Kinglake
Statistical Area - sa2

Kinglake lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Kinglake's population was around 4,404 as of November 2025. This reflected an increase of 200 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,204. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 4,399 in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population resulted in a density ratio of 13.8 persons per square kilometer. Kinglake's growth of 4.8% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth of 2.3%. Natural growth contributed approximately 56.9% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch used the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting them employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group were applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on these projections, Kinglake is forecasted to experience significant population increase in the top quartile of national areas, with an expected growth of 1,276 persons to 2041, recording a gain of 28.9% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Kinglake according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Kinglake has approved approximately 15 residential properties annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, 79 homes were approved, with an additional one granted approval so far in FY-26. On average, each home built over these past five financial years accommodated around 3.1 new residents per year.

This has led to a significant demand exceeding supply, typically resulting in price growth and increased buyer competition. The average construction cost of new properties was $318,000 during this period. In FY-26, commercial approvals totaled $18.1 million, indicating balanced commercial development activity compared to residential. Relative to Greater Melbourne, Kinglake exhibits 55.0% higher development activity per capita.

However, building activity has slowed in recent years, with all approved developments consisting of standalone homes, maintaining the area's low density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. As of now, there are an estimated 607 people per dwelling approval in Kinglake, reflecting its quiet development environment. By 2041, Kinglake is projected to grow by 1,271 residents. If current development rates persist, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Kinglake has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like modifications to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified 0 projects that could potentially impact this area. Notable projects include Inland Rail Beveridge to Albury, North East Link - Connections, North East Link - Tolling Services Package, and North East Link - Early Works, with the following list detailing those most likely to be relevant.

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Employment performance in Kinglake has been broadly consistent with national averages

Kinglake has a diverse workforce with both white and blue collar jobs. The construction sector is prominent, with an unemployment rate of 3.4% and estimated employment growth of 1.9% in the past year.

As of June 2025, there are 2,526 employed residents, with an unemployment rate of 3.3%, lower than Greater Melbourne's 4.6%. Workforce participation is similar to Greater Melbourne at 64.1%. Key employment sectors include construction, health care & social assistance, and education & training. Construction employment is notably high at 2.1 times the regional average, while professional & technical jobs are lower at 5.1% compared to the regional average of 10.1%.

Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data comparisons. Between June 2024 and June 2025, Kinglake's employment increased by 1.9%, labour force by 1.4%, reducing unemployment by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Melbourne saw employment growth of 3.5% and a 0.5 percentage point unemployment increase. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Kinglake's industry mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.1% over five years and 12.7% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2022. Kinglake's median taxpayer income was $50,494 with an average of $63,259. Nationally, these figures were $54,892 and $73,761 respectively in Greater Melbourne. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $56,634 (median) and $70,951 (average), accounting for a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth since June 2022. The 2021 Census placed Kinglake's household, family, and personal incomes between the 45th and 54th percentiles. Income analysis showed that 37.3% of Kinglake's population (1,642 individuals) earned within the $1,500 - $2,999 range, similar to the regional average of 32.8%. After housing costs, 85.8% of income remained for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 5th decile.

Kinglake is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Kinglake's latest Census data showed 99.6% houses and 0.4% other dwellings, compared to Melbourne metro's 93.9% houses and 6.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Kinglake was at 37.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 57.5% and rented ones at 5.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,811, below Melbourne metro's average of $2,167. The median weekly rent in Kinglake was $306, compared to Melbourne metro's $431. Nationally, Kinglake's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Kinglake features high concentrations of family households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 78.0% of all households, including 36.2% couples with children, 32.1% couples without children, and 9.7% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 22.0%, with lone person households at 19.3% and group households comprising 2.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is smaller than the Greater Melbourne average of 2.9.

The educational profile of Kinglake exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area has lower university qualification rates at 18.3%, compared to Greater Melbourne's average of 37.0%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (3.3%) and postgraduate qualifications (3.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 48.8% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (14.5%) and certificates (34.3%). Educational participation is high at 31.2%, with 11.5% in primary education, 9.3% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Kinglake's four schools have a combined enrollment of 301 students, serving typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1005) with balanced educational opportunities. These schools focus on primary education only, with secondary options available nearby. Local school capacity is limited at 6.8 places per 100 residents, compared to the regional average of 14.9, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Kinglake has 25 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by four different routes that together facilitate 239 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is considered limited in Kinglake, with residents on average located 1803 meters away from the nearest stop.

The service frequency averages 34 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately nine weekly trips per stop.

Kinglake's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Kinglake's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks. Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts at a fairly standard level.

Private health cover is present in approximately 51% of Kinglake's total population (~2,254 people), slightly lagging the average SA2 area rate of 60.1%. Mental health issues impact 9.7% of residents, while asthma affects 8.5%. About 68.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 70.6% across Greater Melbourne. Kinglake has 17.3% of residents aged 65 and over (761 people), lower than the 19.2% in Greater Melbourne. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Kinglake is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Kinglake's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 87.9% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (89.1%), speaking English only at home (95.3%). Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 34.8% of Kinglake's population. The most notable overrepresentation was in the 'Other' category, making up 1.4%, compared to Greater Melbourne's 0.5%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (30.8%), Australian (30.5%), and Irish (8.9%). Notably, Hungarian (0.5%) and Dutch (2.0%) were overrepresented in Kinglake compared to regional averages of 0.3% and 1.5%, respectively. Macedonian, at 0.5%, was slightly under the regional average of 0.7%.

Kinglake hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Kinglake is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Melbourne's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 15.8% of the population in Kinglake, compared to a lower percentage in Greater Melbourne. Conversely, the 25-34 age group makes up only 9.7% of Kinglake's population. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.3% to 5.3%, while the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 17.2% to 15.0%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes in Kinglake. Notably, the 75 to 84 age group is expected to grow by 124%, reaching 526 people from a starting point of 235. The combined 65+ age groups will account for 51% of total population growth, reflecting Kinglake's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0 to 4 age group is projected to grow by only 8%, adding just 20 people to the population.