Ashmore

Ashmore has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, as of November 2025, Ashmore's estimated population is around 12,878. This reflects an increase of 463 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 12,415. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 12,820 following examination of the ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024, combined with an additional 297 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,885 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration was primarily driving this growth during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023, based on 2021 data, are used. However, these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence proportional growth weightings aligned with ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort are applied when utilised. Future population trends project an above median growth for national non-metropolitan areas. By 2041, the Ashmore statistical area is expected to increase by 1,864 persons, reflecting a total increase of 14.0% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Ashmore according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Ashmore averaged around 10 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling approximately 50 homes. As of FY26, 42 approvals have been recorded. Historically, each dwelling constructed has attracted an average of 4.6 new residents per year between FY21 and FY25, indicating demand outstripping supply. New properties are being constructed at an average expected cost of $689,000, targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year has seen $20.5 million in commercial approvals, reflecting moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Ashmore exhibits significantly less development activity, 84.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction typically reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings. Nationally, Ashmore's development activity is also lower, suggesting market maturity and possible development constraints. All new construction in Ashmore has been comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

This trend favours detached housing more than current patterns suggest (69.0% at Census), demonstrating ongoing robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures. The location currently has approximately 1111 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Ashmore is projected to add 1,806 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Ashmore has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 33 projects that may impact the area. Notable projects include The Hills Ashmore, Hart Street Residences, Victoria & Albert Broadbeach, and Pacific Motorway (M1) Upgrades. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The employment environment in Ashmore shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Ashmore has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. The unemployment rate was 3.2% in the past year.

Employment growth was estimated at 2.3%. As of September 2025, 6,918 residents were employed with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Rest of Qld's 4.1%. Workforce participation was on par with Rest of Qld's 59.1%. Leading employment industries included health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.

Professional & technical services had notable concentration at 1.5 times the regional average. Agriculture, forestry & fishing had limited presence at 0.5% compared to 4.5% regionally. Many residents commuted elsewhere for work based on Census data. In the 12-month period ending September 2025, employment increased by 2.3% and labour force by 2.1%, reducing unemployment by 0.3 percentage points. This contrasted with Rest of Qld where employment rose by 1.7% but unemployment rose by 0.3 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 showed QLD employment contracted by 0.01%. The state unemployment rate was 4.2%, in line with the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts from May-25 projected national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Ashmore's employment mix, local employment was estimated to increase by 6.8% over five years and 13.9% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

Ashmore suburb's income level is below national average according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Ashmore suburb's median income among taxpayers is $48,928 and average income stands at $63,614, compared to Rest of Qld's figures of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $53,777 (median) and $69,918 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Ashmore, between the 37th and 40th percentiles. Income distribution reveals that predominant cohort spans 31.3% of locals (4,030 people) in $1,500 - 2,999 category, reflecting broader area pattern where 31.7% similarly occupy this range. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 80.9% of income remaining, ranking at the 37th percentile. Area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Ashmore displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Ashmore's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 68.6% houses and 31.4% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 44.5% houses and 55.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Ashmore stood at 33.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.6% and rented ones at 25.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,950, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,750. The median weekly rent figure in Ashmore was $450, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $420. Nationally, Ashmore's mortgage repayments were higher at $1,950 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Ashmore features high concentrations of group households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 69.5% of all households, including 30.6% couples with children, 25.6% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 30.5%, with lone person households at 26.1% and group households making up 4.3%. The median household size is 2.5 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.3.

Ashmore shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 26.0%, exceeding the Rest of Qld average of 20.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 18.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (14.0%) and certificates (24.9%).

Educational participation is high at 32.1%, comprising primary education (10.0%), secondary education (9.2%), and tertiary education (6.1%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Analysis of public transport in Ashmore shows 52 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops service a mix of bus routes, with 7 individual routes providing a total of 1,035 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 196 meters from the nearest transport stop.

Service frequency averages 147 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 19 weekly trips per individual stop.

Ashmore's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Ashmore's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts.

The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 52% of the total population (~6,749 people), compared to 49.3% across Rest of Qld. The most common medical conditions in the area are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 8.8% and 7.4% of residents respectively. Sixty-nine point two percent of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 69.4% across Rest of Qld. Twenty point five percent of residents are aged 65 and over (2,639 people), which is higher than the 17.1% in Rest of Qld.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Ashmore was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Ashmore's population showed higher linguistic diversity, with 15.1% speaking a language other than English at home as of the latest data from July 2018. In terms of birthplace, 31.8% of Ashmore residents were born overseas by June 2016. Christianity was identified as the predominant religion in Ashmore, accounting for 49.0%.

However, Judaism saw a slightly higher representation in Ashmore at 0.3%, compared to the Rest of Qld's 0.2% as of July 2018. Regarding ancestry, the top three groups were English (30.1%), Australian (21.8%), and Other (9.2%). Notably, New Zealanders comprised 1.7% of Ashmore's population compared to the regional average of 1.4%. Maori representation was also notable at 1.6%, matching the regional figure. Additionally, Hungarians made up 0.4% of Ashmore's population, slightly higher than the Rest of Qld's 0.3%.

Ashmore hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Ashmore is 42 years, close to Rest of Qld's average of 41 but above the Australian median of 38. Compared to Rest of Qld, the 35-44 cohort is over-represented at 14.7% locally while the 55-64 year-olds are under-represented at 10.5%. Between the 2021 Census and now, the 35-44 age group has grown from 13.1% to 14.7%, the 15-24 cohort increased from 11.3% to 12.4%, the 65-74 cohort declined from 10.5% to 9.0%, and the 55-64 group dropped from 11.6% to 10.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes for Ashmore, with the 25-34 age cohort projected to expand by 636 people (40%) from 1,596 to 2,233, while the 65-74 and 15-24 cohorts are expected to decline.