Mount Kuring-Gai

Mount Kuring-Gai has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on ABS population updates and AreaSearch validations, the estimated population of Mount Kuring-Gai as of Feb 2026 is around 1,879. This reflects an increase of 113 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 1,766. The current resident population estimate by AreaSearch is 1,792, following examination of ERP data release by ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 177 persons per square kilometer. Mount Kuring-Gai's growth rate of 6.4% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's growth rate of 5.8%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 56.00000000000001% of overall population gains in recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate an above median growth, with the suburb expected to increase by 282 persons to 2041, reflecting a total increase of 14.2% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees Mount Kuring-Gai recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

Mount Kuring-Gai has seen approximately 4 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling around 23 homes. No approvals have been recorded so far in FY-26. Each year, an average of 8.2 people move to the area for each dwelling built between FY-21 and FY-25. This high demand coupled with limited supply has led to price growth and increased buyer competition.

The average construction cost per new property is $428,000, higher than regional norms due to quality-focused development. In this financial year, there have been $3.4 million in commercial approvals, indicating limited commercial development focus. Mount Kuring-Gai maintains similar construction rates per person relative to Greater Sydney, supporting market stability. However, these rates are below the national average, suggesting established nature and potential planning limitations. New development consists of 50% detached dwellings and 50% townhouses or apartments, a notable shift from the area's existing housing which is currently 95% houses. This trend reflects decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles requiring more diverse, affordable housing options.

The estimated population growth in Mount Kuring-Gai by 2041 is 266 residents, according to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate. If current construction levels persist, housing supply may lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Mount Kuring-Gai has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure can significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects that may affect this region: Berowra Valley National Park Northern Extension, Arlington Heights Estate, Mount Colah Station Upgrade, and Newcastle-Sydney and Wollongong-Sydney Rail Line Upgrades. The following details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Mount Kuring-Gai shows employment indicators that trail behind approximately 70% of regions assessed across Australia

Mount Kuring-Gai has an educated workforce with strong professional services representation and an unemployment rate of 7.1% as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of September 2025960 residents are employed while the unemployment rate is 2.9% higher than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is comparable at 72.8%, slightly above Greater Sydney's 70.0%.

Census responses indicate that 44.8% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Key employment industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and education & training. The area specializes in health care & social assistance with an employment share 1.2 times the regional level, while transport, postal & warehousing has a limited presence at 3.3% compared to the regional 5.3%. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, suggesting above-average local employment opportunities.

Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, labour force increased by 0.8%, but employment declined by 2.1%, leading to a 2.8 percentage point rise in unemployment. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and a labour force expansion of 2.4%, with unemployment rising by only 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, but industry-specific projections vary significantly. Applying these projections to Mount Kuring-Gai's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.5% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population changes.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of the latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Mount Kuring-Gai had a median income among taxpayers of $56,122. The average income stood at $71,677 in this suburb during that period. Both figures are above the national averages for the same timeframe. Comparing with Greater Sydney's figures, Mount Kuring-Gai's incomes were higher: $60,817 median and $83,023 average respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from financial year ending June 2023 to September 2025, estimated current incomes for Mount Kuring-Gai would be approximately $61,094 (median) and $78,028 (average). Census data from 2021 shows that income levels in Mount Kuring-Gai rank highly nationally: between the 74th and 88th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The $1,500 to $2,999 weekly earnings bracket dominates with 31.5% of residents (591 people). This is similar to the metropolitan region where 30.9% also occupy this range. Mount Kuring-Gai demonstrates affluence with 38.5% earning over $3,000 per week, supporting premium retail and service offerings. High housing costs consume 15.4% of income in the area. Despite this, strong earnings place disposable income at the 88th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Mount Kuring-Gai is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Mount Kuring-Gai's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.2% houses and 4.8% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Mount Kuring-Gai stood at 38.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 49.2% and rented ones at 12.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $2,648, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Mount Kuring-Gai was $568, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Mount Kuring-Gai's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Mount Kuring-Gai features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 83.9% of all households, including 47.4% couples with children, 27.4% couples without children, and 10.1% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 16.1%, consisting of 14.7% lone person households and 0.5% group households. The median household size is 3.0 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Mount Kuring-Gai demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's university qualification rate is 37.9%, significantly lower than the SA4 region average of 57.1%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 22.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.5%) and graduate diplomas (4.3%). Vocational credentials are held by 34.2% of residents aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 13.4% and certificates at 20.8%. Educational participation is high, with 32.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 12.0% in primary education, 9.1% in secondary education, and 5.8% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Mount Kuring-Gai has 21 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 19 different routes, collectively providing 1,956 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents typically located 223 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Car remains the dominant mode of transport at 85%, while train usage stands at 10%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 44.8% of residents work from home, possibly due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 279 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 93 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Mount Kuring-Gai is notably higher than the national average with both young and old age cohorts seeing low prevalence of common health conditions

Mount Kuring-Gai shows better-than-average health outcomes, as assessed by AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Both younger and older age groups have low prevalence of common health conditions.

The area has a high rate of private health cover, at approximately 55% (around 1,038 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney. Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent medical conditions, affecting 8.5 and 8.1% of residents respectively. About 68.8% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among working-age individuals are generally typical. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over, at 18.0% (338 people), than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Senior health outcomes in Mount Kuring-Gai are above average, with national rankings broadly similar to the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Mount Kuring-Gai was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Mount Kuring-Gai, as per data from the 2016 Census, had a higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas, with 27.8% of its population born overseas and 17.9% speaking languages other than English at home. Christianity was the predominant religion in Mount Kuring-Gai, comprising 52.6% of the population. However, Judaism showed an overrepresentation, making up 0.4% of the population compared to the Greater Sydney average of 0.8%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (28.3%), Australian (24.1%), and Other (9.1%). Notably, French (0.9%) and Korean (1.1%) ethnicities were overrepresented in Mount Kuring-Gai compared to regional averages.

Mount Kuring-Gai's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Mount Kuring-Gai is 43 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and exceeds the national average of 38 years. The age profile shows that those aged 45-54 years make up 17.0% of the population, a figure notably higher than the national average of 12.0%. Meanwhile, the 25-34 year-old group comprises only 6.0%, which is smaller compared to Greater Sydney's proportion. Between 2021 and present, the percentage of those aged 75-84 years has increased from 5.2% to 6.9%, while the 15-24 age group has risen from 11.9% to 13.2%. Conversely, the 25-34 year-old cohort has decreased from 8.1% to 6.0%, and the 35-44 age group has dropped from 13.6% to 11.9%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Mount Kuring-Gai's age structure. The 55-64 year-old cohort is expected to grow by 68 people (28%), increasing from 248 to 317 individuals. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 years and above are projected to account for 56% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Conversely, the 0-4 and 5-14 year-old cohorts are expected to experience population declines.