Alfredton

Alfredton lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population for the Alfredton statistical area (Lv2) is around 15,145, reflecting a growth of 3,323 people (28.1%) since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 11,822. This increase was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of resident population at 12,812 in June 2024, based on examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS, and an additional 150 validated new addresses since the Census date. The population density ratio is 1,890 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Alfredton's growth rate exceeded that of non-metro areas (7.9%) and the national average, positioning it as a regional growth leader. Interstate migration contributed approximately 74.0% to overall population gains during recent periods, with natural growth and overseas migration also being positive factors. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in June 2024 using 2022 as the base year.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises VIC State Government's Regional/LGA projections released in 2023 with adjustments made employing a method of weighted aggregation of population growth from LGA to SA2 levels. Growth rates by age group are applied across all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over the period, placing Alfredton (SA2) in the top 10 percent of Australia's regional areas. By 2041, the area is expected to expand by 8,728 persons, reflecting an increase of 51.1% in total population over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Alfredton was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

Alfredton averaged approximately 179 new dwelling approvals per year over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25. This totals an estimated 899 homes. In FY-26 so far, 56 approvals have been recorded. On average, each home built accommodates around 4.5 new residents annually.

This indicates a significant lag between supply and demand, potentially leading to increased buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction value of new properties is $497,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. Commercial development approvals in Alfredton totalled $9.2 million this financial year, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to the Rest of Vic., Alfredton has a somewhat elevated construction rate, 27.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period.

This maintains good buyer choice and supports existing property values, although development activity has moderated in recent periods. New building activity consists predominantly of standalone homes (98.0%) with townhouses or apartments making up only 2.0%, preserving Alfredton's suburban nature and attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 99 people per dwelling approval, indicating an expanding market. Looking ahead, AreaSearch estimates indicate Alfredton is expected to grow by 7,741 residents through to 2041. If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Alfredton has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects likely impacting the region. Notable initiatives include the Western Highway Upgrade, Insignia Estate, Alfredton Community Hub, and Circular Economy Precinct. The following list details those expected to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment performance in Alfredton exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Alfredton has an educated workforce with strong representation in essential services sectors. The unemployment rate is 2.9% and there was a 2.3% employment growth over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, 7,518 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 0.8% lower than Rest of Vic.'s 3.8%. Workforce participation in Alfredton is high at 67.7%, compared to Rest of Vic.'s 57.4%. Key industries for employment among residents are health care & social assistance, retail trade, and education & training. The area has a specialization in health care & social assistance, employing 1.3 times the regional level.

Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing employs only 1.4% of local workers, below Rest of Vic.'s 7.5%. Limited employment opportunities locally are indicated by Census working population vs resident population counts. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.3% and labour force grew by 2.4%, keeping the unemployment rate stable. This contrasts with Rest of Vic., where employment contracted by 0.7%, labour force fell by 0.6%, and unemployment rose marginally. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows VIC employment grew by 1.13% year-on-year, adding 41,950 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 4.7%. National employment forecasts from May-25 suggest a 6.6% growth over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alfredton's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.8% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, assuming constant population projections for illustrative purposes.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

Alfredton suburb's income level is below national average according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Alfredton's median income among taxpayers is $50,230 and average income stands at $64,326, compared to Rest of Vic.'s figures of $50,954 and $62,728 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.25% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $54,374 (median) and $69,633 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Alfredton cluster around the 57th percentile nationally. Income analysis reveals the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket dominates with 34.4% of residents (5,209 people), aligning with the region where this cohort likewise represents 30.3%. After housing, 86.6% of income remains for other expenses and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Alfredton is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In Alfredton, as per the latest Census evaluation, 90.5% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 9.4% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This compares to Non-Metro Vic., where 85.6% were houses and 14.5% were other dwellings. Home ownership in Alfredton stood at 31.6%, with mortgaged properties at 38.2% and rented ones at 30.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,608, higher than Non-Metro Vic.'s average of $1,499. Median weekly rent in Alfredton was $365, compared to Non-Metro Vic.'s $300. Nationally, Alfredton's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,608 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were also lower at $365 compared to the national figure of $375.

Alfredton has a typical household mix, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 76.8% of all households, including 36.4% couples with children, 25.4% couples without children, and 14.2% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 23.2%, with lone person households at 20.0% and group households comprising 3.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.8 people, which is larger than the Rest of Vic. average of 2.4.

The educational profile of Alfredton exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate of 30.7% for residents aged 15+ exceeds both the Rest of Vic average of 21.7% and the SA4 region average of 24.6%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 19.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (7.0%) and graduate diplomas (4.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 31.9% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.7% and certificates at 21.2%. Educational participation is high, with 33.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 11.9% in primary education, 10.1% in secondary education, and 5.5% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Alfredton has 35 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by two different routes that together offer 507 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is moderate, with residents living an average of 419 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 72 trips per day across all routes, which works out to about 14 weekly trips per individual stop.

Alfredton's residents are relatively healthy in comparison to broader Australia with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Alfredton's health metrics are close to national benchmarks.

Common health conditions are slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is approximately 52% of the total population (~7,917 people), leading that of the average SA2 area. Mental health issues impact 10.1% of residents, while asthma affects 9.5%. A total of 67.0% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 62.3% across Rest of Vic.. The area has 13.7% of residents aged 65 and over (2,074 people), which is lower than the 17.8% in Rest of Vic.. This aligns broadly with the general population's health profile.

In terms of cultural diversity, Alfredton records figures broadly comparable to the national average, as found in AreaSearch's assessment of a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alfredton's population was found to be similar to the broader regional average in terms of cultural diversity, with 84.0% born in Australia, 89.7% being citizens, and 86.9% speaking English only at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Alfredton, comprising 46.4% of its population. However, Hinduism was notably overrepresented, making up 2.9% compared to the regional average of 1.2%.

The top three ancestral groups were English (29.0%), Australian (27.5%), and Irish (10.2%). Some other ethnic groups showed notable differences: Dutch at 2.2% in Alfredton versus 2.1% regionally, Scottish at 9.0% compared to 9.2%, and Indian at 3.3% versus the regional average of 1.2%.

Alfredton's population is younger than the national pattern

Alfredton's median age is 35 years, which is lower than both the Rest of Vic average of 43 and the Australian median of 38. The 5-14 cohort represents 15.9% of Alfredton's population, higher than the Rest of Vic average, while the 65-74 age group makes up 7.7%, lower than the Rest of Vic average. According to the 2021 Census, the 25 to 34 age group grew from 11.8% to 13.3%, and the 35 to 44 cohort increased from 14.0% to 15.1%. Meanwhile, the 65 to 74 cohort decreased from 8.4% to 7.7%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Alfredton's age profile. The 25 to 34 cohort is projected to grow by 95%, adding 1,920 residents to reach a total of 3,935.