Alfredton

Alfredton lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Alfredton's population was estimated at 13,274 as of Nov 2025, reflecting a 12.3% increase from the 2021 Census figure of 11,822 people. This growth is inferred from AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of ABS ERP data released in Jun 2024, showing an estimated resident population of 12,831 for the suburb. The population density was calculated as 1,657 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Alfredton's growth exceeded both non-metro areas (6.0%) and its SA4 region since the 2021 Census. Interstate migration contributed approximately 74% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections from 2023 adjusted to SA2 levels for future growth rates by age group until 2041.

Exceptional growth is predicted over this period, with the suburb expected to expand by 8,745 persons to 2041, reflecting a 72.5% increase in total population over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Alfredton was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Alfredton averaged approximately 188 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 940 homes. As of FY26, 34 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.3 new residents were associated with each home built between FY21 and FY25. This supply lagged demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction cost for new properties was $497,000. In FY26, $131,000 in commercial approvals were registered, indicating minimal commercial development activity. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Alfredton had slightly more development, with 33.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period. This balance supported buyer choice while sustaining current property values.

However, recent periods showed moderated development activity. Nationally, this was well above average, reflecting strong developer confidence in the area. New building activity consisted of 99.0% detached houses and 1.0% medium to high-density housing, preserving Alfredton's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers with an average of 159 people per dwelling approval. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Alfredton is projected to add 9,629 residents by 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing buyer competition and supporting stronger price growth.

Alfredton has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 20 projects likely to impact the area. Notable projects are Western Highway Upgrade, Insignia Estate, Alfredton Community Hub, and Circular Economy Precinct. The following details projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The employment environment in Alfredton shows above-average strength when compared nationally

Alfredton's workforce is well-educated with prominent representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate stands at 3.0%, reflecting a 6.6% employment growth over the past year, as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of June 2025, 7,139 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate 0.8% lower than Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%. Workforce participation is high at 67.7%, surpassing Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key employment sectors include health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. Notably, health care & social assistance accounts for 1.3 times the regional level of employment.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented, with only 1.4% of Alfredton's workforce compared to Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by Census working population vs resident population counts. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 6.6%, labour force by 6.7%, leading to a slight unemployment rise of 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Rest of Vic. experienced employment decline of 0.9% and labour force decline of 0.4%, with an unemployment rise of 0.4 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to Alfredton's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, although these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Alfredton's postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates its median income is $50,230 and average income is $64,326. This contrasts with Rest of Vic.'s median income of $48,741 and average income of $60,693. Based on a 12.16% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $56,338 (median) and $72,148 (average). The 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes in Alfredton are around the 57th percentile nationally. Income distribution reveals that 34.4% of individuals earn between $1,500 - 2,999, similar to the surrounding region at 30.3%. After housing costs, 86.6% of income remains for other expenses. Alfredton's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Alfredton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

Dwelling structure in Alfredton, as evaluated at the latest Census held on 28th August 2016, comprised 90.5% houses and 9.4% other dwellings such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. This is compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s structure of 85.6% houses and 14.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alfredton stood at 31.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.2% and rented dwellings at 30.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,608, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,499. The median weekly rent figure was recorded at $365, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $300. Nationally, Alfredton's mortgage repayments were significantly lower than the Australian average of $1,863 as of 2017, while rents were less than the national figure of $375 recorded in the same year.

Alfredton has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 76.8% of all households, including 36.4% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 14.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.2%, with lone person households at 20.0% and group households comprising 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Alfredton exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 30.7% among residents aged 15+, higher than the Rest of Vic average of 21.7% and the SA4 region's 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 19.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.0%) and graduate diplomas (4.3%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 31.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 21.2%. Educational participation is high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education: 11.9% in primary, 10.1% in secondary, and 5.5% in tertiary education.

The area has two schools serving 920 students collectively: St Thomas More School and Alfredton Primary School. These schools focus on primary education, with secondary options available nearby due to limited local school capacity (6.9 places per 100 residents vs the regional average of 17.9).

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alfredton has 35 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two routes that together facilitate 563 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is moderate, with residents on average being located 419 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 80 trips across all routes, which equates to approximately 16 weekly trips per individual stop.

Alfredton's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Alfredton's health metrics are close to national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is approximately 52%, impacting about 6,939 people, which is higher than the average SA2 area. Mental health issues and asthma were found to be the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 10.1% and 9.5% of residents respectively. About 67.0% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 62.3% across Rest of Vic.. The area has 13.6% of residents aged 65 and over, which totals 1,805 people, lower than the 17.8% in Rest of Vic.. This is broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Alfredton records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alfredton's cultural diversity aligns with the broader regional average, with 84.0% of its population born in Australia, 89.7% being citizens, and 86.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Alfredton, comprising 46.4% of the population. Notably, Hinduism is overrepresented in Alfredton at 2.9%, compared to 1.2% across the rest of Victoria.

The top three ancestral groups based on parents' country of birth are English (29.0%), Australian (27.5%), and Irish (10.2%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Dutch is overrepresented at 2.2%, Scottish at 9.0%, and Indian at 3.3%.

Alfredton's population is younger than the national pattern

Alfredton's median age is 35 years, which is significantly below the Rest of Vic. average of 43 and somewhat younger than the Australian median of 38. The 5-14 cohort is notably over-represented in Alfredton at 15.9%, while the 65-74 year-olds are under-represented at 7.6%. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group has grown from 11.8% to 13.3% of Alfredton's population, and the 35 to 44 cohort has increased from 14.0% to 15.1%. Conversely, the 65 to 74 cohort has declined from 8.4% to 7.6%. Demographic modeling suggests that Alfredton's age profile will evolve significantly by 2041. The 25 to 34 cohort shows the strongest projected growth at 123%, adding 2,174 residents to reach a total of 3,940.