Moyne - West
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Moyne - West reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Moyne-West's population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, is approximately 10,423 by November 2025. This figure represents a growth of 409 people, an increase of 4.1% since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 10,014. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,219 in June 2024 and an additional 123 validated new addresses post-Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 5.1 persons per square kilometer. Moyne-West's growth rate of 4.1% since the 2021 Census exceeds the SA4 region's growth rate of 3.4%, positioning it as a leading growth area within its region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 48.1% to the overall population gains in recent periods, with other drivers such as natural growth and interstate migration also being positive factors.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 using a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used with adjustments made via weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Moyne-West's population is expected to decrease by 2,884 persons by 2041, while the 85 and over age group is projected to increase by 39 people.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Moyne - West when compared nationally

Moyne-West has recorded approximately 51 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY2021 to FY2025, a total of 258 homes were approved, with an additional 13 approved so far in FY2026. On average, 1.4 people have moved to the area per dwelling built over these five years.

This suggests a balance between supply and demand, contributing to stable market conditions. The average construction cost of new properties is $415,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY2026, there have been $23.3 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development.

Compared to the Rest of Vic., Moyne-West records 19.0% less building activity per person, while it ranks among the 58th percentile nationally when assessed for areas. New developments primarily consist of detached houses (97.0%) with a smaller proportion of townhouses or apartments (3.0%), maintaining the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 262 people per dwelling approval, Moyne-West exhibits characteristics of a low-density area. Population projections indicate stability or decline, suggesting reduced housing demand pressures in the future, which may benefit potential buyers.

Moyne - West has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 30thth percentile nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 26 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include Port Fairy Play and Skate Park, Port Fairy East Beach Landfill Coastal Adaptation Plan, Koroit Township Renewal, and Rivers Run Estate. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Moyne - West significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Moyne West has a skilled labour force with diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of 1.1% as of June 2025. There are 5,218 residents employed, with the unemployment rate being 2.7 percentage points lower than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

The workforce participation rate is similar to Rest of Vic., at 59.9%. Key industries for employment include agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and construction. Employment in agriculture, forestry & fishing is particularly high, at 2.3 times the regional average. However, education & training is under-represented, with only 7.7% of Moyne West's workforce compared to 9.1% in Rest of Vic..

The area may have limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by a decrease in labour force and employment between June 2024 and June 2025, while unemployment remained relatively stable. Nationally, employment is forecast to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates across industries. Applying these projections to Moyne West's industry mix suggests local employment growth of approximately 5.8% over five years and 12.6% over ten years.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Moyne - West's median income among taxpayers is $49,079, with an average of $63,240. This is just below the national average and compares to Rest of Vic.'s median of $48,741 and average of $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Moyne - West would be approximately $55,047 (median) and $70,930 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Moyne - West rank modestly, between the 37th and 40th percentiles. The data shows that 34.1% of individuals in Moyne - West fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band (3,554 individuals), consistent with broader trends across the region showing 30.3% in the same category. Housing costs are manageable with 89.0% retained, though disposable income sits below average at the 43rd percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Moyne - West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Moyne-West, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.3% houses and 4.7% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic had 87.6% houses and 12.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moyne-West was at 48.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.9% and rented ones at 16.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, higher than Non-Metro Vic's average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Moyne-West was $280, compared to Non-Metro Vic's $283. Nationally, Moyne-West's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,517 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $280 compared to the national figure of $375.

Moyne - West has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 73.0% of all households, consisting of 29.1% couples with children, 34.3% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 25.1% and group households comprising 1.8% of the total. The median household size is 2.4 people, which matches the average for the Rest of Vic.

Educational attainment in Moyne - West aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

In Moyne-West, 24.3% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to the Victorian average of 33.4%. This indicates potential for educational development. Bachelor degrees are most common at 16.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 38.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (26.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 10.9% in primary, 9.4% in secondary, and 2.3% in tertiary education. The region has a robust network of six schools educating approximately 818 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1009) and balanced educational opportunities. This includes five primary schools and one K-12 school. School places per 100 residents are lower than the regional average at 7.9, suggesting some students may attend schools in nearby areas.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Moyne-West has 47 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 10 different routes that together facilitate 255 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as moderate, with residents typically living 596 meters away from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 36 daily trips across all routes, which equates to approximately five weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Moyne - West are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Moyne - West shows below-average health indicators, with common conditions slightly more prevalent across younger and older age groups compared to average SA2 areas.

Private health cover is held by approximately 51% of its total population (~5,336 people), which is lower than the average. The most common medical conditions are arthritis (8.7%) and asthma (8.3%), while 67.4% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 65.9% in Rest of Vic. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 24.9% (2,593 people), compared to 21.5% in Rest of Vic. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors are strong and perform better than the general population in health metrics.

The latest Census data sees Moyne - West placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Moyne-West has a cultural diversity index below the average, with 90.8% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (91.6%), and speaking English only at home (97.8%). Christianity is the predominant religion, practiced by 54.0% of Moyne-West's population, compared to 52.0% across the rest of Victoria. The top three ancestry groups are English (30.5%), Australian (30.3%), and Irish (16.3%).

Notably, Scottish ancestry is slightly overrepresented at 9.8%, compared to 9.6% regionally, while Dutch and German ancestries show slight underrepresentation at 1.4% and 3.5%, respectively, versus 1.5% and 3.1% regionally.

Moyne - West hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Moyne-West has a median age of 45 years, which is slightly higher than Rest of Vic.'s 43 years and considerably older than the national norm of 38 years. Compared to the Rest of Vic. average, Moyne-West has an over-representation of the 65-74 age cohort (14.6% locally) and an under-representation of the 25-34 age group (10.1%). The concentration of the 65-74 cohort is well above the national average of 9.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.8% to 8.1%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 9.7% to 10.9%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.0% to 11.4% and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 14.8% to 13.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Moyne-West's age profile will significantly evolve. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 47 people (20%), from 234 to 282. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 75 to 84 and 0 to 4 cohorts.