Mount Kuring-Gai

Mount Kuring-Gai has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

The population of the Mount Kuring-Gai statistical area (Lv2) was estimated at 1,878 as of November 2025, reflecting an increase of 112 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 6.3% increase from the previous population count of 1,766 people. The current resident population estimate is 1,792, based on AreaSearch's analysis of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. The population density ratio stands at 177 persons per square kilometer, indicating significant space per person and potential room for further development. Mount Kuring-Gai's growth rate of 6.3% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's average of 5.7%, positioning it as a growth leader in the area. Overseas migration contributed approximately 56.00000000000001% to the overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth for the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Looking ahead, an above median population growth is projected for the Mount Kuring-Gai (SA2), with an expected increase of 273 persons by 2041. This reflects a total increase of 14.0% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Mount Kuring-Gai recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Mount Kuring-Gai has seen approximately 4 dwelling approvals annually over the past 5 financial years from FY21 to FY25. This totals an estimated 23 homes. No approvals have been recorded so far in FY-26. Each dwelling built attracts around 8.2 people annually on average, indicating significant demand outstripping supply.

New properties are constructed at an average expected cost of $428,000, reflecting quality-focused development. This financial year has seen $3.4 million in commercial approvals, suggesting limited commercial development focus. Mount Kuring-Gai maintains similar construction rates per person compared to Greater Sydney, supporting market stability. However, activity remains below the national average, indicating an established area with potential planning limitations. New development consists of 50% detached dwellings and 50% townhouses or apartments, marking a shift from the existing housing composition of 95% houses. This trend reflects decreasing developable sites and changing lifestyles seeking more diverse, affordable housing options.

The area's quiet development environment is evident with an estimated 370 people per dwelling approval. Mount Kuring-Gai is projected to grow by 263 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and price growth.

Mount Kuring-Gai has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects that may impact the region: Berowra Valley National Park Northern Extension, Arlington Heights Estate, Mount Colah Station Upgrade, and Newcastle-Sydney and Wollongong-Sydney Rail Line Upgrades. The following details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Mount Kuring-Gai shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Mount Kuring-Gai has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate is 7.0%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025966 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is higher by 2.8% compared to Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation in Mount Kuring-Gai is at 65.9%, above Greater Sydney's 60.0%. The leading employment industries among residents are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. Health care & social assistance has a particularly high share of employment, at 1.2 times the regional level.

Transport, postal & warehousing, however, has limited presence with 3.3% employment compared to 5.3% regionally. The ratio of workers to residents, as at the Census, indicates above-normal local employment opportunities. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, labour force increased by 0.8%, while employment declined by 2.1%, leading to an unemployment rise of 2.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1% and labour force expand by 2.4%, with unemployment rising by just 0.2%. State-level data from NSW as of 25-Nov-25 shows a slight employment contraction of 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) and an unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourable compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Mount Kuring-Gai's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, although these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2023 shows Mount Kuring-Gai had a median taxpayer income of $56,122 and an average income of $71,677. These figures are above the national averages of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively for Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes as of September 2025 would be approximately $61,094 (median) and $78,028 (average). Census 2021 data ranks Mount Kuring-Gai's household, family, and personal incomes highly, between the 74th and 88th percentiles nationally. The suburb has a significant proportion of residents (31.5%, or 591 people) earning between $1,500 and $2,999 weekly, similar to metropolitan Sydney's 30.9%. Mount Kuring-Gai demonstrates affluence with 38.5% earning over $3,000 per week. Despite high housing costs consuming 15.4% of income, residents have strong disposable incomes at the 88th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Mount Kuring-Gai is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Mount Kuring-Gai's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 61.4% houses and 38.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mount Kuring-Gai stood at 38.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.2% and rented ones at 12.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,648, surpassing Sydney metro's average of $2,500. Weekly rent in Mount Kuring-Gai was recorded at $568, compared to Sydney metro's $480. Nationally, Mount Kuring-Gai's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mount Kuring-Gai features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 83.9% of all households, including 47.4% couples with children, 27.4% couples without children, and 10.1% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 16.1%, with lone person households at 14.7% and group households making up 0.5%. The median household size is 3.0 people, larger than Greater Sydney's average of 2.7.

Mount Kuring-Gai demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 37.9%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 57.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 34.2% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.4% and certificates at 20.8%. Educational participation is high, with 32.8% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.0% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mount Kuring-Gai has 21 active public transport stops. These include train and bus services. There are 19 different routes operating in total.

Each week, these routes provide 1,956 passenger trips combined. The accessibility of the transport system is rated as good. Residents typically live 223 meters away from their nearest stop. On average, there are 279 trips per day across all routes. This equates to approximately 93 weekly trips per individual stop.

Mount Kuring-Gai's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

Health data shows Mount Kuring-Gai residents have a relatively low prevalence of common health conditions across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 55% (~1,037 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 61.4%.

The most common medical conditions are asthma (8.5%) and arthritis (8.1%). About 68.8% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.0%. Around 17.6% (330 people) are aged 65 and over. Health outcomes among seniors in the area are above average, performing better than the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mount Kuring-Gai was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mount Kuring-Gai, as per the 2016 Census, had a higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas. The overseas-born population was 27.8%, with 17.9% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity dominated religiously, with 52.6%.

Judaism was slightly overrepresented at 0.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.4%. In terms of ancestry, English (28.3%) and Australian (24.1%) were the top groups, both higher than regional averages of 21.7% and 19.5% respectively. Other ancestry made up 9.1%. French (0.9%), Korean (1.1%), and Russian (0.4%) were notably overrepresented compared to regional percentages of 0.5%, 2.0%, and 0.6% respectively.

Mount Kuring-Gai's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Mount Kuring-Gai is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's average of 38 years. The 45-54 age group constitutes 16.8% of the population, compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort makes up 6.4%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 75-84 age group has grown from 5.2% to 6.8%, and the 15-24 cohort has increased from 11.9% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 25-34 cohort has declined from 8.1% to 6.4%, and the 35-44 group has dropped from 13.6% to 12.4%. Population forecasts for 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Mount Kuring-Gai, with the 55-64 age group expected to grow by 31% (74 people), reaching 319 from 244. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 57% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 5-14 and 0-4 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.