Alfredton

Alfredton lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, Alfredton's population was estimated at 12,153 as of May 2026. This shows an increase of 331 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,822. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of 12,134 residents following examination of ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2025 and an additional 154 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,517 persons per square kilometer, above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Alfredton demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 3.2%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 74.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

All drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the suburb expected to expand by 5,824 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting an increase of 47.8% in total over the 16 years.

The level of residential development activity in Alfredton was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Alfredton has averaged approximately 176 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 884 homes. As of FY26, 79 approvals have been recorded. Each year, an average of 2.6 new residents per dwelling has been observed between FY21 and FY25, indicating strong demand that supports property values. The average construction cost value for new homes is $497,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties.

This financial year, $9.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Alfredton has demonstrated elevated construction activity, with a 24.0% increase per person over the past five years. This maintains good buyer choice while supporting existing property values, though recent periods show some moderation in development activity. Notably, this is significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area.

New building activity comprises 98.0% standalone homes and 2.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Alfredton's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing that attracts space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 96 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Alfredton is projected to grow by 5,803 residents through to 2041. Development activity is keeping pace with this projected growth, though increasing competition among buyers can be expected as the population expands.

Alfredton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 20 projects likely to impact this region. Notable ones are Insignia Estate, Alfredton Community Hub, Ballarat Private Hospital, and Circular Economy Precinct, as detailed below.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in Alfredton has been broadly consistent with national averages

Alfredton's workforce is well-educated with significant representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate stands at 3.1%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of December 2025, 5,945 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.6% lower than Regional Vic.'s rate of 3.7%.

Workforce participation is relatively standard at 64.9%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.0%. According to Census responses, 16.7% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdown impacts. Key industries for employment include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Alfredton specializes in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 1.4% of local workers, below Regional Vic.'s 7.5%. The predominantly residential area seems to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Alfredton's labour force decreased by 6.2%, with employment declining by a similar percentage, leaving unemployment relatively stable. In contrast, Regional Vic.'s employment contracted by 0.6%, the labour force fell by 0.7%, and unemployment dropped by 0.1%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Alfredton. These projections estimate national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Alfredton's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Alfredton suburb's income level is below national average, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year ended June 2023. Median income among taxpayers in Alfredton was $50,230, with an average of $64,326. This compares to Regional Vic.'s median and average incomes of $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.62% since financial year ended June 2023, estimated current incomes are approximately $55,062 (median) and $70,514 (average), as of March 2026. Alfredton's household, family, and personal incomes clustered around the 57th percentile nationally in the 2021 Census. Income analysis shows that the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominated with 34.4% of residents (4,180 people), aligning with the region where this cohort also represented 30.3%. After housing costs, 86.6% of income remained for other expenses. Alfredton's area had a SEIFA income ranking in the fifth decile.

Alfredton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Alfredton's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.5% houses and 9.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alfredton stood at 31.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.2% and rented ones at 30.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,608, higher than Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Alfredton was $365, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Alfredton's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,608 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $365 compared to the national figure of $375.

Alfredton has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 76.8% of all households, including 36.4% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 14.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for 23.2%, with lone person households at 20.0% and group households comprising 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Alfredton exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 30.7%, higher than the Rest of Vic average of 21.7% and the SA4 region's 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.0%) and graduate diplomas (4.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 31.9% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (21.2%). Educational participation is high, with 33.8% currently enrolled in formal education: 11.9% in primary, 10.1% in secondary, and 5.5% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 10.1% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alfredton has 35 active public transport stops serviced by two routes. These routes collectively provide 507 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate with residents typically located 419 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward, with car being the dominant mode at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 16.7% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions.

Service frequency averages 72 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Alfredton are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Alfredton's health indicators suggest below-average outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are higher than average. Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts, with mental health issues impacting 10.1% of residents and asthma affecting 9.5%. Approximately 67.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 63.4% in Regional Vic. Working-age residents show above average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 14.6% of residents aged 65 and over, totaling 1,774 people, which is lower than the 23.9% in Regional Vic. National rankings are broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Alfredton records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alfredton's cultural diversity aligns with the wider region, as 84.0% of its population were born in Australia, 89.7% are citizens, and 86.9% speak English only at home. Christianity is the dominant religion in Alfredton, accounting for 46.4%. However, Hinduism is overrepresented at 2.9%, compared to Regional Vic's 0.7%.

The top three ancestral groups are English (29.0%), Australian (27.5%), and Irish (10.2%). Notably, Dutch (2.2%) and Scottish (9.0%) ancestries are also overrepresented in Alfredton compared to regional averages of 1.7% and 8.8%, respectively. Indian ancestry is overrepresented at 3.3%, with the regional average being 0.8%.

Alfredton's population is younger than the national pattern

Alfredton's median age is 35 years, which is significantly below the Regional Vic. average of 43 and somewhat younger than the Australian median of 38. The 5-14 cohort is notably over-represented in Alfredton at 16.4%, compared to the Regional Vic. average, while those aged 65-74 are under-represented at 8.0%. According to the 2021 Census, the population of Alfredton aged 35 to 44 has grown from 14.0% to 15.2%, while the 55 to 64 cohort has declined from 10.0% to 8.9%. Demographic modeling suggests that by 2041, Alfredton's age profile will evolve significantly with the 25 to 34 cohort projected to grow strongly at 86%, adding 1,337 residents to reach a total of 2,893.