Glenorie

An assessment of population growth drivers in Glenorie reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Glenorie's population is estimated at around 3,916. This reflects an increase of 124 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,792 people. The change was inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 3,855 following examination of the latest ERP data release by ABS in June 2024 and an additional 62 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population results in a density ratio of 49 persons per square kilometer. Glenorie's growth of 3.3% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area's growth rate of 3.2%, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration was primarily responsible for this population growth.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, Glenorie is expected to grow by 98 persons to 2041, reflecting an increase of 1.1% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Glenorie according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Glenorie has recorded around 16 residential properties granted approval per year over the past five financial years from FY-21 to FY-25. This totals an estimated 83 homes. So far in FY-26, 6 approvals have been recorded. With an average of 0.6 people moving to the area for each dwelling built over these five years, new supply has kept pace with or exceeded demand, offering ample buyer choice and creating capacity for population growth beyond current forecasts.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $1,097,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, $12.4 million in commercial approvals have been registered, demonstrating moderate levels of commercial development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Glenorie records elevated construction activity, 20.0% above the regional average per person over the five-year period, balancing buyer choice with support for current property values.

However, development activity has moderated in recent periods. New building activity shows 91.0% standalone homes and 9.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional low density character focused on family homes appealing to those seeking space. Glenorie reflects a low density area with around 334 people per approval. Looking ahead, Glenorie is expected to grow by 42 residents through to 2041 based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current development patterns, new housing supply should readily meet demand, offering good conditions for buyers and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current projections.

Glenorie has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

No changes were identified by AreaSearch that could significantly affect the region's performance due to modifications in local infrastructure or major projects. Zero projects have been pinpointed as potentially influential on the area. Notable undertakings include Rouse Hill Hospital, Box Hill Square, The Hills of Carmel, and Multiple Residential Subdivisions Box Hill, with the following list highlighting those considered most pertinent.

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Employment performance in Glenorie exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

Glenorie has a skilled workforce with notable representation in the construction sector. The unemployment rate was 2.9% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.9%. As of June 2025, 2,179 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate of 64.8%, similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for employment among Glenorie residents are construction, retail trade, and professional & technical services. Construction is particularly notable, with employment levels at twice the regional average.

However, health care & social assistance is under-represented, making up only 9.9% of Glenorie's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 14.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment increased by 2.9%, labour force grew by 3.6%, leading to a rise in unemployment of 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had an employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a smaller increase in unemployment of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to Glenorie's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.4% over five years and 13.0% over ten years.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2022 shows Glenorie had a median taxpayer income of $56,337 and an average of $115,005. This places it in the top percentile nationally, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856. As of September 2025, estimated incomes are approximately $63,441 (median) and $129,507 (average), based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. Census data reveals Glenorie's household incomes rank at the 91st percentile ($2,524 weekly), while personal income ranks lower at the 64th percentile. The earnings profile shows that 28.8% of individuals earn between $1,500 and $2,999 per week (1,127 individuals). This is similar to surrounding regions where 30.9% occupy this range. Glenorie demonstrates affluence with 42.3% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.3% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 90th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Glenorie is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

As per the latest Census evaluation in Glenorie, 98.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 1.4% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This contrasted with Sydney metro's figures of 91.0% houses and 9.0% other dwellings. Home ownership in Glenorie stood at 40.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.5% and rented ones at 14.6%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, aligning with Sydney metro's average, while the median weekly rent was $543 compared to Sydney metro's $3,000 and $520 respectively. Nationally, Glenorie's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Glenorie features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 84.7% of all households, including 47.0% couples with children, 27.2% couples without children, and 10.4% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 15.3%, with lone person households at 13.1% and group households at 2.0%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 3.1.

The educational profile of Glenorie exceeds national averages, with above-average qualification levels and academic performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 26.4%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 40.4%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 18.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (5.1%) and graduate diplomas (2.4%). Vocational credentials are prevalent, with 36.2% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (11.6%) and certificates (24.6%). Educational participation is high at 30.7%, comprising primary education (10.6%), secondary education (9.2%), and tertiary education (5.2%).

Glenorie Public School and Hillside Public School serve a total of 319 students, with typical Australian school conditions (ICSEA: 1046) offering balanced educational opportunities. Both schools focus on primary education, while secondary options are available in nearby areas. Local school capacity is limited at 8.2 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 25.4, resulting in many families traveling for schooling.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Glenorie has 47 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 24 different routes, offering a total of 249 weekly passenger trips. The transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average located 343 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 35 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 5 weekly trips per individual stop.

Glenorie's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Glenorie shows excellent health outcomes across all age groups, with a very low prevalence of common health conditions. Approximately 72% (2,827 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 77.1%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis and mental health issues, affecting 7.3% and 5.9% of residents respectively. A total of 75.1% declare themselves completely free from medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 72.3%. Glenorie has a lower percentage of seniors aged 65 and over at 19.8% (775 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 22.4%. Senior health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Glenorie was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Glenorie has a higher than average cultural diversity, with 21.9% of its population born overseas and 18.7% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in Glenorie, accounting for 67.6% of the population, slightly higher than the Greater Sydney average of 65.5%. The top three ancestry groups in Glenorie are English (26.1%), Australian (22.2%), and Italian (8.2%).

Notably, Lebanese (6.8%) and Korean (0.7%) populations are relatively higher compared to regional averages of 3.6% and 0.5%, respectively. Maltese population is slightly lower at 1.6%.

Glenorie hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Glenorie is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age group of 55-64 years has a strong representation at 13.6% compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 year old cohort is less prevalent at 8.0%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the 75 to 84 age group has increased from 5.5% to 6.9% of the population. Conversely, the 45 to 54 age group has decreased from 15.3% to 14.2%. By 2041, Glenorie's population is forecasted to undergo substantial demographic changes. The 85+ age group is expected to grow by 93%, reaching 181 people from the current 93. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 94% of total population growth, reflecting Glenorie's aging demographic trend. In contrast, the 45-54 and 0-4 age cohorts are projected to experience population declines.