Yarrambat

An assessment of population growth drivers in Yarrambat reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of Yarrambat is estimated at around 1,774 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 1,602 people, indicating a growth of 172 individuals (10.7%). The latest estimate by AreaSearch was derived following examination of the ABS's ERP data release in June 2025 and validation of two new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 112 persons per square kilometer, suggesting ample space for further development. Yarrambat's growth rate exceeded both state (9.3%) and national averages between 2021 and May 2026, driven primarily by overseas migration. AreaSearch projections are based on ABS/Geoscience Australia figures released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area.

For areas not covered, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 were used with adjustments made through weighted aggregation to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is projected to grow by 431 persons, reflecting a total increase of 24.3% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Yarrambat according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data shows Yarrambat averaged around 6 new dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years, totalling an estimated 34 homes. As of FY-26, 6 approvals have been recorded. Each dwelling built resulted in an average of 2.7 new residents per year between FY-21 and FY-25. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost value of $881,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties.

This financial year has seen $2.8 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited commercial development focus. Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached houses, maintaining the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

The estimated population per dwelling approval is 393 people. By 2041, Yarrambat is expected to grow by 431 residents according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Yarrambat has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eleven projects expected to impact this region. Notable ones include 302 The Lakes Boulevard, St Helena Place, Plenty Road Duplication, and 175 Gordons Road Development. The following details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The exceptional employment performance in Yarrambat places it among Australia's strongest labour markets

Yarrambat has a skilled workforce with the construction sector being particularly prominent. Its unemployment rate was 1.5% in December 2025, below Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 3.0%.

As of December 2025, 1,168 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate of 77.1%, higher than Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. A significant portion, 26.0% of residents, worked from home according to Census responses. Dominant employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and retail trade. Construction shows notable concentration with levels at 2.5 times the regional average.

Conversely, professional & technical services show lower representation at 6.1%. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating ample local employment opportunities. Over the year to December 2025, employment increased by 3.0% while labour force rose by 3.3%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 2.4%, labour force expand by 2.8%, and unemployment rise by 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Yarrambat's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Yarrambat had a median income among taxpayers of $55,395 and an average level of $76,854. These figures are higher than national averages of $57,688 and $75,164 respectively for Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth from financial year 2023 to March 2026, estimated incomes would be approximately $60,724 (median) and $84,247 (average). Census data shows household incomes rank at the 92nd percentile ($2,600 weekly), while personal income ranks at the 61st percentile. The largest income segment comprises 31.1% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (551 residents). A significant 41.2% earn above $3,000 weekly. After housing costs, residents retain 88.6% of their income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Yarrambat is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Yarrambat, as per the latest Census, consisted entirely of houses with 0.0% other dwellings, compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Yarrambat stood at 49.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 45.9% and rented ones at 4.5%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,600, higher than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in Yarrambat was $450 compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, Yarrambat's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $2,600 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher at $450 compared to the national figure of $375.

Yarrambat features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 89.9% of all households, including 52.2% couples with children, 30.5% couples without children, and 6.0% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 10.1%, with lone person households at 9.9% and group households at 0%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

The educational profile of Yarrambat exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area has university qualification rates at 24.1%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 4.9% and graduate diplomas at 2.8%. Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.4% and certificates at 26.1%.

Educational participation is high, with 28.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.3% in secondary education, 8.4% in primary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Yarrambat indicates that there are 23 active transport stops currently operating. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 4 individual routes providing service to the area. The combined weekly passenger trips facilitated by these routes amount to 1,377. The accessibility of public transport is rated as moderate, with residents typically located an average distance of 448 meters from their nearest transport stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuting patterns involve outward travel, with the car remaining the primary mode of transportation at a rate of 94%. Vehicle ownership in Yarrambat averages at 2.7 per dwelling, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census data, a significant proportion of residents, specifically 26%, work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages at 196 trips per day, equating to approximately 59 weekly trips per individual stop.

Yarrambat's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Yarrambat's health outcomes show excellent results according to AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence.

The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 57% (~1,014 people) of Yarrambat's total population has private health cover. The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (7.7%) and asthma (6.7%). 72.0% of residents claim to be completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Melbourne's 72.6%. Residents under 65 have better-than-average health outcomes. Yarrambat has 19.6% (347 people) of its population aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Melbourne's 15.0%. Seniors' health outcomes are notably strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Yarrambat ranks below the Australian average when compared to other local markets across a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Yarrambat's cultural diversity was found to be below average. As of the census conducted on 29 August 2016, 86.2% of its population were born in Australia. The proportion of citizens stood at 93.2%, and 88.3% spoke English only at home.

Christianity was the predominant religion, with 59.1% of people identifying as such, compared to 43.0% across Greater Melbourne. In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups were English (27.6%), Australian (24.2%), and Italian (11.2%). These figures were substantially higher than their respective regional averages: English at 20.1%, Australian at 18.4%, and Italian at 5.2%. Notable divergences existed in the representation of Maltese (2.0% vs 1.1%), Greek (3.1% vs 2.7%), and Serbian (0.5% vs 0.4%) ethnic groups.

Yarrambat hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Yarrambat's median age is 47 years, which is considerably higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 17.2% of Yarrambat's population, compared to Greater Melbourne's figure, while the 25-34 cohort constitutes only 7.2%. This concentration in the 55-64 age group is well above the national average of 11.2%. According to post-2021 Census data, Yarrambat's 15 to 24 age group grew from 16.5% to 18.0%, and the 75 to 84 cohort increased from 6.2% to 7.7%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort declined from 17.6% to 16.6%. Demographic modeling suggests that Yarrambat's age profile will significantly evolve by 2041. The 45 to 54 cohort is projected to grow by 33%, adding 96 residents to reach a total of 391. Conversely, the number of individuals in the 0 to 4 age range is expected to decrease.