Sebastopol - Redan

Sebastopol - Redan has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Sebastopol - Redan's population is around 13,274 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 188 people (1.4%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,086 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 12,840 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 170 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,254 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 97.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilizing the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking at population projections moving forward, a significant population increase in the top quartile of locations outside of capital cities is forecast, with the area expected to expand by 3,428 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 22.6% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Sebastopol - Redan, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Sebastopol - Redan has seen around 48 new homes approved annually, totalling 243 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 10 approvals have been recorded. With population declining over recent years, housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a well-balanced market with good buyer choice, while new dwellings are developed at an average value of $213,000—under regional levels—indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers. There have also been $5.2 million in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting the area's residential character.

Relative to the Rest of Vic., Sebastopol - Redan shows substantially reduced construction (70.0% below regional average per person). This scarcity of new homes typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. New development consists of 62.0% standalone homes and 38.0% attached dwellings, featuring an increasing blend of attached housing types offering choices across price ranges, from spacious family homes to more accessible compact options. With around 608 people per dwelling approval, Sebastopol - Redan reflects a highly mature market.

Population forecasts indicate Sebastopol - Redan will gain 2,993 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Sebastopol - Redan has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 22 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include Ascot Springs Estate, Times Square Retail Development, Prosper Estate, and 80 Miles Street Residential Subdivision, with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Sebastopol - Redan face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Sebastopol - Redan has a balanced workforce spanning white and blue collar employment, with essential services sectors well represented, and an unemployment rate of 7.3%. As of December 2025, 5,739 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 3.6% above Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%, showing room for improvement, and workforce participation lags significantly (56.4% compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%). Based on Census responses, a low 11.5% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. On the other hand, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 1.5% of Sebastopol - Redan's workforce compared to 7.5% in Regional Vic.. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, during the year to December 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.9% while employment declined by 0.6%, causing the unemployment rate to fall by 0.2 percentage points. By comparison, Regional Vic. recorded employment decline of 0.6%, labour force decline of 0.7%, with unemployment falling 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Sebastopol - Redan. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Sebastopol - Redan's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for FY-23 reveals that income in the Sebastopol - Redan SA2 is below the national average, with the median assessed at $50,277 while the average income stands at $57,209. This contrasts with Regional Vic.'s figures of a median income of $50,954 and an average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $54,425 (median) and $61,929 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Sebastopol - Redan all fall between the 4th and 13th percentiles nationally. The data shows the largest segment comprises 31.1% earning $400 - 799 weekly (4,128 residents), unlike trends in the broader area where 30.3% fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 4th percentile.

Sebastopol - Redan displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Sebastopol - Redan, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 68.9% houses and 31.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Sebastopol - Redan lagged that of Regional Vic., at 29.0%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (27.2%) or rented (43.8%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was well below the Regional Vic. average at $1,179, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $260, compared to Regional Vic.'s $1,430 and $285. Nationally, Sebastopol - Redan's mortgage repayments are significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially below the national figure of $375.

Sebastopol - Redan features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 56.0% of all households, comprising 16.6% couples with children, 21.7% couples without children, and 16.5% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 44.0%, with lone person households at 39.8% and group households comprising 4.2% of the total. The median household size of 2.1 people is smaller than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Sebastopol - Redan fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (16.1%) substantially below the VIC average of 33.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 11.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 38.3% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (28.7%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 67 active transport stops operating within Sebastopol - Redan. These stops are serviced by 4 individual routes, collectively providing 778 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents typically located 196 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward, and the car remains the dominant mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.1 per dwelling, which is below the regional average. A relatively low 11.5% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 111 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Sebastopol - Redan is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Critical health challenges are evident across Sebastopol - Redan, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. A range of health conditions have marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is very low at approximately 48% of the total population (~6,318 people). This compares to 50.5% across Regional Vic. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 14.3% and 11.2% of residents, respectively, while 53.3% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic. The working-age population faces notable health challenges with elevated chronic condition rates. The area has 20.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,772 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

Sebastopol - Redan is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Sebastopol - Redan was found to be below average in terms of cultural diversity, with 88.9% of its population being citizens, 89.1% born in Australia, and 94.4% speaking English only at home. The main religion in Sebastopol - Redan is Christianity, which makes up 42.2% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Other, which comprises 1.2% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Regional Vic..

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Sebastopol - Redan are English, comprising 31.6% of the population, Australian, comprising 30.9% of the population, and Irish, comprising 9.8% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Dutch is notably overrepresented at 2.2% of Sebastopol - Redan (vs 1.7% regionally), Scottish at 8.3% (vs 8.8%) and Maltese at 0.5% (vs 0.5%).

Sebastopol - Redan's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

With a median age of 38, Sebastopol - Redan is notably under the Regional Vic. figure of 43 but is equivalent to the national norm of 38. The 25 - 34 age group shows strong representation at 18.4% compared to Regional Vic., whereas the 5 - 14 cohort is less prevalent at 9.1%. Following the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 15.4% to 18.4% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 11.6% to 12.7%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 11.0% to 9.1% and the 55 to 64 group dropped from 12.1% to 10.8%. Demographic modeling suggests Sebastopol - Redan's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. Leading the demographic shift, the 25 to 34 group will grow by 60% (1,456 people), reaching 3,900 from 2,443. Meanwhile, numbers in the 55 to 64 age range are expected to fall by 62.