Maningrida

Population growth drivers in Maningrida are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validation, as of Nov 2025, Maningrida's estimated population is around 2,518 people. This figure reflects no change since the 2021 Census, which also reported a population of 2,518. The current population was inferred from resident data validated by AreaSearch following examination of ABS' June 2024 ERP release. This results in a density ratio of 227 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Maningrida's compound annual growth rate was 1.3%, outperforming its SA3 area. Interstate migration contributed approximately 51.0% to population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data and post-2032 estimations, AreaSearch applies age cohort growth rates provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections (released in 2023, based on 2022 data). Considering projected demographic shifts, Maningrida's population is expected to increase just below the median of regional areas nationwide by 2041. Aggregated SA2-level projections indicate a growth of 344 persons by then, reflecting a gain of 33.9% over 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Maningrida is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Maningrida has seen minimal construction activity with fewer than one new dwelling approved annually over the past five years. This low level of development is typical in rural areas where housing needs are modest, and construction is limited by local demand and infrastructure capacity. It should be noted that due to the small number of approvals, individual projects can significantly impact annual growth statistics.

Compared to the Rest of NT, Maningrida has shown considerably less construction activity. Its development pattern also falls well below national averages.

Maningrida has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 8thth percentile nationally

No changes can significantly affect an area's performance more than alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. Zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are anticipated to impact the area. Key projects comprise Australia-Asia PowerLink (AAPowerLink), Northern Territory Freight Rail And Logistics Capacity Improvements, Network Optimisation Program - Rail, and Coastal Hazards Adaptation Strategy. The following list details those expected to be most pertinent.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in Maningrida face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Maningrida has a balanced workforce with white and blue collar jobs, well-represented essential services sectors. Unemployment rate is 20.0%, based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data (September 2025).

There are 767 residents in work while the unemployment rate is 14.1% higher than Rest of NT's rate of 5.9%. Workforce participation lags at 33.7% compared to Rest of NT's 50.7%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, education & training, public administration & safety. Health care & social assistance is particularly strong with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level.

Public administration & safety is under-represented at 10.4% compared to Rest of NT's 17.9%. Limited local employment opportunities are indicated by Census working population vs resident population count. In the 12-month period, labour force decreased by 1.0%, employment by 3.9%, leading to a 2.4 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. By comparison, Rest of NT saw employment decline of 1.3% and labour force decline of 1.2%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts (May-25) suggest potential future demand within Maningrida. National employment is forecast to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying growth rates between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Maningrida's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 8.2% over five years and 16.9% over ten years (simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes).

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Maningrida suburb is $41,888, with an average of $55,915, according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is lower than the national average, contrasting with Rest of NT's median income of $53,572 and average income of $63,776. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% since financial year 2023, current estimates project approximately $45,423 (median) and $60,634 (average) as of September 2025. According to the 2021 Census figures, individual incomes at the 0th percentile are $256 weekly, while household income is at the 32nd percentile. Income brackets show that 38.8% of Maningrida's population (976 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 income range, reflecting broader area patterns where 33.6% occupy this range. Housing costs allow for retention of 93.9%, but disposable income is below average at the 43rd percentile.

Maningrida is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Maningrida, as per the latest Census, 93.7% of dwellings were houses while 6.3% comprised semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro NT's 83.6% houses and 16.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Maningrida was at 0.9%, with mortgaged properties at 0.0% and rented ones at 99.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $0, significantly lower than Non-Metro NT's average of $1,346. Meanwhile, median weekly rent in Maningrida stood at $90, compared to Non-Metro NT's $80 and Australia's national figure of $375. Nationally, mortgage repayments averaged $1,863.

Maningrida features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.1% of all households, including 50.3% couples with children, 11.7% couples without children, and 18.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.9%, with lone person households at 10.2% and group households comprising 3.0%. The median household size is 5.2 people, which is larger than the Rest of NT average of 3.5.

Maningrida faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 6.8%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. This disparity presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 4.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (0.7%). Vocational pathways make up 20.4% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas accounting for 2.2% and certificates for 18.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 26.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 13.9% in primary, 8.4% in secondary, and 0.7% in tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Maningrida's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results across Maningrida, particularly for younger cohorts who exhibit a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 49% (~1,233 people) have private health cover, lower than the national average of 55.7%.

Heart disease and asthma are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 9.7 and 6.2% of residents respectively. A total of 75.7% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments compared to 78.5% across Rest of NT. As of 2021, 2.9% (73 people) of Maningrida's population is aged 65 and over, lower than the 9.4% in Rest of NT. While health outcomes among seniors present some challenges requiring more attention than the broader population, overall results are outstanding.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Maningrida was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Maningrida has a cultural diversity above average with 2.4% of its population born overseas and 93.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Maningrida, comprising 71.9% of people. The category Other is overrepresented at 18.2%, higher than the Rest of NT average of 6.9%.

In terms of ancestry, Australian Aboriginal is the top group at 89.0%, substantially higher than the regional average of 64.6%. English follows at 3.0%, notably lower than the regional average of 10.2%, and Australian at 2.7%, also lower than the regional average of 9.9%.

Maningrida hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Maningrida's median age was 27 years as of the Census data, which is significantly lower than Rest of NT's 31 and Australia's 38 years. The age profile showed that those aged 15-24 were particularly prominent at 18.6%, while the 65-74 group was comparatively smaller at 2.3% compared to Rest of NT. This concentration of 15-24 year-olds was well above the national average of 12.5%. Post-Census data showed that the 35 to 44 age group had grown from 14.1% to 16.6%, while the 55 to 64 cohort increased from 6.2% to 7.4%. Conversely, the 0 to 4 cohort had declined from 7.2% to 6.0%. By 2041, Maningrida is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the 45 to 54 group projected to grow by 71%, reaching 496 people from 289.