Alfredton

Alfredton lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of Alfredton is around 15,352, reflecting a 29.9% increase since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 11,822. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of 12,812 residents based on ERP data released by ABS in June 2024 and an additional 154 validated new addresses since the Census date. The suburb's population density is 1,916 persons per square kilometer, above national averages assessed by AreaSearch. Alfredton's growth exceeded Rest of Vic.'s (8.1%) and the national average, marking it as a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 74.0% to overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch projects future population dynamics using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered, it utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023, adjusted employing weighted aggregation methods to SA2 levels.

Exceptional growth is predicted over the period 2026 to 2041, with the suburb expected to expand by 8,710 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a 49.0% increase in total population over the 15 years.

The level of residential development activity in Alfredton was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Alfredton averaged approximately 179 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 899 homes. As of FY-26, 56 approvals have been recorded. On average, 4.5 new residents were associated with each home built between FY-21 and FY-25. This indicates supply is lagging demand, potentially leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction cost value for new properties was $497,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment. In FY-26, $9.2 million in commercial development approvals have been recorded, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Rest of Vic., Alfredton had 27.0% higher construction activity per person over the five-year period, maintaining good buyer choice and supporting existing property values. However, development activity has moderated in recent periods.

This is significantly above the national average, indicating robust developer interest in the area. The majority of new building activity consists of standalone homes (98.0%), with townhouses or apartments comprising 2.0%, preserving Alfredton's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The location had approximately 99 people per dwelling approval, suggesting an expanding market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, Alfredton is expected to grow by 7,523 residents through to 2041. Development appears to be keeping reasonable pace with projected growth, though increasing competition among buyers may arise as the population expands.

Alfredton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects that could impact the region. Notable initiatives include the Western Highway Upgrade, Insignia Estate, Alfredton Community Hub, and Circular Economy Precinct. The following details projects likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Alfredton exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Alfredton has an educated workforce with prominent representation in essential services sectors. Its unemployment rate is 2.9%, lower than the national average. Over the past year, ending September 2025, employment growth was estimated at 2.3%.

As of that date, 7,520 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.9% below Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%. Workforce participation in Alfredton is high at 77.2%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 61.4%. According to Census responses, 16.7% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key industries for employment are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training.

Alfredton specializes in health care & social assistance, with an employment share 1.3 times the regional level, while agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 1.4% of local workers, below Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, as indicated by the ratio of Census working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.3%, and labour force grew by 2.4%, keeping unemployment relatively stable at 2.9%. In contrast, Rest of Vic. saw employment contract by 0.7%, labour force fall by 0.6%, and unemployment rise marginally. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alfredton's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for local population projections.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Alfredton suburb's income level is below national average per latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Its median income among taxpayers is $50,230 and average income stands at $64,326, compared to Rest of Vic.'s figures of $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Alfredton are approximately $54,374 (median) and $69,633 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Alfredton cluster around the 57th percentile nationally. Income analysis shows the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 34.4% of residents (5,281 people), aligning with regional pattern where this cohort also represents 30.3%. After housing costs, 86.6% of income remains for other expenses and Alfredton's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Alfredton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Alfredton, as per the latest Census evaluation, 90.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 9.4% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This is comparable to Non-Metro Vic., where 90.1% of dwellings are houses and 9.9% are other types. Home ownership in Alfredton stood at 31.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 38.2% and rented ones at 30.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,608, exceeding Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,430. The median weekly rent in Alfredton was $365, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s $285. Nationally, Alfredton's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,608 compared to the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were also lower at $365 against the national figure of $375.

Alfredton has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 76.8% of all households, including 36.4% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 14.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 23.2%, with lone person households at 20.0% and group households comprising 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Alfredton exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 30.7% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Rest of Vic average of 21.7% and the SA4 region rate of 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 19.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 7.0% and graduate diplomas at 4.3%. Vocational credentials are prominent with 31.9% of residents aged 15+ holding them, including advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 21.2%. Educational participation is high with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, comprising 11.9% in primary education, 10.1% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.9% in primary education, 10.1% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alfredton has 35 active public transport stops serviced by two routes, offering 507 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is moderate with residents typically located 419 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward, with car being the dominant mode at 95%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.5 per dwelling. According to the 2021 Census, 16.7% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 72 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Service frequency averages 72 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in Alfredton are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Alfredton's health indicators show below-average outcomes based on AreaSearch's assessment.

Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are higher than average for both younger and older age cohorts, with common health conditions slightly more prevalent. Private health cover stands at approximately 52% of the total population (~8,026 people), leading the average SA2 area rate. The most common medical conditions are mental health issues (10.1%) and asthma (9.5%), while 67.0% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 63.4% across Rest of Vic.. Working-age residents exhibit above-average prevalence of chronic health conditions. The area has 13.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2,041 people), lower than the 23.9% in Rest of Vic., with national rankings generally aligned with the general population.

In terms of cultural diversity, Alfredton records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alfredton's population composition aligns with the broader regional average in terms of cultural diversity, with 84.0% born in Australia, 89.7% being citizens, and 86.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Alfredton, accounting for 46.4% of its population. The most notable overrepresentation is Hinduism, comprising 2.9% compared to the regional average of 0.7%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (29.0%), Australian (27.5%), and Irish (10.2%). Other ethnic groups with significant representation include Dutch at 2.2%, Scottish at 9.0%, and Indian at 3.3%, each showing notable divergences from their respective regional averages of 1.7%, 8.8%, and 0.8%.

Alfredton's population is younger than the national pattern

Alfredton has a median age of 34, which is lower than the Rest of Vic figure of 43 and Australia's median age of 38. Compared to the Rest of Vic average, Alfredton has a notably higher proportion of 5-14 year-olds (15.8%) and a lower proportion of 65-74 year-olds (7.6%). Between 2021 and present, the population aged 25 to 34 increased from 11.8% to 13.9%, while those aged 35 to 44 grew from 14.0% to 15.5%. Conversely, the proportion of people aged 55 to 64 decreased from 10.0% to 9.2%. Demographic modeling indicates significant changes in Alfredton's age profile by 2041. The 25 to 34 age cohort is projected to grow significantly, increasing by 1,816 people (85%) from 2,133 to 3,950.