Upper Coomera - North

Population growth drivers in Upper Coomera - North are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on AreaSearch's analysis, Upper Coomera - North's population is around 22,086 as of Feb 2026. This reflects an increase of 1,799 people (8.9%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 20,287 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 21,776 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 213 validated new addresses since the Census date. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,415 persons per square kilometer, which is above the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Upper Coomera - North's 8.9% growth since the census positions it within 0.2 percentage points of the Rest of Qld (9.1%), demonstrating competitive growth fundamentals. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration, which contributed approximately 57.4% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and for years post-2032, Queensland State Government's SA2 area projections, released in 2023 and based on 2021 data, are adopted. It should be noted that these state projections do not provide age category splits; hence where utilised, AreaSearch is applying proportional growth weightings in line with the ABS Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data) for each age cohort. Considering the projected demographic shifts, an above-median population growth of regional areas across the nation is projected, with the area expected to increase by 5,247 persons by 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an increase of 22.4% in total over the 17 years.

AreaSearch assessment of residential development activity positions Upper Coomera - North among the top 25% of areas assessed nationwide

Upper Coomera - North has recorded around 50 residential properties granted approval per year, totalling 250 homes over the past 5 financial years. So far in FY-26, 61 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 5.4 people per year moving to the area for each dwelling built over the past 5 financial years (between FY-21 and FY-25), demand is significantly outpacing supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers, while new homes are being built at an average value of $363,000. Additionally, $5.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered this financial year, demonstrating the area's primarily residential nature.

Compared to the rest of Qld, Upper Coomera - North records markedly lower building activity (75.0% below regional average per person). This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing dwellings, though development activity has picked up in recent periods. This is likewise lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and pointing to possible development constraints. New development consists of 33.0% detached houses and 67.0% medium and high-density housing. This trend toward denser development provides accessible entry options and appeals to downsizers, investors, and entry-level buyers. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing (currently 76.0% houses), indicating decreasing availability of developable sites and reflecting changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. At around 303 people per approval, Upper Coomera - North reflects a transitioning market.

Population forecasts indicate Upper Coomera - North will gain 4,937 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

Upper Coomera - North has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Nothing can influence an area's performance as much as changes to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. In total, 36 projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are likely to have an impact on the area. Key projects include the Yawalpah Road Upgrade, GemLife Gold Coast (Pimpama), Pacific Motorway (M1) Coomera Exit 54 Interchange Upgrade, and Pimpama Railway Station (Cross River Rail), with the list below detailing those likely to be of most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Upper Coomera - North demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Upper Coomera - North possesses a skilled workforce, with the construction sector a particular standout in terms of representation, an unemployment rate of 4.4%, and 2.6% in estimated employment growth over the past year. As of December 2025, 12,155 residents are in work while the unemployment rate is 0.4% above Regional Qld's rate of 4.0%, and workforce participation is well beyond standard (74.3% compared to Regional Qld's 65.4%). Based on Census responses, a low 12.0% of residents were found to work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered.

The key industries of employment among residents are health care & social assistance, construction, and retail trade. The area demonstrates a particularly notable concentration in construction, with employment levels at 1.3 times the regional average. Conversely, agriculture, forestry & fishing shows lower representation at 0.3% versus the regional average of 4.5%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population.

Based on AreaSearch analysis of SALM and ABS data, the 12-month period saw employment increasing by 2.6% alongside labour force increasing by 2.6%, leaving unemployment broadly flat. By comparison, Regional Qld recorded employment growth of 0.7%, labour force growth of 1.0%, with unemployment rising 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 can offer further insight into potential future demand within Upper Coomera - North. These projections, covering five and ten-year periods, have been mapped against the local employment profile to estimate growth patterns. While national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these industry-specific projections to Upper Coomera - North's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.3% over five years and 13.2% over ten years (please note this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not take into account localised population projections).

Income levels align closely with national averages, indicating typical economic conditions for Australian communities according to AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for FY-23, the Upper Coomera - North SA2 had a median income among taxpayers of $53,323 with the average level standing at $62,189. This is below the national average and compares to levels of $53,146 and $66,593 across Regional Qld respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 9.91% since FY-23, current estimates would be approximately $58,607 (median) and $68,352 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in Upper Coomera - North cluster around the 55th percentile nationally. Distribution data shows 43.6% of the population (9,629 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - 2,999 income range, reflecting patterns seen at regional levels where 31.7% similarly occupy this range. High housing costs consume 19.1% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 56th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 4th decile.

Upper Coomera - North is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Dwelling structure within Upper Coomera - North, as evaluated at the latest Census, comprised 75.9% houses and 24.1% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), in comparison to Regional Qld's 76.4% houses and 23.6% other dwellings. Meanwhile, the level of home ownership within Upper Coomera - North was lagging that of Regional Qld, at 15.9%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (44.2%) or rented (39.9%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was above the Regional Qld average at $1,820, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $450, compared to Regional Qld's $1,655 and $345. Nationally, Upper Coomera - North's mortgage repayments are lower than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Upper Coomera - North features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households dominate at 83.8% of all households, comprising 42.8% couples with children, 22.6% couples without children, and 17.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.2%, with lone person households at 12.6% and group households comprising 3.6% of the total. The median household size of 3.1 people is larger than the Regional Qld average of 2.5.

The educational profile of Upper Coomera - North exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area faces educational challenges, with university qualification rates (17.7%) substantially below the Australian average of 30.4%. This represents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees lead at 12.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (3.4%) and graduate diplomas (1.8%). Trade and technical skills feature prominently, with 43.5% of residents aged 15+ holding vocational credentials, including advanced diplomas (13.1%) and certificates (30.4%).

Educational participation is notably high, with 35.5% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 13.6% in primary education, 10.6% in secondary education, and 4.1% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Public transport analysis reveals 56 active transport stops operating within Upper Coomera - North, comprising a mix of buses. These stops are serviced by 4 individual routes, collectively providing 383 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 299 meters from the nearest transport stop. As a primarily residential area, most residents commute outward; the car remains the dominant mode at 94%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, which is above the regional average. A relatively low 12.0% of residents work from home (2021 Census; may reflect COVID-19 conditions).

Service frequency averages 54 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 6 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in Upper Coomera - North is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data reveals substantial challenges facing Upper Coomera - North, based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions is notable across both younger and older age cohorts, and the rate of private health cover is relatively low at approximately 50% of the total population (~11,131 people). This compares to 52.5% across Regional Qld. The national average is 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions in the area are mental health issues and asthma, impacting 8.9% and 8.8% of residents, respectively, while 70.9% declared themselves as completely clear of medical ailments compared to 67.6% across Regional Qld. Health outcomes among the working-age population are broadly typical. The area has 9.9% of residents aged 65 and over (2,184 people), which is lower than the 20.4% in Regional Qld. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Upper Coomera - North was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Upper Coomera - North was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets, with 12.4% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 30.3% born overseas. The main religion in Upper Coomera - North is Christianity, which makes up 43.8% of people. However, the most apparent overrepresentation was in Other, which comprises 1.1% of the population, compared to 0.8% across Regional Qld.

In terms of ancestry (country of birth of parents), the top three represented groups in Upper Coomera - North are English, comprising 29.0% of the population, Australian, comprising 24.6% of the population, and Other, comprising 7.7% of the population. Additionally, there are notable divergences in the representation of certain other ethnic groups: Maori is notably overrepresented at 4.5% of Upper Coomera - North (vs 0.8% regionally), New Zealand at 2.2% (vs 0.9%) and Samoan at 1.1% (vs 0.2%).

Upper Coomera - North's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

With a median age of 33, Upper Coomera - North is materially younger than the Regional Qld figure of 41 as well as well below Australia's 38 years. The 35 - 44 age group shows strong representation at 16.4% compared to Regional Qld, whereas the 65 - 74 cohort is less prevalent at 5.5%. In the period since 2021, the 15 to 24 age group has grown from 14.0% to 15.5% of the population, while the 25 to 34 cohort increased from 13.9% to 15.3%. Conversely, the 5 to 14 cohort has declined from 17.8% to 14.2%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections reveal significant shifts in Upper Coomera - North's age structure. Leading the demographic shift, the 25 to 34 group will grow by 43% (1,442 people), reaching 4,813 from 3,370. Meanwhile, the 15 to 24 cohort grows by a modest 0% (11 people).