Alligator
Statistical Area - sa2

Alligator is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, Alligator's population stands at approximately 4755 individuals. This figure represents a growth of 513 people, marking an increase of 12.1% since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4242 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 4733 in June 2024 and an additional 15 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 0.10 persons per square kilometer, indicating ample space per person. Alligator's growth rate exceeded both national (8.9%) and state averages, positioning it as a regional growth leader. Overseas migration contributed approximately 75.9% to the overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and projections beyond 2032, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort to each area, as provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). By 2041, Alligator's population is projected to increase by approximately 551 persons, marking an overall increase of 11.1% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Alligator is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Alligator has recorded approximately six residential properties granted approval each year. Over the past five financial years, between FY21 and FY25, 32 homes were approved, with two more approved so far in FY26. The population decline in recent years suggests that new supply has likely been keeping pace with demand, offering good choice to buyers.

The average construction cost value of new properties is $224,000, which is under regional levels, indicating more accessible housing choices for buyers. In the current financial year, $6.3 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting limited commercial development focus. When compared to the Rest of NT, Alligator shows comparable construction activity per person, supporting market stability in line with regional patterns, although building activity has slowed in recent years. This level is lower than nationally, reflecting market maturity and possible development constraints.

Recent development has consisted entirely of detached dwellings, maintaining the area's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Notably, developers are constructing more detached housing than the existing pattern implies (82.0% at Census), indicating persistent strong demand for family homes despite densification trends. The estimated population count of 1260 people per dwelling approval reflects its quiet, low activity development environment. Future projections show Alligator adding 529 residents by 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Alligator has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 13thth percentile nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence local performance. AreaSearch identified 79 potential impact projects. Key initiatives include Adelaide River Off-Stream Water Storage, Manton Dam Return to Service, Batchelor Solar Farm by ENI, and Merricks Capital Batchelor Solar Farm. Below list details projects likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 2.7%, Alligator has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Alligator's workforce is skilled with prominent tourism and hospitality sectors. As of June 2025, its unemployment rate is 2.7%.

There are 2,946 employed residents, which is 3.2% below Rest of NT's rate of 5.9%, but workforce participation is lower at 48.7%. Dominant employment sectors include accommodation & food, public administration & safety, and education & training. Alligator specializes in accommodation & food with an employment share 2.1 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance has lower representation at 7.2% versus the regional average of 18.8%. Local employment opportunities appear limited based on Census data comparison.

In the 12 months prior to June 2025, labour force and employment both decreased by 1.7%, keeping unemployment relatively stable. This contrasts with Rest of NT where employment contracted by 1.7% and labour force fell by 1.8%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia (May 2025) project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Alligator's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 5.3% over five years and 11.6% over ten years, though this is an illustrative extrapolation not accounting for localized population projections.

Income figures position the area below 75% of locations analysed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year ending June 30, 2022 indicates that income in Alligator is below the national average. The median assessed income is $44,687 while the average income stands at $56,966. This contrasts with Rest of NT's figures where the median income is $51,655 and the average income is $61,577. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.01% since financial year ending June 30, 2022, current estimates would be approximately $50,054 (median) and $63,808 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census, household, family and personal incomes in Alligator all fall between the 19th and 26th percentiles nationally. The data shows that 28.4% of the population (1,350 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, consistent with broader trends across the surrounding region showing 33.6% in the same category. While housing costs are modest with 90.5% of income retained, the total disposable income ranks at just the 27th percentile nationally.

Alligator is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Alligator, as assessed at the latest Census, consisted of 81.6% houses and 18.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Non-Metro NT's 83.6% houses and 16.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Alligator stood at 38.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 26.3% and rented ones at 35.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $1,430, higher than Non-Metro NT's average of $1,346. The median weekly rent figure in Alligator was $100, compared to Non-Metro NT's $80. Nationally, Alligator's mortgage repayments were lower at $1,430 versus the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially below the national figure of $375.

Alligator features high concentrations of lone person households and group households, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 62.0% of all households, including 16.5% couples with children, 34.1% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 38.0%, with lone person households at 33.3% and group households comprising 4.5%. The median household size is 2.2 people, which is smaller than the Rest of NT average of 3.5.

Alligator faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 18.2%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 11.8%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (4.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.3%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 43.1% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas comprise 10.1% and certificates make up 33.0%.

Educational participation is high at 32.5%, including 14.5% in primary education, 7.8% in secondary education, and 4.0% pursuing tertiary education. Seven schools operate within Alligator, educating approximately 361 students. The area has varied educational conditions, with a mix of 1 secondary school and 6 K-12 schools. School places per 100 residents (7.6) are below the regional average (13.7), indicating some students may attend schools in adjacent areas. Note: for schools showing 'n/a' for enrolments, please refer to the parent campus.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health outcomes in Alligator are marginally below the national average with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age cohorts

Alligator's health indicators show below-average results with common health conditions slightly more prevalent than average across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 48% (~2,296 people) have private health cover, which is lower than the national average of 55.3%.

The most frequent medical conditions are arthritis (8.3%) and asthma (6.2%). About 69.8% declare no medical ailments, compared to 78.5% in Rest of NT. Alligator has 22.5% residents aged 65 and over (1,071 people), higher than the 9.4% in Rest of NT. Health outcomes among seniors are notably strong, outperforming general population metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Alligator was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Alligator's population showed cultural diversity with 17.5% born overseas and 18.6% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion, practiced by 40.6%. The 'Other' religious category comprised 1.7%, lower than the Rest of NT average of 6.9%.

Ancestry-wise, the top groups were English (24.6%), Australian (24.2%), and Australian Aboriginal (19.0%). Notably, Vietnamese (2.0%) and Maori (0.6%) were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 0.7% and 0.4%, respectively. Filipino representation was also higher at 1.3%.

Alligator hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

Alligator's median age is 47 years, significantly higher than the Rest of NT average of 31 years and considerably older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to the Rest of NT average, Alligator has an over-representation of the 65-74 age cohort at 15.2%, while the 25-34 year-olds are under-represented at 11.6%. The 65-74 concentration is notably higher than the national average of 9.4%. Post the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 3.9% to 6.5% of Alligator's population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 cohort has decreased from 16.8% to 14.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling projects significant changes in Alligator's age profile. The 75 to 84 cohort is expected to grow by 84%, adding 259 residents to reach 569. Residents aged 65 and older are projected to represent 76% of the population growth. Meanwhile, population declines are anticipated for the 35-44 and 5-14 age cohorts.