Mill Park - North

Mill Park - North is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Mill Park - North's population was approximately 17,615 as of May 2026. This figure showed an increase of 145 people from the 2021 Census count of 17,470. The rise is inferred from ABS' June 2025 estimated resident population of 17,610 and 21 additional validated addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 2,164 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 79.7% to overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, it employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to grow by 4,335 persons based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 24.6%.

The level of residential development activity in Mill Park - North is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Mill Park - North averaged approximately 12 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25. A total of 61 homes were approved during this period, with an additional 8 approved so far in FY26. Despite a decrease in population, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, maintaining a balanced market with good buyer choice.

The average construction cost value for new properties is $423,000, slightly above the regional average, indicating a focus on quality developments. In terms of commercial development activity, $14.7 million in approvals have been registered this financial year, suggesting balanced commercial growth compared to Greater Melbourne and nationally. Mill Park - North has significantly less residential development activity than these areas, which typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. This scarcity may be attributed to market maturity or potential development constraints. The area's building activity shows 80% detached dwellings and 20% townhouses or apartments, reflecting its suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

With around 1976 people per approval, Mill Park - North is considered a mature, established area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the population is expected to grow by 4330 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Mill Park - North has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 17 projects likely affecting this region. Notable ones include The Stables Kindergarten Redevelopment, The Gorge Townhomes, Peter Hopper Lake Revitalisation, and Central South Morang Shopping Centre. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Mill Park - North has seen below average employment performance when compared to national benchmarks

Mill Park - North has a skilled workforce with manufacturing and industrial sectors prominently represented. The unemployment rate was 4.2% as of December 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 0.9% over the past year. As of that date, 10,069 residents were in work while the unemployment rate was 0.6% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.8%.

Workforce participation was on par with Greater Melbourne's 69.9%. According to Census responses, 23.6% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries among residents included health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction, with retail trade notably concentrated at 1.3 times the regional average. Professional & technical services had a limited presence, with 6.4% employment compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over the 12 months to December 2025, employment increased by 0.9%, labour force by 1.2%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne experienced employment growth of 2.4% and labour force growth of 2.8%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Mill Park - North. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with industry-specific growth rates differing significantly. Applying these projections to Mill Park - North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

The Mill Park - North SA2's median income among taxpayers was $55,801 and average income was $64,379 in financial year 2023. These figures are lower than Greater Melbourne's median of $57,688 and average of $75,164 respectively. By March 2026, estimates suggest median income will be approximately $61,169 and average income will be around $70,572, based on a Wage Price Index growth rate of 9.62% since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranks at the 53rd percentile ($1,798 weekly) and personal income is at the 34th percentile in this area. The predominant income cohort spans 34.4% of locals (6,059 people), falling within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. This pattern is similar to surrounding regions where 32.8% occupy this income range. After housing costs, residents retain 86.9% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Mill Park - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Mill Park - North's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, was 86.2% houses and 13.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Melbourne metro's 67.9% houses and 32.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mill Park - North stood at 39.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 37.7% and rented ones at 22.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,764, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,000. Median weekly rent in Mill Park - North was $365, compared to Melbourne metro's $390. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863 and rents were $375.

Mill Park - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.8% of all households, including 40.8% couples with children, 24.9% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 21.2%, with lone person households at 18.6% and group households comprising 2.5%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.6.

Mill Park - North performs slightly above the national average for education, showing competitive qualification levels and steady academic outcomes

The area's university qualification rate is 26.0%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. This discrepancy presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most prevalent at 17.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.3%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are also common, with 31.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (19.7%).

Educational participation is high, with 27.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 7.8% in primary education, 7.4% in secondary education, and 5.9% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mill Park - North has 107 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 12 different routes that together facilitate 6,774 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically living within 174 meters of the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 90%, while train use accounts for 5%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling in Mill Park - North, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 23.6% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 967 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 63 weekly trips per individual stop. A map accompanies the analysis and displays the 100 nearest stops to the location's centrepoint.

Health outcomes in Mill Park - North are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

Mill Park - North shows below-average health indicators based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age groups.

Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 51% of the total population (~9,018 people), compared to 56.7% across Greater Melbourne. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (7.5%) and mental health issues (7.2%). Approximately 70.9% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 72.6% across Greater Melbourne. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 19.0% of residents aged 65 and over (3,348 people), higher than the 15.0% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Mill Park - North is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Mill Park-North has high cultural diversity, with 36.7% of its population born overseas and 43.9% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Mill Park-North, accounting for 62.1% of people, compared to 43.0% across Greater Melbourne. The top three ancestry groups are Australian (15.3%), Italian (14.2%, significantly higher than the regional average of 5.2%), and Other (13.6%).

Notable differences include Macedonian at 7.0% versus 0.7% regionally, Greek at 6.5% versus 2.7%, and Maltese at 1.9% versus 1.1%.

Mill Park - North's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Mill Park - North has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Melbourne's figure of 37 and Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Greater Melbourne average, Mill Park - North has an over-representation of the 55-64 cohort (15.3%) and an under-representation of the 25-34 cohort (13.6%). Between 2021 and present, the population aged 65 to 74 grew from 9.9% to 11.7%, while those aged 75 to 84 increased from 4.0% to 5.3%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 13.7% to 11.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Mill Park - North's age profile. The 75-84 cohort is expected to surge dramatically, increasing by 977 people (104%) from 942 to 1,920. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 53% of total population growth. The 0-4 group displays more modest growth at 2%, adding only 19 residents.