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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Winter Valley has an estimated 5,403 residents, up from 3,440 at the 2021 Census — a change of 1,963 people, or 57.1%. Growth has averaged 12.3% a year over five years, faster than 98% of areas nationally. 1,219 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 85.0% of that increase. That puts 1,098 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
Analysis of ABS population updates for the wider region, alongside newly validated addresses by AreaSearch since the Census, indicates the population of the suburb of Winter Valley is approximately 5,403 as of May 2026. This represents a growth of 1,963 people (57.1%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 3,440 people. This adjustment is derived from a resident population of 5,379, calculated by AreaSearch using the latest ERP data release from the ABS (June 2025) and an additional 1,219 validated new addresses since the Census date. Such a population size translates to a density ratio of 1,098 persons per square kilometer, which aligns closely with average figures observed across areas evaluated by AreaSearch.
The suburb of Winter Valley's 57.1% growth since the 2021 census outpaced the Rest of Vic. (4.3%) as well as the SA4 region, establishing it as a regional growth leader. Population expansion in the area was mostly fueled by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 85.0% of total population increases in recent times, though all contributors, including natural growth and overseas migration, remained positive. AreaSearch implements ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 region, published in 2024 with 2022 as the baseline year. For any SA2 zones lacking this coverage, AreaSearch employs the VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023, adjusted via a weighted aggregation methodology of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age brackets from these aggregations are also applied across all locations for the years 2032 to 2041. Future demographic trends indicate outstanding growth, placing the area within the top 10 percent of Australia's regional locations, with an expected increase of 5,777 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, representing a total rise of 105.5% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
1,117 new dwellings have been approved in Winter Valley over the past five years, an average of 223 a year. That places the area in the 93rd percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 41 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 159 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 96% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 233, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this Suburb (SAL) boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval statistics allocated from statistical area data, the suburb of Winter Valley has recorded approximately 223 residential properties approved annually, totaling an estimated 1,117 homes approved over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25) and 214 so far in FY-26. With an average of 2.1 new residents per year for each dwelling over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), indicating healthy demand to support property values, new homes are being constructed at an average value of $392,000—somewhat above regional benchmarks—reflecting quality-focused development.
Furthermore, $14.7 million in commercial development approvals has been recorded this financial year, pointing to moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Rest of Vic., the suburb of Winter Valley registers 449.0% more building activity (per person), offering buyers a wider range of options, although development pace has moderated recently. This level stands well above the national average, showcasing strong developer confidence in the locality. New building activity consists of 96.0% standalone homes and 4.0% attached dwellings, preserving the traditional suburban character of the area with a focus on spacious family homes. With approximately 79 people per dwelling approval, the suburb of Winter Valley exhibits characteristics typical of a growth area. Population forecasts suggest the suburb of Winter Valley will add 5,702 residents through to 2041 (starting from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). Current construction volumes appear in line with future demand, supporting stable market conditions without generating excess price pressure.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Winter Valley
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 8 current infrastructure and development projects inside Winter Valley, worth an estimated $445 million. A further 54 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $8.64 billion. 15 are already under construction and 21 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major planning initiatives, and construction works significantly impact regional performance. In total, 19 projects have been identified by AreaSearch as having a likely effect on the area. Key developments include Winter Valley Rise, Winterfield Estate, Delacombe Village (Stage 3 - Delacombe Town Centre), and Alluvium Winter Valley Estate, with the list below detailing those of highest relevance.
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Alluvium Winter Valley Estate
Alluvium Winter Valley is a masterplanned residential community in Ballarat's western growth corridor, offering a range of land lot sizes complemented by over 27 hectares of parklands, curated open spaces and lush wetland areas. The estate includes its own neighbourhood shopping centre anchored by Coles (Alluvium SQ, opening 2026), a display village featuring leading builders, and a proposed government primary school opposite the estate. Lot registrations are ongoing through late 2026 with house and land packages available from multiple builders including Simonds and GJ Gardner.
Winter Valley Catholic Primary School
New Catholic primary school to be built on a 3.5 hectare site at 464 Greenhalghs Road in the Winterfield North estate, Winter Valley - the suburb's first school. The Diocese of Ballarat Catholic Education Limited (DOBCEL) has committed 6 million AUD in state funding for stage one works, initially catering for Prep to Grade 2, with later stages expanding capacity to around 400 students. A companion early learning centre on the same site is separately progressing through a Victorian Building Blocks Planning Grant.Expected to open in 2028, the school will serve the growing Catholic community in Ballarat's western growth corridor alongside a neighbouring 10 hectare government school and community precinct.
Winter Valley Rise
Seven-stage residential development encompassing 359 lots in Ballarat's West Growth Zone. Features balanced streetscapes linking to expansive open nature reserve, wetlands, children's playspace, ball courts, walking paths and recreational facilities. All lots include full services, NBN connectivity, and extensive community amenities.
Winter Valley Primary School (Proposed)
Land is earmarked on Greenhalghs Road, Winter Valley for a future government primary school, alongside a proposed secondary school, as part of the Ballarat West Precinct Structure Plan approved in 2012. The site is intended to include kindergarten spaces as part of the government's pre-prep rollout, and sits within a broader package of six new schools planned for the Ballarat west growth zone to serve around 8800 new homes. As of early 2026, the Victorian Government has confirmed the need for the school sites in principle but has not committed funding or a construction timeline, with local reporting noting there are no current plans to use the site.A neighbouring Catholic primary school on Greenhalghs Road is separately funded and due to open in 2028.
Winter Valley P-12 School
Proposed government P-12 school identified in the Ballarat West Growth Area Precinct Structure Plan to service the rapidly growing Winter Valley and Delacombe communities. The City of Ballarat continues to advocate for Victorian Government funding and delivery. As of February 2026 the project remains unfunded with ongoing advocacy and no construction commencement announced.
Ballarat Link Road Next Stages - Dyson Drive Duplication
Proposed duplication of Dyson Drive at Alfredton between Remembrance Drive and Ballarat-Carngham Road, forming the next stage of the Ballarat Link Road. Works would create a dual carriageway with two lanes in each direction plus two service lanes, a central median, upgraded intersections, shared path and cycling facilities, and associated landscaping. The Link Road is planned as a 12 kilometre arterial connection along Ballarat's western boundary, ultimately linking the Western Freeway, Ballarat Airport and the Ballarat West Employment Zone through to the Glenelg Highway and Midland Highway.The existing Link Road section between Learmonth Road and Remembrance Drive was completed in 2018. Traffic volumes on Dyson Drive rose from about 6,529 vehicles per day in 2016 to about 10,490 in 2021, driven by rapid growth in Alfredton, Lucas and Winter Valley, where roughly 16,000 additional residents are expected. The City of Ballarat estimates delivery of the full Link Road would generate about 920 full time equivalent jobs and support around $300 million of investment at the Ballarat West Employment Zone, while cutting truck volumes and crashes by about 20 per cent. A public acquisition overlay is already in place over the required land and a business case has been completed, with council funding earlier design and survey work. The project remains unfunded: it was omitted from the 2026-27 Victorian State Budget handed down in May 2026 and sits as a tier one item on the council's Ballarat. Now and Into the Future - Enabling Growth 2026 advocacy platform ahead of the November 2026 state election. Estimated cost is $88.3 million, comprising $4.5 million for planning and design and $83.8 million for delivery.
Winter Valley Rise Estate
A residential development in the Ballarat West Growth Zone featuring 359 lots with streetscapes, open nature reserves, and turn-key house and land packages.
Winterfield Estate
Winterfield is a 123-hectare masterplanned community by Goldfields Group in Winter Valley, comprising over 1,100 lots. The estate features a 1.7-hectare neighbourhood park, re-invigorated wetlands, a 9-hectare sporting reserve, and future government primary and secondary schools. With over 700 families already residing, construction continues with Stage 3A currently selling and titles expected in Q2 2027. The project also encompasses a proposed mixed-use precinct and is situated opposite the Delacombe Town Centre.
2,553 residents of Winter Valley are employed, from a labour force of 2,693. Unemployment sits at 5.2%, with participation at 68.1%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 6.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 4,232, about 78% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The suburb of Winter Valley possesses a skilled workforce with strong representation in essential services, showing an unemployment rate of 5.2% based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of March 2026, 2,553 residents are employed, which is an unemployment rate 1.5% higher than the Regional Vic. rate of 3.7%, while workforce participation is significantly elevated (68.1% compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.1%). According to Census responses, a minor 13.0% of residents worked from home, though the influence of Covid-19 lockdowns should be taken into account. The primary employment sectors for residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and construction.
The area exhibits a particularly high concentration in health care & social assistance, with local employment levels reaching 1.2 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 0.9% of local workers, which is below the Regional Vic. average of 7.5%. This mostly residential community seems to provide limited job opportunities internally, as shown by the comparison of Census working population to resident population. Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data aggregated from broader statistical zones, the 12-month period experienced a labor force increase of 0.7% alongside a employment decline of 0.9%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 1.6 percentage points. This contrasts with Regional Vic., where employment shrank by 0.1%, the labor force dropped by 0.3%, and unemployment decreased by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer additional perspective on potential future demand in the suburb of Winter Valley. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been matched against the local employment profile to estimate growth trends. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary widely across industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to the suburb of Winter Valley's employment distribution suggests local employment should rise by 6.6% over five years and 13.8% over ten years (note that this is a basic weighted extrapolation for illustration and does not incorporate localized population projections).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Winter Valley is $2,013 a week (about $105,000 a year), with median personal income at $921 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $59,666 a year against an average of $68,779. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, taxpayers in the suburb of Winter Valley recorded a median income of $59,666 and an average income of $68,779. This is slightly higher than the national average and compares to figures of $50,954 and $62,728 across Regional Vic. respectively. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year 2023, current estimates stand at approximately $65,406 (median) and $75,396 (average) as of March 2026. Census 2021 income data reveals household, family, and personal earnings in the suburb of Winter Valley align around the 68th percentile nationally.
Regarding income brackets, the $1,500 - 2,999 range is the most common, accounting for 49.0% of residents (2,647 people), mirroring the surrounding region where 30.3% fall into this bracket. High housing costs absorb 15.6% of income, yet strong earnings keep disposable income at the 67th percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 5th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Winter Valley had 1,179 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 100% detached houses and 0% apartments. 59% are owned with a mortgage, 25% rented and 17% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $390 a week and the median mortgage repayment $1,600 a month. Rent absorbs 19.4% of household income here and mortgage repayments 18.3%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
Dwelling structure in the suburb of Winter Valley, as recorded in the latest Census, consisted of 100.0% houses and no other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. At the same time, the rate of home ownership in the suburb of Winter Valley was below that of Regional Vic. at 16.5%, with the remaining properties either mortgaged (58.8%) or rented (24.8%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the area was significantly above the Regional Vic. average at $1,600, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $390, compared to Regional Vic.'s $1,430 and $285.
Nationally, the suburb of Winter Valley's mortgage repayments are substantially lower than the Australian average of $1,863, whereas weekly rents exceed the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Winter Valley counted 1,179 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 1,852 today, averaging 2.9 people each. 40% are couples with children, more than in 79% of areas nationally, against 27% couples without children. 16% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.5 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households make up the majority at 80.0% of all households, consisting of 39.7% couples with children, 27.0% couples without children, and 11.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 20.0%, with single person households representing 16.1% and group households comprising 4.4% of the total. The median household size of 2.9 people is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
23.7% of adults in Winter Valley hold a university qualification, including 17.3% with a bachelor degree and 4.1% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 98% of areas nationally. A further 29.5% hold a vocational qualification. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Educational attainment in the suburb of Winter Valley is below regional benchmarks, with 23.7% of residents aged 15+ holding university degrees compared to 33.4% in VIC. This difference points to opportunities for educational growth and skill development. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 17.3%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational and technical skills are highly represented, with 41.0% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (11.5%) and certificates (29.5%). Enrolment in education is remarkably high, with 32.5% of residents currently undertaking formal study.
This comprises 12.2% in primary education, 6.9% in secondary education, and 5.7% pursuing tertiary education.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Getting around Winter Valley means driving: households keep an average of 1.8 vehicles, and scheduled services reach only a handful of stops. Service data is built from operators' published GTFS timetables; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transport analysis indicates 3 active transport stops operate within the suburb of Winter Valley. These stops are served by 1 individual routes, providing a total of 194 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is classified as limited, with residents typically situated 865 meters from the nearest stop. Being primarily residential, most residents commute out of the suburb, and the private car remains the dominant mode of transport at 97%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.8 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 13.0% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).
Service frequency averages 27 trips per day across all routes, which corresponds to approximately 64 weekly trips per individual stop.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
71.5% of residents in Winter Valley report no long-term health condition. 4.3% need daily assistance with core activities, and 54.0% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 5.6 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health indicators point to below-average outcomes in the suburb of Winter Valley, based on AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, with common health conditions slightly more frequent than average across both younger and older cohorts, and the private health coverage rate being relatively high at approximately 54% of the total population (~2,918 people). This compares to 50.5% across Regional Vic.. The most common medical conditions in the area were asthma and mental health issues, affecting 10.8 and 9.8% of residents, respectively, while 71.5% reported being completely free of medical conditions compared to 63.4% across Regional Vic..
The under-65 population exhibits better than average health outcomes. The area has 5.2% of residents aged 65 and over (280 people), which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic., with national rankings generally aligned with the broader population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Winter Valley is largely Australian-born, at 88.5% of residents, with 10.1% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian (31.2%) and English (29.0%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The suburb of Winter Valley ranks below average in cultural diversity, with 88.5% of its population born in Australia, 91.2% holding citizenship, and 89.9% speaking only English at home. The predominant religion is Christianity, representing 38.6% of residents in the suburb of Winter Valley. However, the most visible overrepresentation is in Other, which accounts for 2.4% of the population compared to 0.8% across Regional Vic.. In terms of ancestry (parents' country of birth), the three largest groups in the suburb of Winter Valley are Australian, representing 31.2% of the population, English, representing 29.0% of the population, and Scottish, representing 8.3% of the population.
Furthermore, there are notable differences in the proportions of other ethnic groups: Dutch is overrepresented at 2.1% of the suburb of Winter Valley (compared to 1.7% regionally), Maltese at 0.8% (compared to 0.5%), and Sri Lankan at 0.3% (compared to 0.1%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Winter Valley is 27, younger than 98% of areas nationally. That is 2 years younger than at the 2021 Census. 39.1% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
With a median age of 27, the suburb of Winter Valley is younger than the Regional Vic. median of 43 and falls below Australia's median of 38 years. Relative to Regional Vic., the suburb of Winter Valley has a higher concentration of residents aged 25 - 34 (27.1%) but fewer residents aged 65 - 74 (3.3%). This 25 - 34 concentration is well above the national level of 14.6%. Since the 2021 Census, the median age has decreased by 1.8 years, falling to 27 from 29. Specifically, the 25 to 34 age bracket grew from 23.4% to 27.1% of the population, while the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 14.1% to 17.2%.
On the other hand, the 55 to 64 cohort declined from 7.0% to 4.0% and the 45 to 54 group dropped from 9.7% to 7.9%. Demographic modeling indicates the age profile of the suburb of Winter Valley will shift significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 age group is projected to expand by 1,979 people (135%), rising from 1,464 to 3,444.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Winter Valley
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 8 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Aug 2026 this month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 1,219 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (3,440 at the 2021 Census → 5,403 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL22814). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.