Alfredton

Alfredton lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, the suburb of Alfredton's estimated population is around 15,352 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 3,530 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 11,822. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 12,812 residents following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and an additional 154 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,916 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Alfredton's growth of 29.9% since the 2021 census exceeded Rest of Vic.'s 8.1% and the national average. Interstate migration contributed approximately 74.0% to overall population gains during recent periods. For projections, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia data released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area.

Exceptional growth is predicted over the period 2026 to 2041, with the suburb expected to expand by 7,209 persons, reflecting an increase of 30.4% in total population over the 15 years.

The level of residential development activity in Alfredton was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Alfredton averaged approximately 176 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 884 homes. As of FY-26, 64 approvals have been recorded. On average, around 4.5 new residents per year were associated with each home built between FY-21 and FY-25. This suggests supply is lagging demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction value of new properties was $497,000, indicating a focus on the premium market segment. In FY-26, Alfredton recorded $9.2 million in commercial development approvals, reflecting its primarily residential nature. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Alfredton's construction levels were 25.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period, maintaining good buyer choice and supporting existing property values. However, development activity has moderated in recent periods.

New building activity comprised 98.0% standalone homes and 2.0% townhouses or apartments, preserving Alfredton's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The area had approximately 105 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Alfredton is expected to grow by 4,669 residents through to 2041. Current development appears well-matched to future needs, supporting steady market conditions without extreme price pressure.

Alfredton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area can significantly be influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 21 such projects that could potentially impact the area. Notable among these are the Western Highway Upgrade, Insignia Estate, Alfredton Community Hub, and Circular Economy Precinct. The following list details those projects considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Alfredton demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Alfredton has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.7%, lower than the regional average of 3.7%. This low unemployment rate has been maintained over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of December 2025, 7,598 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.0% below Regional Vic.'s rate. Workforce participation in Alfredton is high at 77.8%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 61.5%. Census responses indicate that a moderate 16.7% of residents work from home, but Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered when interpreting this figure. The key industries employing Alfredton's residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training.

The area has a particular specialization in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 1.4% of local workers, significantly lower than Regional Vic.'s 7.5%. The predominantly residential nature of Alfredton suggests limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between the Census working population and resident population. Between December 2024 and December 2025, Alfredton's labour force decreased by 0.5%, while employment declined by 0.4%. This resulted in a fall in unemployment of 0.1 percentage points. In contrast, Regional Vic.'s employment contracted by 0.6% over the same period, with the labour force falling by 0.7% and unemployment decreasing by 0.1 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase in employment over five years and a 13.7% increase over ten years. However, growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Alfredton's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.3% over ten years. These projections are illustrative and do not account for localized population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Alfredton suburb's income level is below national average per latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Alfredton's median income among taxpayers is $50,230 and average income stands at $64,326, compared to Regional Vic.'s figures of $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $54,374 (median) and $69,633 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, incomes in Alfredton cluster around the 57th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket dominates with 34.4% of residents (5,281 people), aligning with regional figures where this cohort represents 30.3%. After housing, 86.6% of income remains for other expenses. Alfredton's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Alfredton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Alfredton's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 90.5% houses and 9.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Regional Vic.'s 90.1% houses and 9.9% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alfredton stood at 31.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.2% and rented ones at 30.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,608, surpassing Regional Vic.'s average of $1,430. Median weekly rent in Alfredton was $365, compared to Regional Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Alfredton's mortgage repayments were lower than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were less than the national figure of $375.

Alfredton has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 76.8% of all households, including 36.4% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 14.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.2%, with lone person households at 20.0% and group households making up 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Regional Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Alfredton exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 30.7% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Vic average of 21.7% and the SA4 region rate of 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 19.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.0%) and graduate diplomas (4.3%). Vocational credentials are prominent with 31.9% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (10.7%) and certificates (21.2%). Educational participation is high at 33.8%, comprising 11.9% in primary education, 10.1% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 10.1% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alfredton has 35 active public transport stops serviced by two routes offering 507 weekly passenger trips. The average distance to the nearest stop is 419 meters. Most residents commute outward using cars, which are dominant at 95%. On average, there are 1.5 vehicles per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 16.7% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. There are approximately 72 trips per day across all routes, equating to about 14 weekly trips per stop.

Service frequency averages 72 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Alfredton are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Alfredton's health indicators show below-average outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are higher than average for both younger and older age cohorts, with common health conditions slightly more prevalent. Private health cover is at approximately 52% of the total population (~8,026 people), leading the average SA2 area rate. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (10.1%) and asthma (9.5%). A higher percentage of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to Regional Vic., at 67.0% versus 63.4%. Working-age residents have an above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has a lower proportion of residents aged 65 and over, at 13.9%, compared to Regional Vic.'s 23.9%. National rankings are broadly in line with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Alfredton records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alfredton's cultural diversity aligns with the broader regional average. Its population consists of 84.0% Australian-born individuals, 89.7% citizens, and 86.9% English-only speakers at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Alfredton, practiced by 46.4% of its residents.

Notably, Hinduism is overrepresented in Alfredton compared to Regional Vic., with 2.9% versus 0.7%. The top three ancestral groups are English (29.0%), Australian (27.5%), and Irish (10.2%). Some ethnic groups show significant variations: Dutch at 2.2% in Alfredton versus 1.7% regionally, Scottish at 9.0% versus 8.8%, and Indian at 3.3% compared to the regional average of 0.8%.

Alfredton's population is younger than the national pattern

Alfredton has a median age of 34, which is lower than Regional Vic.'s figure of 43 and Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Regional Vic. average, those aged 5-14 are over-represented in Alfredton at 16.0%, while those aged 65-74 are under-represented at 7.7%. Between 2021 and present, the population aged 25-34 has grown from 11.8% to 13.7%, and the 35-44 cohort increased from 14.0% to 15.4%. Conversely, the 55-64 age group has declined from 10.0% to 9.1%. By 2041, Alfredton's age profile is projected to change significantly. The 25-34 cohort is expected to grow by 1,260 people (60%), reaching 3,364 from the current 2,103. Meanwhile, the 55-64 cohort is projected to grow by a modest 7% (91 people).