Maningrida

Population growth drivers in Maningrida are slightly above average based on AreaSearch's ranking of recent, and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, as of Feb 2026, the suburb of Maningrida's population is estimated at around 2,518. This reflects an increase of 0 people (0.0%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,518 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 2,518, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 227 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Maningrida has demonstrated resilient growth patterns with a 1.2% compound annual growth rate, outpacing the SA3 area. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration that contributed approximately 51.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, and to estimate growth across all areas in the years post-2032, AreaSearch is applying growth rates by age cohort to each area, as provided by the ABS in its latest Greater Capital Region projections released in 2023 based on 2022 data. Considering the projected demographic shifts, a population increase just below the median of regional areas across the nation is expected for Maningrida. The suburb is expected to grow by 348 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 34.1% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in Maningrida is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Maningrida has shown minimal construction activity with less than one new dwelling approved annually over the five-year period. This low level of development is typical in rural areas where housing needs are modest, and construction activity is limited by local demand and infrastructure capacity. It should be noted that due to the small number of approvals, individual projects can significantly impact annual growth and relativity statistics.

Maningrida has significantly less construction activity than the Rest of NT, with development levels well below national averages.

Maningrida has limited levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the 12thth percentile nationally

No infrastructure changes have been identified by AreaSearch that could impact the area. Key projects include Australia-Asia PowerLink (AAPowerLink), Northern Territory Freight Rail And Logistics Capacity Improvements, Network Optimisation Program - Rail, and Coastal Hazards Adaptation Strategy.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Maningrida face significant challenges, ranking among the bottom 10% of areas assessed nationally

Maningrida's workforce in September 2025 comprised 770 residents, with a balanced mix of white and blue collar jobs. The unemployment rate was 20.0%, higher than the Rest of NT's rate of 5.9%. Workforce participation stood at 48.9%, significantly lower than the Rest of NT's 70.4%.

Only 1.1% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts may have influenced this figure. Key industries for employment among Maningrida residents were health care & social assistance, education & training, and public administration & safety. The area showed strong specialization in health care & social assistance (200% of the regional level), but under-representation in public administration & safety (10.4% vs Rest of NT's 17.9%). In the 12 months prior to this data, Maningrida's labour force decreased by 1.0%, and employment decreased by 4.0%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 2.5 percentage points.

By comparison, Rest of NT recorded an employment decline of 1.3% and a labour force decline of 1.2%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, released in May-25, projected national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Maningrida's employment mix suggested local employment should increase by 8.2% over five years and 16.9% over ten years.

Income metrics place the area in the bottom 10% of locations nationally according to AreaSearch analysis

The median taxpayer income in Maningrida suburb is $41,888 and the average is $55,915 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. This is lower than the national average of $53,572 median income and $63,776 average income in Rest of NT. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $45,423 median and $60,634 average based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.44% since financial year 2023. In 2021 Census figures, individual incomes were at the 0th percentile ($256 weekly), while household income was at the 32nd percentile. Income brackets show that 38.8% of Maningrida's population (976 individuals) fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Housing costs allow for retention of 93.9%, but disposable income is below average at the 43rd percentile.

Maningrida is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In Maningrida, as per the latest Census, 93.7% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 6.3% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Non-Metro NT's figures of 75.6% houses and 24.5% other dwellings. Home ownership in Maningrida stood at 0.9%, with mortgaged properties at 0.0% and rented dwellings at 99.1%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $0, significantly lower than Non-Metro NT's average of $1,733. Median weekly rent in Maningrida was $90, compared to $150 in Non-Metro NT. Nationally, Maningrida's mortgage repayments are much lower at $0 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents are substantially lower at $90 compared to the national figure of $375.

Maningrida features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.1% of all households, including 50.3% couples with children, 11.7% couples without children, and 18.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.9%, with lone person households at 10.2% and group households at 3.0%. The median household size is 5.2 people, which is larger than the Rest of NT average of 3.1.

Maningrida faces educational challenges, with performance metrics placing it in the bottom quartile of areas assessed nationally

The area's university qualification rate is 6.8%, significantly lower than Australia's average of 30.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 4.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (1.6%) and graduate diplomas (0.7%). Vocational pathways account for 20.4% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 2.2% and certificates at 18.2%. Educational participation is high, with 26.4% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 13.9% in primary education, 8.4% in secondary education, and 0.7% pursuing tertiary education.

No public transport data available for this catchment area.

Health performance in Maningrida is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

Maningrida faces significant health challenges, as indicated by AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Notably high prevalence of common health conditions was found across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover stood at approximately 49% of Maningrida's total population (~1,233 people), lower than the Rest of NT's 51.6% and the national average of 55.7%.

Heart disease and asthma were the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 9.7 and 6.2% of residents respectively. However, 75.7% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 78.4% in the Rest of NT. Health outcomes among working-age individuals are generally typical. Maningrida has a lower proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 3.3%, or 83 people, compared to the Rest of NT's 8.3%. However, health outcomes among seniors present notable challenges, with national rankings higher than those of the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Maningrida was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Maningrida has a higher-than-average cultural diversity, with 2.4% of its residents born overseas and 93.0% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Maningrida, practiced by 71.9% of its population. However, the most notable overrepresentation is in the 'Other' category, which accounts for 18.2% of the population, significantly higher than the Rest of NT average of 5.2%.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are Australian Aboriginal (89.0%), English (3.0%), and Australian (2.7%). The percentage of Australian Aboriginal residents is substantially higher than the regional average of 43.6%, while those of English and Australian descent are notably lower than their respective averages of 14.3% and 14.9%.

Maningrida hosts a very young demographic, ranking in the bottom 10% of areas nationwide

Maningrida's median age of 27 years is significantly lower than Rest of NT's 31 and Australia's 38 years. The age profile shows that the 15-24 year-olds are particularly prominent, at 17.8%, while the 65-74 group is comparatively smaller, at 2.5%, than in Rest of NT. This concentration of 15-24 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.5%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 35 to 44 age group has grown from 14.1% to 17.1%, and the 55 to 64 cohort increased from 6.2% to 7.9%. Conversely, the 15 to 24 cohort has declined from 19.6% to 17.8%, and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 7.2% to 5.8%. By 2041, Maningrida is expected to see notable shifts in its age composition, with the 45 to 54 group projected to grow by 71%, reaching 496 people from 289.