Sebastopol - Redan
Statistical Area - sa2

Sebastopol - Redan has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Sebastopol - Redan's population is around 12,964 as of Nov 2025. This reflects a decrease since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 13,086 people. The change is inferred from ABS estimated resident population of 12,855 in June 2024 and an additional 172 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level equates to a density ratio of 1,225 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Recent population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 97.0% of overall population gains.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusting employing weighted aggregation method from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections forecast a significant increase in the top quartile of locations outside capital cities, with Sebastopol - Redan expected to expand by 3,428 persons to 2041 based on latest population numbers, indicating a total increase of 25.5% over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development drivers sees a low level of activity in Sebastopol - Redan, placing the area among the bottom 25% of areas assessed nationally

Sebastopol - Redan has seen approximately 48 new homes approved annually over the past five financial years, totalling 243 homes. As of FY-26, there have been 5 approvals recorded so far. The population in Sebastopol - Redan has declined in recent years, yet housing supply has remained adequate relative to demand, creating a balanced market with good buyer choice. New dwellings are developed at an average expected construction cost value of $213,000, which is under regional levels, indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers.

There have been $5.2 million in commercial approvals this financial year, suggesting the area's residential character. Compared to the rest of Victoria, Sebastopol - Redan shows substantially reduced construction activity, with 70.0% fewer new homes approved per person than the regional average. This scarcity typically strengthens demand and prices for existing properties. New development consists of 62.0% standalone homes and 38.0% attached dwellings, offering a range of housing types across different price ranges.

With around 608 people per dwelling approval, Sebastopol - Redan reflects a mature market. Population forecasts indicate that Sebastopol - Redan will gain approximately 3,303 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Sebastopol - Redan has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified a total of 22 projects likely to influence the area. Notable projects include Times Square Retail Development, Prosper Estate, Ascot Springs Estate, and 80 Miles Street Residential Subdivision. The following list details those expected to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market performance in Sebastopol - Redan lags significantly behind most other regions nationally

Sebastopol - Redan has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate was 7.3% as of June 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 7.7% over the past year.

There are 5,779 residents in work, but the unemployment rate is 3.5% higher than Rest of Vic.'s rate of 3.8%. Workforce participation lags at 52.2%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Dominant employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.

Agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 1.5% of Sebastopol - Redan's workforce compared to 7.5% in Rest of Vic.. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 7.7%, labour force increased by 6.7%, reducing the unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. In comparison, Rest of Vic. saw an employment decline of 0.9% and a labour force decline of 0.4%, with unemployment rising by 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Sebastopol - Redan's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.4% over five years and 13.6% over ten years.

The area's income levels rank in the lower 15% nationally based on AreaSearch comparative data

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ended June 2022 indicates that median income in Sebastopol - Redan is $46,773 with an average of $54,136. This contrasts with Rest of Vic., where the median income is $48,741 and the average is $60,693. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.16% from July 2022 to September 2025, estimated median income in Sebastopol - Redan would be approximately $52,461 and average income $60,719 by that date. According to the 2021 Census, incomes in Sebastopol - Redan fall between the 4th and 14th percentiles nationally. The largest segment comprises 31.1% earning $400-$799 weekly (4,031 residents). In contrast, broader area trends show 30.3% falling within the $1,500-$2,999 range. Housing affordability pressures are severe with only 81.6% of income remaining, ranking at the 5th percentile nationally.

Sebastopol - Redan displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Sebastopol - Redan's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 68.9% houses and 31.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Non-Metro Vic.'s 85.6% houses and 14.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Sebastopol - Redan stood at 29.0%, with mortgaged dwellings at 27.2% and rented ones at 43.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,179, below Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,499. Median weekly rent in the area was $260, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $300. Nationally, Sebastopol - Redan's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Sebastopol - Redan features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 56.0% of all households, including 16.6% couples with children, 21.7% couples without children, and 16.5% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 44.0%, with lone person households at 39.8% and group households comprising 4.2% of the total. The median household size is 2.1 people, which is smaller than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

Educational outcomes in Sebastopol - Redan fall within the lower quartile nationally, indicating opportunities for improvement in qualification attainment

The area's university qualification rate is 16.1%, significantly lower than Victoria's average of 33.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 11.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (2.6%) and graduate diplomas (2.2%). Vocational credentials are prominent, with 38.3% of residents aged 15+ holding them. This includes advanced diplomas (9.6%) and certificates (28.7%).

Educational participation is high at 28.0%, comprising primary education (9.5%), secondary education (6.6%), and tertiary education (4.7%). Seven schools serve Sebastopol - Redan, educating approximately 2,409 students. The area has balanced educational opportunities, typical of Australian schools (ICSEA: 997). These schools include three primary, one secondary, and three K-12 institutions. Note that for schools with 'n/a' enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Sebastopol - Redan has 67 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by six different routes that together facilitate 871 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest transport stop is 196 meters, indicating excellent accessibility.

On average, there are 124 trips per day across all routes, which translates to approximately 13 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Sebastopol - Redan is a key challenge with a range of health conditions having marked impacts on both younger and older age cohorts

Sebastopol - Redan faces significant health challenges, with various conditions affecting both younger and older residents. The area has a low private health cover rate of approximately 47%, covering around 6,093 people, compared to Victoria's average of 50.9% and the national average of 55.3%. Mental health issues and asthma are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 14.3% and 11.2% of residents respectively.

However, 53.3% of residents reported having no medical ailments, compared to 62.3% in the rest of Victoria. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 21.2% (2,748 people), compared to 17.8% in the rest of Victoria. Health outcomes among seniors present similar challenges as those faced by the general population.

Sebastopol - Redan is considerably less culturally diverse than average when assessed alongside AreaSearch's national rankings for language and cultural background related metrics

Sebastopol-Redan, as per the census data from June 2016, had a population with 88.9% being Australian citizens, 89.1% born in Australia, and 94.4% speaking English at home exclusively. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 42.2% of the population. Notably, the 'Other' religious category comprised 1.2%, slightly higher than the regional average of 1%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (31.6%), Australian (30.9%), and Irish (9.8%). Among other ethnicities, Dutch was overrepresented at 2.2% compared to the regional average of 2.1%, Scottish at 8.3% versus 9.2%, and Maltese at 0.5% against a regional average of 0.4%.

Sebastopol - Redan's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Sebastopol - Redan has a median age of 38, which is lower than the Rest of Vic. figure of 43 but equivalent to the national norm of 38. The age group of 25-34 shows strong representation at 17.3%, compared to Rest of Vic., while the 5-14 cohort is less prevalent at 9.4%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has increased from 15.4% to 17.3% of the population, and the 15 to 24 cohort has risen from 12.2% to 13.3%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has decreased from 11.0% to 9.4%, and the 55 to 64 group has fallen from 12.1% to 11.1%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Sebastopol - Redan's age profile will significantly evolve. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to grow by 74%, reaching 3,900 people from the current 2,242. Meanwhile, numbers in the 55 to 64 age range are expected to fall by 58%.