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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Warrnambool - North has an estimated 23,347 residents, up from 22,405 at the 2021 Census — a change of 942 people, or 4.2%. Growth has averaged 0.6% a year over five years. 1,017 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. That puts 374 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research conducted by AreaSearch, the resident count in Warrnambool - North stands at roughly 23,347 as of Aug 2026. This represents an addition of 942 people (4.2%) compared to the 22,405 people recorded during the 2021 Census. Such movement is calculated using the ABS estimated resident population figure of 23,101 as of June 2025 alongside 1,017 validated new addresses identified following the Census date. With a resultant density of 374 persons per square kilometer, the locality offers ample living space per resident as well as scope for prospective expansion.
Outpacing both the broader SA4 region (0.5%) and its adjoining SA3 area, Warrnambool - North's 4.2% expansion since the 2021 census establishes it as a regional frontrunner in demographic gains. Overseas migration served as the primary catalyst for this demographic increase, generating roughly 65.3% of total population additions over recent timeframes. Projections compiled by the ABS/Geoscience Australia released in 2024 (benchmarked to 2022) have been incorporated by AreaSearch for SA2 boundaries. Where specific coverage is absent, figures draw upon 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA datasets, adjusted via weighted aggregation methods transferring LGA trends down to SA2 divisions. These aggregated cohort growth patterns are likewise projected forward for the 2032 to 2041 period across all regions. In terms of future trajectory, the area is situated within the top quartile nationwide among non-metropolitan districts for expansion, with forecasts pointing to a gain of 7,220 persons to 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP figures, translating to an overall growth rate of 29.9% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
970 new dwellings have been approved in Warrnambool - North over the past five years, an average of 194 a year. That places the area in the 78th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 8 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 194 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 86% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Residential construction authorizations in Warrnambool - North have averaged approximately 194 new homes per year, totaling 970 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26). Because additions have averaged only 0.7 new residents per year per dwelling constructed over the past 5 financial years (between FY-22 and FY-26), the prevailing volume of residential supply matches or exceeds local requirements, widening purchaser selection while leaving capacity for growth beyond baseline forecasts, with new dwellings reflecting an average expected construction cost of $390,000. Additionally, non-residential building approvals reached $21.2 million this financial year, demonstrating consistent commercial sector investment.
Relative to Rest of Vic., building activity across Warrnambool - North tracks at a moderately elevated rate (sitting 39.0% above regional average per person over the 5 year period), which sustains purchaser availability while upholding existing market demand. Detached houses account for 86.0% of newly authorized residential structures, with townhouses or apartments making up the remaining 14.0%, reinforcing the district's established low-density profile centered on family-oriented housing for space-seeking buyers. A ratio of roughly 105 people per dwelling approval further underlines the low-density nature of Warrnambool - North. Looking forward, demographic forecasts indicate Warrnambool - North will add 6,972 residents through to 2041 (derived from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimate). While current construction activity tracks suitably alongside anticipated growth, property buyers may encounter heightened competition as the local community continues to enlarge.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Warrnambool - North
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 21 current infrastructure and development projects inside Warrnambool - North, worth an estimated $2.7 billion. A further 73 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $16.8 billion. 29 are already under construction and 40 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, energy and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Capital investments, planning strategies, and infrastructure initiatives exert a major influence on regional growth. AreaSearch has pinpointed 17 projects overall that will likely shape the district's trajectory. Among the primary developments are Wollaston Way Estate, AquaZone Redevelopment, Fairy Street Mixed-Use Development, and Riverland Estate, with details on the most significant schemes outlined below.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Warrnambool Base Hospital Redevelopment
A major $396.1 million healthcare project featuring a new multi-storey clinical tower, an expanded emergency department, additional operating theatres, a dedicated paediatric unit, and an offsite Regional Logistics Distribution Centre.
Northern Edge Estate
Northern Edge Estate is a masterplanned residential subdivision comprising 481 residential allotments delivered across 17 stages in Warrnambool's north-east growth corridor. The estate features diverse residential lot options integrated with local parklands, schools, and nearby retail infrastructure.
Wollaston Way Estate
Wollaston Way Estate is a residential development in North Warrnambool, offering vacant land lots in a peaceful, family-friendly community. The estate features modern housing options, integrated landscape design, and proximity to schools, shops, and recreational areas along the Merri River. Across 14 stages, 258 families have settled, with Stage 15 coming soon and registrations of interest now open.
AquaZone Redevelopment
Redevelopment of Warrnambool's AquaZone Aquatic and Leisure Centre on its existing site. Council endorsed the business case in early 2026 for advocacy and funding, with a recommended two-stage redevelopment. Stage 1 includes a new 50 metre pool, plant, spectator seating, entry, foyer, cafe, dry fitness areas and upgraded change facilities. Stage 2 includes a warm water pool, spa, sauna and additional program rooms to support rehabilitation, health, wellbeing and expanded community programming.
Northern Edge Estate
Master-planned residential estate in north Warrnambool offering 481 land lots for family homes and townhouses, with modern designs, green spaces, paths, and proximity to commercial, educational, and recreational facilities.
Wollaston Way Estate
Wollaston Way Estate is a multi-stage masterplanned residential development located along Wollaston Road in Warrnambool's North of the Merri growth corridor. The project delivers approximately 248 residential allotments complete with integrated civil infrastructure, wetlands, and landscaped parklands.
Riverland Estate
A masterplanned waterfront residential community on the banks of the Merri River in Warrnambool, offering premium lots with features including a fishing platform, playground, picnic areas, cycling tracks, walking paths, re-vegetated landscaping, fish hotels, and flood protection measures. Designed for families with a focus on sustainability and lifestyle.
Wollaston Road Upgrade
Comprehensive corridor and arterial road upgrade along Wollaston Road to unlock growth and service the North of Merri residential precinct. Scope of works includes the construction of two new multi-lane roundabouts, integrated off-road shared cycling and walking paths, modernized street lighting, and deep infrastructure relocations.
11,485 residents of Warrnambool - North are employed, from a labour force of 11,673. Unemployment sits at 1.6%, with participation at 61.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 20,046, about 86% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The local labour pool in Warrnambool - North is well qualified, featuring a strong contingent across essential services sectors and an exceptionally low jobless rate of 1.6%. As of March 2026, employed residents total 11,485, with local unemployment sitting 2.1% lower than the 3.7% recorded across Regional Vic., while participation matches Regional Vic.'s 61.1%. Census records indicated that merely 9.8% of workers conducted their duties from home, though prevailing Covid-19 restrictions at the time should be kept in mind. The primary employment fields for the local workforce comprise health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.
Retail trade represents a clear district specialization, capturing a local workforce proportion 1.3 times the regional level. In contrast, agriculture, forestry & fishing accounts for only 2.9% of employment relative to the regional benchmark of 7.5%. Based on the balance between working-age residents and Census workplace counts, the district presents fewer opportunities for local workplace employment. AreaSearch assessment of ABS and SALM figures indicates that over the recent 12-month period, the local labour force contracted by 6.2% as total employment reduced by 6.0%, leading to a 0.2 percentage points reduction in the unemployment rate. Over the same timeframe across Regional Vic., employment dropped by 0.1%, the workforce shrank by 0.3%, and joblessness decreased by 0.2 percentage points. Broader perspective on future workforce needs in Warrnambool - North is provided by national forecasts issued by Jobs and Skills Australia from Mar-26. These five- and ten-year projections have been applied to the local industrial distribution to assess likely employment trajectories. Across the nation, employment is expected to rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with performance varying widely by sector. Calibrating these sectoral outlooks against the employment structure of Warrnambool - North indicates potential local job expansion of 6.4% over five years and 13.5% over ten years (noting that this calculation represents an illustrative weighted extrapolation that excludes localized population modeling).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Warrnambool - North is $1,451 a week (about $75,000 a year), with median personal income at $760 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $52,068 a year against an average of $62,778. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Postcode ATO figures compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023 indicate that the Warrnambool - North SA2 recorded a median taxpayer earnings level of $52,068 alongside an average of $62,778. These metrics track below countrywide figures, aligning closely with Regional Vic.'s median of $50,954 and average of $62,728. Factoring in Wage Price Index increases of 9.62% since financial year 2023 yields updated estimates of roughly $57,077 (median) and $68,817 (average) as of March 2026. Data from the 2021 Census places personal, family, and household earnings in Warrnambool - North at modest positions, between the 32nd and 40th percentiles.
The single largest income bracket encompasses 32.2% of locals (7,517 people) receiving between $1,500 - 2,999, mirroring wider regional trends where 30.3% fall within this band. Residents retain 86.3% of their income after meeting housing commitments, placing the area in the 4th decile on the SEIFA income index.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Warrnambool - North had 8,713 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 89% detached houses and 2% apartments. 35% are owned with a mortgage, 27% rented and 38% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $300 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,451 a month. Rent absorbs 20.7% of household income here and mortgage repayments 23.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
According to the latest Census, residential housing stock in Warrnambool - North consists of 88.5% houses alongside 11.5% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), relative to 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings recorded across Regional Vic.. Full home ownership in Warrnambool - North reached 37.8%, slightly below the regional benchmark, while 34.8% of properties were mortgaged and 27.4% were occupied by tenants. Median monthly mortgage commitments were recorded at $1,451 and median weekly rent stood at $300, tracking above Regional Vic.'s figures of $1,430 and $285. In a nationwide context, mortgage repayments in Warrnambool - North sit well below the Australian benchmark of $1,863, and local rental figures remain significantly lower than the national sum of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Warrnambool - North counted 8,713 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.4 people each. 28% are couples with children, against 28% couples without children. 28% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family units constitute 69.4% of total local households, comprising couples with children at 28.1%, couples without children at 27.7%, and single parent families making up 12.5%. Non-family living arrangements account for the other 30.6% of households, with lone person households representing 27.8% and group households capturing 2.8%. The typical household size sits at 2.4 people, perfectly matching the Regional Vic. average.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
20.7% of adults in Warrnambool - North hold a university qualification, including 14.3% with a bachelor degree and 3.3% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 27.2% hold a vocational qualification. 12 schools serve the area, with 5,528 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,001 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
Educational attainment levels present ongoing hurdles for the community, as university degree holders make up 20.7% of the population, well below the 33.4% recorded across the VIC average. This disparity highlights a key area for targeted learning interventions. Among tertiary credentials, bachelor degrees represent 14.3%, postgraduate awards account for 3.3%, and graduate diplomas stand at 3.1%. Conversely, technical and trade disciplines are widespread, with 37.6% of residents aged 15+ possessing vocational certifications, including certificates (27.2%) and advanced diplomas (10.4%). A substantial proportion of the local population is actively studying, with 29.0% of residents enrolled in formal education programs.
Within this student base, primary schooling accounts for 10.3%, secondary education captures 8.9%, and 2.8% are enrolled in tertiary studies.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Warrnambool - North reaches 99 stops on 7 routes, timetabled for about 770 services a week. The typical home sits about 410 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 1.4 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit infrastructure across Warrnambool - North features 99 active transport stops. These boarding points are connected by 7 individual routes that generate a collective 773 weekly passenger trips. Overall public transport access is evaluated as moderate, with an average distance of 414 meters from residences to the closest stop. Given the area's predominantly suburban character, private vehicles serve as the main travel method for outgoing commuters, accounting for 95% of trips, while vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.4 per dwelling. A modest 9.8% of residents worked remotely from home according to the 2021 Census, though pandemic conditions during that period must be noted.
Across the entire transit network, operational frequency stands at 110 trips per day, which provides approximately 7 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
65.5% of residents in Warrnambool - North report no long-term health condition. 6.1% need daily assistance with core activities, and 50.4% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
According to AreaSearch evaluations of chronic illness rates and mortality figures, Warrnambool - North experiences notable health hurdles, with widespread conditions observed across older as well as younger demographics. Furthermore, private healthcare coverage remains comparatively subdued, held by approximately 50% of the total population (~11,766 people), which falls short of the 55.7% recorded as the national average. Asthma and mental health issues represent the most prevalent diagnosed conditions locally, affecting 9.0% and 9.2 of residents, respectively, while 65.5% reported experiencing no diagnosed medical issues, outperforming the 63.4% figure across Regional Vic..
An above-average incidence of long-term medical conditions is evident among working-age individuals. Seniors aged 65 and over make up 20.7% of residents (4,832 people), lower than the 24.0% seen across Regional Vic., with broader national health comparisons showing results generally aligned with the overall population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Warrnambool - North is largely Australian-born, at 90.7% of residents, with 5.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (31.1%) and Australian (30.2%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Cultural diversity measures for Warrnambool - North track below broader averages, with Australian citizens comprising 90.4% of the community, 90.7% born in Australia, and 94.8% speaking English only at home. Christianity forms the predominant faith, representing 52.7% of people in Warrnambool - North, exceeding the 47.3% observed throughout Regional Vic.. Evaluating parental backgrounds, the three most widespread ancestries in Warrnambool - North comprise English (31.1% of the population), Australian (30.2% of the population), and Irish (13.9% of the population). Specific variances also emerge among other backgrounds, with Scottish heritage notably elevated at 9.3% of Warrnambool - North compared to 8.8% regionally, while Dutch represents 1.4% (vs 1.7%) and Maori accounts for 0.4% (vs 0.2%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Warrnambool - North is 40. 25.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Across all four primary demographic cohorts, age patterns in Warrnambool - North closely mirror Regional Vic., with the largest difference between them measuring 3.3 percentage points. As at August 2026, the estimated median age stands at 40, matching the figure recorded in the 2021 Census and remaining 3 years below the Regional Vic. median of 43 from that same Census. The proportion of mature adults and early retirees (45 - 64) decreased from 25.3% at the Census to an estimated 24.0%. The most substantial population increase leading to 2041 is expected within the young to middle aged adult group (25 - 44), which is projected to expand by 2,520 residents (44%) to 8,266.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Warrnambool - North
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Sep 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Sep 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Sep 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 last month all 21 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 6 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 2 months ago all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1,017 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (22,405 at the 2021 Census → 23,347 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (217041479). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.