Glenorie

An assessment of population growth drivers in Glenorie reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the Glenorie statistical area (Lv2) has an estimated population of around 3,962 people. This figure reflects a growth of 170 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,792 people. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,833 following examination of the ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of an additional 62 new addresses since the Census date. This population density translates to approximately 49 persons per square kilometer. Glenorie's growth rate of 4.5% since the census is within 0.8 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 5.3%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population gains in recent periods for this area.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections where applicable, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. These projections anticipate lower quartile growth trends for Australian statistical areas, forecasting an increase of 96 persons by 2041 for the Glenorie (SA2), reflecting a decrease of 0.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Glenorie according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers shows Glenorie recorded approximately 16 residential properties approved per year over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 81 homes. In FY26 so far, 8 approvals have been recorded. The average population increase per dwelling built in Glenorie between FY21 and FY25 was 0.6 people per year. This indicates that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

The average construction cost value of new homes being built in Glenorie is $1,097,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY26, $3.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Glenorie has recorded 18.0% more construction activity per person over the past five years, balancing buyer choice while supporting current property values.

However, development activity has moderated in recent periods. Of new building activity, 91.0% are standalone homes and 9.0% are townhouses or apartments, maintaining Glenorie's traditional low density character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. The estimated population per dwelling approval is 350 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. With population expected to remain stable or decline, Glenorie should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

Glenorie has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No changes can significantly affect a region's performance like alterations to local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A total of zero projects have been identified by AreaSearch that are expected to influence the area. Notable projects include Rouse Hill Hospital, Box Hill Square, The Hills of Carmel, and Multiple Residential Subdivisions Box Hill, with the following list outlining those most likely to be relevant.

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AreaSearch analysis places Glenorie well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Glenorie has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 2.8% in Glenorie as of September 2025, compared to Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 0.8%. As of September 2025, 2,132 residents were employed, with a workforce participation rate of 64.8%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among Glenorie residents are construction, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Construction employment levels were particularly high at 2.0 times the regional average.

Conversely, health care & social assistance showed lower representation at 9.9% compared to the regional average of 14.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 0.8%, labour force grew by 1.0%, resulting in an unemployment rate rise of 0.2 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% over the same period. State-level data from NSW to 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03%, with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%. National projections indicate total employment should increase by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Glenorie's employment mix suggests local employment could grow by 6.4% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

Glenorie's median income among taxpayers was $56,337 in financial year 2023. The average income stood at $115,005 during the same period. Comparing these figures with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 shows Glenorie's incomes were higher. By September 2025, estimated median income would be approximately $61,328 and average income around $125,194, based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, household incomes ranked at the 91st percentile ($2,524 weekly), while personal incomes ranked lower at the 64th percentile. Distribution data indicated that 28.8% of Glenorie residents (1,141 people) earned between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, mirroring regional levels where 30.9% occupied this bracket. The suburb demonstrated affluence with 42.3% earning over $3,000 per week. High housing costs consumed 15.3% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 90th percentile. Glenorie's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 9th decile.

Glenorie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

Glenorie's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.6% houses and 1.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). In contrast, Sydney metro had 91.0% houses and 9.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Glenorie stood at 40.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.5% and rented ones at 14.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, aligning with Sydney metro's average. The median weekly rent was $543, compared to Sydney metro's $3,000 and $520 respectively. Nationally, Glenorie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Glenorie features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 84.7% of all households, including 47.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 15.3%, with lone person households at 13.1% and group households comprising 2.0%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

The educational profile of Glenorie exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.2% of residents aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 11.6% and certificates at 24.6%. Educational participation is high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 10.6% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Glenorie has 52 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 24 different routes that collectively facilitate 253 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents typically residing 343 meters from their nearest transport stop.

On average, across all routes, there are 36 trips per day, which equates to approximately 4 weekly trips per individual stop.

Glenorie's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Glenorie shows excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Private health cover rate is exceptionally high at approximately 72% (2,860 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 7.3% and 5.9% of residents respectively. Overall, 75.1% of Glenorie residents report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 72.3%. As of 2021, 19.8% (784 people) are aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 22.4%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors align with the general population's profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Glenorie was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Glenorie's cultural diversity is above average, with 21.9% of its population born overseas and 18.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Glenorie, accounting for 67.6%, compared to 65.5% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups are English (26.1%), Australian (22.2%), and Italian (8.2%).

Notably, Lebanese (6.8%) and Korean (0.7%) populations are higher in Glenorie than the regional averages of 3.6% and 0.5%, respectively. Maltese representation is slightly lower at 1.6%.

Glenorie's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Glenorie is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and older than Australia's median age of 38 years. The 55-64 age group comprises 13.6% of the population in Glenorie, compared to a lower percentage for the 25-34 cohort at 8.0%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75-84 age group has increased from 5.5% to 6.9%, while the 45-54 cohort has decreased from 15.3% to 14.2%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes for Glenorie. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 100%, reaching 182 people from an initial 91. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 97% of total population growth, reflecting Glenorie's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 55-64 and 0-4 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.