North Turramurra

An assessment of population growth drivers in North Turramurra reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the estimated population of North Turramurra is around 4,271, reflecting an increase of 77 people since the 2021 Census. This growth represents a 1.8% increase from the previous figure of 4,194 residents. AreaSearch validated this estimate by examining the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024), which estimated the resident population at 4,258, along with an additional 7 new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 369 persons per square kilometer. Comparing North Turramurra's growth rate to that of its SA3 area (4.3%), it is evident that the suburb has demonstrated competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration was the primary driver of population growth during recent periods.

AreaSearch projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2-level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021, indicate an above median population growth trend for the suburb. By 2041, North Turramurra is projected to expand by 648 persons, reflecting an increase of 14.9% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in North Turramurra according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows North Turramurra experienced around 10 dwellings receiving development approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 50 homes. So far in FY-26, 5 approvals have been recorded. Each year, approximately 2 new residents per dwelling constructed were added between FY-21 and FY-25, indicating a balanced supply and demand with stable market conditions.

The average construction value of new dwellings was $791,000, targeting the premium market segment. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Turramurra shows approximately 62% of the construction activity per person, placing it among the 60th percentile nationally, though building activity has accelerated in recent years. Recent construction comprises 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% medium and high-density housing, offering affordable entry pathways for downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers. This shift from the area's existing housing (currently 71.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and changing lifestyles. North Turramurra has approximately 249 people per dwelling approval, indicating a low density market. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the location is expected to grow by 635 residents through to 2041.

If current development rates continue, housing supply may not keep pace with population growth, potentially increasing competition among buyers and supporting stronger price growth.

North Turramurra has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified nine projects expected to influence the region. Notable initiatives include Newcastle-Sydney and Wollongong-Sydney Rail Line Upgrades, Ku-ring-gai Transport Oriented Development, St Ives Indoor Sports Centre, and Ellis Residences. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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AreaSearch analysis places North Turramurra well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

North Turramurra has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate is 2.2%, with an estimated employment growth of 1.3% over the past year (AreaSearch aggregation). As of December 2025, 1,849 residents are employed at an unemployment rate of 2.0%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation is lower at 50.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.2%. A high proportion of residents work from home (59.9%), potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Dominant employment sectors include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and education & training. North Turramurra specializes in professional & technical jobs, with an employment share 1.4 times the regional level.

However, transport, postal & warehousing is under-represented at 1.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 5.3%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between December 2024 and December 2025, employment increased by 1.3% while labour force grew by 1.4%, keeping unemployment broadly flat. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to North Turramurra's employment mix suggests local employment should grow by 7.5% over five years and 14.9% over ten years, though this is a simple extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The suburb of North Turramurra had a high national income level according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2023. Its median income among taxpayers was $54,894 and average income stood at $102,819, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $59,758 (median) and $111,929 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023. Census data showed household, family and personal incomes in North Turramurra clustered around the 67th percentile nationally. The largest income segment comprised 30.7% earning $4000+ weekly (1,311 residents), contrasting with metropolitan region where $1,500 - 2,999 bracket led at 30.9%. Economic strength was evident through 40.0% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consumed 15.5% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 71st percentile and area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 10th decile.

North Turramurra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

North Turramurra's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 71.1% houses and 28.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in North Turramurra stood at 61.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.1% and rented ones at 7.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,629, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in North Turramurra was $760, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, North Turramurra's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Turramurra has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 71.3% of all households, including 32.8% couples with children, 32.0% couples without children, and 5.3% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 28.7%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households making up 0.5%. The median household size is 2.4 people, which is smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Educational achievement in North Turramurra places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

North Turramurra has a higher proportion of residents aged 15 and over with university qualifications than the national average. Specifically, 48.8% of its residents have such qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4%. This is also higher than New South Wales' figure of 32.2%. The area's educational attainment is notable for several reasons.

Bachelor degrees are the most common type of university qualification held by residents at 30.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.2%). Vocational pathways account for a significant portion of qualifications among those aged 15 and over, with advanced diplomas making up 12.6% and certificates 11.6%. Educational participation is high in North Turramurra, with 26.1% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 8.6% in secondary education, 7.8% in primary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Turramurra has 36 operational public transport stops, all serving buses. These are covered by 28 distinct routes, offering 375 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents' average distance to the nearest stop being 211 meters. Predominantly residential, most commuters travel outwards. Cars remain the primary mode at 85%, followed by trains at 7% and walking at 5%. On average, there are 1.4 vehicles per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm.

According to the 2021 Census, 59.9% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. The service frequency averages 53 trips daily across all routes, translating to roughly 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health outcomes in North Turramurra are marginally below the national average with common health conditions somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts

North Turramurra shows below-average health indicators based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. Common health conditions are somewhat prevalent across both younger and older age cohorts. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (2,880 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most common medical conditions are arthritis and heart disease, impacting 11.0 and 7.4% of residents respectively. Sixty point nine percent of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. The under-65 population demonstrates better than average health outcomes. The area has 42.4% of residents aged 65 and over (1,810 people), higher than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors present some challenges, with national rankings broadly in line with the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in North Turramurra was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

North Turramurra, surveyed in 2016, had a higher linguistic diversity than most local areas, with 15.1% of residents speaking languages other than English at home. In terms of birthplace, 33.4% were born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, comprising 59.8%.

Judaism, however, was more prevalent in North Turramurra compared to Greater Sydney, making up 1.2% versus 0.8%. The top three ancestry groups were English (31.7%), Australian (20.9%), and Scottish (9.5%). Notably, Welsh (0.9%) and South Australian (1.2%) ethnicities were more represented in North Turramurra than the regional averages of 0.4% and 0.5%, respectively. Hungarian ethnicity was also slightly higher at 0.5%.

North Turramurra ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

North Turramurra has a median age of 56, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and also above the national average of 38. The percentage of people aged 85 or over in North Turramurra is 14.5%, compared to Greater Sydney's figure, while those aged 25-34 are less prevalent at 3%. This concentration of people aged 85 or over is higher than the national average of 2.2%. According to the 2021 Census, the percentage of people aged 15-24 has grown from 10.1% to 12.1%, while those aged 0-4 have declined from 3.3% to 1.9%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests North Turramurra's age profile will change significantly. The number of people aged 85 or over is projected to increase by 412 (67%), from 619 to 1,032. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above are expected to account for 98% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Conversely, population declines are projected for those aged 25-34 and 55-64.