Glenorie

An assessment of population growth drivers in Glenorie reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, Glenorie's population is estimated at around 3960, reflecting a 168 person increase since the 2021 Census. This growth rate of 4.4% places Glenorie within 0.9 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 5.3%. This estimation is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and analysis of ABS population updates, inferring a resident population of 3833 as of June 2024. The suburb has a population density ratio of 49 persons per square kilometer. Overseas migration was the primary driver of Glenorie's recent population growth. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections for areas not covered by this data, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

These projections anticipate lower quartile growth nationally, with Glenorie expected to grow by 93 persons to 2041, maintaining the same percentage increase over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Glenorie according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Glenorie has seen approximately 16 new homes approved each year. Over the past five financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, around 81 homes were approved, with a further 8 approved so far in FY-26. On average, about 0.6 people have moved to the area for each dwelling built over these five years.

This suggests that new supply is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new properties is $1,097,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, $3.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's predominantly residential character.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Glenorie has seen slightly more development, at 18.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This balances buyer choice with support for current property values, although building activity has slowed in recent years. New building activity in Glenorie is primarily detached houses, accounting for 91.0% of approvals, with medium and high-density housing making up the remaining 9.0%. This maintains the area's traditional low density character, appealing to those seeking space and family homes. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 350 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Population projections indicate stability or decline in Glenorie, which should see reduced housing demand pressures, benefiting potential buyers.

Glenorie has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No factors influence a region's performance more than local infrastructure modifications, significant projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects likely to impact this area. Key projects include Rouse Hill Hospital, Box Hill Square, The Hills of Carmel, and Multiple Residential Subdivisions Box Hill, with the following list providing details on those most relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis places Glenorie well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Glenorie's labor force is skilled with the construction sector prominent. Unemployment stands at 2.8% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 0.8% over the past year. This rate is below Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in Glenorie matches Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Notably, 38.8% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Major employment industries include construction, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Construction stands out with an employment share twice the regional level.

Conversely, health care & social assistance shows lower representation at 9.9% compared to the regional average of 14.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment increased by 0.8%, labor force by 1.1%, leading to a unemployment rise of 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia project national growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Glenorie's industry mix suggests local employment could increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

As per AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released on 30 June 2023, Glenorie's median income among taxpayers is $56,337, with an average of $115,005. This is exceptionally high nationally, and compares to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $61,328 (median) and $125,194 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows household incomes rank exceptionally at the 91st percentile ($2,524 weekly), though personal income ranks lower at the 64th percentile. Income analysis reveals the largest segment comprises 28.8% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (1,140 residents). The substantial proportion of high earners (42.3% above $3,000/week) indicates strong economic capacity throughout this suburb. High housing costs consume 15.3% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 90th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Glenorie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Glenorie's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.6% houses and 1.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Glenorie stood at 40.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.5% and rented ones at 14.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, exceeding the Sydney metro average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Glenorie was $543, higher than Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Glenorie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Glenorie features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.7% of all households, including 47.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households consist of the remaining 15.3%, with lone person households at 13.1% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Glenorie exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. This presents both a challenge and an opportunity for targeted educational initiatives. Bachelor degrees are most common at 18.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 24.6%.

Educational participation is high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Glenorie has 52 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 24 different routes that together facilitate 253 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these transport services is rated as good, with residents typically living within 343 meters of the nearest stop. Glenorie is predominantly residential, and most commuting occurs outward from the area. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for 90% of residents, while walking accounts for 6%. On average, there are 2.4 vehicles per dwelling in Glenorie, exceeding the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 38.8% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The average service frequency across all routes is 36 trips per day, equating to approximately four weekly trips per stop.

Glenorie's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Glenorie's health outcomes show exceptional results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 72% of the total population (2,859 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis (7.3%) and mental health issues (5.9%). A total of 75.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, slightly higher than the 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Glenorie has a higher percentage of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.3% (803 people), compared to 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are broadly in line with national rankings, similar to the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Glenorie was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Glenorie's population shows above-average cultural diversity, with 21.9% born overseas and 18.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Glenorie, at 67.6%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (26.1%), Australian (22.2%), and Italian (8.2%).

Notably, Lebanese (6.8%) and Maltese (1.6%) populations in Glenorie exceed regional averages of 2.6% and 1.0%, respectively, while Korean representation is slightly lower at 0.7%.

Glenorie's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Glenorie is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 13.9% of the population in Glenorie, compared to a lower percentage in Greater Sydney. Conversely, the 25-34 age cohort makes up only 7.6% of Glenorie's population. According to post-2021 Census data, the 75-84 age group has increased from 5.5% to 7.2%, while the 15-24 age group has risen from 13.8% to 15.0%. However, the 45-54 age cohort has decreased from 15.3% to 14.0%. Population forecasts for Glenorie in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. Notably, the 85+ age group is expected to grow by 98%, reaching 188 people from a previous count of 95. The combined 65+ age groups will account for 100% of total population growth, reflecting Glenorie's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15-24 and 45-54 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.