,575 to 2,102. Meanwhile, the 15-24 cohort is projected to decline by 67 people.