Panton Hill - St Andrews

An assessment of population growth drivers in Panton Hill - St Andrews reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Panton Hill - St Andrews' population is around 5130 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 39 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5091 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 5130 from the ABS as of June 2025 and an additional 8 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 17.6 persons per square kilometer. Panton Hill - St Andrews' 0.8% growth since census positions it within 1 percentage point of the SA3 area (1.8%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, contributing approximately 64.6% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, the area is expected to expand by 1065 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 20.8% in total over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Panton Hill - St Andrews is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Panton Hill - St Andrews has seen approximately eight new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, with a total of 41 homes approved between FY21 and FY25. Nine homes have been approved so far in FY26. Despite a population decline during this period, development activity has been relatively adequate, which could be beneficial for buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $525,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY26, there have been $1.1 million in commercial approvals, suggesting minimal commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Panton Hill - St Andrews has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person. Nationally, it ranks among the 23rd percentile of areas assessed, offering more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing dwellings.

This level is below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. All new construction in Panton Hill - St Andrews has been standalone homes, maintaining its traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 688 people. According to AreaSearch quarterly estimates, the area is forecasted to gain 1,065 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Panton Hill - St Andrews has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 40 projects that could impact this region. Notable ones include Diamond Creek Trail Extension to Hurstbridge, Winneke Solar Farm at Kangaroo Ground, intersection maintenance works, and the development plan for 1025 Yan Yean Road. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Panton Hill - St Andrews demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Panton Hill - St Andrews has a well-educated workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. As of December 2025, the unemployment rate is 2.3%. Over the past year, there has been an estimated employment growth of 0.8%.

In December 2025, 3,070 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.5% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Workforce participation in Panton Hill - St Andrews is similar to Greater Melbourne's at 69.9%. According to Census responses, 32.1% of residents work from home. Employment among residents is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

The area has a particularly high concentration in construction, with employment levels at 2.1 times the regional average. Conversely, retail trade shows lower representation at 6.7% compared to the regional average of 9.8%. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 0.8% while labour force increased by 1.2%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Panton Hill - St Andrews' local employment should increase by 6.5% over five years and 13.3% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the area's employment mix.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Panton Hill - St Andrews SA2 had a median taxpayer income of $56,933 and an average income of $77,103. These figures are higher than the national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively for Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of March 2026 would be approximately $62,410 (median) and $84,520 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household incomes rank at the 81st percentile with a weekly income of $2,254. Income analysis reveals that 30.4% of individuals in Panton Hill - St Andrews SA2 earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week, similar to the regional average of 32.8%. The district demonstrates affluence with 36.9% earning over $3,000 weekly, supporting premium retail and service offerings. After housing costs, residents retain 89.0% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 8th decile.

Panton Hill - St Andrews is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Panton Hill - St Andrews had 99.8% houses and 0.2% other dwellings in its dwelling structure at the latest Census, compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership was 48.2% within Panton Hill - St Andrews, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.9% and rented ones at 6.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $2,200, exceeding Melbourne metro's average of $2,000. Median weekly rent was recorded at $300, lower than Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Panton Hill - St Andrews' mortgage repayments were higher at $2,200 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially lower at $300 against the national figure of $375.

Panton Hill - St Andrews features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.9% of all households, including 40.2% couples with children, 33.1% couples without children, and 10.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 16.1%, with lone person households at 13.9% and group households making up 2.4%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Panton Hill - St Andrews shows strong educational performance, ranking in the upper quartile nationally when assessed across multiple qualification and achievement indicators

In Panton Hill, 31.1% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to Greater Melbourne's 37.0%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are the most common (19.7%), followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.7%) and graduate diplomas (4.7%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 37.2% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 13.3%, certificates at 23.9%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.3% in secondary education, 8.9% in primary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis shows two active stops operating within Panton Hill - St Andrews, serving a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by one individual route, collectively providing 368 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 5559 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward. Car remains the dominant mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 2.4 per dwelling, above the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 32.1% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 52 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 184 weekly trips per individual stop.

Panton Hill - St Andrews's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Panton Hill - St Andrews shows excellent health outcomes based on AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 57% (~2,924 people) of the total population has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (affecting 9.0% of residents) and mental health issues (7.7%). A majority of residents (69.4%) report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among working-age individuals are generally typical. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 24.9% (1,278 people), compared to Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Senior health outcomes are particularly strong and align with national rankings.

Panton Hill - St Andrews is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Panton Hill-St Andrews, surveyed in 2016, had a low cultural diversity: 87.0% of residents were Australian-born, 91.9% were citizens, and 95.9% spoke English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion (38.3%). Judaism's proportion was higher than average (0.2%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 1.0%).

Top ancestry groups were English (32.4%), Australian (28.1%), and Irish (10.7%), each above regional averages. Other notable divergences included Scottish (9.4% vs 5.6%), Dutch (1.5% vs 1.2%), and Italian (3.8% vs 5.2%).

Panton Hill - St Andrews hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Panton Hill - St Andrews has a median age of 48 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that the 65-74 year-old group comprises 15.1% of the population, making them particularly prominent compared to other age groups. This concentration is well above the national average of 9.4%. Since 2021, the 75-84 age group has grown from 5.3% to 7.9%, and the 15-24 cohort has increased from 13.1% to 14.5%. Conversely, the 55-64 cohort has declined from 18.2% to 16.2%, and the 45-54 group has dropped from 15.6% to 13.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Panton Hill - St Andrews, with the 75-84 age cohort projected to grow by 67%, adding 271 residents to reach 678. Senior residents aged 65 and above will drive 56% of population growth, underscoring trends towards demographic aging. Meanwhile, the 35-44 age group is projected to grow by a modest 2%, with an increase of just 8 people.