Alfredton

Alfredton lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Alfredton's population was approximately 23,533 as of February 2026. This figure represents an increase of 6,698 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,835. The growth is inferred from ABS data showing an estimated resident population of 20,145 in June 2024 and an additional 1,599 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 446 persons per square kilometer. Alfredton's growth rate of 39.8% since the 2021 census exceeded both the Rest of Vic.'s 8.1% and the national average, indicating significant growth. Interstate migration contributed approximately 73.9% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Alfredton is projected to expand by 12,722 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total gain of 39.6% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Alfredton was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Alfredton has averaged approximately 452 new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling 2,264 homes. As of FY-26139 approvals have been recorded. On average, each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25 has resulted in an increase of 2.5 new residents per year, reflecting strong demand that supports property values. The average construction cost value of new homes being built is $275,000.

This financial year has seen $12.0 million in commercial approvals registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Alfredton shows 133.0% higher new home approvals per person, offering greater choice for buyers despite a slowdown in building activity in recent years. The location maintains a low density nature with 98.0% detached houses and 2.0% attached dwellings, attracting space-seeking buyers. There are approximately 81 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Alfredton is projected to add 9,319 residents by 2041.

Based on current development patterns, new housing supply should meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating further population growth beyond current projections.

Alfredton has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 35 projects likely impacting the area. Notable projects include Ballarat Private Hospital, Western Highway Upgrade, Circular Economy Precinct, and Insignia Estate. The following details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Alfredton ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Alfredton has a well-educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 2.4%, lower than the national average of 3.8%. Over the past year, employment growth was estimated at 2.4%.

As of September 2025, 10,814 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% below Rest of Vic.'s rate. Workforce participation is high at 71.3%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%. According to Census responses, 16.9% of residents work from home. Employment is concentrated in health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training.

The area has a strong specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 1.5% of local workers, below Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 2.4%, while labour force also increased by 2.4%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 2.4%. This contrasts with Rest of Vic., where employment contracted by 0.7% and unemployment rose marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alfredton's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Alfredton SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $54,417 in financial year 2023. The average income was $69,239 during the same period. Nationally, the median income was $50,954 and the average was $62,728 for Rest of Vic. By September 2025, estimates suggest the median income in Alfredton will be approximately $58,906 and the average will be around $74,951, based on an 8.25% growth since financial year 2023. Census data indicates that incomes in Alfredton cluster around the 61st percentile nationally. Income distribution shows that 35.7% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 annually. After housing expenses, 86.2% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Alfredton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Alfredton's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.7% houses and 7.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alfredton was at 29.7%, with the rest either mortgaged (41.6%) or rented (28.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,698, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent figure was $370, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Alfredton's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Alfredton features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.8% of all households, including 39.0% couples with children, 24.9% couples without children, and 13.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for 22.2%, with lone person households at 19.0% and group households comprising 3.2%. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Alfredton exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate of 29.8%, among residents aged 15+, exceeds the Rest of Vic average of 21.7% and that of its SA4 region at 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are held by 33.4% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (10.9%) and certificates (22.5%). Educational participation is high, with 33.8% currently enrolled in formal education: 12.1% in primary, 9.9% in secondary, and 5.3% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alfredton has 43 active public transport stops serviced by 2 routes, offering 622 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is moderate, with residents typically located 446 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward, primarily using cars at a rate of 96%. On average, there are 1.6 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 16.9% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 88 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Service frequency averages 88 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Alfredton is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Alfredton shows better-than-average health outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment using mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are less prevalent among the general population compared to national averages but higher among older, at-risk cohorts.

Private health cover is held by approximately 54% of Alfredton's total population (~12,684 people), slightly above Victoria's average of 50.5%. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 9.6 and 9.4% of residents respectively. Around 68.4% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among working-age individuals are generally typical. The area has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 12.0% (2,831 people), compared to the 23.9% in the rest of Victoria. Seniors' health outcomes present some challenges but rank lower nationally than the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Alfredton records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alfredton's population showed cultural diversity similar to the wider region, with 83.8% born in Australia, 89.7% being citizens, and 86.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, comprising 46.3%. The 'Other' category was overrepresented at 1.3%, compared to 0.8% regionally.

Top ancestry groups were English (28.8%), Australian (27.6%), and Irish (9.9%). Dutch (2.1%) and Indian (3.5%) were notably overrepresented, while Scottish representation was similar (8.6% vs 8.8%).

Alfredton hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

The median age in Alfredton is 33 years, which is significantly lower than Victoria's average of 43 and the national average of 38. The proportion of individuals aged 5-14 in Alfredton is notably higher at 16.0%, compared to the Rest of Vic.'s average. Conversely, those aged 65-74 are under-represented at 6.9%. According to post-2021 Census data, the age group 25 to 34 has grown from 12.4% to 14.5%, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 14.6% to 16.1%. However, the 65 to 74 age group has declined from 7.8% to 6.9%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Alfredton, with the 25 to 34 age group expected to grow by 72%, reaching 5,881 people from its current figure of 3,414.