Allansford

An assessment of population growth drivers in Allansford reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of the suburb of Allansford is estimated at around 1,548 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 138 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,410 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 1,507 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 56 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 18.1 persons per square kilometer. Allansford's growth rate of 9.8% since the 2021 census exceeded that of the SA4 region (4.5%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by overseas migration.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 317 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 13.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Allansford, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers in Allansford shows an average of 12 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 60 homes were approved, with another 4 approved so far in FY-26. This averages out to around 0.4 people moving to the area for each dwelling built over those five years.

The average construction value of new homes is $707,000, indicating a focus on premium market properties. Commercial approvals this financial year totalled $31.8 million, suggesting strong local business investment. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Allansford has seen elevated construction activity, with 31.0% more dwellings approved per person over the past five years.

Recent development has been entirely detached houses, maintaining the area's low-density character and appealing to those seeking family homes. The location currently has approximately 287 people per dwelling approval, leaving room for population growth. AreaSearch forecasts indicate Allansford will gain around 207 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling population growth beyond current forecasts.

Allansford has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 36thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects expected to impact this area. Notable projects include Warrnambool Line Upgrade, Spinifex Offshore Wind Farm, Melbourne To Adelaide Freight Rail Improvements, and Victorian Renewable Energy Zones, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

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The labour market strength in Allansford positions it well ahead of most Australian regions

Allansford has a skilled workforce with strong representation in manufacturing and industrial sectors. The unemployment rate is 0.2%, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data as of September 2025. There are 800 residents employed, with an unemployment rate 3.5% below the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%.

Workforce participation stands at 65.1%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%. According to Census responses, 13.9% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, agriculture, forestry & fishing, and manufacturing. The area shows strong specialization in agriculture, forestry & fishing with an employment share 1.8 times the regional level.

Public administration & safety has limited presence at 3.2% compared to the regional 6.5%. There are 5.6 workers for every resident, indicating Allansford functions as an employment hub attracting workers from surrounding areas. Over the 12 months to September 2025, labour force levels decreased by 2.6%, alongside a 2.6% employment decline, leaving unemployment broadly flat. In comparison, Rest of Vic. recorded employment decline of 0.7%, labour force decline of 0.6%, with unemployment rising marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Allansford. These projections estimate national employment growth at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Allansford's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 5.6% over five years and 12.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Allansford had a median taxpayer income of $54,119 and an average of $65,973. Nationally, these figures are $58,961 and $74,667 respectively. In Rest of Vic., they stand at $50,954 and $62,728. As of September 2025, estimated median and average incomes in Allansford are approximately $58,584 and $71,416 based on Wage Price Index growth. Census data indicates household, family, and personal incomes rank modestly between the 41st and 53rd percentiles. Income distribution shows 32.9% of residents (509 people) earn between $1,500 and $2,999, similar to regional levels at 30.3%. Housing costs allow for retention of 88.6%, but disposable income is below average at the 47th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.

Allansford is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Allansford's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 86.5% houses and 13.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Allansford stood at 43.3%, with the rest being mortgaged (42.9%) or rented (13.7%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,478, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure in Allansford was $268, lower than Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Allansford's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Allansford features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 78.0% of all households, including 32.2% couples with children, 34.7% couples without children, and 10.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 22.0%, with lone person households at 20.4% and group households comprising 1.2%. The median household size is 2.6 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Allansford shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 17.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 12.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.1%) and graduate diplomas (1.6%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 40.6% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (11.1%) and certificates (29.5%). Educational participation is high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.1% in primary, 8.7% in secondary, and 1.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.1% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 1.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Allansford has nine operational public transport stops. These are served by two distinct routes, offering a total of seventy-nine weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents living an average of 252 meters from their nearest stop. As primarily residential, most Allansford residents commute outward. Cars remain the prevalent mode of transportation at ninety-four percent, while four percent walk. On average, there are two vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 13.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages eleven trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly eight weekly trips per individual stop.

Allansford's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Allansford residents have shown relatively positive health outcomes, according to AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions. The results align broadly with national benchmarks, indicating a fairly standard level of common health conditions across both young and old age cohorts.

Approximately 53% of Allansford's total population (~819 people) has private health cover, slightly higher than the average SA2 area but comparable to Rest of Vic.'s 50.5%. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (9.3%) and mental health issues (8.0%), while 66.6% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Rest of Vic.. Working-age residents in Allansford have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 18.8% of residents aged 65 and over (291 people), lower than the 23.9% in Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors in Allansford are particularly strong, ranking even higher than the general population nationally.

The latest Census data sees Allansford placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Allansford's population was found to be predominantly Australian-born, with 94.0% having been born in Australia. This is lower than the regional average of 96.3%. Additionally, 93.3% were citizens and 98.0% spoke English only at home.

Christianity was identified as the primary religion in Allansford, with 48.5% adherents, compared to 47.3% regionally. In terms of ancestry, Australian-born parents comprised 35.8%, higher than the regional average of 29.6%. English-born parents accounted for 30.3%, and Irish-born parents made up 12.4%. Notably, Scottish-born parents were overrepresented at 10.3% compared to the regional average of 8.8%. Dutch-born parents also had a higher representation at 2.7% (regional: 1.7%) and Maori-born parents were slightly overrepresented at 0.5% (regional: 0.2%).

Allansford hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

Allansford's median age is 42 years, similar to Rest of Vic.'s average of 43 but older than Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that the 25-34 year-olds are prominent at 13.3%, while the 75-84 group is smaller at 5.4% compared to Rest of Vic. Since 2021, the 25-34 age group has grown from 10.5% to 13.3%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has declined from 14.8% to 12.9%, and the 55-64 group has dropped from 14.3% to 13.2%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate significant demographic changes in Allansford, with the 25-34 cohort projected to grow by 31%, adding 64 residents to reach 270. In contrast, population declines are projected for the 55-64 and 15-24 cohorts.