Panton Hill - St Andrews

An assessment of population growth drivers in Panton Hill - St Andrews reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Panton Hill - St Andrews' population is around 5,158 as of Nov 2025. This reflects an increase of 67 people (1.3%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5,091 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 5,153 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 4 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 17.7 persons per square kilometer. Panton Hill - St Andrews' 1.3% growth since census positions it within 1.0 percentage points of the SA3 area (2.3%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 54.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, an above median population growth of statistical areas across the nation is projected, with the area expected to grow by 1,051 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a gain of 20.3% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Panton Hill - St Andrews is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Panton Hill - St Andrews has granted around 8 residential properties approval annually. Over the past 5 financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 41 homes were approved, with an additional 4 approved in FY-26 so far. Despite population decline, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice.

New properties are constructed at an average value of $525,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment. In FY-26, there have been $1.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Panton Hill - St Andrews shows approximately 65% of the construction activity per person and ranks among the 23rd percentile nationally, offering limited buyer choices and supporting demand for existing homes. Recent building activity consists entirely of detached houses, preserving the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

The estimated population-to-dwelling approval ratio is 688 people per dwelling. By 2041, Panton Hill - St Andrews is expected to grow by 1,046 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Panton Hill - St Andrews has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 41 projects that could impact the region. Notable initiatives include extending Diamond Creek Trail to Hurstbridge, constructing Winneke Solar Farm in Kangaroo Ground, maintaining intersections, and planning development at 1025 Yan Yean Road. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Panton Hill - St Andrews ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Panton Hill - St Andrews has an educated workforce with a notable presence in the construction sector. As of September 2025, unemployment stands at 2.1%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.7%.

Employment is concentrated in construction (2.1 times regional average), health care & social assistance, and education & training. Retail trade has lower representation at 6.7% compared to the regional average of 9.8%. Over the year to September 2025, labour force levels increased by 0.1%, while employment decreased by 0.1%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0% and unemployment rise by 0.3%.

State-wide in Victoria, employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year (adding 41,950 jobs) as of 25-Nov, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Panton Hill - St Andrews' employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, though this is an illustrative extrapolation not accounting for localised population projections.

Income analysis reveals strong economic positioning, with the area outperforming 60% of locations assessed nationally by AreaSearch

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on June 30, 2022, Panton Hill - St Andrews SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $52,858 and an average level of $81,821. This is among the highest in Australia compared to Greater Melbourne's levels of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth since June 30, 2022, current estimates would be approximately $59,286 (median) and $91,770 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 81st percentile ($2,254 weekly). Income analysis shows that 30.4% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, mirroring the region where 32.8% occupy this bracket. The district demonstrates affluence with 36.9% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 89.0% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Panton Hill - St Andrews is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Panton Hill - St Andrews, as per the latest Census evaluation, 99.8% of dwellings were houses with 0.2% being other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, or 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Melbourne metro's figures of 93.9% houses and 6.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Panton Hill - St Andrews stood at 48.2%, with mortgaged properties at 44.9% and rented ones at 6.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,200, higher than Melbourne metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent in the area was recorded as $300, lower than Melbourne metro's figure of $431. Nationally, Panton Hill - St Andrews' mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,200 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower at $300 versus the national figure of $375.

Panton Hill - St Andrews features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 83.9 percent of all households, including 40.2 percent couples with children, 33.1 percent couples without children, and 10.0 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 16.1 percent, with lone person households at 13.9 percent and group households making up 2.4 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, which matches the Greater Melbourne average.

Panton Hill - St Andrews shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

Educational qualifications in Panton Hill show that 31.1% of residents aged 15+ have university degrees, compared to Greater Melbourne's 37.0%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.7%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 37.2% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (13.3%) and certificates (23.9%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.6% currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.3% in secondary, 8.9% in primary, and 5.2% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows two active stops in Panton Hill - St Andrews, served by buses. These stops are covered by one route, offering 623 weekly passenger trips combined. Accessibility is limited, with residents usually 5559 meters from the nearest stop.

Services average 89 daily trips across all routes, equating to around 311 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Panton Hill - St Andrews is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Panton Hill - St Andrews shows superior health outcomes for both young and elderly residents. Common health conditions have low prevalence: arthritis affects 9.0%, mental health issues impact 7.7%.

Private health cover is high at 61% compared to the national average of 55.3%. A total of 3,136 people reside in the area. Among them, 69.4% report no medical ailments, slightly lower than Greater Melbourne's 70.6%. The most prevalent conditions are arthritis and mental health issues. Residents aged 65 and over comprise 23.9%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 19.2%; this totals 1,231 people. Health metrics for seniors exceed those of the general population in the area.

Panton Hill - St Andrews is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Panton Hill-St Andrews, surveyed in June 2016, had a predominantly Australian-born population with 87.0% born there, and 91.9% being citizens. English was the primary language spoken at home by 95.9%. Christianity was the predominant religion, with 38.3% of residents identifying as Christian.

Notably, Judaism was slightly overrepresented compared to Greater Melbourne, comprising 0.2% versus 0.1%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (32.4%), Australian (28.1%), and Irish (10.7%). There were notable differences in representation for certain ethnicities: Scottish was slightly overrepresented at 9.4%, Dutch showed no significant difference at 1.5%, while Italian was underrepresented with 3.8% compared to the regional average of 6.2%.

Panton Hill - St Andrews hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Panton Hill - St Andrews has a median age of 48 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that residents aged 65-74 are particularly prominent, making up 14.6% of the population, compared to 9.4% nationally and a smaller proportion of those aged 25-34 at 6.3%. Since 2021, the 75-84 age group has grown from 5.3% to 7.8%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 13.1% to 14.2%. Conversely, the 45-54 age group declined from 15.6% to 13.8% and the 55-64 group dropped from 18.2% to 16.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Panton Hill - St Andrews. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 74%, adding 295 residents to reach 695. Residents aged 65 and above will drive 61% of the population growth, underscoring trends towards an aging demographic. Meanwhile, the 0-4 age cohort is expected to grow by a modest 1%, adding just 1 person.