Chart Color Schemes
This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
Find a Recent Sale
Sales Detail
Winter Valley has an estimated 5,464 residents, up from 3,440 at the 2021 Census — a change of 2,024 people, or 58.8%. Growth has averaged 12.4% a year over five years, faster than 98% of areas nationally. 1,241 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 85.0% of that increase. That puts 1,111 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
As of Aug 2026, the suburb of Winter Valley has an estimated population of approximately 5,464, synthesized from regional ABS population updates and new address validations conducted by AreaSearch after the Census. Compared to the 3,440 people counted in the 2021 Census, this indicates an expansion of 2,024 people (58.8%). This metric builds upon an ERP estimate of 5,414 residents determined by AreaSearch following the ABS release in June 2025, alongside 1,241 validated new addresses identified since the Census. With a population density of 1,110 persons per square kilometer, the locality aligns closely with standard AreaSearch benchmarks.
Surpassing both the Rest of Vic. (4.4%) and its broader SA4 region, the 58.8% growth rate since the 2021 census establishes the suburb of Winter Valley as a regional leader in population gains. Inbound interstate migration served as the primary growth engine, representing roughly 85.0% of recent population additions, while overseas migration and natural growth also registered positive contributions. Population projections for each SA2 area incorporate 2024 ABS/Geoscience Australia data referencing 2022 as the base year, with missing SA2 territories supplemented via the 2023 VIC State Government Regional/LGA projections adjusted through weighted LGA-to-SA2 growth aggregation. Furthermore, age-cohort growth rates derived from these models have been applied to all localities for the years 2032 to 2041. These forward-looking demographic forecasts place the suburb of Winter Valley in the nation's top 10 percent for non-metropolitan growth, with aggregated SA2 modeling anticipating an influx of 6,058 persons to 2041, translating to an overall expansion of 109.0% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
903 new dwellings have been approved in Winter Valley over the past five years, an average of 180 a year. That places the area in the 98th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 33 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 148 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 83% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 317, running ahead of that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
An evaluation of ABS building approval figures allocated across statistical boundaries indicates that Winter Valley recorded roughly 180 annual residential approvals on average, amounting to an estimated 903 homes over the past 5 financial years. Within FY-25 to date, 317 approvals have been logged. Between FY-21 and FY-25, the ratio averaged 3.2 new residents per year for each newly erected dwelling over the past 5 financial years, signaling an environment where demand outpaces supply and fosters heightened buyer competition alongside upward pricing pressure. The average construction cost of new homes stands at $375,000, aligning with regional standards, while commercial development remains moderate with $14.7 million in commercial approvals registered this financial year.
Development activity per capita in Winter Valley surpasses the Rest of Vic. by 231.0%, affording buyers greater variety and signaling strong confidence among developers compared to nationwide levels. The composition of new residential building work consists of 83.0% standalone homes and 17.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving a traditional suburban setting tailored to families desiring spacious living. This pattern marks a clear transition from the current housing stock (where detached houses comprise 100.0%), pointing to a decreasing supply of broadacre land, evolving lifestyle trends, and an emerging requirement for diversified and accessible housing options. Demonstrating an emerging market profile, the area currently logs around 24 people per approval. Forecasts indicate that Winter Valley will add 5,957 residents through to 2041 from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. While ongoing residential building activity tracks steadily alongside expected population gains, prospective buyers may face increasing market competition as demographic expansion continues.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Winter Valley
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 8 current infrastructure and development projects inside Winter Valley, worth an estimated $445 million. A further 54 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $8.64 billion. 15 are already under construction and 21 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Strategic initiatives, major civil projects, and infrastructure enhancements serve as pivotal determinants of local area performance. AreaSearch has pinpointed 19 distinct development projects anticipated to influence the region, highlighted by undertakings such as Winter Valley Rise, Winterfield Estate, Delacombe Village (Stage 3 - Delacombe Town Centre), and Alluvium Winter Valley Estate.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Alluvium Winter Valley Estate
Alluvium Winter Valley is a masterplanned residential community in Ballarat's western growth corridor, offering a range of land lot sizes complemented by over 27 hectares of parklands, curated open spaces and lush wetland areas. The estate includes its own neighbourhood shopping centre anchored by Coles (Alluvium SQ, opening 2026), a display village featuring leading builders, and a proposed government primary school opposite the estate. Lot registrations are ongoing through late 2026 with house and land packages available from multiple builders including Simonds and GJ Gardner.
Winter Valley Catholic Primary School
New Catholic primary school to be built on a 3.5 hectare site at 464 Greenhalghs Road in the Winterfield North estate, Winter Valley - the suburb's first school. The Diocese of Ballarat Catholic Education Limited (DOBCEL) has committed 6 million AUD in state funding for stage one works, initially catering for Prep to Grade 2, with later stages expanding capacity to around 400 students. A companion early learning centre on the same site is separately progressing through a Victorian Building Blocks Planning Grant.Expected to open in 2028, the school will serve the growing Catholic community in Ballarat's western growth corridor alongside a neighbouring 10 hectare government school and community precinct.
Winter Valley Rise
Seven-stage residential development encompassing 359 lots in Ballarat's West Growth Zone. Features balanced streetscapes linking to expansive open nature reserve, wetlands, children's playspace, ball courts, walking paths and recreational facilities. All lots include full services, NBN connectivity, and extensive community amenities.
Winter Valley Primary School (Proposed)
Land is earmarked on Greenhalghs Road, Winter Valley for a future government primary school, alongside a proposed secondary school, as part of the Ballarat West Precinct Structure Plan approved in 2012. The site is intended to include kindergarten spaces as part of the government's pre-prep rollout, and sits within a broader package of six new schools planned for the Ballarat west growth zone to serve around 8800 new homes. As of early 2026, the Victorian Government has confirmed the need for the school sites in principle but has not committed funding or a construction timeline, with local reporting noting there are no current plans to use the site.A neighbouring Catholic primary school on Greenhalghs Road is separately funded and due to open in 2028.
Winter Valley P-12 School
Proposed government P-12 school identified in the Ballarat West Growth Area Precinct Structure Plan to service the rapidly growing Winter Valley and Delacombe communities. The City of Ballarat continues to advocate for Victorian Government funding and delivery. As of February 2026 the project remains unfunded with ongoing advocacy and no construction commencement announced.
Ballarat Link Road Next Stages - Dyson Drive Duplication
Proposed duplication of Dyson Drive at Alfredton between Remembrance Drive and Ballarat-Carngham Road, forming the next stage of the Ballarat Link Road. Works would create a dual carriageway with two lanes in each direction plus two service lanes, a central median, upgraded intersections, shared path and cycling facilities, and associated landscaping. The Link Road is planned as a 12 kilometre arterial connection along Ballarat's western boundary, ultimately linking the Western Freeway, Ballarat Airport and the Ballarat West Employment Zone through to the Glenelg Highway and Midland Highway.The existing Link Road section between Learmonth Road and Remembrance Drive was completed in 2018. Traffic volumes on Dyson Drive rose from about 6,529 vehicles per day in 2016 to about 10,490 in 2021, driven by rapid growth in Alfredton, Lucas and Winter Valley, where roughly 16,000 additional residents are expected. The City of Ballarat estimates delivery of the full Link Road would generate about 920 full time equivalent jobs and support around $300 million of investment at the Ballarat West Employment Zone, while cutting truck volumes and crashes by about 20 per cent. A public acquisition overlay is already in place over the required land and a business case has been completed, with council funding earlier design and survey work. The project remains unfunded: it was omitted from the 2026-27 Victorian State Budget handed down in May 2026 and sits as a tier one item on the council's Ballarat. Now and Into the Future - Enabling Growth 2026 advocacy platform ahead of the November 2026 state election. Estimated cost is $88.3 million, comprising $4.5 million for planning and design and $83.8 million for delivery.
Winter Valley Rise Estate
A residential development in the Ballarat West Growth Zone featuring 359 lots with streetscapes, open nature reserves, and turn-key house and land packages.
Winterfield Estate
Winterfield is a 123-hectare masterplanned community by Goldfields Group in Winter Valley, comprising over 1,100 lots. The estate features a 1.7-hectare neighbourhood park, re-invigorated wetlands, a 9-hectare sporting reserve, and future government primary and secondary schools. With over 700 families already residing, construction continues with Stage 3A currently selling and titles expected in Q2 2027. The project also encompasses a proposed mixed-use precinct and is situated opposite the Delacombe Town Centre.
2,721 residents of Winter Valley are employed, from a labour force of 2,871. Unemployment sits at 5.2%, with participation at 72.5%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 4,206, about 77% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Statistical area data aggregated by AreaSearch illustrates that Winter Valley maintains an adept labor pool, marked by solid presence across essential service industries, steady employment conditions over the preceding twelve months, and an unemployment rate of 5.2%. By March 2026, 2,721 residents were actively employed. The local unemployment rate sits 1.5% higher than the 3.7% benchmark observed in Regional Vic., while local workforce participation stands at an elevated 72.5% compared to 61.1% in Regional Vic.. Census figures showed that only 13.0% of local workers performed their duties from home, an outcome potentially shaped by Covid-19 lockdown circumstances.
Resident employment centers heavily around construction, retail trade, and health care & social assistance. Health care & social assistance exhibits an exceptionally high concentration, engaging workers at 1.2 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing represents a minimal share of local work at 0.9% versus 7.5% regionally. Comparing resident workers against the local Census working population indicates that this largely residential community provides limited internal job openings. Analysis of SALM and ABS data from AreaSearch indicates that over the past 12 months, employment rose by 0.4% while the labour force grew by 2.1%, leading to an increase in unemployment by 1.6 percentage points. Meanwhile, Regional Vic. recorded a 0.1% decrease in employment and a 0.3% decline in the labour force, accompanied by a 0.2 percentage point reduction in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Mar-26 provide additional context for anticipating future demand in Winter Valley. These forecasts span five and ten-year horizons and have been overlaid with local employment data to estimate growth trajectories. National projections anticipate a 6.6% expansion in employment over five years and a 13.7% expansion over ten years, though sectoral growth rates vary considerably. When applied to Winter Valley's employment composition, these industry-specific forecasts project a 6.6% increase in local employment over five years and a 13.8% increase over ten years. This calculation represents a basic weighted extrapolation intended for illustrative purposes and does not incorporate localized population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Winter Valley is $2,013 a week (about $105,000 a year), with median personal income at $921 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $59,666 a year against an average of $68,779. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
According to aggregated ATO postcode statistics compiled by AreaSearch for financial year 2023, the suburb of Winter Valley recorded a median taxpayer income of $59,666 and an average of $68,779, marginally exceeding nationwide standards and outpacing Regional Vic.'s median income of $50,954 and average income of $62,728. Factoring in a 9.62% increase in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2023, updated estimates as of March 2026 reach approximately $65,406 (median) and $75,396 (average). In the 2021 Census, personal, family, and household earnings situated near the 68th percentile nationally. A breakdown of income brackets shows 49.0% of residents (2,677 individuals) in the $1,500 - 2,999 earnings bracket, compared to 30.3% across the wider region.
While residential accommodation outlays account for 15.6% of income, disposable earnings remain robust at the 67th percentile, and the SEIFA index places the community in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Winter Valley had 1,179 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 100% detached houses and 0% apartments. 59% are owned with a mortgage, 25% rented and 17% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $390 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,600 a month. Rent absorbs 19.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Census records show that the housing inventory in Winter Valley consisted of 100.0% houses, with no other dwellings (such as apartments, semi-detached properties, or other dwelling types), whereas Regional Vic. registered 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Outright property ownership accounted for 16.5%, trailing the wider region, while mortgaged properties represented 58.8% and rental arrangements comprised 24.8%. Typical mortgage payments reached a median of $1,600 monthly, substantially above the Regional Vic. average of $1,430 yet well below the national figure of $1,863. In the rental segment, the median weekly rent stood at $390, surpassing both the Regional Vic.
level of $285 and the national benchmark of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Winter Valley counted 1,179 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,873 today, averaging 2.9 people each. 40% are couples with children, more than in 79% of areas nationally, against 27% couples without children. 16% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.5 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The local household structure is overwhelmingly family-centric, with family arrangements accounting for 80.0% of the total, consisting of couples with children (39.7%), couples without children (27.0%), and single parent families (11.6%). Non-family setups make up the remaining 20.0%, comprising lone person households at 16.1% and group households at 4.4%. The median household size of 2.9 people exceeds the regional average of 2.4 across Regional Vic..
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
23.7% of adults in Winter Valley hold a university qualification, including 17.3% with a bachelor degree and 4.1% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 98% of areas nationally. A further 29.5% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Tertiary educational attainment within Winter Valley falls below broader state levels, with 23.7% of persons aged 15+ holding a higher education degree compared to 33.4% across VIC, indicating opportunities for further professional upskilling. Bachelor degrees constitute 17.3%, while postgraduate qualifications make up 4.1% and graduate diplomas represent 2.3%. Vocational and practical credentials are widespread, with 41.0% of the population aged 15+ having completed trade qualifications, divided between advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (29.5%). A significant proportion of local inhabitants participate in academic programs, with 32.5% actively enrolled in formal study.
Within this student cohort, 12.2% attend primary education, 6.9% participate in secondary education, and 5.7% are enrolled in tertiary education programs.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Winter Valley means driving: households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Transport analysis indicates that 3 active public transport stops serve Winter Valley, operated through 1 individual routes that generate 808 weekly passenger trips. Public transit access remains modest, with locals residing an average of 865 meters from the nearest stop. Given its residential orientation, outbound commuting is typical, with private vehicle transport accounting for 97% of travel. Motor vehicle ownership stands at 1.8 vehicles per residence, exceeding regional norms, while working from home engaged 13.0% of the workforce at the 2021 Census amid potential COVID-19 influences. Across the entire transit network, service frequency totals 115 trips per day, which translates to roughly 269 weekly trips for each transport stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
71.5% of residents in Winter Valley report no long-term health condition. 4.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 54.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
AreaSearch evaluations of mortality statistics and chronic illnesses indicate that general health metrics in Winter Valley fall somewhat below average benchmarks, with common conditions slightly elevated across both older and younger age brackets. Concurrently, private health insurance coverage is prominent, held by roughly 54% of the population (~2,951 people), compared to 50.5% in Regional Vic.. Asthma and mental health issues represent the most prevalent diagnosed conditions, affecting 10.8 and 9.8% of the local population respectively. Meanwhile, 71.5% of inhabitants indicated being completely free of chronic medical conditions, outperforming the 63.4% proportion recorded in Regional Vic..
Favorable health patterns are especially evident among individuals under 65. The proportion of residents aged 65 and over is 5.1% (278 people), contrasting with 24.0% in Regional Vic., with broader rankings aligning with wider population distributions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Winter Valley is largely Australian-born, at 88.5% of residents, with 10.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (31.2%) and English (29.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Winter Valley exhibits lower levels of cultural diversity relative to broader benchmarks, with Australian-born residents accounting for 88.5% of the community, 91.2% holding citizenship, and 89.9% speaking only English at home. Christianity forms the largest religious affiliation, representing 38.6% of residents. The most noticeable variation occurs in the Other category, which constitutes 2.4% of the local demographic compared to 0.8% in Regional Vic.. Evaluating parental country of birth demonstrates that the leading ancestral groups in Winter Valley comprise Australian at 31.2%, English at 29.0%, and Scottish at 8.3%. Other distinct cultural backgrounds are also present, including Dutch representing 2.1% (versus 1.7% regionally), Maltese accounting for 0.8% (versus 0.5%), and Sri Lankan comprising 0.3% (versus 0.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Winter Valley is 27, younger than 98% of areas nationally. That is 2 years younger than at the 2021 Census. 39.3% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The suburb of Winter Valley functions as a prominent and heavily concentrated area for family formation. August 2026 demographic calculations indicate that 43.5% of the local populace comprises young to middle aged adults (25 - 44), compared to 23.1% in Regional Vic., while seniors and retirees aged 65+ make up 5.1% relative to the regional benchmark of 24.0%. The median age is an estimated 27 as at August 2026, down from 29 at the 2021 Census, remaining 16 years below the Regional Vic. level of 43 and below the national median of 38 recorded at that Census.
Young to middle aged adults expanded their presence from 37.5% at the Census to an estimated 43.5%. Looking ahead to 2041, this 25 - 44 cohort is projected to add 3,149 residents (132%) to reach a total of 5,526.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Winter Valley
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Oct 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to Aug 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to Aug 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Aug 2026 2 months ago headline measures · Jul 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Oct 2026 this month headline measures · Sep 2026 baseline |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Oct 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 2 months ago all 8 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 7 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Sep 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Sep 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1,241 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for Aug 2026, not a 2021 count (3,440 at the 2021 Census → 5,464 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to Aug 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22814). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.