Dennington

Population growth drivers in Dennington are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

As of Feb 2026, Dennington's population is estimated at around 2,240. This reflects an increase of 246 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,994. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 2,146 following examination of ABS data released in June 2024 and validation of an additional 123 new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 186 persons per square kilometer. Dennington's growth rate of 12.3% since the 2021 census exceeded both its SA4 region (4.5%) and SA3 area, making it a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing weighted aggregation methods from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate a significant increase in the top quartile of Australian non-metropolitan areas, with Dennington expected to grow by 746 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 29.1% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Dennington recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Dennington averaged around 23 new dwelling approvals each year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 118 homes were approved, with a further 19 approved so far in FY-26. This indicates that new construction is matching or outpacing demand, offering buyers more options and enabling population growth.

The average value of new dwellings developed is $418,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In terms of commercial development, there have been $3.7 million in approvals this financial year, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Rest of Vic., Dennington records 82.0% more development activity per person, which should provide buyers with ample choice and is well above average nationally, indicating strong developer confidence in the area. Regarding housing types, new development consists of 82.0% detached dwellings and 18.0% medium and high-density housing, preserving the area's low density nature while also responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. This marks a significant departure from existing housing patterns, which are currently 99.0% houses, suggesting diminishing developable land availability. With around 104 people per approval, Dennington reflects a developing area with an expected population growth of 652 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate.

Existing development levels seem aligned with future requirements, maintaining stable market conditions without significant price pressures.

Dennington has emerging levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 38thth percentile nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects likely to impact the area: Wollaston Road Upgrade, Robson Park project, Hopkins Ridge Estate development, and Warrnambool Line Upgrade. The following details these key projects in order of relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Dennington performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Dennington's workforce is balanced across white and blue-collar jobs, with construction being notably prevalent. Its unemployment rate was 1.5% as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation in December 2025. Residents' employment stood at 1,103, while the unemployment rate was 2.2 percentage points lower than Regional Vic.'s 3.7%.

Workforce participation was 65.6%, slightly higher than Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. Census responses indicated that only 8.3% of residents worked from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdown impacts. The leading employment industries were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade was particularly prominent with an employment share 1.7 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employed just 3.2% of local workers compared to Regional Vic.'s 7.5%.

There were approximately 0.9 workers per resident at Census time, suggesting ample local employment opportunities. Between December 2024 and November 2025, Dennington's labour force decreased by 6.4%, with employment declining by 6.3% while unemployment remained largely unchanged. In contrast, Regional Vic. saw an employment decline of 0.6% and a labour force decrease of 0.7% over the same period. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Dennington's employment mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's data for financial year 2023 shows Dennington's median income is $55,687 and average income is $67,612. This is similar to national averages but higher than Regional Vic.'s median of $50,954 and average of $62,728. As of September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $60,281 (median) and $73,190 (average), based on an 8.25% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. Census data indicates Dennington's household, family, and personal incomes are around the 53rd percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals that 43.9% of Dennington's population (983 individuals) earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually, which is slightly higher than the surrounding region's 30.3%. After housing costs, residents retain 86.7% of their income.

Dennington is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

The latest Census showed that in Dennington, 99.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 0.9% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This is compared to Regional Victoria's figures of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Dennington stood at 32.5%, with mortgaged properties making up 49.6% and rented dwellings accounting for 18.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,430, aligning with Regional Victoria's average, while the median weekly rent was $370, higher than Regional Victoria's figure of $285. Nationally, Dennington's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,430 compared to Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $370 versus the national average of $375.

Dennington features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.0% of all households, including 36.4% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 14.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 20.9% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 2.7 people, larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Dennington shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 15.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.2%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.5% of residents aged 15 and above holding them. Advanced diplomas account for 9.9% and certificates for 33.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary, 10.4% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Dennington has 10 active public transport stops. Two routes service these stops, offering a total of 286 weekly passenger trips. The average distance to the nearest stop for residents is 221 meters, indicating good transport accessibility. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area. Cars are the dominant mode of transport, used by 96% of residents. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 8.3% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 40 trips per day, equating to approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Dennington's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows Dennington residents have relatively positive health outcomes. AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions indicates results broadly in line with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts are fairly standard. The rate of private health cover is approximately 54% of the total population (~1,199 people), leading that of the average SA2 area but compares to 50.5% across Regional Vic.. The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 10.6 and 9.0% of residents respectively, while 68.6% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 13.5% of residents aged 65 and over (302 people), lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic.. Health outcomes among seniors are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The latest Census data sees Dennington placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Dennington's population showed low cultural diversity, with 91.9% being Australian citizens, 93.2% born in Australia, and 96.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 48.4%, compared to 47.3% regionally. The top three ancestry groups were Australian (33.0%), English (31.6%), and Irish (13.1%).

Dutch, Scottish, and Polish ethnicities had notable differences: Dutch at 1.6% in Dennington vs 1.7% regionally, Scottish at 8.3% vs 8.8%, and Polish at 0.6% vs 0.5%.

Dennington hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Dennington's median age is 34, which is lower than Regional Vic.'s figure of 43 and significantly lower than Australia's 38 years. The 25-34 cohort is notably over-represented in Dennington at 15.6%, compared to the Regional Vic. average, while the 55-64 age group is under-represented at 7.9%. Between 2021 and present, the 35-44 age group has grown from 14.1% to 15.2% of the population. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has declined from 15.0% to 13.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Dennington's age profile will evolve significantly. The 25-34 age cohort is projected to expand by 152 people (44%) from 349 to 502. Meanwhile, the 15-24 cohort grows by a modest 1% (3 people).