Alfredton

Alfredton lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Alfredton's population was around 20,936 as of November 2025. This reflected an increase of 4,101 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,835. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 20,178 in June 2024 and an additional 1,443 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 397 persons per square kilometer. Alfredton's growth rate of 24.4% since the 2021 census exceeded the non-metro area (6.0%) and the SA4 region. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 73.9% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made employing weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, exceptional growth is predicted over the period, with the area expected to expand by 12,722 persons to 2041, reflecting a gain of 56.9% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Alfredton was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Alfredton averaged 452 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling 2,264 homes. As of FY-26123 approvals have been recorded. Each year, an average of 2.5 new residents per dwelling were gained between FY-21 and FY-25. The average construction cost value of new homes was $275,000.

In FY-26, $12.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered. Compared to Rest of Vic., Alfredton had 133.0% higher new home approvals per person as of the latest data. New development consisted of 98.0% detached houses and 2.0% attached dwellings. The area had approximately 81 people per dwelling approval, indicating market expansion. Future projections estimate Alfredton to add 11,916 residents by 2041.

Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Alfredton has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 35 projects likely to impact the area. Notable ones are Western Highway Upgrade, Circular Economy Precinct, New Lucas Hospital, and Insignia Estate. The following details projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Alfredton ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Alfredton has an educated workforce with significant representation in essential services. The unemployment rate is 2.4%, lower than the Rest of Vic's 3.8%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.4%. As of September 2025, 10,814 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% below the regional average and workforce participation at 69.1%, well above Rest of Vic's 57.4%. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance (1.3 times the regional level), retail trade, and education & training. Agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 1.5% of local workers compared to Rest of Vic's 7.5%.

Over the year to September 2025, employment increased by 2.4%, matching labour force growth and keeping unemployment stable. In contrast, Rest of Vic saw employment contraction (-0.7%) and a marginal rise in unemployment. State-level data (VIC) from 25-Nov shows employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National forecasts project employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but local projections suggest Alfredton's employment could increase by 6.8% in five years and 14.2% in ten years based on its industry mix.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2022, Alfredton SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $51,664 and an average income of $66,162. Nationally, the median income was $48,741 and the average was $60,693 for Rest of Vic. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $57,946 (median) and $74,207 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals that household, family and personal incomes in Alfredton cluster around the 61st percentile nationally. Distribution data shows that the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 35.7% of the community (7,474 individuals), consistent with broader trends across the region showing 30.3% in the same category. After housing, 86.2% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Alfredton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Alfredton's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 92.7% houses and 7.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 85.6% houses and 14.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alfredton stood at 29.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.6% and rented ones at 28.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,698, exceeding Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,499. The median weekly rent in Alfredton was $370, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $300. Nationally, Alfredton's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Alfredton features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.8% of all households, including 39.0% couples with children, 24.9% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 22.2%, with lone person households at 19.0% and group households accounting for 3.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Alfredton exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 29.8%, higher than the Rest of Vic average of 21.7% and the SA4 region's 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 33.4% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 22.5%. Educational participation is high, with 33.8% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alfredton has 43 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two routes that together facilitate 696 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as moderate, with residents typically located 446 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 99 trips per day across both routes, equating to approximately 16 weekly trips per stop.

Alfredton's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Alfredton residents show relatively positive health outcomes, with low prevalence rates for common conditions compared to the general population but higher among older at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover stands at approximately 52%, slightly above the average SA2 area. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 9.6% and 9.4% of residents respectively. Around 68.4% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 62.3% in Rest of Vic. The area has 12.4% seniors (2,600 people), lower than the 17.8% in Rest of Vic. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Alfredton records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alfredton's cultural diversity was comparable to the broader region, with 83.8% of residents born in Australia, 89.7% being citizens, and 86.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity dominated Alfredton's religious landscape, comprising 46.3% of the population. However, there was an overrepresentation of 'Other' religions, with 1.3% compared to 1.0% in the rest of Victoria.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (28.8%), Australian (27.6%), and Irish (9.9%). Notably, Dutch (2.1%) and Indian (3.5%) groups were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 2.1% and 1.2%, respectively. Additionally, Scottish ancestry was slightly underrepresented at 8.6%.

Alfredton hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Alfredton has a median age of 34, which is lower than the Rest of Vic figure of 43 and significantly lower than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to the average in the Rest of Vic, the 5-14 age cohort is notably over-represented at 16.1% locally, while the 65-74 age group is under-represented at 7.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 12.4% to 13.9% of Alfredton's population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 14.6% to 15.7%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age group has declined from 7.8% to 7.0%. Demographic modeling indicates that Alfredton's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to expand dramatically, increasing by 2,970 people (102%) from 2,910 to 5,881.