Maningrida

Population growth drivers in Maningrida are strong compared to national averages based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium to long-term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, the estimated population of Maningrida as of Nov 2025 is around 2,518 people. This reflects no change since the 2021 Census, which also reported a population of 2,518 people. The resident population estimate by AreaSearch, following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024) and address validation since the Census date, is used to infer this figure. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 227 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Maningrida has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.3%, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the suburb was primarily driven by interstate migration, contributing approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data and to estimate growth post-2032, AreaSearch applies growth rates by age cohort to each area, based on ABS Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 using 2022 data. Considering projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of regional areas across the nation is expected for Maningrida, with an expected growth of 351 persons by 2041, reflecting a gain of 34.1% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Maningrida is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Development activity data is being compiled for this area.

Maningrida has substantially lower development levels than the Rest of NT. Development levels are likewise under national averages.

Maningrida has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 5thth percentile nationally

No changes can influence an area's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that could potentially impact the area. Key projects include Northern Territory Freight Rail And Logistics Capacity Improvements, Network Optimisation Program - Rail, Coastal Hazards Adaptation Strategy, and Enabling Digital Health Services for Regional and Remote Australia, with the following list detailing those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Maningrida face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Maningrida has a balanced workforce with both white and blue collar jobs, with essential services sectors well represented. As of June 2025, the unemployment rate is 20.0%.

This is above the Rest of NT's rate of 5.9%, indicating room for improvement. Workforce participation lags significantly at 33.7% compared to the Rest of NT's 50.7%. The dominant employment sectors among residents include health care & social assistance, education & training, and public administration & safety. Health care & social assistance is particularly strong with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level.

However, public administration & safety is under-represented at 10.4% compared to the Rest of NT's 17.9%. The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities as indicated by the count of Census working population vs resident population. Over the 12 months to June 2025, labour force levels decreased by 1.9%, and employment declined by 4.3%, causing unemployment to rise by 2.0 percentage points. In comparison, the Rest of NT recorded an employment decline of 1.7% with a marginal fall in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest that national employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. However, growth rates differ significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Maningrida's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 8.2% over five years and 16.9% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 indicates Maningrida's median income among taxpayers is $41,888. The average income in Maningrida during this period was $55,915. Both figures are lower than the national averages. In comparison, Rest of NT had a median income of $51,655 and an average income of $61,577. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.01% since financial year 2022, estimated median and average incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $46,919 and $62,630 respectively. According to Census 2021 income data, individual incomes in Maningrida lag at the 0th percentile with a weekly income of $256. However, household income performs better at the 32nd percentile. The earnings profile shows that 38.8% of Maningrida's population (976 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, which is consistent with broader trends across the region showing 33.6% in the same category. Housing costs are manageable with 93.9% of income retained, but disposable income sits below average at the 43rd percentile.

Maningrida is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Maningrida, as per the latest Census, 93.7% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 6.3% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro NT's figures of 83.6% houses and 16.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Maningrida stood at 0.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 0.0% and rented ones at 99.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $0, significantly lower than Non-Metro NT's average of $1,346. Median weekly rent in Maningrida was $90, compared to Non-Metro NT's $80. Nationally, Maningrida's mortgage repayments were much lower at $0 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially lower at $90 compared to the national figure of $375.

Maningrida features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 87.1% of all households, including 50.3% couples with children, 11.7% couples without children, and 18.8% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 12.9%, with lone person households at 10.2% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 5.2 people, which is larger than the Rest of NT average of 3.5.

Maningrida faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

Maningrida faces educational challenges with university qualification rates at 6.8%, significantly lower than the Australian average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives in the area. Bachelor degrees are most common at 4.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (0.7%). Vocational pathways account for 20.4% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 2.2% and certificates at 18.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary education (13.9%), secondary education (8.4%), and tertiary education (0.7%). Maningrida College serves the local educational needs within Maningrida, enrolling 573 students. The school's Index of Community Socio-Educational Advantage (ICSEA) is 567, indicating varied educational conditions. All schools offer integrated K-12 education, providing continuity throughout students' academic journey. As an education hub, the area has 22.8 school places per 100 residents, significantly above the regional average of 13.7, attracting students from surrounding communities.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Maningrida's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows notable results across Maningrida, with younger cohorts experiencing very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 49% (~1,233 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.3%.

Heart disease and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 9.7% and 6.2% of residents respectively. A total of 75.7% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 78.5% across Rest of NT. Maningrida has a lower percentage of residents aged 65 and over at 2.9% (73 people), compared to the Rest of NT's 9.4%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Maningrida was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Maningrida had a cultural diversity score above average with 2.4% of its population born overseas and 93.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Maningrida, comprising 71.9% of the population. The category 'Other' was notably overrepresented compared to the Rest of NT average, making up 18.2%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian Aboriginal was the most represented group at 89.0%, significantly higher than the regional average of 64.6%. English and Australian groups were underrepresented with 3.0% and 2.7% respectively, compared to regional averages of 10.2% and 9.9%.

Maningrida hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Maningrida's median age was 27 years as of the 2021 Census, which is significantly lower than both the Rest of NT's median age of 31 and Australia's median age of 38. The age profile showed that those aged 15-24 were particularly prominent at 18.6%, while those aged 65-74 were comparatively smaller at 2.3% compared to the Rest of NT. This concentration of 15-24 year-olds was well above the national average of 12.5%. Post-Census data showed that the 35-44 age group had grown from 14.1% to 16.6%, while the 55-64 cohort increased from 6.2% to 7.4%. Conversely, the 0-4 age group declined from 7.2% to 6.0%. By 2041, Maningrida is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the 45-54 age group projected to grow by 72%, reaching 498 people from 289.