Panton Hill - St Andrews
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Panton Hill - St Andrews reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Panton Hill - St Andrews' population is around 5,158 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 67 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,091 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 5,153 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 4 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 17.7 persons per square kilometer. Panton Hill - St Andrews' 1.3% growth since census positions it within 1.0 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.3%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 54.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth is projected for statistical areas across the nation. The area is expected to grow by 1,051 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers, recording a gain of 20.3% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Panton Hill - St Andrews is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Panton Hill - St Andrews has recorded approximately 8 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 41 homes were approved, with an additional 4 approved so far in FY26. The area has experienced population decline while housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $525,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY26, there have been $1.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Panton Hill - St Andrews shows approximately 65% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 24th percentile nationally for areas assessed, offering more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing homes. Recent building activity consists entirely of detached houses, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 688 people. By 2041, Panton Hill - St Andrews is expected to grow by 1,046 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Panton Hill - St Andrews has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 41 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Diamond Creek Trail Extension to Hurstbridge, Winneke Solar Farm in Kangaroo Ground, intersection maintenance works, and Yan Yean Road Development Plan (1025 Yan Yean Road). The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Panton Hill - St Andrews ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Panton Hill - St Andrews has a well-educated workforce with significant representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 1.9% as of June 2025, compared to Greater Melbourne's 4.6%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.4%. There were 3,088 residents employed while the unemployment rate was 2.7% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate. Workforce participation was on par with Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Key employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Construction employment levels were notably high at 2.1 times the regional average, while retail trade showed lower representation at 6.7% compared to the regional average of 9.8%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 1.4%, with labour force increasing by a similar rate, keeping unemployment broadly flat. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.5% and unemployment rise by 0.5 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Panton Hill - St Andrews' employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.5% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year ended June 2022, Panton Hill - St Andrews had a median income among taxpayers of $52,858 and an average level of $81,821. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Melbourne-wide levels of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth since June 2022 until September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $59,286 and average income is around $91,770. From the Census conducted in August 2021, household incomes rank at the 81st percentile with a weekly income of $2,254. Income analysis shows that 30.4% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, mirroring the regional average of 32.8%. The district exhibits high affluence with 36.9% earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting premium retail services. After housing costs, residents retain 89.0% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Panton Hill - St Andrews is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Panton Hill - St Andrews, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.8% houses and 0.2% other dwellings. In comparison, Melbourne metro had 93.9% houses and 6.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Panton Hill - St Andrews was at 48.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.9% and rented ones at 6.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent was $300, lower than Melbourne metro's figure of $431. Nationally, Panton Hill - St Andrews' mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,200 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower at $300 compared to the national figure of $375.

Panton Hill - St Andrews features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 83.9 percent of all households, including 40.2 percent that are couples with children, 33.1 percent that are couples without children, and 10.0 percent that are single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.1 percent, with lone person households at 13.9 percent and group households comprising 2.4 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which matches the Greater Melbourne average.

Panton Hill - St Andrews shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Panton Hill - St Andrews show that 31.1% of residents aged 15+ have university degrees, compared to 37.0% in Greater Melbourne. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 19.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.7%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 37.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 13.3% and certificates at 23.9%. Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 9.3% in secondary, 8.9% in primary, and 5.2% in tertiary education.

There are nine schools operating within Panton Hill - St Andrews, educating approximately 1,303 students. The area has above-average socio-educational conditions (ICSEA: 1064) and functions as an education hub with 25.3 school places per 100 residents, attracting students from surrounding communities.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows two active transport stops operating within Panton Hill-St Andrews. These stops offer a mix of bus services, collectively providing 623 weekly passenger trips via one individual route. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 5559 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 89 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 311 weekly trips per stop.

The level of general health in Panton Hill - St Andrews is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Panton Hill - St Andrews shows superior health outcomes for both young and elderly residents, with low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 61% of its total population of 3,136 people have private health cover, higher than the national average of 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (9.0%) and mental health issues (7.7%). About 69.4% of residents report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Melbourne's 70.6%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 23.9% or 1,231 people, compared to Greater Melbourne's 19.2%. Health outcomes among seniors in Panton Hill - St Andrews are notably strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Panton Hill - St Andrews is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Panton Hill-St Andrews had a cultural diversity below average, with 87.0% of its population born in Australia, 91.9% being citizens, and 95.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 38.3% of people in Panton Hill-St Andrews as of 2016 Census data. Notably, Judaism had a higher representation in Panton Hill-St Andrews at 0.2%, compared to 0.1% across Greater Melbourne.

The top three ancestry groups were English (32.4%), Australian (28.1%), and Irish (10.7%). Other ethnic groups showed variations: Scottish was overrepresented at 9.4% versus the regional average of 8.2%, Dutch remained similar at 1.5%, while Italian had a lower representation at 3.8% compared to Greater Melbourne's 6.2%.

Panton Hill - St Andrews hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

At 48 years, Panton Hill - St Andrews's median age is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile indicates that those aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, making up 14.6% of the population, which is notably higher than both the Greater Melbourne figure (9%) and the national average of 9.4%. Meanwhile, the 25-34 age group comprises only 6.3%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 8.7%. Between 2021 and present, the proportion of those aged 75-84 has increased from 5.3% to 7.8%, while the 15-24 cohort has risen slightly from 13.1% to 14.2%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group has decreased from 15.6% to 13.8%, and the 55-64 group has dropped from 18.2% to 16.9%. By 2041, significant demographic shifts are projected for Panton Hill - St Andrews. The 75-84 age cohort is expected to grow by 74%, adding 295 residents and reaching a total of 695. This growth will be driven primarily by seniors aged 65 and above, who will contribute 61% of the population increase, reflecting broader demographic aging trends. In contrast, the 0-4 age cohort is projected to grow by a modest 1%, adding only 1 person to its total.