Alfredton
Statistical Area - sa2

Alfredton lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Alfredton's population, as of November 2025, is approximately 20,936. This figure represents a 4,101 person increase from the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,835. The change is inferred from ABS estimates of June 2024 and validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 397 persons per square kilometer. Alfredton's growth rate of 24.4% since the 2021 census exceeded both the non-metro area (6.0%) and SA4 region, indicating significant growth. Interstate migration contributed approximately 73.9% of population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Alfredton is predicted to grow by an additional 12,722 persons, representing a total gain of 56.9% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Alfredton was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Alfredton has averaged approximately 452 new dwelling approvals each year over the past five financial years, totalling 2,264 homes. As of FY-26, 97 approvals have been recorded. Each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25 has resulted in an average of 2.5 new residents per year, reflecting strong demand that supports property values. New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $275,000.

This financial year, $12.0 million in commercial approvals have been registered, indicating balanced commercial development activity. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Alfredton shows 133.0% higher new home approvals per person, offering greater choice for buyers despite a recent slowdown in building activity. The location's developer confidence is notably strong compared to national levels. New development consists predominantly of detached houses (98.0%) and a smaller proportion of attached dwellings (2.0%), preserving Alfredton's low-density nature while attracting space-seeking buyers. With approximately 81 people per dwelling approval, the market is expanding.

Future projections estimate an addition of 11,916 residents by 2041. Current construction rates appear balanced with future demand, fostering steady market conditions without excessive price pressure.

Alfredton has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 35 projects expected to impact the area. Notable ones are Lucas Lifestyle Estate, Western Highway Upgrade, Circular Economy Precinct, and New Lucas Hospital. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Alfredton performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Alfredton has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.5%, lower than the national average.

Over the past year, ending June 2025, employment grew by an estimated 6.7%. As of that date, 10,271 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.3% below Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation in Alfredton is high at 69.1%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training.

Notably, health care & social assistance employs 1.3 times the regional average, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 1.5% of local workers, below Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%. Over the year to June 2025, employment increased by 6.7%, and labour force grew by 6.8%, maintaining a stable unemployment rate. In contrast, Rest of Vic. saw employment contract by 0.9% and unemployment rise by 0.4 percentage points. Job forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia suggest national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alfredton's employment mix, local growth is estimated at approximately 6.8%% over five years and 14.2% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

Alfredton had a median income among taxpayers of $51,664 during the financial year 2022. The average income was $66,162. This is slightly above the national average and compares to levels of $48,741 and $60,693 across Rest of Vic. respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $57,946 (median) and $74,207 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household, family and personal incomes in Alfredton cluster around the 62nd percentile nationally. Distribution data shows the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings band captures 35.7% of the community (7,474 individuals). After housing costs, 86.2% of income remains for other expenses. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Alfredton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Alfredton's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 92.7% houses and 7.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 85.6% houses and 14.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alfredton stood at 29.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.6% and rented ones at 28.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,698, exceeding Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,499. The median weekly rent in Alfredton was $370, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s $300. Nationally, Alfredton's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Alfredton features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 77.8 percent of all households, including 39.0 percent couples with children, 24.9 percent couples without children, and 13.2 percent single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 22.2 percent, with lone person households at 19.0 percent and group households making up 3.2 percent of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Alfredton exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 29.8% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Vic average of 21.7% and the SA4 region average of 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (6.9%) and graduate diplomas (3.9%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 33.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 10.9% and certificates at 22.5%. Educational participation is high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.1% in primary education, 9.9% in secondary education, and 5.3% pursuing tertiary education. Alfredton's four schools have a combined enrollment of 1,707 students, operating under typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1044) with balanced educational opportunities. All four schools focus on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. Local school capacity is limited at 8.2 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 18.0, leading many families to travel for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alfredton has 43 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two routes that together facilitate 696 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as moderate, with residents typically residing 446 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 99 trips per day across both routes, translating to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Alfredton's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low among the general population though higher than the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Alfredton's health data shows a relatively positive picture with low prevalence of common health conditions among its general population.

However, this rate is higher than the national average for older, at-risk cohorts. Approximately 52% of Alfredton residents have private health cover, slightly above the average SA2 area's rate. The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (9.6%) and asthma (9.4%). A total of 68.4% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 62.3% in Rest of Vic. Alfredton has 12.4% of its population aged 65 and over (2,600 people), lower than the 17.8% in Rest of Vic. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those in the broader population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Alfredton records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alfredton's cultural diversity aligns with the broader regional average, with 83.8% born in Australia, 89.7% being citizens, and 86.5% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, accounting for 46.3%. The most notable overrepresentation is in the 'Other' category, which constitutes 1.3% compared to 1.0% regionally.

For ancestry, the top groups are English (28.8%), Australian (27.6%), and Irish (9.9%). Notably, Dutch (2.1%) and Indian (3.5%) populations are higher than regional averages of 2.1% and 1.2%, respectively.

Alfredton hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

Alfredton has a median age of 34, which is lower than the Rest of Vic figure of 43 and Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Rest of Vic average, Alfredton has an over-representation of the 5-14 cohort (16.1% locally) and an under-representation of those aged 65-74 (7.0%). Between 2021 and present, the age group 25 to 34 grew from 12.4% to 13.9%, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 14.6% to 15.7%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age group decreased from 7.8% to 7.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Alfredton's age profile will change significantly. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to increase dramatically, with an addition of 2,970 people (102%), reaching a total of 5,881 from the previous figure of 2,910.