Dennington

Population growth drivers in Dennington are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch since the Census, Dennington's population is estimated at around 2,143 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 149 people (7.5%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,994 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,135 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 124 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 178 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration contributed approximately 77.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, primarily driving growth in Dennington's population which exceeded the SA4 region (0.4%) and SA3 area since the 2021 census. AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting them employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate a significant increase in the top quartile of Australian non-metropolitan areas, with Dennington expected to grow by 692 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 31.9% in total over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is slightly higher than average within Dennington when compared nationally

Dennington has averaged approximately 23 new dwelling approvals annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 118 homes were approved, with an additional 28 approved so far in FY-26. On average, 1.3 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these five years.

This suggests a balanced supply and demand dynamic, supported by stable market conditions. The average expected construction cost of new dwellings is $418,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, there have been $3.7 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to Rest of Vic., Dennington has seen 82.0% more development activity per person, which offers buyers ample choice and is significantly above the national average, demonstrating strong developer confidence in the area. The new development composition consists of 82.0% detached dwellings and 18.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving Dennington's low-density nature while catering to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs. This represents a notable shift from the current housing pattern, which is predominantly houses (99.0%).

Dennington has around 109 people per approval, reflecting its developing status. By 2041, Dennington is projected to grow by approximately 684 residents, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. Construction pace is currently maintaining a reasonable pace with this projected growth, although buyers may face increasing competition as the population grows.

Dennington has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 40thth percentile nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified three projects expected to impact the region. Notable projects are Wollaston Road Upgrade, Robson Park development, Hopkins Ridge Estate construction, and Warrnambool Line Upgrade. Details about these projects follow.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Dennington performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Dennington's workforce comprises both white and blue-collar jobs, with construction being notably prominent. The unemployment rate was 1.6% as of AreaSearch data aggregation. As of December 2025, 1,136 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.1%, below Regional Vic.'s 3.7%.

Workforce participation in Dennington was 68.2%, higher than Regional Vic.'s 61.0%. According to Census responses, 8.3% of residents worked from home. Leading industries for employment were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Retail trade had an employment share of 1.7 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employed only 3.2% of local workers, below Regional Vic.'s 7.5%.

The worker-to-resident ratio was 0.9 at Census time. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Dennington's labour force decreased by 6.2%, employment decreased by 6.3%, with unemployment remaining largely unchanged. In contrast, Regional Vic. saw employment decline of 0.6% and labour force decline of 0.7%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Dennington's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.1% over five years and 12.9% over ten years.

The area's income profile falls below national averages based on AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that income in Dennington is inline with national averages. The median income is $55,687 and the average income stands at $67,612. This contrasts with Regional Vic.'s figures of a median income of $50,954 and an average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $61,044 (median) and $74,116 (average) as of March 2026. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Dennington cluster around the 53rd percentile nationally. Income analysis shows that 43.9% of the population, which is 940 individuals, fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, mirroring the surrounding region where 30.3% occupy this bracket. After housing costs, residents retain 86.7% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Dennington is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Dennington, as per the latest Census, 99.1% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 0.9% comprising semi-detached, apartments, and other types. This compares to Regional Vic.'s figures of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Dennington stood at 32.5%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.6% and rented ones at 18.0%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,430, aligning with Regional Vic.'s average, while the median weekly rent was $370 compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Dennington's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were below the national figure of $375.

Dennington features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 77.0% of all households, including 36.4% couples with children, 24.7% couples without children, and 14.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.0%, with lone person households at 20.9% and group households comprising 2.4%. The median household size is 2.7 people, which is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Dennington shows below-average educational performance compared to national benchmarks, though pockets of achievement exist

The area's university qualification rate is 15.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 10.8%, followed by graduate diplomas (2.2%) and postgraduate qualifications (2.1%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (9.9%) and certificates (33.6%). Educational participation is high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.7% in primary, 10.4% in secondary, and 2.8% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 31.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 10.4% in secondary education, and 2.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Dennington has 10 active public transport stops. These are served by 2 routes offering a total of 286 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated good, with residents typically located 221 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward daily. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 96%. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, only 8.3% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 40 trips per day across all routes, resulting in approximately 28 weekly trips per individual stop.

Dennington's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Health data shows Dennington residents have relatively positive health outcomes. AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions indicates results broadly in line with national benchmarks.

Common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts are fairly standard. The rate of private health cover is approximately 54% of the total population (~1,147 people), leading that of the average SA2 area but comparable to Regional Vic.'s 50.5%. The most common medical conditions in Dennington are mental health issues (10.6%) and asthma (9.0%). 68.6% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, higher than Regional Vic.'s 63.4%. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 14.4% of residents aged 65 and over (308 people), lower than Regional Vic.''s 23.9%. Health outcomes among seniors in Dennington are above average, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

The latest Census data sees Dennington placing among the least culturally diverse areas in the country when compared across a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Dennington's population showed low cultural diversity, with 91.9% being citizens, 93.2% born in Australia, and 96.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, at 48.4%, compared to 47.3% regionally. The top three ancestral groups were Australian (33.0%), English (31.6%), and Irish (13.1%).

Dutch ancestry was slightly higher in Dennington at 1.6% versus 1.7% regionally, Scottish at 8.3% versus 8.8%, and Polish at 0.6% versus 0.5%.

Dennington hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Dennington's median age of 34 is lower than Regional Vic.'s figure of 43 and Australia's figure of 38 years. Compared to the Regional Vic. average, Dennington has an over-representation of the 25-34 cohort at 14.9% locally, while the 55-64 year-olds are under-represented at 8.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group grew from 13.8% to 14.8% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 15.0% to 13.7%, and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 13.6% to 12.5%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Dennington's age profile. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to expand by 144 people (45%) from 319 to 464. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort grows by a modest 2% (5 people).