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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Carrara has an estimated 14,316 residents, up from 13,138 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,178 people, or 9.0%. Growth has averaged 1.7% a year over five years. Overseas migration accounts for 56.0% of that increase. That puts 1,082 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Carrara has an estimated population of approximately 14,316, determined through AreaSearch's evaluation of wider ABS demographic updates alongside post-Census address validations. This represents an expansion of 1,178 people (9.0%) from the 13,138 people documented in the 2021 Census. Such movement is calculated from a resident base of 14,314, established by AreaSearch via the latest ABS ERP release (June 2025) plus 37 validated new addresses added following the Census date. The resulting population density stands at 1,082 persons per square kilometer, aligning closely with typical benchmarks across locations analyzed by AreaSearch.
With a 9.0% expansion rate since the 2021 census, the suburb of Carrara outpaced the broader SA3 area (6.7%), establishing itself as a regional growth frontrunner. Inbound international migration served as the primary growth catalyst, generating approximately 56.00000000000001% of total population additions over recent intervals, while natural increase and interstate arrivals also delivered positive contributions. SA2-level demographic modelling utilizes ABS/Geoscience Australia projections published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline, while Queensland State Government SA2 figures released in 2023 (utilizing 2021 data) cover intervals beyond 2032 or areas missing from the federal series. Because state estimates omit age-specific breakdowns, AreaSearch incorporates age-cohort growth weightings derived from the 2023 ABS Greater Capital Region release (based on 2022 data). Anticipated demographic patterns indicate that the suburb of Carrara will record expansion slightly underneath national regional medians, with aggregated SA2 projections pointing to an influx of 1,362 persons to 2041, translating to an overall 9.5% gain across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
133 new dwellings have been approved in Carrara over the past five years, an average of 26 a year. That places the area in the 70th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 2 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 39 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 33% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 73, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
AreaSearch's evaluation of ABS residential construction approvals across statistical areas shows Carrara recording an average of roughly 26 new home permits annually, totaling an estimated 133 residential approvals across the preceding 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 73 to date in FY-25. Inbound migration has averaged 6 people per year for every home constructed throughout the previous 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating that new residential supply lags significantly behind demographic expansion, heightening buyer competition and driving cost escalation where newly approved homes carry an average expected construction cost of $593,000.
Additionally, non-residential development has shown moderate momentum, with $15.8 million in commercial approvals logged during this financial year. Per capita building activity in Carrara aligns closely with Rest of Qld, sustaining local market equilibrium in line with regional trends. Nevertheless, building rates remain lower than the national average, reflecting an established urban landscape and prospective land constraints. Incoming residential supply is distributed across 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% townhouses or apartments, delivering medium-density living choices suited to downsizers, property investors, and first-home buyers. This composition marks a noticeable shift from the existing dwelling stock (where houses represent 52.0%), addressing changing buyer budgets and dwindling broadacre land. A ratio of roughly 320 people per approval further underscores a mature development climate. Long-term forecasts indicate that Carrara will welcome an additional 1,360 residents by 2041 according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. If ongoing building approval volumes remain unchanged, residential supply could fall short of incoming population growth, creating intensified competition among buyers and bolstering upward property values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Carrara
Loading development applications…
| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 9 current infrastructure and development projects inside Carrara, worth an estimated $3.88 billion. A further 81 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $41.8 billion. 34 are already under construction and 39 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, transport & logistics and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local capital works, major development initiatives, and planning schemes significantly shape property performance and community evolution. AreaSearch has identified a total of 21 key projects positioned to influence the district, including major undertakings like the Coomera Connector Stage 1 South, Nielsens Road Apartment Development, Serenity Estate - Gilston, and Carrara Stadium - 2032 Olympics Venue.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Coomera Connector Stage 1 South
Stage 1 South is the 4 km southern package of the Coomera Connector (M9), delivering a four-lane motorway from Smith Street Motorway to Nerang-Broadbeach Road. Works include a grade-separated interchange at Southport-Nerang Road, a new intersection at Nerang-Broadbeach Road, an approximately 300 m bridge over the Nerang River, and shared walking and cycling infrastructure. Main construction commenced in June 2025 and remains underway.
Kokomo Gold Coast
Luxury riverfront residential development comprising 66 apartments across two six-level buildings with 75 metres of Nerang River frontage. Features include an infinity pool, resident jetty, landscaped recreation areas and premium finishes. Construction is in its final stages with apartments now being marketed as ready for occupation during 2026.
Cumulus Grand Villas
Cumulus Grand Villas is a private gated community comprising 59 luxury three- and four-bedroom townhomes set on an elevated ridgeline overlooking 250 hectares of natural savanna. The development features an infinity pool terrace, a 2-acre private nature reserve, and environmental walking trails.
Cypress Central
Cypress Central is an approved 25 hectare masterplanned mixed-use urban village fronting the Gooding Drive and Nerang-Broadbeach Road roundabout in Carrara, on the boundary with Clear Island Waters and Merrimac and adjoining Palm Meadows Golf Course. The site, long known locally as cow corner due to a herd of Charolais cattle that have grazed there for many years, has preliminary approval from City of Gold Coast for an 11-tower village comprising about 1,550 dwellings together with around 10,000 square metres of office, retail and clubhouse space, for a total gross floor area of approximately 172,658 square metres.Towers range from four to 19 storeys, with a five hectare elevated podium designed as a refuge in extreme flood events. The site is owned by Cypress Gardens Development Corporation, a subsidiary of JLF Corporation. In early 2025 it was listed for sale via Moelis Australia and Savills, with the vendor seeking either a development partner or an outright buyer to take the project to construction.
Serenity Estate - Gilston
Serenity Estate - Gilston is a 31 lot residential subdivision in the family friendly suburb of Gilston on the western Gold Coast. The project delivers flat, usable lots ranging from about 426 m2 to 1,282 m2, with civil works and roads completed and land now being sold for detached homes close to schools, shops and parks.
Emerald Lakes Masterplan
A billion-dollar masterplanned community completed in 2018 featuring 1,750 residential dwellings, 25,000sqm of mixed-use commercial space, a 37-hectare lake, an 18-hole Graham Marsh designed championship golf course, shops, restaurants, medical facilities, and over 4.5km of walking paths. The development creates a European-style village environment with easy access to schools, transport, and beaches.
Nielsens Road Apartment Development
A 10.86-hectare development site at Carrara on the Gold Coast with development approval for 270 apartments, extended by Gold Coast City Council until 2027. The site sold in September 2023 and is well positioned opposite a Woolworths supermarket, near Nerang Train Station, Metricon Stadium, multiple golf clubs, and within 5-6 km of Pacific Fair and Broadbeach.
44 Gilston Road Nerang Mixed-Use Development Site
An 11.63 ha centre-zoned masterplanned mixed-use development site at the heart of the Gold Coast, holding Preliminary Approval for retail, large format showroom, service station, health and medical, office, retirement living, aged care and residential uses with building heights of up to six storeys. The site features over 180 metres of Nerang River frontage, direct access to the M1 Pacific Motorway and is 1.7 km from Nerang Train Station. The site was sold on 5 February 2026 via the Expressions of Interest campaign conducted by Ray White Special Projects QLD and Colliers.
7,912 residents of Carrara are employed, from a labour force of 8,154. Unemployment sits at 3.0%, with participation at 67.0%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.5% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 12,853, about 90% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
AreaSearch's compilation of regional statistical data indicates that Carrara features a capable labor pool spanning diverse industries, recording an unemployment rate of only 3.0% alongside an estimated 3.5% job growth over the preceding year. As of March 2026, employed residents total 7,912, while local unemployment sits 0.9% beneath the 3.9% recorded across Regional Qld. Labor force participation is solid at 67.0% (compared to 64.2% in Regional Qld), and 15.0% of local workers indicated working from home in Census records, a metric subject to the prevailing Covid-19 lockdown conditions. The primary employment fields for local residents comprise health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade.
The local workforce exhibits an exceptional concentration in arts & recreation, employing personnel at 2.0 times the regional benchmark. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for merely 0.4% of local employment against 4.5% across Regional Qld. A comparison of resident workers to the Census working population indicates a constrained volume of local job opportunities within the immediate area. According to AreaSearch's evaluation of ABS and SALM statistical data, during the 12 months to March 2026, local employment grew by 3.5% while the labor force expanded by 3.3%, yielding a 0.2 percentage points reduction in unemployment. Over the identical timeframe, Regional Qld saw employment rise by 0.1%, workforce numbers lift by 0.3%, and unemployment climb by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national projections from Mar-26 provide broader visibility into prospective labor demand, with national job figures estimated to increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Correlating these sector trajectories against Carrara's existing industry profile points to local employment growth of 6.5% over five years and 13.4% over ten years (representing a baseline weighting calculation for comparison that excludes localized population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Carrara is $1,562 a week (about $81,000 a year), with median personal income at $771 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $50,303 a year against an average of $61,171. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Data from the ATO compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicates that income figures in the suburb of Carrara trail the national benchmark. Median taxpayer earnings in the suburb of Carrara sit at $50,303 while the average is $61,171, compared with Regional Qld figures of $53,146 and $66,593, respectively. Accounting for an 11.36% Wage Price Index lift since financial year 2023, modeled earnings stand at approximately $56,017 (median) and $68,120 (average) as of March 2026. Findings from the 2021 Census position Carrara's personal, family, and household earnings moderately between the 39th and 43rd percentiles.
The primary earning band is the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket, capturing 32.5% of residents (4,652 people), mirroring the broader region's 31.7% share. Severe affordability constraints mean only 80.8% of income remains uncommitted, placing the suburb at the 36th percentile, while its SEIFA income score falls into the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Carrara had 5,176 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 52% detached houses and 9% apartments. 40% are owned with a mortgage, 28% rented and 32% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $450 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,900 a month. Rent absorbs 28.8% of household income here and mortgage repayments 28.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, the housing landscape in Carrara was divided between 52.1% separate houses and 47.9% other dwelling types such as apartments, semi-detached properties, and alternative accommodation, standing in contrast to Regional Qld's breakdown of 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Outright property ownership in Carrara reached 32.3%, matching the regional benchmark, while 39.6% of homes carried a mortgage and 28.1% were leased. Typical monthly mortgage payments stood at $1,900 and median weekly rents were $450, tracking well above Regional Qld averages of $1,655 and $345. Across the country, Carrara's mortgage commitments exceed the Australian benchmark of $1,863, with rental costs remaining significantly higher than the national standard of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Carrara counted 5,176 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 5,640 today, averaging 2.4 people each. 28% are couples with children, against 29% couples without children. 25% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.5 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families constitute the clear majority of local living arrangements at 71.0% of all households, broken down into couples without children (29.4%), couples with children (28.0%), and single parent households (12.5%). The remaining 29.0% consists of non-family living structures, where single-person residences represent 24.7% and group households comprise 4.3%. Typical household occupancy stands at 2.4 people, slightly beneath the Regional Qld benchmark of 2.5.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
23.2% of adults in Carrara hold a university qualification, including 16.2% with a bachelor degree and 4.5% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 80% of areas nationally. A further 26.6% hold a vocational qualification. 3 schools serve the area, with 1,748 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,107 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Tertiary educational attainment in Carrara falls behind national levels, with 23.2% of residents aged 15+ holding higher education degrees compared to 30.4% across Australia, pointing to scope for broader skills development. Among degree holders, bachelor qualifications represent 16.2%, postgraduate credentials account for 4.5%, and graduate diplomas make up 2.5%. Technical and trade qualifications are widespread, with 40.0% of individuals aged 15+ possessing vocational training, split between advanced diplomas (13.4%) and certificates (26.6%). Active participation in study is strong throughout the community, with 26.8% of the local population engaged in educational programs.
This cohort is distributed across primary schooling (8.9%), secondary education (7.7%), and tertiary studies (4.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Carrara means driving: households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles, and no scheduled public transport appears in the current timetable feeds. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.9% of residents in Carrara report no long-term health condition. 4.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 51.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 4.8 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch's review of mortality and long-term health condition statistics, Carrara records favorable health metrics, with minimal occurrences of common medical conditions across both younger and older age brackets, alongside a private health insurance coverage rate of approximately 51% of all residents (~7,364 people). Arthritis and mental health conditions represent the most prevalent health concerns locally, reported by 8.5 and 7.4% of residents, respectively, whereas 68.9% of the population indicated experiencing no medical conditions, outperforming the 67.6% recorded across Regional Qld. Working-age health metrics generally mirror wider norms, and seniors aged 65 and over comprise 22.0% of the community (3,149 people), higher than the 20.3% regional benchmark, with older residents maintaining above-average health results.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
29.5% of Carrara residents were born overseas and 13.1% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (30.3%) and Australian (22.9%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Carrara exhibits elevated cultural diversity relative to most surrounding areas, with 29.5% of residents born abroad and 13.1% communicating in a language other than English at home. Christianity constitutes the predominant faith, practiced by 51.7% of the community. In addition, Judaism exhibits clear overrepresentation locally, comprising 0.3% of residents compared to 0.1% throughout Regional Qld. Regarding ancestral background based on parental country of birth, the primary groups identified in Carrara are English (30.3%), Australian (22.9%), and Other (8.5%). Notable proportional variations appear among other communities, including New Zealand heritage at 1.4% (against 0.9% across the region), Maori at 1.1% (compared to 0.8%), and South Australian at 0.8% (versus 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Carrara is 42. 25.6% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The age distribution in Carrara aligns closely with Regional Qld benchmarks, showing a maximum divergence of only 2.1 percentage points across the four broad demographic categories. AreaSearch calculates a median age of 42 as at August 2026, remaining stable since the 2021 Census and sitting 1 year higher than the Regional Qld figure of 41 recorded at that time. Middle-aged residents and early retirees (45 - 64) have decreased from 26.5% of the population to an estimated 24.6%. Projections to 2041 indicate that the 25 - 44 age cohort will experience the highest increase, adding 732 residents (20%) to reach 4,454, while younger cohorts and children are anticipated to decline over the identical timeframe.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Carrara
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Jul 2026 3 months ago all 9 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Jul 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 37 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (13,138 at the 2021 Census → 14,316 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL30550). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.