Warrawee

An assessment of population growth drivers in Warrawee reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of February 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Warrawee is around 3,277. This reflects an increase from the 2021 Census figure of 3,170 people, representing a growth of 107 individuals (3.4%). The current resident population estimate of 3,267 by AreaSearch is based on their examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and address validation since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of approximately 2,340 persons per square kilometer for Warrawee, placing it among the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's growth rate of 3.4% since the Census is within 0.9 percentage points of the SA3 area's growth rate of 4.3%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration was the primary driver for this population increase in recent periods.

For future projections, AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for the years 2032 to 2041. By 2041, Warrawee is projected to increase its population by approximately 154 persons, reflecting a total gain of around 6.0% over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Warrawee is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Warrawee has averaged around 3 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, an estimated 18 homes have been approved, with 1 more approved so far in FY-26. Despite population decline in recent years, development activity has been adequate relative to other areas, which is positive for buyers.

The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings is $791,000, indicating that developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. This financial year, there have also been $3.2 million in commercial approvals, demonstrating Warrawee's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Warrawee records markedly lower building activity, at 72.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes, with this level also below national average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. Recent building activity consists entirely of detached dwellings, sustaining Warrawee's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space.

Interestingly, developers are building more traditional houses than the current mix suggests at Census (64.0%), indicating continued strong demand for family homes despite density pressures. At around 6635 people per approval, Warrawee shows a mature, established area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, population forecasts indicate Warrawee will gain 197 residents through to 2041. Should current construction levels persist, housing supply could lag population growth, likely intensifying buyer competition and underpinning price growth.

Warrawee has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified eight projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include The Residences at Wahroonga Estate, Turramurra Plaza Redevelopment, Rohini Village Redevelopment, and Sydney Adventist Hospital Redevelopment.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

While Warrawee retains a healthy unemployment rate of 3.8%, recent employment declines have impacted its national performance ranking

Warrawee has an educated workforce with high representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 3.8%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 1,721 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 4.2% below Greater Sydney's rate.

Workforce participation is lower at 65.8%. A high 65.4% work from home, though Covid-19 impacts should be considered. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical (1.6 times regional level), health care & social assistance, and finance & insurance. Construction is under-represented at 4.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 8.6%.

The area offers limited local employment opportunities. Over the year ending September 2025, labour force levels increased by 0.2% while employment declined by 1.4%, leading to a rise in unemployment rate by 1.6 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warrawee's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.7% over five years and 15.2% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

In financial year 2023, Warrawee had a median taxpayer income of $66,508 and an average income of $119,606. Nationally, these figures are exceptionally high, compared to Greater Sydney's median of $60,817 and average of $83,003. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $72,401 (median) and $130,203 (average), based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. In the 2021 Census, Warrawee's household, family, and personal incomes ranked highly nationally, between the 88th and 99th percentiles. Income distribution showed that 43.2% of residents (1,415 people) earned $4,000 or more per week, differing from the regional dominance of the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket at 30.9%. The substantial proportion of high earners (55.7% above $3,000/week) indicated strong economic capacity in the area. After housing costs, residents retained 86.9% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. Warrawee's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 10th decile.

Warrawee displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The dwelling structure in Warrawee, as evaluated at the latest Census, consisted of 64.4% houses and 35.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The level of home ownership within Warrawee was at 41.1%, with the remainder of dwellings either mortgaged (39.7%) or rented (19.2%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,500, while the median weekly rent figure was recorded at $650. Nationally, Warrawee's mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warrawee features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 84.7% of all households, including 45.9% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 15.3%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Warrawee demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Warrawee's educational attainment is notably high, with 59.3% of residents aged 15 and above holding university qualifications. This figure surpasses national (30.4%) and state (NSW, 32.2%) averages. University degrees are the most prevalent, with bachelor degrees at 35.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications at 20.5% and graduate diplomas at 3.8%. Vocational pathways account for 15.7% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 9.3% and certificates at 6.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.2% in secondary education, 9.7% in primary education, and 9.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warrawee has 16 operational public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 15 different routes, collectively facilitating 4,171 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy good transport accessibility, with an average distance of 207 meters to the nearest stop. As predominantly residential, most residents commute outward, primarily by car (83%), followed by train (12%). The area has an average vehicle ownership of 1.5 per dwelling, surpassing the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, 65.4% of residents work from home, potentially due to COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 595 trips daily, equating to roughly 260 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warrawee's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Warrawee's health outcomes show excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The area has a very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 74% of Warrawee's total population (2,425 people) have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9%.

Nationally, this figure stands at 55.7%. The most prevalent medical conditions in Warrawee are asthma and arthritis, affecting 6.9% and 6.4% of residents respectively. Meanwhile, 75.1% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Warrawee has 18.5% of its population aged 65 and over (606 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Despite this, health outcomes among seniors in Warrawee are particularly strong, broadly aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Warrawee was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Warrawee's cultural diversity is notable, with 30.0% speaking a language other than English at home and 41.0% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Warrawee, comprising 46.5%. However, Judaism is overrepresented, making up 0.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.8%.

The top three ancestry groups are English (25.1%), Australian (17.5%), and Chinese (14.9%). Korean (2.5%) South African (1.7%) and Russian (0.5%) ethnicities are notably overrepresented in Warrawee compared to regional averages of 1.1%, 0.5%, and 0.4% respectively.

Warrawee's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Warrawee is 42 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. The age group of 15-24 years has a strong representation at 17.1% compared to Greater Sydney, while the 25-34 cohort is less prevalent at 6.0%. According to post-2021 Census data, the percentage of the population aged 15 to 24 has grown from 15.0% to 17.1%, and the percentage of those aged 75 to 84 has increased from 5.9% to 7.5%. Conversely, the percentage of those aged 35 to 44 has declined from 13.6% to 12.3%, and the percentage of those aged 25 to 34 has dropped from 7.2% to 6.0%. Population forecasts for the year 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes in Warrawee. Leading this shift, the age group of 75-84 years is expected to grow by 47%, reaching a population of 362 from the current 245. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 83% of total population growth, reflecting Warrawee's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the age groups of 0 to 4 years and 5 to 14 years are expected to experience population declines.