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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
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Ararat has an estimated 8,414 residents, down from 8,500 at the 2021 Census — a change of 86 people, or 1.0%. 215 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Density is about 52 people per square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to investigations by AreaSearch, the population of Ararat is close to 8,414 as of May 2026. This represents a reduction of 86 people (1.0%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 8,500 people. This shift is calculated from the estimated resident population of 8,399 published by the ABS as of June 2025 alongside an additional 215 validated new addresses recorded since the Census. Such a population size results in a density ratio of 52 persons per square kilometer, indicating a setting with plenty of space for each resident.
Although Ararat registered a 1.0% contraction since the 2021 census, its performance was stronger than the broader SA3 area (-1.6%). Population gains in the locality were chiefly supported by overseas migration, which served as practically the only source of population growth in recent times. AreaSearch implements ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each individual SA2 area, published in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For SA2 areas where this data is unavailable, AreaSearch uses Regional/LGA projections from the VIC State Government released in 2023, adjusting them via a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates segmented by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for the period 2032 to 2041. Factoring in these projected demographic changes, a population rise slightly below the median of Australia's non-metropolitan regions is anticipated, with the locality projected to grow by 647 persons to 2041 based on the most recent annual ERP statistics, indicating a total rise of 7.5% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
219 new dwellings have been approved in Ararat over the past five years, an average of 43 a year. That is 5.2 approvals per 1,000 residents. Of the 37 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 84% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 36, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Ararat has seen roughly 43 residential properties approved annually, with 219 homes authorized during the past 5 financial years (from FY-21 to FY-25) and 33 so far in FY-26. Amid population contractions over recent years, housing supply has remained sufficient relative to demand, maintaining a balanced market with healthy buyer selection, while new builds are constructed at an average value of $301,000. Additionally, commercial approvals have reached $10.1 million this financial year, demonstrating steady investment activity in the commercial sector. Relative to Rest of Vic., Ararat displays slightly higher development levels (50.0% above the regional per capita average over the 5 year period), preserving buyer options while underpinning established property values.
Recent construction consists of 84.0% detached houses and 16.0% townhouses or apartments, sustaining the low density character of the area through an emphasis on standalone housing that appeals to buyers seeking space. With roughly 225 people per approval, Ararat exhibits a low density landscape. Long-term projections indicate Ararat will add 632 residents by 2041 (starting from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Based on current construction trends, new dwelling supply is expected to comfortably satisfy demand, providing favorable purchasing conditions and potentially encouraging population growth above current forecasts.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Ararat
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 79 current infrastructure and development projects close to Ararat, worth an estimated $6.68 billion. 15 are already under construction and 31 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans transport & logistics, residential development and communities, precincts & urban renewal. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major planning decisions, and new developments have a significant impact on regional performance. In total, 0 projects have been identified by AreaSearch as likely to affect the area. Prominent works include the Western Highway Upgrade - Ararat to Stawell, the Western Highway Ballarat to Stawell Upgrade, the Ararat to Maryborough Line Upgrades (Murray Basin Rail Project), and the Melbourne To Adelaide Freight Rail Improvements, with details on the most relevant schemes provided below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Great Western Future Plan 2014-2024
A 10-year plan developed in partnership with the Northern Grampians Shire Council and the community to guide the future development and growth of Great Western. The plan considers the impact of the Western Highway bypass and aims to enhance the town's village feel, heritage, and tourism potential, particularly around its wineries.
Western Highway Upgrade - Ararat to Stawell
Planning continues for duplication of the Western Highway between Ararat and Stawell. The project includes two lanes in each direction separated by a central median, upgraded intersections, safer local road connections, a bypass north of Great Western, new bridges and overpasses, and improved freight and road safety outcomes. Early environmental investigations and tree surveys are underway while planning and approvals continue.
Western Highway Upgrade
Multi-billion dollar duplication of the Western Highway between Ballarat and Stawell, the busiest national undivided highway in Australia and the key freight link between Melbourne and Adelaide. The Ballarat to Buangor section (55km) is complete. The Buangor to Ararat section (12km, Section 2B) is in preconstruction, with design, Cultural Heritage Management Plan, planning scheme amendment and key environmental approvals now finalised; construction is expected to start before the end of 2026, funded by an additional $446 million joint state and federal commitment announced in the 2026/27 budgets, taking the cost of this section to $1.17 billion.Works include an extra lane in each direction, a centre median, safety barriers, a new interchange at Hillside Road, and new bridges over the railway line and Hopkins River. The Ararat to Stawell section remains in planning. The corridor has recorded 158 crashes and 22 fatalities in the decade to March 2026, underscoring the safety case for the upgrade.
Correa Park Residential Development
Developed by the Pyrenees Shire Council, Correa Park aimed to create affordable residential housing lots to meet the needs of a growing population. The development proceeded in stages over seven years and was completed in 2021. Approximately 100 blocks of land were sold.
Beaufort Commuter Car Park Upgrade
A new car park at Beaufort Station, delivered through the Victorian Government's Car Parks for Commuters program. The project includes at least 40 new car parking spaces, two new accessible spaces, and 15 new bicycle hoops. It also features new lighting and CCTV for enhanced security and landscaping.
Beaufort Bypass
The Beaufort Bypass project, part of the Western Highway Upgrade, comprises 11 kilometres of dual carriageway bypassing Beaufort and connecting to duplicated sections of the Western Highway. It includes half-diamond interchanges, a full diamond interchange at Beaufort-Lexton Road, one road-over-rail bridge, overpass structures, culverts, small bridges, and watercourse realignments. The Environment Effects Statement (EES) process was concluded in November 2023.
Beaufort Lake Caravan Park Upgrade
Phase one of the Beaufort Lake Caravan Park upgrade has been completed, delivering seven new visitor cabins including an all-abilities access cabin (two bedrooms, toilet, kitchen and ramp access). The works form part of a broader $3.8 million masterplan and included associated civil upgrades to power, wastewater, plumbing, roads and drainage. The new cabins double the total cabins in the park to 14 and are intended to support both tourism and short-term worker accommodation.
Beaufort Linear Park Master Plan
The Beaufort Linear Park project aims to create a recreational corridor along the course of the Garibaldi Creek, extending from Beaufort Lake to Yam Holes Creek north of the railway line. The master plan, completed in May 2024, focuses on enhancing water quality and biodiversity, promoting community health and wellbeing, and improving the experience for visitors to Beaufort.
3,510 residents of Ararat are employed, from a labour force of 3,605. Unemployment sits at 2.6%, with participation at 50.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.7% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Ararat maintains a balanced workforce distributed between white and blue collar jobs, with essential services sectors well represented and an unemployment rate of only 2.6%. As of March 2026, 3,510 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.0% below the Regional Vic. average of 3.7%, whereas workforce participation is notably lower (50.3% compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.1%). Census data indicates a low 7.3% of residents worked from home, though the influence of Covid-19 lockdowns should be kept in mind. The primary employment sectors for local residents are health care & social assistance, manufacturing, and public administration & safety.
The region displays a high concentration in manufacturing, with an employment share 1.9 times the regional average. Conversely, construction plays a smaller role, employing 6.2% of the workforce compared to 10.4% regionally. Although local job opportunities exist within the community, the ratio of Census working population to local population suggests a substantial number of residents travel outside the area for work. According to AreaSearch's evaluation of SALM and ABS statistics, during the 12 months leading to March 2026, the local labour force contracted by 3.6% alongside a 1.2% drop in employment, resulting in a 2.4 percentage point decline in the unemployment rate. Over the same timeframe, Regional Vic. experienced a 0.1% decline in employment, a 0.3% decline in the labour force, and a 0.2 percentage point drop in unemployment. National employment forecasts from May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide additional context on prospective future demand in Ararat. These five and ten-year projections have been aligned with the local employment profile to model potential growth. Although national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary considerably by industry sector. Adjusting these national industry-specific forecasts to Ararat's employment structure indicates local jobs should rise by 5.7% over five years and 12.9% over ten years (note that this is a basic weighted extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate local population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Ararat is $1,216 a week (about $63,000 a year), with median personal income at $681 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $49,021 a year against an average of $57,320. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to the latest ATO data compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, income levels in the Ararat SA2 are below the national average. Taxpayers in the Ararat SA2 record a median income of $49,021 and an average income of $57,320, compared to $50,954 and $62,728 respectively in Regional Vic. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates correspond to roughly $53,737 for the median and $62,834 for the average as of March 2026. Based on 2021 Census data, household, family, and individual incomes in Ararat all position between the 14th and 24th percentiles nationally.
The distribution of earnings shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 range accounts for 29.6% of the community (2,490 individuals), which is close to the regional rate of 30.3%. Although housing expenses are modest with 88.2% of income retained, overall disposable income sits at only the 19th percentile nationwide.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Ararat had 3,225 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 90% detached houses and 0% apartments. 31% are owned with a mortgage, 27% rented and 42% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $250 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,083 a month. Rent absorbs 20.6% of household income here and mortgage repayments 20.6%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The mix of housing in Ararat, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 89.8% standalone houses and 10.2% other housing types (semi-detached, apartments, and alternative dwellings), compared to Regional Vic.'s breakdown of 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Meanwhile, home ownership rates in Ararat matched Regional Vic. at 42.2%, with the remaining properties occupied by mortgagors (30.6%) or renters (27.1%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the area was significantly lower than the Regional Vic. average at $1,083, while the median weekly rent stood at $250, compared to $1,430 and $285 in Regional Vic.
On a national scale, Ararat's mortgage costs are much lower than the Australian median of $1,863, and rents are similarly well below the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Ararat counted 3,225 households at the 2021 Census, averaging 2.2 people each. 20% are couples with children, fewer than in 86% of areas nationally, against 29% couples without children. 34% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.9 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households represent the majority of homes at 62.7%, consisting of 20.2% couples with children, 29.1% couples without children, and 12.2% single parent households. Non-family households account for the remaining 37.3%, with single person households representing 34.1% and group living situations making up 3.1%. The median household size of 2.2 residents is below the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
14.3% of adults in Ararat hold a university qualification, including 9.6% with a bachelor degree and 2.5% with postgraduate qualifications. A further 25.3% hold a vocational qualification. 7 schools serve the area, with 1,393 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 974 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The region experiences educational challenges, with university attainment rates (14.3%) falling far below the VIC average of 33.4%. This represents both a hurdle and an opening for focused educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 9.6%, followed by postgraduate degrees (2.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational and technical skills are highly prevalent, with 35.2% of residents aged 15+ holding trade credentials, consisting of advanced diplomas (9.9%) and certificates (25.3%). Engagement in learning is highly visible, with 30.5% of the population currently participating in formal education. This comprises 11.3% in primary schools, 9.3% in secondary schools, and 2.7% enrolled in higher education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Ararat reaches 64 stops on 12 routes, timetabled for about 280 services a week. The typical home sits about 210 m from its nearest stop. Households keep an average of 1.3 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Analysis of public transit reveals 64 active transport stops in Ararat, consisting of train services. These stops are served by 12 distinct routes, which provide a total of 275 weekly passenger trips. Transit access is rated as good, with residents living an average of 205 meters from the nearest stop. As the area is mostly residential, many commuters travel outward for employment, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of travel at 90%, and 7% of residents walking. Vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.3 per household, which is below the regional average.
A relatively low 7.3% of residents work from home (2021 Census; possibly reflecting COVID-19 patterns). Service frequency averages 39 trips per day across all routes, which translates to roughly 4 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
58.6% of residents in Ararat report no long-term health condition, a less healthy profile than 88% of areas nationally. 8.5% need daily assistance with core activities, and 47.6% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 6.7 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health metrics point to considerable difficulties facing Ararat, based on AreaSearch's evaluation of death rates and the frequency of chronic illnesses, with common medical issues prevalent in both younger and older age brackets, and the rate of private health insurance coverage found to be very low at roughly 48% of the population (~4,005 people). This compares to 50.5% across Regional Vic. and a national average of 55.7%. The most frequent health issues in the locality were arthritis and mental health challenges, affecting 11.1 and 10.9% of residents, respectively, while 58.6% reported having no medical conditions compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic.
The working-age cohort experiences notable health difficulties with higher rates of chronic illness. Seniors aged 65 and over constitute 24.4% of the population (2,049 people), and health outcomes for this group present difficulties, with national rankings even higher than the general population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Ararat is largely Australian-born, at 87.1% of residents, with 7.2% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (32.1%) and English (31.5%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Ararat displays lower levels of cultural diversity, with 81.1% of residents holding citizenship, 87.1% born in Australia, and 92.8% speaking only English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 44.3% of the Ararat community. The most distinct overrepresentation is in the Other category, which accounts for 0.8% of the population, matching the 0.8% figure for Regional Vic. In terms of parent country of birth, the three most common ancestries in Ararat are Australian at 32.1%, English at 31.5%, and Scottish at 9.6%. There are also notable differences in the concentration of other ethnic groups: German is overrepresented at 4.6% of Ararat (compared to 3.5% regionally), Samoan at 0.4% (compared to 0.1%), and Maori at 0.6% (compared to 0.2%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Ararat is 44, older than 78% of areas nationally. That is 1 year younger than at the 2021 Census. 24.5% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
Ararat's median age of 44 years is comparable to Regional Vic.'s 43 and sits well above the national median of 38. Compared to Regional Vic., Ararat has a higher proportion of residents aged 25 - 34 (14.7%) but a smaller share of 5 - 14 year-olds (9.9%). Since the 2021 Census, the 35 to 44 age cohort has increased from 11.1% to 13.3% of the population, while the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 12.4% to 10.3%. By 2041, Ararat is anticipated to undergo notable shifts in its age structure.
Leading this demographic change, the 25 to 34 age bracket will expand by 28% (347 people), growing to 1,586 from 1,238, whereas the 65 to 74 and 15 to 24 age groups are projected to contract.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Ararat
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 215 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (8,500 at the 2021 Census → 8,414 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (215011386). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.