Normanhurst

Normanhurst is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the Normanhurst statistical area (Lv2) has an estimated population of around 5780 people. This reflects a growth of 393 individuals since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 5387 people. The increase is inferred from AreaSearch's estimation of the resident population at 5707 following examination of the ABS's latest ERP data release in June 2024 and an additional 107 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2615 persons per square kilometer, placing Normanhurst in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth of 7.3% since the 2021 census exceeded both the SA4 region (5.7%) and the SA3 area, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 92.0% of overall population gains during recent periods, driving primary population growth for the area.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Looking ahead, demographic trends suggest a population increase just below the median of national areas, with an expected growth of 297 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 1.7% in total over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Normanhurst according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, shows Normanhurst has seen around 13 new homes approved per year over the past five financial years up to FY-25. This totals an estimated 65 homes. So far in FY-26, 4 approvals have been recorded. Each dwelling has added an average of 2.4 new residents per year between FY-21 and FY-25, reflecting robust demand that supports property values.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $751,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. This financial year has seen $1.3 million in commercial approvals registered, demonstrating the area's residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Normanhurst has 14.0% less new development per person while it places among the 33rd percentile of areas assessed nationally, suggesting more limited choices for buyers and supporting demand for existing dwellings. This is under the national average, indicating the area's established nature and potential planning limitations.

New building activity shows 91.0% standalone homes and 9.0% attached dwellings, preserving the area's suburban nature with an emphasis on detached housing attracting space-seeking buyers. With around 504 people per dwelling approval, Normanhurst shows a developed market. Future projections show Normanhurst adding 98 residents by 2041, based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Current construction levels suggest housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Normanhurst has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. Two projects identified by AreaSearch are likely to impact this area: Hornsby Park, Thornleigh Quarter, Thornleigh Marketplace Redevelopment, and The Sanctuary Thornleigh. Relevant details for these projects are listed below.

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Employment drivers in Normanhurst are experiencing difficulties, placing it among the bottom 20% of areas assessed across Australia

Normanhurst has an educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate was 7.4% as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, 2,718 residents were employed while the unemployment rate stood at 3.2%, exceeding Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in Normanhurst is similar to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical roles, health care & social assistance, and education & training, with education & training showing particularly high representation at 1.6 times the regional average. Retail trade shows lower representation at 6.8% compared to the regional average of 9.3%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities based on Census data comparison of working population versus resident population. In a 12-month period, Normanhurst's labour force increased by 0.4%, while employment decreased by 0.9%, leading to a rise in unemployment by 1.2 percentage points. This contrasts with Greater Sydney where employment grew by 2.1% and unemployment rose by only 0.2%. State-level data up to 25-Nov shows NSW employment contracted slightly by 0.03%, losing 2,260 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project overall employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Normanhurst's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.4% over five years and 14.8% over ten years, though these are simple weighted extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localised population projections.

The area exhibits notably strong income performance, ranking higher than 70% of areas assessed nationally through AreaSearch analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on 30 June 2023, Normanhurst had a median income among taxpayers of $57,445 and an average income of $86,350. These figures are among the highest in Australia, compared to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth since 2023, current estimates for Normanhurst as of September 2025 would be approximately $62,535 (median) and $94,001 (average). From the 2021 Census, household incomes in Normanhurst rank at the 92nd percentile with a weekly income of $2,590. Income analysis shows that 32.3% of the community earns over $4,000 per week, compared to the region's leading bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 at 30.9%. The suburb demonstrates affluence with 45.3% earning over $3,000 per week. Housing costs consume 16.1% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 91st percentile. Normanhurst's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 9th decile.

Normanhurst is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Normanhurst, as per the latest Census, 79.0% of dwellings were houses while 20.9% consisted of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. In contrast, Sydney metropolitan area had 61.4% houses and 38.6% other dwellings. Home ownership in Normanhurst stood at 35.6%, with mortgaged dwellings at 44.7% and rented ones at 19.7%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,000, higher than Sydney's average of $2,500. Median weekly rent in Normanhurst was $550 compared to Sydney's $480. Nationally, Normanhurst's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Normanhurst features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.4% of all households, including 48.2% couples with children, 23.5% couples without children, and 9.1% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 18.6%, with lone person households at 17.2% and group households comprising 1.6%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Normanhurst demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Normanhurst's educational attainment is notably higher than national and state averages. Among residents aged 15+, 49.0% hold university qualifications, compared to 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 29.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (15.3%) and graduate diplomas (4.5%). Vocational pathways account for 22.7% of qualifications among those aged 15+, with advanced diplomas at 10.4% and certificates at 12.3%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.8% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.7% in primary education, 9.4% in secondary education, and 6.4% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis indicates 45 operational public transport stops in Normanhurst. These include a combination of train and bus services. There are 40 unique routes serving these stops, facilitating 3696 weekly passenger trips collectively.

Transport accessibility is rated highly, with residents on average situated 195 meters from the nearest stop. Service frequency averages 528 trips per day across all routes, translating to approximately 82 weekly trips per individual stop.

The level of general health in Normanhurst is notably higher than the national average with prevalence of common health conditions low among the general population and nearer the nation's average across older, at risk cohorts

Normanhurst shows better-than-average health outcomes with lower prevalence of common conditions among its general population, nearing national averages for older, at-risk cohorts. Private health cover is exceptionally high here, at approximately 61% (3,525 people), compared to the national average of 55.7%.

Mental health issues and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 6.9% and 6.8% of residents respectively. A total of 70.9% report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.0%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 18.3% (1,057 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 17.1%. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than the broader population despite being above average.

Normanhurst was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Normanhurst has a high level of cultural diversity, with 36.0% of its population born overseas and 30.4% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the main religion in Normanhurst, comprising 52.4% of the population. Hinduism is overrepresented in Normanhurst compared to Greater Sydney, making up 4.3% versus 7.3%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (22.9%), Australian (21.6%), and Chinese (10.2%). Hungarian (0.5%) and Korean (1.8%) are notably overrepresented in Normanhurst compared to regional figures of 0.3% and 2.0%, respectively.

Normanhurst's median age exceeds the national pattern

Normanhurst's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and somewhat older than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Normanhurst has a notably over-represented cohort aged 5-14 (14.4%) and an under-represented cohort aged 25-34 (6.4%). According to the 2021 Census, the population aged 15-24 grew from 13.0% to 14.9%, while the 25-34 age group declined from 7.3% to 6.4%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Normanhurst's age profile. The cohort aged 85 and above is projected to grow by 94%, adding 157 residents to reach a total of 325. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 97% of the anticipated population growth, while declines are projected for the cohorts aged 45-54 and 15-24 years.