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This analysis uses Suburbs and Localities (SAL) boundaries, which can materially differ from Statistical Areas (SA2) even when sharing the same name.
SAL boundaries are defined by Australia Post and the Australian Bureau of Statistics to represent commonly-known suburb names used in postal addresses.
Statistical Areas (SA2) are designed for census data collection and may combine multiple suburbs or use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
est. as @ -- *
2021 Census | -- people
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Gunbalanya has an estimated 1,750 residents, up from 1,177 at the 2021 Census — a change of 573 people, or 48.7%. Growth has averaged 5.6% a year over five years, faster than 97% of areas nationally. Interstate and internal migration accounts for 51.0% of that increase. Fewer than ten people live on each square kilometre, across a boundary that takes in surrounding rural land. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to investigations of ABS population statistics for the surrounding region, combined with updated addresses verified by AreaSearch following the Census, the suburb of Gunbalanya has an estimated population of approximately 1,750 as of May 2026. This represents an addition of 573 residents (48.7%) relative to the 2021 Census, which documented a population of 1,177 individuals. This transition is calculated from the resident population of 1,750, determined by AreaSearch through analyzing the most recent June 2025 ERP release from the ABS alongside 2 verified new addresses registered post-Census. Such a population count translates to a density ratio of 3.4 persons per square kilometer, signifying substantial personal space.
The growth rate of 48.7% recorded in the suburb of Gunbalanya since the 2021 census outpaced the national average (9.3%) as well as the state, positioning it as a regional growth leader. Population expansion in the locality was chiefly fueled by interstate migration, which accounted for roughly 51.0% of the total population rise in recent times, though natural growth and overseas migration also registered positive gains. AreaSearch utilizes ABS and Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 district, published in 2024 with a 2022 baseline. For SA2 districts lacking this coverage, and to calculate growth trajectories beyond 2032, AreaSearch projects cohort-specific growth rates for each locality using the latest Greater Capital Region projections from the ABS (published in 2023, utilizing 2022 statistics). Projecting forward for the suburb of Gunbalanya, population expansion is anticipated to remain just under the median for regional Australian territories, with projections at the SA2 level indicating an increase of 203 residents by 2041, representing an overall expansion of 11.6% across the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
Detail
Gunbalanya displays very low volumes of building activity, averaging 3 new dwellings approved each year (amounting to 15 over the last five years). This minimal development pace is typical for rural localities where residential requirements are modest and building activity is restricted by local demand and infrastructure capacity. Note that because of the small sample size, single building projects can majorly alter annual expansion and comparative metrics. Gunbalanya experiences drastically lower levels of residential construction compared to Rest of NT. These building rates are also below national benchmarks. Recent building permits show a split of 67.0% detached dwellings and 33.0% attached dwellings, with an increasing variety of townhouses and apartments offering options at diverse price ranges, from family houses to more economical compact spaces.
This marks a clear transition from the current housing stock (which stands at 91.0% houses), indicating a decline in available land for development and reflecting evolving lifestyles alongside the demand for more varied, economical housing options. With approximately 283 people per dwelling approval, Gunbalanya presents a developing market. Looking forward, Gunbalanya is projected to add 203 residents up to 2041 (calculated from the most recent quarterly estimate by AreaSearch). Current building paces seem aligned with future demand, promoting balanced market conditions without driving up prices excessively.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Gunbalanya
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
|---|
SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
Detail
Changes to local infrastructure, major construction works, and planning initiatives significantly shape regional performance. AreaSearch has identified no projects that are expected to impact the local area. The key regional projects include Kakadu Tourism and Infrastructure Upgrades, Australia-Asia PowerLink (AAPowerLink), Northern Territory Freight Rail And Logistics Capacity Improvements, and the Network Optimisation Program - Rail, with details on the most relevant developments provided below.
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INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
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Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Kakadu Tourism and Infrastructure Upgrades
A $216 million investment by the Australian Government to upgrade tourism infrastructure within Kakadu National Park. This includes improvements to roads, visitor facilities, and the development of a new World Heritage Interpretive Centre. The project is a key component of the transition of Jabiru to a tourism-based economy.
Enabling Digital Health Services for Regional and Remote Australia
A national digital infrastructure program under the Digital Health Blueprint 2023-2033 designed to provide equitable healthcare access for regional and remote Australians. The initiative is currently rolling out the 'Share by Default' legislative framework, which mandates the uploading of pathology and diagnostic imaging reports to My Health Record starting July 2026. Current 2026 milestones include the launch of the Digital Health Implementer Hub to accelerate software conformance and the implementation of the National Allied Health Digital Uplift Plan to integrate allied health practitioners into the national digital ecosystem.
Australia-Asia PowerLink (AAPowerLink)
SunCable's AAPowerLink is a large renewable generation, battery storage and HVDC transmission project in the Northern Territory. The project has major environmental approvals from the Northern Territory and Australian governments, conditional Singapore approval to import 1.75 GW from 2035, Indonesian subsea permits, a Singapore-Australia cross-border electricity trade framework and a 70-year Indigenous Land Use Agreement for Powell Creek. It is being staged to supply industrial customers in the Barkly region from the late 2020s, Darwin from the early 2030s, and Southeast Asia from the mid-2030s, with final investment decision targeted for 2027.
Enabling Infrastructure for Hydrogen Production
A national program to coordinate and deploy the enabling infrastructure required to support large-scale renewable hydrogen production across Australia. Building on the 2024 National Hydrogen Strategy and the National Hydrogen Infrastructure Assessment (NHIA), the program aligns electricity transmission, water supply, transport corridors, port and storage infrastructure with Renewable Energy Zones and prospective hydrogen hubs (Bell Bay, Darwin, Eyre Peninsula, Gladstone, Latrobe Valley, Hunter Valley, Pilbara). Two key federal mechanisms underpin delivery. The Hydrogen Headstart program provides up to 4 billion AUD in long-term revenue support via production credits, with Round 2 (2 billion AUD administered by ARENA) opening for Expressions of Interest in October 2025 with EOIs closing 8 December 2025.The Hydrogen Production Tax Incentive (HPTI), legislated through the Future Made in Australia (Production Tax Credits and Other Measures) Act 2025 which received Royal Assent on 14 February 2025, provides an uncapped refundable tax offset of 2 AUD per kilogram of eligible renewable hydrogen for up to 10 years between 1 July 2027 and 30 June 2040 for projects reaching final investment decision by 2030. The HPTI is jointly administered by the ATO and Clean Energy Regulator and requires certification under the Guarantee of Origin scheme. Round 1 of Hydrogen Headstart shortlisted six projects representing more than 3.5 GW of electrolyser capacity, with 814 million AUD ultimately awarded.
Bulk Water Supply Security
Nationwide program led by the National Water Grid Authority to improve bulk water security and reliability for non-potable and productive uses. Activities include strategic planning, science and business cases, and funding of state and territory projects such as storages, pipelines, dam upgrades, recycled water and efficiency upgrades to build drought resilience and support regional communities, industry and the environment.
National EV Charging Network (Highway Fast Charging)
Partnership between the Australian Government and NRMA to deliver a backbone EV fast charging network on national highways. Program funds and co-funds 117 DC fast charging sites at roughly 150 km intervals to connect all capital cities and regional routes, reducing range anxiety and supporting EV uptake.
Telstra InfraCo Intercity Fibre Network
Telstra InfraCo's national intercity fibre network project delivering nearly 14,000km of ultra-high capacity, low-latency fibre connecting all mainland capital cities. The $1.6 billion investment includes dual fibre paths (express and foundation routes) supporting speeds up to 80 Tbps. First route Sydney-Canberra went live June 2025, with completion of all routes by end of FY27. Supports AI, data centers, hyperscalers and next-generation digital infrastructure across Australia.
Network Optimisation Program - Roads
A national program concept focused on improving congestion and reliability on urban road networks by using low-cost operational measures and technology (e.g., signal timing, intersection treatments, incident management) to optimise existing capacity across major city corridors.
745 residents of Gunbalanya are employed, from a labour force of 785. Unemployment sits at 5.1%, with participation at 57.3%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 5.4% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth, so in an area growing as fast as this one it understates the likely rise in local jobs. The working-day population is estimated at 1,371, about 78% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Gunbalanya has a balanced workforce distributed between white and blue collar jobs, with a solid representation of essential service industries, an unemployment rate of 5.1%, and an estimated job growth rate of 10.5% over the past year, according to AreaSearch aggregations of statistical area files. As of March 2026745 local residents are employed, with the unemployment rate sitting 0.8% below the Regional NT benchmark of 5.9%, while workforce participation is notably lower (57.3% compared to Regional NT's 69.9%). Census records show that a minimal 1.8% of residents worked from home, although the impacts of Covid-19 lockdowns should be taken into account.
The top industries employing local residents are public administration & safety, education & training, and health care & social assistance. The locality exhibits a particularly high concentration in public administration & safety, employing residents at 2.1 times the regional average rate. Conversely, health care & social assistance has a low presence, accounting for 10.8% of employment compared to 18.8% across the region. The area appears to offer sparse local employment prospects, as shown by comparing the count of Census workers against the resident population. Based on AreaSearch assessments of SALM and ABS data aggregated from broader statistical regions, the 12-month timeframe saw employment expand by 10.5% while the labour force grew by 10.1%, leading to a decrease in unemployment of 0.4 percentage points. In comparison, Regional NT experienced employment growth of 2.8%, labour force expansion of 2.7%, and a minor reduction in unemployment. National employment forecasts from May-25 by Jobs and Skills Australia provide further context on future demand patterns in Gunbalanya. These five and ten-year projections have been aligned with local employment profiles to model growth. While national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, trends vary widely by sector. Extrapolating these industry projections to the local workforce mix suggests employment in Gunbalanya would grow by 5.4% over five years and 11.7% over ten years (note that this is a simple weighted calculation for illustration and does not incorporate local population forecasts).
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Gunbalanya is $1,277 a week (about $66,000 a year), with median personal income at $276 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $45,161 a year against an average of $60,283. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Gunbalanya has income levels below the national benchmark, based on the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. The median income for taxpayers in Gunbalanya is $45,161, with an average income of $60,283, compared to Regional NT figures of $53,572 and $63,776 respectively. Applying the Wage Price Index growth of 9.41% since financial year 2023, estimated figures would be roughly $49,411 for the median and $65,956 for the average as of March 2026. According to the Census, household income is situated at the 18th percentile ($1,277 weekly), while personal income rests at the 0th percentile.
Distribution statistics show 35.1% of the population (614 individuals) earn in the $800 - 1,499 range, which contrasts with the metropolitan region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket is largest at 33.6%. Housing costs are manageable, leaving 94.6% of income retained, though disposable income is low at the 31st percentile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Gunbalanya had 222 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 91% detached houses and 1% apartments. 0% are owned with a mortgage, 98% rented and 2% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $70 a week. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The mix of housing types in Gunbalanya, as measured in the latest Census, consisted of 91.1% houses and 8.9% other dwellings (such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and alternative structures), compared to 75.6% houses and 24.5% other dwellings in Regional NT. Home ownership in Gunbalanya was low compared to Regional NT at 1.6%, with all other occupied properties being mortgaged (none were recorded) or rented (98.4%). The median monthly mortgage payment in the area was far below the Regional NT average, registering at no cost, while the median weekly rent was recorded at $70, compared to Regional NT's $1,733 and $150.
Nationwide, mortgage payments in Gunbalanya are significantly below the Australian average of $1,863, and weekly rents are substantially lower than the national figure of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Gunbalanya counted 222 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 330 today, averaging 4.6 people each. 45% are couples with children, more than in 88% of areas nationally, against 18% couples without children. 14% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.8 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households make up the vast majority at 83.8% of all households, consisting of 44.5% couples with children, 18.1% couples without children, and 20.7% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 16.2%, with single-person households representing 13.7% and group households comprising none of the total. The median household size of 4.6 individuals is larger than the Regional NT average of 3.1.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
8.5% of adults in Gunbalanya hold a university qualification, including 5.9% with a bachelor degree and 1.3% with postgraduate qualifications, lower than 97% of areas nationally. A further 19.7% hold a vocational qualification. 1 school serves the area, with 218 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 673 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The locality displays low levels of formal educational attainment, with university graduation rates (8.5%) sitting well below the Australian average of 30.4%. This highlights a clear need and opportunity for focused educational programs. Bachelor degrees are the most common tertiary qualification at 5.9%, followed by postgraduate degrees (1.3%) and graduate diplomas (1.3%). Vocational training accounts for 23.5% of qualifications among residents aged 15 and over, comprising advanced diplomas (3.8%) and certificates (19.7%). Participation in study is quite high, with 27.7% of the population enrolled in formal education. This proportion includes 14.7% attending primary schools, 8.4% in secondary schools, and 1.2% enrolled in tertiary institutions.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
79.9% of residents in Gunbalanya report no long-term health condition. 2.5% need daily assistance with core activities, and 50.7% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 15.0 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Gunbalanya experiences notable health difficulties, according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality data and chronic illness rates, with typical medical conditions prevalent among both younger and older cohorts, and private health insurance rates sitting low at roughly 51% of the population (~886 people) compared to the national average of 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions recorded among residents were heart disease and diabetes, affecting 6.3 and 5.4% of the population respectively, while 79.9% of residents reported having no chronic medical conditions compared to 78.4% across Regional NT. Working-age residents are generally healthy with a low incidence of chronic illness.
Residents aged 65 and over constitute 3.9% of the population (68 people), which is lower than the Regional NT proportion of 8.5%. Health outcomes for local seniors are strong, ranking higher nationally than the overall local population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
Gunbalanya is largely Australian-born, at 97.2% of residents, with 87.6% speaking a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are Australian Aboriginal (83.6%) and English (5.4%). 83.6% of residents identify as Aboriginal and/or Torres Strait Islander. Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Gunbalanya displays above-average cultural diversity, with 2.8% of the population born outside Australia and 87.6% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the primary religion, followed by 33.4% of residents. The most pronounced regional difference is in the category of Other, which accounts for 1.5% of residents compared to 5.2% across Regional NT. Regarding ancestral backgrounds (parental country of birth), the three most common groups in Gunbalanya are Australian Aboriginal, making up 83.6% of residents (substantially higher than the regional average of 43.6%), English at 5.4% (notably lower than the regional average of 14.3%), and Australian at 2.7% (notably lower than the regional average of 14.9%).
There are also notable variances in other ancestries, with Maori overrepresented at 1.0% (vs 0.7% regionally) and Welsh at 0.5% (vs 0.2%).
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Gunbalanya is 27, younger than 99% of areas nationally. 37.0% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age in Gunbalanya is 27 years, which is lower than Regional NT's median of 31 and Australia's median of 38 years. Demographic data shows a high concentration of 35 - 44 year-olds (19.5%), while the 65 - 74 group is relatively small (2.8%) compared to Regional NT. The proportion of 35 - 44 year-olds is well above the national figure of 14.3%. Post-2021 Census data indicates the 35 to 44 age bracket expanded from 17.2% to 19.5% of the population, and the 55 to 64 group grew from 7.2% to 8.4%.
In contrast, the 0 to 4 group decreased from 6.8% to 5.3% and the 5 to 14 group fell from 18.0% to 16.5%. By 2041, Gunbalanya is projected to undergo significant shifts in its age structure, led by a 41% increase in the 45 to 54 cohort (adding 68 people) to reach 235 from 166, while the number of residents aged 5 to 14 is projected to decrease by 34.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Gunbalanya
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the Suburb (SAL) boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, Local governments Daily | May 2026 3 months ago all 2 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated May 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 2 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (1,177 at the 2021 Census → 1,750 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (SAL70115). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.