Moyne - East

Moyne - East is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

Moyne - East's population is approximately 7,578 as of November 2025. From the 2021 Census which reported a population of 7,018, this reflects an increase of 560 people (8.0%). This growth is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 7,153 in June 2024 and an additional 117 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density is around 2.3 persons per square kilometer. Moyne - East's growth rate exceeded both SA4 region (3.4%) and SA3 area, indicating it as a growth leader. Natural growth contributed approximately 38.7% of overall gains.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with base year 2022. For areas not covered, VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 are used with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation method. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, Moyne - East's population is expected to decline by 1,818 persons by 2041.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Moyne - East recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Moyne East averaged approximately 28 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 141 homes. As of FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. On average, 2.5 people moved to the area per new home constructed between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating strong demand for housing. The average expected construction cost value of these new homes was $355,000.

This financial year has seen $9.9 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting steady investment activity. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Moyne East has around two-thirds the rate of new dwelling approvals per person and ranks among the 47th percentile nationally, suggesting limited housing choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing properties. All recent developments have been standalone homes, preserving the area's low-density nature and attracting space-seeking buyers.

With approximately 343 people per dwelling approval, there is room for growth in Moyne East. However, population projections indicate stability or decline, which should reduce housing demand pressures and benefit potential buyers.

Moyne - East has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 40thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 31 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones include Hexham Wind Farm, Hycel Technology Hub, Mortlake Recreation Reserve Changerooms, and Mortlake South Wind Farm. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Moyne - East demonstrate exceptional strength compared to most Australian markets

Moyne East has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, diverse industry representation, and an unemployment rate of 1.8% as of September 2025. It has 3,829 residents employed, which is 1.9% lower than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

The workforce participation rate is 64.9%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Leading employment industries are agriculture, forestry & fishing, health care & social assistance, and construction. Agriculture, forestry & fishing has particularly high representation, with employment levels at 4.8 times the regional average. However, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 12.0% compared to the regional average of 16.8%.

The area may have limited local employment opportunities as indicated by Census data. Over a 12-month period ending September 2025, labour force decreased by 3.1%, and employment declined by 3.5%, leading to an unemployment rate increase of 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic. saw employment contract by 0.7% and the labour force fall by 0.6%. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13%, adding 41,950 jobs, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts suggest total employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Moyne East's industry mix indicates local employment should increase by 4.9% over five years and 11.2% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels sit below national averages according to AreaSearch assessment

AreaSearch aggregated latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022. Moyne - East SA2 had median income among taxpayers of $48,073 and average income of $57,556. These figures were lower than national averages of $51,396 (median) and $63,094 (average). Rest of Vic. had median and average incomes of $48,741 and $60,693 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, estimated current incomes for Moyne - East SA2 are approximately $53,919 (median) and $64,555 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household income ranked at the 38th percentile, family income at the 37th percentile, and personal income at the 42nd percentile in Moyne - East SA2. The earnings profile showed that 33.1% of locals (2,508 people) earned between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, which was consistent with broader regional trends. Housing costs were manageable, with 90.6% retained after expenses. However, disposable income ranked at the 44th percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the fifth decile.

Moyne - East is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Moyne - East's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.9% houses and 1.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 87.6% houses and 12.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in Moyne - East stood at 47.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 35.6% and rented ones at 17.4%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,300, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430 and the national average of $1,863. The median weekly rent figure in Moyne - East was $200, significantly below Non-Metro Vic.'s $283 and the national figure of $375.

Moyne - East has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 72.4% of all households, including 30.8% couples with children, 30.9% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 27.6%, with lone person households at 26.0% and group households making up 1.6%. The median household size is 2.5 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4 people.

Educational outcomes in Moyne - East fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 17.0%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.7%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.2%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.3% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.7%) and certificates (28.6%). Educational participation is high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.8% in primary, 8.9% in secondary, and 2.3% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 29.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.8% in primary education, 8.9% in secondary education, and 2.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is very low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Moyne - East indicates that there are currently 16 operational transport stops, all of which serve bus routes. These stops are supported by 12 distinct routes that collectively offer 37 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is considered limited, with residents generally residing 1277 meters away from the nearest transport stop.

On average, there are 5 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 2 weekly trips per individual stop.

Moyne - East's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Moyne - East's health metrics closely align with national benchmarks. Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts at a standard level.

The rate of private health cover is very low, approximately 48% of the total population (around 3,660 people), compared to the national average of 55.3%. The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are asthma and arthritis, affecting 8.3% and 8.1% of residents respectively. About 69.3% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, slightly higher than the Rest of Vic's percentage of 65.9%. Approximately 18.3% of residents are aged 65 and over (around 1,387 people), which is lower than the Rest of Vic's figure of 21.5%. Health outcomes among seniors in Moyne - East are notably strong, outperforming even the general population in health metrics.

The latest Census data sees Moyne - East placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Moyne-East was found to have a below-average level of cultural diversity, with 89.7% of its population being Australian citizens, 92.5% born in Australia, and 97.6% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Moyne-East, accounting for 53.9% of the population, compared to 52.0% across the rest of Victoria. The top three ancestry groups in Moyne-East are Australian (33.0%), English (31.4%), and Irish (13.1%).

Notably, Scottish ancestry is overrepresented in Moyne-East at 10.1%, compared to 9.6% regionally, Dutch ancestry at 1.6% versus 1.5%, and Maori ancestry at 0.4% versus 0.3%.

Moyne - East's median age exceeds the national pattern

Moyne-East's median age is 41 years, which is lower than Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but higher than Australia's national average of 38. The 5-14 age group comprises 13.2% of Moyne-East's population, compared to Rest of Vic., while the 75-84 cohort makes up 5.3%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35-44 age group grew from 10.4% to 12.3%, and the 25-34 cohort increased from 11.1% to 12.4%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort declined from 13.2% to 11.4%, and the 55-64 group dropped from 15.6% to 14.3%. Demographic modeling suggests Moyne-East's age profile will significantly change by 2041, with the strongest projected growth in the 85+ cohort (-23%), adding approximately -29 residents to reach around 100. Population declines are projected for both the 85+ and 75-84 cohorts.