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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Dennington has an estimated 2,143 residents, up from 1,994 at the 2021 Census — a change of 149 people, or 7.5%. Growth has averaged 1.3% a year over five years. 124 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 77.0% of that increase. That puts 179 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census Dennington's population is estimated at around 2,143 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 149 people (7.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,994 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,135, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 124 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 178 persons per square kilometer, providing significant space per person and potential room for further development.
Dennington's 7.5% growth since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region (0.4%), along with the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a significant population increase in the top quartile of Australian non-metropolitan areas is forecast, with the area expected to grow by 692 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting with an increase of 31.9% in total over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
100 new dwellings have been approved in Dennington over the past five years, an average of 20 a year. That is 9.9 approvals per 1,000 residents. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 42, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
According to the evaluation of building approvals from the ABS by AreaSearch, distributed from statistical zones, the suburb of Dennington has averaged approximately 20 residential approvals annually. This sums to an estimated 100 residences approved throughout the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), with another 39 approved during FY-26 so far. Considering that 1.3 new residents were added per built dwelling on average over the last 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), local demand matches supply well, creating balanced market conditions. Meanwhile, construction costs for new properties average $404,000, which highlights that developers are targeting the high-end sector with upscale housing.
Commercial projects received $3.7 million in approvals during this financial year, suggesting that non-residential building remains a minor focus. Compared with the Rest of Vic., the suburb of Dennington registers 55.0% greater building activity on a per-capita basis, giving purchasers plenty of options even though building starts have slowed lately. Newly built stock is composed of 88.0% standalone houses and 12.0% medium to high-density options, maintaining the low-density vibe of the locality and appealing to buyers searching for spacious yards. There are roughly 176 individuals for each residential approval, indicating a growing local market. Projecting forward, the suburb of Dennington is set to add 684 new inhabitants by 2041, calculated from the most recent quarterly estimates by AreaSearch. Construction is keeping up reasonably well with this anticipated population surge, although property seekers might experience stiffer competition as the resident base grows.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Dennington
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks one current infrastructure or development project inside Dennington, worth an estimated $5 million. A further 51 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $5.24 billion. 18 are already under construction and 21 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, energy and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure shifts, significant construction projects, and zoning amendments are key drivers of regional growth. AreaSearch has identified 3 active developments expected to influence the local area. Principal works comprise the Wollaston Road Upgrade, Robson Park, Hopkins Ridge Estate, and the Warrnambool Line Upgrade, with the most relevant listed below.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Merri Views Estate Dennington
Merri Views Estate is a masterplanned residential estate in Dennington on the north western edge of Warrnambool. The development comprises approximately 195 residential lots across multiple stages. Stages 1 to 5 and 9 to 12 have sold, while Stage 13 and remaining lots continue to be released and constructed. The estate is within walking distance of St John's Primary School, shopping, sporting facilities and local services.
Riverland Estate
A masterplanned waterfront residential community on the banks of the Merri River in Warrnambool, offering premium lots with features including a fishing platform, playground, picnic areas, cycling tracks, walking paths, re-vegetated landscaping, fish hotels, and flood protection measures. Designed for families with a focus on sustainability and lifestyle.
Wollaston Road Upgrade
Major staged upgrade of Wollaston Road delivering new roundabouts, wider carriageway, footpaths, bicycle lanes, landscaped median, lighting, drainage, parking lanes and bus stop provisions to support growth in North Warrnambool. Construction is progressing in stages, with the Caramut Road to Roaches Road section completed, further sections under construction and later stages scheduled to commence as surrounding development progresses.
Former Saleyards Site Precinct Plan
Master plan for the former saleyards site featuring predominantly residential development, a small convenience centre on the corner of Coghlans and Caramut roads, commercial uses along Caramut Road frontage, and potential recreation facility expansion for the adjacent stadium. The site requires environmental audit and some remediation works. Council allocated funds for structural planning to prepare for rezoning.
Robson Park
Robson Park is a dynamic hub within the sought-after West Warrnambool Industrial Estate, comprising 18 architecturally designed warehouse and storage units ranging from 72 to 87 square metres. These units are built for small businesses, tradespeople, and storage needs, featuring high ceilings, secure access, and modern facilities to support local industry growth and employment.
Wollaston Way Estate
Wollaston Way Estate is a residential development in North Warrnambool, offering vacant land lots in a peaceful, family-friendly community. The estate features modern housing options, integrated landscape design, and proximity to schools, shops, and recreational areas along the Merri River. Across 14 stages, 258 families have settled, with Stage 15 coming soon and registrations of interest now open.
Warrnambool Sewage Treatment Plant Upgrade
Wannon Water's $85 million upgrade of the Warrnambool Sewage Treatment Plant is the utility's largest ever infrastructure investment. The project includes two new treatment tanks, a new inlet pump station and screening facility, chemical dosing and odour control systems, tertiary effluent screening and ultra-violet disinfection infrastructure. Construction is substantially complete with commissioning underway through 2026. The expanded facility will increase treatment capacity by around 50 percent to support long-term population and industrial growth across Warrnambool, Allansford and Koroit while improving environmental protection and public health outcomes.
Fairy Street Mixed-Use Development
A major mixed-use development featuring over 6,500 sqm of office floor space, 905 sqm of retail space, 56 residential apartments, and 84 serviced apartments with a hotel committed to Punthill. The $110M project has town planning approval, though the 4,400sqm site has also been listed for sale.
1,132 residents of Dennington are employed, from a labour force of 1,147. Unemployment sits at 1.3%, with participation at 67.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.1% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 2,546, about 119% of the resident population, so the area draws in more workers than it sends out. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The workforce of the suburb of Dennington displays a balanced mix of professional and trade occupations, with construction workers being especially well-represented, alongside an unemployment rate of a mere 1.3% according to AreaSearch data compiled from statistical areas. In March 2026, 1,132 local citizens were employed. The local jobless rate sits 2.4% below the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%, while the participation rate is exceptionally high at 67.8% compared to 61.1% in Regional Vic.. According to Census returns, only a minor 8.3% of the working population performed their jobs from home, though this figure was likely influenced by pandemic-era lockdowns.
Local workers are mostly employed in the retail trade, construction, and health care & social assistance sectors. Retail employment is particularly dense, tracking at 1.7 times the regional average. Conversely, agricultural, forestry, and fishing operations account for only 3.2% of the workforce, which is lower than the Regional Vic. level of 7.5%. The Census recorded a ratio of 0.9 workers per resident, pointing to a healthy volume of local employment options. Based on AreaSearch analytics of SALM and ABS data combined from wider geographical regions, both the size of the labor force and total employment numbers fell by 5.8% over the 12 months leading to March 2026, which kept unemployment rates steady. By comparison, Regional Vic. saw a minor 0.1% decrease in employment and a 0.3% drop in the labor force, corresponding to a 0.2 percentage point decline. National workforce forecasts released in May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context regarding prospective employment demand in the suburb of Dennington. These projections, spanning five and ten years, have been aligned with local industries to estimate future hiring. Although national employment is predicted to rise by 6.6% in five years and 13.7% in ten years, these trajectories vary widely by sector. Applying these trends to the local industry distribution suggests employment in the suburb of Dennington will expand by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simple weighted mapping for demonstration purposes that excludes local population forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Dennington is $1,727 a week (about $90,000 a year), with median personal income at $846 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $55,687 a year against an average of $67,612. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Tax office data compiled by AreaSearch at the postcode level for financial year 2023 demonstrates that earnings in the suburb of Dennington align closely with nationwide averages, showing a median income of $55,687 and an average of $67,612. In comparison, Regional Vic. recorded a median of $50,954 and an average of $62,728. Adjusting for a Wage Price Index expansion of 9.62% since financial year 2023 yields updated estimates of roughly $61,044 for median earnings and $74,116 for average earnings as of March 2026. According to the Census, household, family, and individual incomes in the suburb of Dennington place the area around the 53rd percentile nationally.
The data shows that 43.9% of the local population (representing 940 residents) fall into the $1,500 - 2,999 income bracket, whereas 30.3% of the broader regional population occupy this range. Once housing outlays are deducted, households retain 86.7% of their earnings, indicating healthy disposable income, and the area occupies the 4th decile on the SEIFA index for income.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Dennington had 700 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 99% detached houses and 0% apartments. 50% are owned with a mortgage, 18% rented and 33% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $370 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,430 a month. Rent absorbs 21.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 19.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, the composition of residential properties in the suburb of Dennington was 99.1% standalone houses and 0.9% alternative housing forms like apartments or semi-detached units, compared to Regional Vic. where houses comprised 90.1% and other structures made up 9.9%. Home ownership stood at 32.5%, which was lower than the regional rate, with the remaining properties occupied by residents with a mortgage (49.6%) or renting (18.0%). Mortgaged households paid a median monthly sum of $1,430, matching the Regional Vic. median, while weekly rent was recorded at $370, compared to regional averages of $1,430 and $285 respectively.
On a national scale, mortgage commitments in the suburb of Dennington are notably below the Australian median of $1,863, and rents also sit below the national average of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Dennington counted 700 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 752 today, averaging 2.7 people each. 36% are couples with children, against 25% couples without children. 21% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.7 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Families represent the vast majority of households at 77.0%, which is composed of 36.4% couples raising children, 24.7% couples without children at home, and 14.4% single parents. The remaining 23.0% of households are non-family units, consisting of 20.9% solo occupants and 2.4% shared group arrangements. With a median size of 2.7 residents, local households are larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
15.1% of adults in Dennington hold a university qualification, including 10.8% with a bachelor degree and 2.1% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 33.6% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 265 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 997 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Academic achievement in the locality shows room for growth, as the proportion of residents holding university degrees (15.1%) is much lower than the Victorian average of 33.4%. This highlights a clear opportunity for expanding higher education access. Among degree holders, bachelor qualifications are most common at 10.8%, followed by graduate diplomas at 2.2% and postgraduate degrees at 2.1%. Practical and vocational qualifications are highly prevalent, with 43.5% of the population aged 15+ possessing trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas at 9.9% and certificates at 33.6%. Enrolment rates are particularly strong, with 31.0% of the local population actively participating in studies.
This student population includes 10.7% attending primary schools, 10.4% in high schools, and 2.8% enrolled in higher education institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Dennington reaches 10 stops on 2 routes, timetabled for about 290 services a week. The typical home sits about 220 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.7 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Local transit analysis shows 10 active public transport stops operating in the suburb of Dennington. These locations are connected by 2 separate transit routes, which deliver 286 passenger journeys each week. Local access is positive, with houses situated an average of 221 meters from their closest transit stop. Because the area is mostly residential, residents commute to external employment zones, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of travel at 96%. Households own an average of 1.7 cars, exceeding the regional baseline. A low 8.3% of workers worked from home, according to the 2021 Census, which was likely affected by pandemic dynamics.
Transit services average 40 trips daily across the network, which translates to roughly 28 weekly services at each individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
68.6% of residents in Dennington report no long-term health condition. 3.6% need daily assistance with core activities, and 53.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.5 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Medical metrics suggest positive health profiles for local residents, with AreaSearch evaluations of mortality and chronic conditions aligning with national benchmarks, showing standard rates of common illnesses across youth and older demographics alike. Private health insurance coverage is slightly ahead of the average SA2 region, encompassing approximately 54% of the population (about 1,147 individuals), compared to 50.5% throughout Regional Vic.. Psychological health concerns and asthma represent the most frequent conditions, affecting 10.6% and 9.0% of the population respectively, while 68.6% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions, compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic..
Health trends for working-age locals are typical. Residents aged 65 and older account for 14.4% of the local population (representing 308 individuals), which is lower than the Regional Vic. proportion of 23.9%. Health outcomes for local seniors are highly positive, ranking higher against national benchmarks than the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Dennington is largely Australian-born, at 93.2% of residents, with 3.5% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (33.0%) and English (31.6%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The local population has low cultural diversity compared to national standards, with citizens making up 91.9% of residents, 93.2% born in Australia, and 96.5% using only English at home. Christianity is the primary religious affiliation, practiced by 48.4% of the community, which is similar to the 47.3% recorded across Regional Vic.. Regarding family heritage based on parental birthplaces, the most common ancestries are Australian at 33.0% of the population, English at 31.6%, and Irish at 13.1%. Some differences are evident compared to regional distributions: Dutch heritage is represented at 1.6% (compared to 1.7% regionally), Scottish at 8.3% (compared to 8.8%), and Polish at 0.6% (compared to 0.5%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Dennington is 34, younger than 82% of areas nationally. 29.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Registering a median age of 34, the population in the suburb of Dennington is significantly younger than both the Regional Vic. average of 43 and the Australian average of 38. The 25 - 34 age bracket is highly represented locally at 14.9%, whereas the 55 - 64 age bracket is underrepresented at 8.0% compared to regional trends. Since 2021, the cohort aged 15 to 24 grew from 13.8% to 14.8% of the population, while children aged 5 to 14 dropped from 15.0% to 13.7%, and adults aged 45 to 54 declined from 13.6% to 12.5%.
Long-term age projections suggest notable shifts by 2041. The group aged 25 to 34 is expected to expand by 144 people (45%) from 319 to 464, while the 15 to 24 age group will grow by a marginal 2% (representing 5 people).
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Dennington
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2025 about a year ago all 1 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2025. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 124 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (1,994 at the 2021 Census → 2,143 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL20737). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.