Moyne - East

Moyne - East is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Moyne - East's population is around 7,436 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 418 people (6.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 7,018 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 7,145 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 126 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 2.3 persons per square kilometer, providing ample space per person. Moyne - East's 6.0% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (4.5%), marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by natural growth, which contributed approximately 38.7% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers, including overseas migration and interstate migration, were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilizing the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Considering the projected demographic shifts, projections indicate a decline in overall population, with the area's population expected to shrink by 1,818 persons by 2041 according to this methodology.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Moyne - East recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Moyne - East has averaged around 28 new dwelling approvals annually, totalling 141 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 2.5 people per year moving to the area per new home constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating healthy demand that should support property values, new homes are being built at an average value of $355,000. Additionally, $9.9 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded this financial year, indicating steady commercial investment activity.

When measured against the Rest of Vic., Moyne - East has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person while it places among the 47th percentile of areas assessed nationally, meaning more limited choices for buyers, supporting demand for existing properties. Further, recent development has been entirely comprised of standalone homes, preserving the area's low density nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 343 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market.

With population projections showing stability or decline, Moyne - East should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Moyne - East has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 29thth percentile nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total 31 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Hexham Wind Farm, Hycel Technology Hub, Mortlake Recreation Reserve Changerooms, and Mortlake South Wind Farm, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Moyne - East demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Moyne - East has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with diverse sector representation and an unemployment rate of just 1.8%. As of December 2025, 3,751 residents are in work, while the unemployment rate is 1.9% below Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (67.0% compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%). Based on Census responses, a moderate 23.2% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

Leading employment industries among residents comprise agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and construction. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in agriculture, forestry & fishing, with employment levels at 4.8 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 12.0% versus the regional average of 16.8%. The area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of the Census working population versus the resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw the labour force decrease by 6.7% while employment declined by 7.0%, resulting in the unemployment rate rising by 0.3 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional Vic., where employment contracted by 0.6%, the labour force fell by 0.7%, and unemployment fell 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Moyne - East. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Moyne - East's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 4.9% over five years and 11.2% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Moyne - East SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $49,633 with the average level standing at $61,272. This is lower than average on a national basis and compares to levels of $50,954 and $62,728 across Regional Vic. respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $53,728 (median) and $66,327 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes all rank modestly in Moyne - East, between the 36th and 42nd percentiles. The earnings profile shows the predominant cohort spans 33.1% of locals (2,461 people) in the $1,500 - 2,999 category, consistent with broader trends across the region showing 30.3% in the same category. Housing costs are manageable with 90.6% retained, though disposable income sits below average at the 44th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Moyne - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Dwelling structure within Moyne - East, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 98.9% houses and 1.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Moyne - East was well beyond that of Regional Vic., at 47.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (35.6%) or rented (17.4%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was below the Regional Vic. average at $1,300, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $200, compared to Regional Vic.'s $1,430 and $285. Nationally, Moyne - East's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Moyne - East has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 72.4% of all households, comprising 30.8% couples with children, 30.9% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 27.6%, with lone person households at 26.0% and group households comprising 1.6% of the total. The median household size of 2.5 people is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Moyne - East fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (17.0%) substantially below the VIC average of 33.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 12.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.2%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.1%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 40.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (28.6%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.8% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 16 active transport stops operating within Moyne - East. These stops are serviced by 5 individual routes, collectively providing 22 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as limited, with residents typically located 1277 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 88%, with 8% walking. Vehicle ownership averages 2.0 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. Some 23.2% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 3 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 1 weekly trips per individual stop.

Moyne - East's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Moyne - East's health metrics sit close to national benchmarks, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A fairly standard level of common health conditions is seen across both young and old age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~3,703 people). The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, impacting 8.3% and 8.1% of residents, respectively, while 69.3% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 18.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,357 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The latest Census data sees Moyne - East placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Moyne - East was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 89.7% of its population being citizens, 92.5% born in Australia, and 97.6% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Moyne - East is Christianity, which makes up 53.9% of people in Moyne - East, compared to 47.3% across Regional Vic..

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Moyne - East are Australian, comprising 33.0% of the population, English, comprising 31.4% of the population, and Irish, comprising 13.1% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Scottish is notably overrepresented at 10.1% of Moyne - East (vs 8.8% regionally), Dutch at 1.6% (vs 1.7%), and Maori at 0.4% (vs 0.2%).

Moyne - East's median age exceeds the national pattern

At 41 years, Moyne - East's median age is somewhat lower than the Regional Vic. average of 43, yet modestly exceeds the 38-year national average. The 25 - 34 age group shows strong representation at 13.0% compared to Regional Vic., whereas the 75 - 84 cohort is less prevalent at 5.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows younger residents have shifted the median age down by 1.1 years to 41. Notable shifts include the 35 to 44 age group, which has grown from 10.4% to 12.8% of the population, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 11.1% to 13.0%. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has declined from 13.2% to 11.1% and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 15.6% to 13.6%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes for Moyne - East. The 85+ cohort shows the strongest projected growth at -11%, adding -12 residents to reach 100. On the other hand, both the 85+ and 75 to 84 age groups will see reduced numbers.