Sebastopol - Redan

Sebastopol - Redan has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Sebastopol - Redan's population is around 13,274 as of February 2026. This reflects an increase of 188 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,086. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,840 in June 2024 and an additional 170 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level results in a density ratio of 1,254 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 97.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted using a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate a significant increase in the top quartile of locations outside capital cities, with the area expected to expand by 3,428 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 22.6% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Sebastopol - Redan, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Sebastopol-Redan has seen approximately 48 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 243 homes. As of FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded so far. The population has declined in recent years, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average construction cost value of $213,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers.

This financial year has seen $5.2 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's residential character. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Sebastopol-Redan shows significantly reduced construction activity, with 70.0% fewer new homes per person than the regional average. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. New development consists of 62.0% standalone homes and 38.0% attached dwellings, offering a range of housing types across different price points.

With around 608 people per dwelling approval, Sebastopol-Redan indicates a mature market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the population is forecasted to grow by 2,993 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Sebastopol - Redan has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 22 projects that could impact the area. Notable ones include Ascot Springs Estate, Times Square Retail Development, Prosper Estate, and 80 Miles Street Residential Subdivision. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market performance in Sebastopol - Redan lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Sebastopol - Redan had an unemployment rate of 7.8% as of September 2025, with estimated employment growth of 1.8% over the previous year. There were 5,664 residents in work at this time, with an unemployment rate of 4.1%, which was higher than the Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation was lower at 56.0% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%.

According to Census responses, only 11.5% of residents worked from home. The dominant employment sectors were health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction, while agriculture, forestry & fishing was under-represented at 1.5%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.8% and labour force increased by 1.3%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.5 percentage points.

Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that Sebastopol - Redan's employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to its local employment mix.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that in Sebastopol - Redan SA2, median income is $50,277 and average income is $57,209. This is below the national averages of $50,954 (median) and $62,728 (average) for Rest of Vic. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, estimated median income as of September 2025 would be approximately $54,425, and average income would be around $61,929. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Sebastopol - Redan fall between the 4th and 13th percentiles nationally. The largest income segment comprises 31.1% earning $400 - $799 weekly (4,128 residents), unlike broader area trends where 30.3% earn $1,500 - $2,999 weekly. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.6% of income remaining after housing costs, ranking at the 4th percentile nationally.

Sebastopol - Redan displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Sebastopol - Redan's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, showed 68.9% houses and 31.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Sebastopol - Redan stood at 29.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.2% and rented ones at 43.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,179, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in the area was $260, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Sebastopol - Redan's median monthly mortgage repayment is significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Sebastopol - Redan features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 56.0% of all households, including 16.6% couples with children, 21.7% couples without children, and 16.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 44.0%, with lone person households at 39.8% and group households comprising 4.2%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Sebastopol - Redan fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are held by 38.3% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 9.6% and certificates at 28.7%. Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 9.5% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Sebastopol - Redan has 67 active public transport stops serviced by 4 routes, offering 778 weekly passenger trips. Residents have excellent accessibility to these stops, typically located 196 meters away. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area, with car being the dominant mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.1 per dwelling, below the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 11.5% of residents work from home, which might reflect COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 111 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Service frequency averages 111 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Sebastopol - Redan is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Sebastopol - Redan faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low at approximately 48% of the total population (around 6,318 people), compared to 50.5% in Rest of Vic., and 55.7% nationally.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (14.3%) and asthma (11.2%), with 53.3% reporting no medical ailments, compared to 63.4% in Rest of Vic. Working-age residents face notable chronic condition rates. The area has 20.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,772 people), lower than the 23.9% in Rest of Vic. Senior health outcomes present some challenges, with national rankings generally aligned with the broader population.

Sebastopol - Redan is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Sebastopol-Redan has a low cultural diversity, with 88.9% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (89.1%), and speaking English only at home (94.4%). Christianity is the dominant religion, practiced by 42.2%. The 'Other' category is overrepresented at 1.2%, compared to 0.8% regionally.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are English (31.6%), Australian (30.9%), and Irish (9.8%). Notably, Dutch representation is higher than regional averages (2.2% vs 1.7%), as is Scottish (8.3% vs 8.8%) and Maltese (0.5% vs 0.5%).

Sebastopol - Redan's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Sebastopol - Redan has a median age of 38, which is lower than the Rest of Vic. figure of 43 but matches the national norm of 38. The 25-34 age group makes up 18.4%, higher than Rest of Vic., while the 5-14 cohort stands at 9.1%. Post the 2021 Census, the 25-34 age group rose from 15.4% to 18.4%, and the 35-44 cohort increased from 11.6% to 12.7%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort fell from 11.0% to 9.1%, and the 55-64 group decreased from 12.1% to 10.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Sebastopol - Redan's age profile. The 25-34 group is expected to grow by 60% (1,456 people), reaching 3,900 from 2,443. Meanwhile, the 55-64 age range is projected to decrease by 62%.