North Turramurra

An assessment of population growth drivers in North Turramurra reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the North Turramurra statistical area (Lv2) is around 4,271. This figure represents an increase of 77 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 4,194. The latest resident population estimate by AreaSearch, following examination of ABS ERP data released in June 2024 and validation of seven new addresses, was 4,258. This results in a population density ratio of 369 persons per square kilometer. North Turramurra's growth rate since the Census, at 1.8%, is within 2.5 percentage points of its SA3 area's growth rate of 4.3%. Overseas migration was the primary driver of this population increase.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022, and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for areas not covered by the former data. Future population trends indicate above median growth is projected for the area, with an expected expansion to 4,927 persons by 2041, reflecting a total increase of 15.5% over the 17-year period.

AreaSearch analysis of residential development drivers sees North Turramurra recording a relatively average level of approval activity when compared to local markets analysed countrywide

North Turramurra recorded approximately 10 residential properties granted approval each year between FY-21 and FY-25. This totals an estimated 50 homes over the past five financial years. As of FY-26, 4 approvals have been recorded.

Each dwelling built resulted in an average of 2.1 new residents per year during this period. The average construction cost value for new homes was $791,000, indicating a focus on premium properties. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Turramurra had around 62% of the building activity per person as of recent data. Nationally, it ranked in the 60th percentile for assessed areas, suggesting established nature and potential planning limitations. Building activity showed an equal split between detached houses (50%) and townhouses or apartments (50%), differing from existing housing patterns which are currently 71% houses. This shift may indicate diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences.

North Turramurra had approximately 249 people per approval, reflecting a low-density area. Population forecasts estimate an increase of 662 residents by 2041. If current construction levels persist, housing supply might lag population growth, potentially intensifying buyer competition and price growth.

North Turramurra has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified nine projects expected to affect the region. Notable ones are Newcastle-Sydney and Wollongong-Sydney Rail Line Upgrades, Ku-ring-gai Transport Oriented Development, St Ives Indoor Sports Centre, Ellis Residences. The following list details those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in North Turramurra shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

North Turramurra has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. The unemployment rate was 2.4% as of September 2025, with an estimated employment growth of 0.5% over the past year.

In comparison to Greater Sydney's unemployment rate of 4.2%, North Turramurra had a significantly lower rate of 1.8%. However, workforce participation lagged behind Greater Sydney's rate at 44.0% compared to 60.0%. Employment among residents was concentrated in professional & technical services (1.4 times the regional level), health care & social assistance, and education & training. Conversely, transport, postal & warehousing showed lower representation at 1.8% versus the regional average of 5.3%.

While local employment opportunities exist, many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Over the 12 months to September 2025, employment increased by 0.5%, labour force increased by 1.0%, resulting in an unemployment rise of 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and unemployment rose by 0.2 percentage points. State-level data to 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs) with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourably comparing to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that North Turramurra's employment should increase by 7.5% over five years and 14.9% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates above-average performance, with income metrics exceeding national benchmarks based on AreaSearch comparative assessment

The suburb of North Turramurra had exceptionally high income levels nationally according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year ending June 2023. The median income among taxpayers in North Turramurra was $54,894, with an average income of $102,819. These figures compared to Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from July 2023 to September 2025, current estimates for North Turramurra would be approximately $59,758 (median) and $111,929 (average). The 2021 Census showed household, family, and personal incomes in North Turramurra clustered around the 67th percentile nationally. Income analysis revealed that 30.7% of the population (1,311 individuals) had incomes of $40,000 or more, differing from regional patterns where incomes between $1,500 and $2,999 dominated with 30.9%. Economic strength was evident through 40.0% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consumed 15.5% of income, but strong earnings still placed disposable income at the 71st percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 10th decile.

North Turramurra is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

North Turramurra's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 71.1% houses and 28.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 68.8% houses and 31.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in North Turramurra stood at 61.2%, with mortgaged dwellings at 31.1% and rented ones at 7.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,629, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,500. The median weekly rent in North Turramurra was $760, compared to Sydney metro's $630. Nationally, North Turramurra's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Turramurra has a typical household mix, with a lower-than-average median household size

Family households account for 71.3% of all households, including 32.8% couples with children, 32.0% couples without children, and 5.3% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 28.7%, with lone person households at 28.0% and group households comprising 0.5%. The median household size is 2.4 people, smaller than the Greater Sydney average of 2.9.

Educational achievement in North Turramurra places it within the top 10% nationally, reflecting strong academic performance and high qualification levels across the community

North Turramurra's residents aged 15+ have a high level of educational attainment, with 48.8% holding university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 30.4%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.2%) and graduate diplomas (4.2%). Vocational pathways account for 24.2%, with advanced diplomas at 12.6% and certificates at 11.6%. Educational participation is high, with 26.1% currently enrolled in formal education.

This includes 8.6% in secondary education, 7.8% in primary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Turramurra has 36 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 28 different routes that together offer 375 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents on average located 211 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 53 trips per day across all routes, which equates to around 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

Health performance in North Turramurra is well below average with prevalence of common health conditions notable across both younger and older age cohorts

North Turramurra faces significant health challenges, with common conditions prevalent across both younger and older age groups. Approximately 67% of its total population (2,880 people) has private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 78.8%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are arthritis (11.0%) and heart disease (7.4%). Conversely, 60.9% of residents report having no medical ailments, lower than Greater Sydney's 76.0%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 41.1% (1,755 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 20.2%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in North Turramurra are better than those of the general population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in North Turramurra was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

North Turramurra has a higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 15.1% of its population speaking languages other than English at home and 33.4% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in North Turramurra, accounting for 59.8% of the population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, comprising 1.2% of North Turramurra's population.

The top three ancestry groups are English (31.7%), Australian (20.9%), and Scottish (9.5%). Some ethnic groups show significant differences: Welsh (0.9%) and Hungarian (0.5%) are overrepresented, while South African (1.2%) is underrepresented compared to regional averages.

North Turramurra ranks among the oldest 10% of areas nationwide

North Turramurra has a median age of 56, which is higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and the national average of 38. The percentage of people aged 85 and above in North Turramurra is 14.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's figure. This is significantly higher than the national average of 2.2%. In contrast, the percentage of people aged 25-34 in North Turramurra is lower at 3.3%. According to data from the 2021 Census, the percentage of people aged 15-24 has increased from 10.1% to 11.9%, while the percentage of those aged 0-4 has decreased from 3.3% to 2.1%. Demographic projections suggest that North Turramurra's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The number of people aged 85 and above is projected to increase by 439 (73%), from 597 to 1,037. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above are expected to account for 99% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Conversely, population declines are projected for the age groups of 0-4 and 25-34.