Dennington

Dennington lies within the top quartile of areas nationally for population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of recent, and medium to long-term trends

By Nov 2025, Dennington's population is estimated at around 2,419 based on ABS updates and AreaSearch validations. This reflects a 21.3% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 1,994 people. The change is inferred from an estimated resident population of 2,335 by AreaSearch using latest ERP data (June 2024) and 83 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 201 persons per square kilometer. Dennington's growth exceeded its SA4 region (3.4%) and SA3 area, making it a growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 77.0% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, they utilise VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the suburb is projected to grow by 706 persons, reflecting a 13.4% increase over 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Dennington recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Dennington has averaged approximately 25 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 125 homes were approved, with a further 12 approved in FY-26 to date. The average population increase per dwelling built over these five years was 0.4 people.

New construction has been matching or exceeding demand, offering buyers more options while enabling population growth that could surpass current expectations. The average value of new dwellings is $404,000, in line with regional trends. This financial year has seen $2.5 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Rest of Vic., Dennington records 94.0% more development activity per person, providing buyers with ample choice and indicating strong developer confidence in the area. New developments consist of 83.0% detached dwellings and 17.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature while responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. This marks a significant shift from existing housing patterns, which are currently 99.0% houses.

Dennington reflects a developing area with approximately 81 people per approval. Looking ahead, AreaSearch estimates that Dennington is expected to grow by 325 residents through to 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Dennington has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 34thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely to affect this region. Notable projects are Wollaston Road Upgrade, Robson Park, Hopkins Ridge Estate, and Warrnambool Line Upgrade. The following details these projects in order of relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Dennington performing better than 90% of local markets assessed across Australia

Dennington's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs. The construction sector stands out with significant representation.

As of June 2025, the unemployment rate in Dennington was 1.0%. This figure is 2.8 percentage points lower than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Dennington is high at 70.1%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Retail trade employs a disproportionately high share of residents, at 1.7 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 3.2% of local workers, below Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%. The worker-to-resident ratio is substantial, indicating ample employment opportunities in Dennington. Between June 2024 and June 2025, the labour force decreased by 2.0%, while employment fell by 1.6%, resulting in a 0.3 percentage point decrease in unemployment rate. In contrast, Rest of Vic. saw employment decline by 0.9% and labour force decline by 0.4%, with a corresponding rise in unemployment rate by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Dennington's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that Dennington has higher incomes than the national average. The median income is $55,687 and the average income stands at $67,610. This contrasts with Rest of Vic., where the median income is $48,741 and the average income is $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Dennington would be approximately $62,459 (median) and $75,831 (average) as of September 2025. Census data shows that incomes in Dennington cluster around the 53rd percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 43.9% of Dennington's population falls within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, which is similar to the surrounding region where 30.3% occupy this bracket. After housing costs, residents retain 86.7% of their income, indicating strong purchasing power.

Dennington is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Dennington, as per the latest Census evaluation, 99.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 0.9% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other dwelling types. This contrasts with Non-Metro Vic., where 87.6% of dwellings were houses and 12.3% were other dwelling types. Home ownership in Dennington stood at 32.5%, with mortgaged dwellings making up 49.6% and rented dwellings comprising 18.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $1,430, aligning with Non-Metro Vic.'s average, while the median weekly rent figure was $370, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $283. Nationally, Dennington's median monthly mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, recorded as of 2021, and rents were less than the national figure of $375 for the same period.

Dennington features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.0% of all households, including 36.4% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 14.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 20.9% and group households at 2.4%. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Dennington shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 15.1%, significantly lower than the Victorian average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 10.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.2%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.5% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas at 9.9% and certificates at 33.6%. Educational participation is high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 10.7% in primary, 10.4% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

St John's School serves Dennington, enrolling 265 students, and offers typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 997) with balanced educational opportunities. It focuses exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available nearby. School places per 100 residents are lower than the regional average at 10.9, indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Dennington shows that there are ten active transport stops currently operating within the area. These stops are serviced by four individual bus routes. Together, these routes provide a total of 506 weekly passenger trips.

The accessibility of transport in Dennington is rated as good, with residents typically located an average of 221 meters from the nearest transport stop. On average, there are 72 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 50 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Dennington is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Dennington demonstrates above-average health outcomes, with both young and old age cohorts experiencing low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover is approximately 54%, covering around 1,295 people out of the total population.

This compares to a rate of 50.0% across the Rest of Vic.. Mental health issues are the most common medical condition in the area, impacting 10.6% of residents, followed by asthma at 9.0%. A total of 68.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 65.9% across the Rest of Vic.. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, with 13.5% (326 people) compared to 21.5% in the Rest of Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The latest Census data sees Dennington placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Dennington's cultural diversity was found to be below average, with 91.9% of its population being citizens born in Australia who speak English only at home: 93.2% were Australian-born, and 96.5% spoke English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Dennington, comprising 48.4% of people, compared to 52.0% across Rest of Vic. The top three ancestry groups in Dennington were Australian (33.0%), English (31.6%), and Irish (13.1%).

Notably, Dutch ancestry was overrepresented at 1.6%, Scottish at 8.3%, and Polish at 0.6% compared to regional averages of 1.5%, 9.6%, and 0.2% respectively.

Dennington hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Dennington has a median age of 34, which is lower than the Rest of Vic figure of 43 and significantly lower than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to the Rest of Vic average, Dennington has an over-representation of the 25-34 cohort (14.9% locally) and an under-representation of the 55-64 year-olds (7.8%). Between 2021 and present, the 35 to 44 age group has increased from 14.1% to 14.9% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has decreased from 15.0% to 13.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Dennington's age profile will change significantly. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to expand by 108 people (30%), from 360 to 469. Conversely, both the 55 to 64 and 15 to 24 age groups are expected to decrease in numbers.