Sebastopol - Redan

An assessment of population growth drivers in Sebastopol - Redan reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Sebastopol - Redan's population is approximately 12,964 as of November 2025. This figure shows a decrease of 122 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 13,086. The change is inferred from an estimated resident population of 12,855 in June 2024 and 172 validated new addresses added since the Census date. This results in a population density of 1,225 persons per square kilometer, higher than the average across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 97.0% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted using weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, the area is projected to increase by 3,428 persons, reflecting a total increase of 25.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Sebastopol - Redan, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Sebastopol - Redan has seen approximately 48 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 243 homes. As of FY-26, there have been 5 approvals recorded so far. The population decline in recent years has maintained adequate housing supply relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average cost of $213,000, which is below regional levels.

This financial year, there have been $5.2 million in commercial approvals, indicating the area's residential character. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Sebastopol - Redan shows significantly reduced construction activity, with 70% fewer new homes per person than the regional average. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. New development consists of 62% standalone homes and 38% attached dwellings, offering a range of housing types from spacious family homes to compact options across different price ranges.

With around 608 people approved per dwelling, Sebastopol - Redan reflects a mature market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is forecasted to gain approximately 3,303 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Sebastopol - Redan has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Ascot Springs Estate, Times Square Retail Development, Prosper Estate, and 80 Miles Street Residential Subdivision. The following list details those projected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Sebastopol - Redan lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Sebastopol - Redan has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate was 7.8% in September 2024, with an estimated employment growth of 1.8%.

As of September 2025, the unemployment rate is 4.1%, above Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation is 52.2%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 1.5% compared to Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%. Employment levels increased by 1.8% in the year to September 2025, with a corresponding decrease in unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13%, with an unemployment rate of 4.7%. National employment forecasts suggest growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.6% over ten years for Sebastopol - Redan, based on industry-specific projections applied to its local employment mix.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows that in Sebastopol - Redan SA2, median income is $46,773 and average income is $54,136. This contrasts with Rest of Vic.'s median income of $48,741 and average income of $60,693. By September 2025, based on a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, estimated incomes are approximately $52,461 (median) and $60,719 (average). According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in Sebastopol - Redan fall between the 4th and 13th percentiles nationally. The largest income segment comprises 31.1% earning $400 - $799 weekly (4,031 residents), unlike broader area trends where 30.3% earn $1,500 - $2,999 weekly. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 4th percentile nationally.

Sebastopol - Redan displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Sebastopol - Redan, as per the latest Census evaluation, 68.9% of dwellings were houses while 31.1% consisted of other types such as semi-detached properties, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This contrasts with Non-Metro Vic.'s figures of 85.6% houses and 14.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Sebastopol - Redan stood at 29.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.2% and rented ones at 43.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,179, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,499. The median weekly rent in the area was $260, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $300. Nationally, Sebastopol - Redan's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Sebastopol - Redan features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 56.0% of all households, including 16.6% couples with children, 21.7% couples without children, and 16.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 44.0%, with lone person households at 39.8% and group households comprising 4.2%. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Sebastopol - Redan fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (28.7%). Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.5% in primary, 6.6% in secondary, and 4.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Sebastopol-Redan has 67 active public transport stops, served by six routes offering a total of 871 weekly passenger trips. All stops are bus services. Residents' average distance to the nearest stop is 196 meters.

Each route runs an average of 124 trips per day, equating to about 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Sebastopol - Redan is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Sebastopol - Redan faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. Approximately 47% (~6,093 people) have private health cover, lower than the Rest of Vic.'s 50.9% and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues (14.3%) and asthma (11.2%) are the most prevalent conditions.

Around 53.3% report having no medical ailments, compared to 62.3% in Rest of Vic.. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 21.2% (2,748 people), compared to Rest of Vic.'s 17.8%. Health outcomes among seniors are generally aligned with the overall population's health profile.

Sebastopol - Redan is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Sebastopol-Redan has a cultural diversity below average, with 88.9% of its population being Australian citizens, born in Australia (89.1%), and speaking English only at home (94.4%). The predominant religion is Christianity, comprising 42.2% of the population. Notably, the 'Other' category comprises 1.2%, slightly higher than the regional average of 1.0%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (31.6%), Australian (30.9%), and Irish (9.8%). Some ethnic groups show notable variations: Dutch is overrepresented at 2.2% compared to 2.1% regionally, Scottish at 8.3% versus 9.2%, and Maltese at 0.5% against 0.4%.

Sebastopol - Redan's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Sebastopol - Redan has a median age of 38, which is lower than the Rest of Vic. figure of 43 but equivalent to the national norm of 38. The 25-34 age group makes up 17.3%, higher than Rest of Vic., while the 5-14 cohort comprises 9.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25-34 age group increased from 15.4% to 17.3%, and the 15-24 cohort rose from 12.2% to 13.3%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort decreased from 11.0% to 9.4%, and the 55-64 group fell from 12.1% to 11.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Sebastopol - Redan's age profile. The 25-34 group is expected to grow by 74%, adding 1,657 people and reaching 3,900 from the current 2,242. Meanwhile, the 55-64 age range is projected to decrease by 58%.