Kinglake

Kinglake lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Kinglake's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 4,404 people. This figure represents an increase of 200 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,204. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 4,399 in June 2024 and the addition of 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 13.8 persons per square kilometer. Kinglake's growth rate of 4.8% since the 2021 census exceeded that of its SA3 area (2.3%), indicating it as a growth leader in the region. Natural growth contributed approximately 56.9% of overall population gains, with other factors such as interstate and overseas migration also being positive contributors.

AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Kinglake is forecasted to experience significant population growth in the top quartile of national areas, with an expected increase of 1,276 persons by 2041, reflecting a total gain of 28.9% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kinglake according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kinglake has granted approximately 15 residential property approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 79 homes were approved, with one more approved in FY-26 so far. On average, for every home built over these years, around 3.1 new residents have been added.

This high demand coupled with limited supply typically leads to price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction value of new properties is $318,000. In the current financial year, there have been $18.1 million in commercial approvals, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to Greater Melbourne, Kinglake shows 55.0% higher development activity per person.

Despite this, building activity has slowed recently. All recent developments have consisted of standalone homes, preserving Kinglake's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The estimated population count per dwelling approval is 607 people. By 2041, Kinglake is projected to grow by 1,271 residents. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Kinglake has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

No local infrastructure changes will affect the area's performance more than major projects and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that may impact the area. Key projects are Inland Rail Beveridge to Albury, North East Link - Connections, North East Link - Tolling Services Package, and North East Link - Early Works. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Kinglake has been broadly consistent with national averages

Kinglake's workforce is balanced across white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector stands out with high representation, contributing to an unemployment rate of only 3.6%.

Over the past year, employment has remained relatively stable. As of September 2025, 2,489 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% lower than Greater Melbourne's rate of 4.7%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne's 64.1%. Employment is concentrated in construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Construction employment levels are particularly high, at 2.1 times the regional average. Conversely, professional & technical jobs show lower representation at 5.1% compared to the regional average of 10.1%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 0.2%, while labour force remained unchanged, leading to a decrease in unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment grow by 3.0% over the same period. Statewide, Victoria's employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year as of 25-Nov-25, adding 41,950 jobs and maintaining an unemployment rate of 4.7%. Nationally, employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kinglake's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022. Kinglake SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $50,494 and an average level of $63,259. These figures were slightly lower than the national averages of $54,892 and $73,761 respectively for Greater Melbourne. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates as of September 2025 would be approximately $56,634 (median) and $70,951 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Kinglake ranked modestly between the 45th and 53rd percentiles. Income analysis showed that 37.3% of the population, equating to 1,642 individuals, fell within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, similar to the regional average of 32.8%. After housing expenses, 85.8% of income remained for other expenses. Kinglake's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Kinglake is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Kinglake's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 99.6% houses and 0.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Melbourne metro's 93.9% houses and 6.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kinglake stood at 37.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 57.5% and rented ones at 5.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,811, lower than Melbourne metro's $2,167. The median weekly rent figure was recorded as $306, significantly lower than Melbourne metro's $431. Nationally, Kinglake's mortgage repayments were below the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower than the national figure of $375.

Kinglake features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.0% of all households, including 36.2% couples with children, 32.1% couples without children, and 9.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 22.0%, with lone person households at 19.3% and group households making up 2.3%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.9.

The educational profile of Kinglake exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 18.3%, significantly lower than Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.3%) and postgraduate qualifications (3.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 48.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 14.5% and certificates at 34.3%. Educational participation is high, with 31.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.5% in primary education, 9.3% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 25 active public transport stops in Kinglake, offering a mix of bus services. These stops are served by four distinct routes, collectively facilitating 239 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically situated 1803 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 34 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately nine weekly trips per individual stop.

Kinglake's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Kinglake's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks. Common health conditions are observed across both young and old age cohorts at a standard level.

The rate of private health cover is approximately 51% of the total population (~2,254 people), slightly lower than Greater Melbourne's 60.1%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 9.7 and 8.5% of residents respectively. A total of 68.4% of residents report being completely free from medical ailments, compared to 70.6% across Greater Melbourne. The area has 17.3% of residents aged 65 and over (761 people), lower than the 19.2% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Kinglake is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kinglake had low cultural diversity, with 87.9% citizens, 89.1% born in Australia, and 95.3% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, at 34.8%. The 'Other' category was overrepresented at 1.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 0.5%.

Top ancestry groups were English (30.8%), Australian (30.5%), and Irish (8.9%). Hungarian (0.5%) Dutch (2.0%), and Macedonian (0.5%) were notably overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.3%, 1.5%, and 0.7% respectively.

Kinglake's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Kinglake is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 15.8% of Kinglake's population, compared to Greater Melbourne, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 9.7%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75-84 age group has grown from 3.3% to 5.3% of the population. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 17.2% to 15.0%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Kinglake. The 75-84 age group is projected to grow by 124%, reaching 526 people from 235, leading the demographic shift. Notably, combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 51% of total population growth, reflecting Kinglake's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0-4 cohort shows minimal growth of just 8%, adding only 20 people to its current numbers.