Moyne - West

An assessment of population growth drivers in Moyne - West reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Moyne - West's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 10,423, reflecting a 4.1% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 10,014. This growth can be inferred from the estimated resident population of 10,219 in June 2024 and an additional 123 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is around 5.1 persons per square kilometer. Moyne - West's growth rate exceeded that of its SA4 region (3.4%), making it a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 48.1% to overall population gains, with natural growth and interstate migration also being positive factors. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections adjusted by weighted aggregation for areas not covered.

Future population trends indicate a decline to 7,539 persons by 2041, with the 85 and over age group projected to increase by 39 people.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Moyne - West when compared nationally

Moyne - West has recorded approximately 51 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY20-21 to FY25-26, a total of 258 homes have been approved, with an additional 15 approved in FY26 so far. On average, 1.4 people per year have moved to the area for each dwelling built during these five financial years, indicating balanced supply and demand dynamics.

The average construction value of new properties is $415,000, suggesting developers target the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year has seen $23.3 million in commercial approvals, reflecting moderate levels of commercial development compared to other areas. Moyne - West records 19.0% less building activity per person than the Rest of Vic., placing it at the 58th percentile nationally among assessed areas.

New developments consist of 97.0% detached houses and 3.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with an average of around 262 people per dwelling approval. Population projections indicating stability or decline may reduce housing demand pressures in Moyne - West, benefiting potential buyers.

Moyne - West has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 30thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 26 projects likely to affect the region. Notable initiatives include Port Fairy Play and Skate Park, Port Fairy East Beach Landfill Coastal Adaptation Plan, Koroit Township Renewal, and Rivers Run Estate. The following list details those most relevant:.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals Moyne - West significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

Moyne-West has a skilled workforce with diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of 1.5% as of September 2025. It has 5,172 residents in work, with an unemployment rate 2.3% lower than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation is at 59.9%, slightly higher than Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key industries are agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and construction. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has notable concentration with employment levels at 2.3 times the regional average. However, education & training is under-represented, at 7.7% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 9.1%.

The area may offer limited local employment opportunities as Census data shows fewer working residents than expected based on population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Moyne-West's labour force decreased by 2.9%, while employment declined by 3.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic. had an employment decline of 0.7% and a labour force decline of 0.6%. Statewide in Victoria, as of 25-Nov-25, employment grew by 1.13%, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Moyne-West's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.8% over five years and 12.6% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation and does not account for local population changes.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates Moyne - West SA2 had a median income of $49,079 and an average income of $63,240 among taxpayers. This was below the national average, with Rest of Vic.'s median being $48,741 and average being $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated incomes for Moyne - West SA2 as of September 2025 would be approximately $55,047 (median) and $70,930 (average). According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Moyne - West SA2 rank modestly, between the 37th and 40th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The data shows that 34.1% of individuals in Moyne - West SA2 earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, consistent with broader regional trends at 30.3%. Housing costs are manageable with 89.0% retained income, though disposable income is below average at the 42nd percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Moyne - West is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure in Moyne-West, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 95.3% houses and 4.7% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Vic. had 87.6% houses and 12.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moyne-West was 48.8%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.9% and rented dwellings at 16.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,517, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure in Moyne-West was $280, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $283. Nationally, Moyne-West's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Moyne - West has a typical household mix, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 73.0% of all households, including 29.1% couples with children, 34.3% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.0%, with lone person households at 25.1% and group households making up 1.8%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which aligns with the Rest of Vic. average.

Educational attainment in Moyne - West aligns closely with national averages, showing typical qualification patterns and performance metrics

In Moyne-West trail region, 24.3% of residents aged 15 and above hold university degrees, compared to Victoria's 33.4%. This gap suggests potential for educational development and skill enhancement. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 16.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.4%) and graduate diplomas (3.2%). Trade and technical skills are prominent, with 38.4% of residents aged 15 and above holding vocational credentials – advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (26.8%).

Educational participation is high, with 28.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.9% in primary education, 9.4% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Moyne-West indicates that there are currently 47 active transport stops operating within the area. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 10 individual routes providing service to the region. Collectively, these routes facilitate 255 weekly passenger trips across the area.

The accessibility of public transport is rated as moderate, with residents typically located approximately 596 meters from their nearest transport stop. On average, there are 36 trips per day across all routes, which equates to roughly five weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Moyne - West are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Health indicators in Moyne - West show below-average outcomes with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts.

The area has approximately 51% private health cover, which is slightly lower than the average SA2 area. The most common medical conditions are arthritis affecting 8.7% of residents and asthma impacting 8.3%. 67.4% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.9% in Rest of Vic. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 24.9%, with 2,593 people falling into this age group, compared to the 21.5% in Rest of Vic. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

The latest Census data sees Moyne - West placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Moyne-West had a cultural diversity below average, with 90.8% of its population being citizens, 91.6% born in Australia, and 97.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the main religion in Moyne-West, comprising 54.0% of people, compared to 52.0% across Rest of Vic. The top three ancestry groups were English (30.5%), Australian (30.3%), and Irish (16.3%).

Notably, Scottish (9.8%) was overrepresented compared to the regional average of 9.6%, Dutch at 1.4% versus 1.5%, and German at 3.5% versus 3.1%.

Moyne - West hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Moyne-West has a median age of 45 years, which is slightly higher than Rest of Vic.'s median age of 43 and considerably older than the national norm of 38 years. Compared to the Rest of Vic. average, Moyne-West has a notably over-represented cohort of 65-74 year-olds (14.6% locally) while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented (10.1%). This concentration of 65-74 year-olds is well above the national average of 9.4%. Between 2021 and present, the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 6.8% to 8.1%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 9.7% to 10.9%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.0% to 11.4% and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 14.8% to 13.3%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Moyne-West's age profile will evolve significantly. The 85+ age cohort is projected to expand by 47 people (20%), from 234 to 282. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 75 to 84 and 0 to 4 cohorts.