Pacific Pines

An assessment of population growth drivers in Pacific Pines reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of Pacific Pines is estimated at around 17,480. This reflects an increase of 816 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 16,664. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population as 17,460 following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and validation of nine new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,912 persons per square kilometer, above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Pacific Pines' growth rate of 4.9% since census is within 0.8 percentage points of its SA3 area's rate of 5.7%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 52.0% of overall population gains recently.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections released in 2023 based on 2021 data are used, applying proportional growth weightings from ABS Greater Capital Region projections for each age cohort. By 2041, the suburb of Pacific Pines is projected to grow by 197 persons, reflecting a total gain of 0.7% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Pacific Pines is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers indicates Pacific Pines has received around 8 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years up to FY26. This totals an estimated 43 homes. As of FY26, 8 approvals have been recorded. Despite population decline during this period, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes.

New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $350,000, aligning with broader regional trends. This financial year has seen $28.1 million in commercial approvals, indicating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to the Rest of Qld, Pacific Pines shows substantially reduced construction activity (81.0% below regional average per person). Limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established properties. This activity is also lower than national averages, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

New construction has been entirely comprised of standalone homes, preserving the area's suburban nature with a focus on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. The location has approximately 2037 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Population forecasts suggest Pacific Pines will gain 123 residents by 2041 (based on AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate). With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Pacific Pines has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 13 projects likely affecting this region. Notable ones are Arundel Hills Country Club Redevelopment, Pacific Pines Master Planned Community, Weka Parklands Upgrade - Skate Park and Basketball Court, and Coomera Connector Stage 1. Below is a list of those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places Pacific Pines well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Pacific Pines has a skilled workforce with essential services sectors well represented. Its unemployment rate was 3.3% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.3%. As of September 2025, 10,101 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.7% below Rest of Qld's rate of 4.1%, and workforce participation at 75.8% compared to Rest of Qld's 65.7%.

According to Census responses, 12.3% of residents worked from home. Key industries of employment are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. Pacific Pines shows strong specialization in construction with an employment share of 1.2 times the regional level, but agriculture, forestry & fishing is under-represented at 0.2%. Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

During the year to September 2025, employment levels increased by 2.3% and labour force increased by 2.4%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. In contrast, Rest of Qld experienced employment growth of 1.7% and labour force growth of 2.1%, with a rise in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest potential future demand within Pacific Pines. These projections estimate national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with industry-specific growth rates differing significantly. Applying these projections to Pacific Pines's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years.

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released for financial year 2023, Pacific Pines had a median taxpayer income of $50,908 and an average income of $61,906. These figures are below the national averages of $53,146 and $66,593 respectively in Rest of Qld. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since financial year 2023, estimated median income for Pacific Pines as of September 2025 would be approximately $55,953, with an average income of around $68,041. The 2021 Census shows household, family and personal incomes in Pacific Pines at the 63rd percentile nationally. Income distribution data indicates that 42.2% of Pacific Pines' population (7,376 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, similar to regional levels where 31.7% occupy this bracket. High housing costs consume 18.3% of income in Pacific Pines, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 67th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 6th decile.

Pacific Pines is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Pacific Pines' dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 76.0% houses and 23.9% other dwellings. In comparison, Non-Metro Qld had 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Pacific Pines was at 17.3%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.9% and rented ones at 32.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,980, higher than Non-Metro Qld's average of $1,655. The median weekly rent in Pacific Pines was $470, compared to Non-Metro Qld's $345. Nationally, Pacific Pines' mortgage repayments were above the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially higher than the national figure of $375.

Pacific Pines features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.3% of all households, including 47.2% couples with children, 23.3% couples without children, and 15.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.7%, with lone person households at 9.6% and group households comprising 2.9%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Rest of Qld average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Pacific Pines exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

In Pacific Pines, residents aged 15+ with university degrees comprise 22.5%, trailing the national average of 30.4%. This disparity suggests room for educational advancement. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 15.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 40.8% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 12.7% and certificates at 28.1%.

Educational involvement is significant, with 33.6% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.5% in primary, 10.1% in secondary, and 4.7% in tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Pacific Pines has 54 active public transport stops, all serving buses. These are covered by five routes that together offer 407 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 261 meters to the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards daily, with cars being the primary mode at 94%. On average, there are 1.9 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional norm. Only 12.3% of residents work from home (as per the 2021 Census).

The service frequency is 58 trips per day across all routes, translating to about seven weekly trips per stop.

Pacific Pines's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with a fairly standard level of common health conditions seen across both young and old age cohorts

Pacific Pines residents show positive health outcomes, according to AreaSearch's analysis.

Mortality rates and health conditions are generally in line with national benchmarks. Common health conditions are seen across both young and old age cohorts. Private health cover is relatively low at approximately 52% of the total population (~9,042 people). The most common medical conditions are mental health issues and asthma, affecting 8.0 and 7.3% of residents respectively. 74.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 67.6% across Rest of Qld. Under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 10.3% of residents aged 65 and over (1,800 people), lower than the 20.4% in Rest of Qld. National rankings are broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Pacific Pines was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Pacific Pines, surveyed in 2016, had a higher proportion of residents speaking a language other than English at home (17.9%) compared to most local markets. Overseas-born individuals constituted 33.7% of Pacific Pines' population. Christianity was the predominant religion, with 43.7%.

Judaism's representation was slightly higher in Pacific Pines at 0.1%, matching Rest of Qld's percentage. English ancestry led at 28.4%, followed by Australian at 23.2%, and Other at 9.4%. Notable disparities existed for Maori (3.1% vs regional 0.8%), New Zealand (2.3% vs 0.9%), and Hungarian (0.5% vs 0.2%) ethnic groups.

Pacific Pines hosts a young demographic, positioning it in the bottom quartile nationwide

The median age in Pacific Pines is 34 years, which is notably lower than the Rest of Queensland's average of 41 years and substantially under the Australian median of 38 years. Compared to Rest of Qld, Pacific Pines has a higher concentration of residents aged 15-24 (15.3%) but fewer residents aged 65-74 (6.2%). Between the 2021 Census and now, the percentage of residents aged 15-24 has grown from 13.9% to 15.3%, while those aged 25-34 increased from 12.7% to 13.9%. Conversely, the percentage of residents aged 5-14 has declined from 17.0% to 14.5%, and those aged 45-54 dropped from 14.9% to 13.8%. By 2041, Pacific Pines is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition. Leading this demographic shift, the 25-34 age group is projected to grow by 19%, adding 457 people and reaching a total of 2,887 from the current figure of 2,429. Meanwhile, both the 55-64 and 5-14 age groups are expected to see reduced numbers.