Sebastopol - Redan

Sebastopol - Redan has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Sebastopol - Redan's population was around 12,804 as of May 2026. This reflected a decrease of 282 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 13,086. The change was inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 12,767 in June 2025 and an additional 189 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 1,210 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Overseas migration contributed approximately 66.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 with adjustments made via weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of locations outside capital cities, with Sebastopol - Redan expected to expand by 3,395 persons to 2041 based on latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 26.2% over the 16 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Sebastopol - Redan, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Sebastopol - Redan has seen approximately 48 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years ending June 2021. This totals to around 243 homes. As of April 2026, 19 approvals have been recorded. The population in Sebastopol - Redan has declined recently, yet housing supply remains adequate relative to demand, resulting in a balanced market with varied buyer choices.

New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost of $213,000, which is below regional levels, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In the current financial year ending June 2026, there have been approximately $5.2 million in commercial approvals, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Sebastopol - Redan shows significantly reduced construction activity, with around 69.0% fewer new homes approved per person than the regional average. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties.

New development in Sebastopol - Redan consists of approximately 62.0% standalone homes and 38.0% attached dwellings, offering a mix of housing types across different price ranges. With around 608 people per dwelling approval, the market reflects a high level of maturity. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Sebastopol - Redan is projected to gain approximately 3,357 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth in the future.

Sebastopol - Redan has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 22 projects likely impacting the region. Notable ones include Ascot Springs Estate, Times Square Retail Development, 80 Miles Street Residential Subdivision, and Prosper Estate, with the following list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Sebastopol - Redan face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Sebastopol Redan has a balanced workforce with 5739 residents employed as of December 2025. The unemployment rate is 7.3%, 3.6% higher than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%. Workforce participation is lower at 56.9% compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.0%.

A low 11.5% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction. Agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 1.5%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 7.5%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.9% and employment declined by 0.6%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Sebastopol Redan's employment mix suggests local employment growth of 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years, assuming stable population projections.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Sebastopol - Redan SA2 has an income below the national average. The median income is $50,277 and the average income stands at $57,209. In contrast, Regional Vic.'s figures show a median income of $50,954 and an average income of $62,728. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Sebastopol - Redan would be approximately $55,114 (median) and $62,713 (average) as of March 2026. According to the 2021 Census figures, household, family, and personal incomes in Sebastopol - Redan all fall between the 4th and 13th percentiles nationally. The largest segment comprises 31.1% earning $400-$799 weekly (3,982 residents), unlike trends in the broader area where 30.3% fall within the $1,500-$2,999 range. Housing affordability pressures are severe, with only 81.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 4th percentile.

Sebastopol - Redan displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Sebastopol - Redan, as per the latest Census evaluation, 68.9% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 31.1% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This compares to Regional Vic., where 90.1% of dwellings are houses and 9.9% are other types. Home ownership in Sebastopol - Redan stood at 29.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.2% and rented ones at 43.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,179, below Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Sebastopol - Redan was $260, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863 and rents were $375 per week.

Sebastopol - Redan features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 56.0% of all households, including 16.6% couples with children, 21.7% couples without children, and 16.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 44.0%, with lone person households at 39.8% and group households comprising 4.2%. The median household size is 2.1 people, smaller than the Regional Vic average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Sebastopol - Redan fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 38.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (28.7%). Educational participation is high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 9.5% in primary, 6.6% in secondary, and 4.7% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 28.0% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 9.5% in primary education, 6.6% in secondary education, and 4.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Sebastopol - Redan has 67 active public transport stops serviced by four routes. These routes provide a total of 778 weekly passenger trips. The average distance to the nearest stop is 196 meters. Most residents commute outward from this primarily residential area, with cars being the dominant mode at 94%. On average, there are 1.1 vehicles per dwelling, lower than the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, 11.5% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

The service frequency averages 111 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 11 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Sebastopol - Redan is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Sebastopol - Redan faces significant health challenges, as assessed by AreaSearch through mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Multiple health conditions affect both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is low, at approximately 48% of the total population (~6,094 people), compared to Regional Vic.'s 50.5% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are mental health issues (14.3%) and asthma (11.2%), while 53.3% report no medical ailments, lower than Regional Vic.'s 63.4%. Working-age residents face notable chronic condition rates. The area has 21.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,798 people), lower than Regional Vic.'s 23.9%. Senior health outcomes present challenges, with national rankings broadly similar to the general population.

Sebastopol - Redan is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Sebastopol-Redan, as per the census conducted on 9 June 2006, had a cultural diversity index of 47.1, indicating below average diversity. The population was predominantly Australian-born citizens with English as their primary language: 88.9% were citizens, 89.1% were born in Australia, and 94.4% spoke only English at home. Christianity was the dominant religion, practiced by 42.2% of the population.

The 'Other' category comprised 1.2%, slightly higher than the Regional Victoria average of 0.8%. In terms of ancestry, the top three groups were English (31.6%), Australian (30.9%), and Irish (9.8%). Notable variations included Dutch representation at 2.2% compared to the regional average of 1.7%, Scottish at 8.3% versus 8.8%, and Maltese at 0.5%.

Sebastopol - Redan's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

Sebastopol - Redan has a median age of 38, which is lower than Regional Vic.'s figure of 43 but matches the national norm of 38. The 25-34 age group makes up 17.6% of the population, higher than Regional Vic., while the 5-14 cohort represents 9.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 15.4% to 17.6%, the 5 to 14 cohort has decreased from 11.0% to 9.4%, and the 55 to 64 group has fallen from 12.1% to 10.8%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Sebastopol - Redan's age profile. The 25-34 age group is expected to grow by 65%, reaching 3,704 people from 2,248. Conversely, the 55-64 age range is projected to decrease by 17%.