Glenorie

An assessment of population growth drivers in Glenorie reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, Glenorie's population is estimated around 3,960, reflecting a 168 person increase since the 2021 Census. This growth was inferred from AreaSearch validation of new addresses post-June 2024 ABS ERP data release and totals 3,833 residents. The population density stands at 49 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Glenorie's compound annual growth rate reached 0.7%, outpacing its SA3 area. Overseas migration primarily drove this growth. AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a 2022 base year, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections where applicable, with a 2021 base year.

By 2041, Glenorie is projected to grow by 103 persons, reflecting a reduction of 0.6% over the next 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Glenorie according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data indicates Glenorie has seen approximately 16 new homes approved annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, around 80 homes were approved, with a further nine approved so far in FY26. The average population growth per dwelling built over these five years was 0.8 people annually.

This suggests that new supply is meeting or exceeding demand, providing ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts. The average construction cost value of new properties during this period was $1,097,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. In FY26, $3.8 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential character.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Glenorie has seen slightly more development activity, at 17.0% above the regional average per person over the past five years. This balance supports buyer choice while maintaining current property values, although building activity has slowed in recent years. The majority of new building activity consists of detached houses (91.0%), with medium and high-density housing making up the remaining 9.0%. This maintains Glenorie's traditional low density character, appealing to those seeking family homes and space. The estimated population count per dwelling approval is 366 people, reflecting its quiet, low activity development environment. Population projections indicate stability or decline in Glenorie, which should reduce housing demand pressures and benefit potential buyers.

Glenorie has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

No infrastructure changes or major projects have been identified in this area by AreaSearch that could potentially impact it. Among the key projects are Rouse Hill Hospital, Box Hill Square, The Hills of Carmel, and Multiple Residential Subdivisions Box Hill. Those listed below are considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch assessment positions Glenorie ahead of most Australian regions for employment performance

Glenorie's skilled workforce has a notably strong construction sector with an unemployment rate of 3.1% as of December 2025. This rate is below Greater Sydney's 4.2%, and the workforce participation is equal to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. According to Census responses, 38.8% of residents work from home.

Employment is concentrated in construction, retail trade, and professional & technical services. The area specializes in construction employment with a share twice the regional level. Conversely, health care & social assistance has lower representation at 9.9% compared to the regional average of 14.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data comparing working population to local population.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force levels increased by 0.1%, while employment declined by 0.5%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. National employment forecasts from Jobs and Skills Australia for May-25 project national employment to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Glenorie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.0% over ten years, though this is a simplified extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 indicates Glenorie's median taxpayer income is $56,337 and the average is $115,005. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Glenorie would be approximately $61,328 (median) and $125,194 (average) as of September 2025. According to Census 2021 income data, household incomes rank at the 91st percentile ($2,524 weekly), while personal incomes rank lower at the 64th percentile. Income analysis shows that the largest segment comprises 28.8% earning $1,500 - $2,999 weekly (1,140 residents). This is similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% occupy this bracket. Notably, 42.3% of Glenorie's residents earn above $3,000 per week, indicating strong economic capacity throughout the suburb. High housing costs consume 15.3% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 90th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Glenorie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Glenorie's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 98.6% houses and 1.4% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Glenorie stood at 40.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.5% and rented ones at 14.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Glenorie was $543, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Glenorie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Glenorie features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.7% of all households, including 47.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise 15.3%, with lone person households at 13.1% and group households making up 2.0%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

The educational profile of Glenorie exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 18.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are held by 36.2% of residents aged 15+, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (24.6%). Educational participation is high, with 30.7% currently enrolled in formal education: 10.6% in primary, 9.2% in secondary, and 5.2% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 30.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.6% in primary education, 9.2% in secondary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Glenorie has 52 operational public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 24 distinct routes that combined offer 253 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is considered good, with residents on average located 343 meters from the nearest stop. In this predominantly residential area, most commuting is outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transport for 90% of residents, while 6% walk. Vehicle ownership averages 2.4 per dwelling, higher than the regional norm.

Notably, 38.8% of residents work from home, according to the 2021 Census data, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency across all routes averages 36 trips per day, translating to roughly 4 weekly trips per stop.

Glenorie's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Glenorie's health outcomes show notable results based on AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 72% of Glenorie's total population (2,859 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%.

Nationally, the average is 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions in Glenorie are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 7.3% and 5.9% of residents respectively. Notably, 75.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Glenorie has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.3% (803 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors in Glenorie are strong, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Glenorie was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Glenorie has a higher than average cultural diversity, with 21.9% of its population born overseas and 18.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Glenorie, making up 67.6%, compared to 49.2% across Greater Sydney. The top three ancestry groups in Glenorie are English (26.1%), Australian (22.2%), and Italian (8.2%).

Notably, Lebanese (6.8%) Maltese (1.6%), and Korean (0.7%) ethnicities have higher representations than the regional averages of 2.6%, 1.0%, and 1.1% respectively.

Glenorie's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Glenorie is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 55-64 age group constitutes 13.8% of the population in Glenorie, compared to a lower percentage in Greater Sydney. Conversely, the 25-34 age group makes up only 7.6% of Glenorie's population. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75 to 84 age group has grown from 5.5% to 7.2% of the population, while the 45 to 54 age group has declined from 15.3% to 14.0%. Population forecasts for Glenorie in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes. The 85+ age group is projected to grow by 98%, reaching 188 people from the previous figure of 95. Notably, all growth in the total population will be accounted for by the combined 65+ age groups, reflecting Glenorie's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 15 to 24 and 25 to 34 age cohorts are expected to experience population declines.