Glenorie

An assessment of population growth drivers in Glenorie reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of Glenorie is around 4,138, reflecting a growth of 346 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a 9.1% rise from the previous population count of 3,792. The latest ABS ERP data release (June 2025) and validation of new addresses indicate this estimated resident population. Glenorie's growth rate exceeds that of its SA3 area (2.1%) and the state, positioning it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was the primary driver of this population increase. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections where necessary, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021.

By 2041, the suburb is projected to grow by 134 persons, reflecting a total gain of 3.2% over the 16-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Glenorie according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Glenorie had approximately 16 new homes approved annually based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 80 homes were approved, with a further 9 approved in FY-26. On average, 0.8 people moved to the area per dwelling built over these five years.

This indicates that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction value of new properties was $1,097,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY-26, Glenorie has registered $3.8 million in commercial approvals, reflecting its residential character.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Glenorie had 15.0% more development per person over the past five years, balancing buyer choice while supporting property values. However, building activity has slowed in recent years. From FY-21 to FY-25, 91.0% of new buildings were detached houses, and 9.0% were medium or high-density housing. This maintains Glenorie's traditional low-density character, appealing to those seeking family homes with space. The area had an estimated 364 people per dwelling approval, reflecting its quiet development environment. Population forecasts indicate Glenorie will gain 134 residents by 2041. Current development patterns suggest that new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Glenorie has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like modifications to local infrastructure, major undertakings, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified zero projects that are expected to impact this area. Notable projects include Box Hill Release Area, Rouse Hill Hospital, The Hills of Carmel, and Multiple Residential Subdivisions Box Hill. The following list outlines those considered most relevant.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Glenorie ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Glenorie has a skilled workforce, with the construction sector being particularly prominent. Its unemployment rate was 3.2% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.0%. As of December 2025, 2,273 residents were employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.0%, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation was similar to Greater Sydney's at 68.8%. According to Census responses, 38.8% of residents worked from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. The leading employment industries among residents were construction, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Glenorie showed strong specialization in construction, with an employment share of 2.0 times the regional level, but lower representation in health care & social assistance at 9.9% compared to the regional average of 14.1%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 1.0%, labour force grew by 1.6%, leading to an unemployment rise of 0.6 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia, issued in May-25, project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Glenorie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, although this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only and does not account for localized population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023 indicates Glenorie's median income among taxpayers is $56,337, with an average of $115,005. Nationally, this is exceptionally high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year ending June 2023, current estimates would be approximately $62,151 (median) and $126,874 (average) as of March 2026. Census data from 2021 shows Glenorie's household incomes rank at the 91st percentile ($2,524 weekly), while personal income ranks lower at the 64th percentile. Income analysis reveals that the largest segment comprises 28.8% earning $1,500 - 2,999 weekly (1,191 residents), similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Notably, 42.3% of residents earn above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity in the suburb. Despite high housing costs consuming 15.3% of income, disposable income ranks at the 90th percentile, and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Glenorie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

As of the latest Census evaluation in Glenorie, 98.6% of dwellings were houses while 1.4% consisted of other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments, and 'other' dwellings. In contrast, Sydney metropolitan area had 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Glenorie stood at 40.9%, with mortgaged properties at 44.5% and rented ones at 14.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Glenorie was $543 compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Glenorie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Glenorie features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.7% of all households, including 47.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households account for 15.3%, consisting of 13.1% lone person households and 2.0% group households. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Glenorie exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 18.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.2% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 24.6%. Educational participation is high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.6% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis of public transport in Glenorie indicates that there are 52 active transport stops currently operating. These stops cater to a mix of bus services provided by 24 different routes. Together, these routes facilitate 253 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of transport in the area is rated as good, with residents typically situated about 343 meters away from their nearest transport stop. As Glenorie is predominantly residential, most commuters travel outward. The car remains the primary mode of transportation for 90% of residents, while walking accounts for 6%.

On average, there are 2.4 vehicles per dwelling in the area, which exceeds the regional average. According to the 2021 Census, a significant proportion of residents, at 38.8%, work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages about 36 trips per day, translating to approximately four weekly trips per individual stop.

Glenorie's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data shows Glenorie has excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 72% of Glenorie's total population (2,988 people) have private health cover, compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 7.3 and 5.9% of residents respectively. 75.1% of Glenorie's residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. As of 2021, 20.0% of Glenorie's residents are aged 65 and over (827 people), higher than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors in Glenorie are strong, broadly in line with national rankings for the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Glenorie was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Glenorie's cultural diversity was found to be above average, with 21.9% of its population born overseas and 18.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity was the main religion in Glenorie, accounting for 67.6%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups were English (26.1%), Australian (22.2%), and Italian (8.2%).

Notably, Lebanese (6.8%) and Maltese (1.6%) were overrepresented in Glenorie compared to regional averages of 2.6% and 1.0%, respectively. Korean representation was also notable at 0.7%.

Glenorie's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Glenorie is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 14.0% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 8.1%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75-84 age group has grown from 5.5% to 7.0%, and the 15-24 cohort has increased from 13.8% to 15.1%. Conversely, the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 15.3% to 13.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes in Glenorie. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 93%, reaching 200 people from an initial count of 103. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 91% of total population growth, reflecting Glenorie's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 25-34 and 0-4 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.