Warrawee

An assessment of population growth drivers in Warrawee reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of May 2026, the estimated population of the suburb of Warrawee is around 3,247, reflecting an increase of 77 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 3,170. This increase represents a growth rate of 2.4%. The current resident population estimate of 3,240 was derived from AreaSearch's analysis of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and subsequent address validation since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,319 persons per square kilometer, which is higher than the average seen across national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Warrawee's growth rate of 2.4% since the census places it within 2.0 percentage points of the SA3 area (4.4%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration was primarily responsible for this population growth in recent periods.

For future projections, AreaSearch is using ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for covered areas and NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 for non-covered areas. These projections indicate that the suburb is expected to increase by 137 persons to reach a total population of 3,384 by 2041, reflecting an overall increase of approximately 4.0% over the 16-year period.

The level of residential development activity in Warrawee is very low in comparison to the average area assessed nationally by AreaSearch

AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, indicates Warrawee averaged around 3 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 18 homes were approved, with 1 more so far in FY-26. Despite population decline during this period, development activity has been adequate relative to population changes, potentially benefiting buyers due to limited new supply.

Developers focus on the premium market, with an average expected construction cost of $791,000 for new dwellings. Commercial approvals registered this financial year totalled $3.2 million, indicating minimal commercial development emphasis compared to Greater Sydney's regional average per person (72.0% below). This limited new supply generally supports stronger demand and values for established homes, aligning with national averages that suggest the area's established nature and potential planning limitations. Recent development has comprised entirely detached houses, maintaining Warrawee's suburban identity with a concentration of family homes suited to buyers seeking space. Detached housing favours new construction more than current patterns suggest (64.0% at Census), demonstrating robust demand for family homes despite increasing density pressures.

The location has approximately 6552 people per dwelling approval, indicating an established market. Looking ahead, Warrawee is projected to grow by 130 residents through to 2041, according to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Development keeps pace with projected growth, but buyers may face increasing competition as population expands.

Warrawee has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Area infrastructure changes significantly influence regional performance. AreaSearch identified eight projects expected to impact the area. Notable projects include The Residences at Wahroonga Estate, Turramurra Plaza Redevelopment, Rohini Village Redevelopment, and Sydney Adventist Hospital Redevelopment. Below is a list detailing those likely most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

The labour market in Warrawee demonstrates typical performance when compared to similar areas across Australia

Warrawee has a highly educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 3.6%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. As of December 2025, 1,663 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.6% below Greater Sydney's and a participation rate at 64.0%.

According to Census data, 65.4% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by Covid-19 lockdowns. Leading employment industries include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and finance & insurance. Warrawee has particularly high concentration in professional & technical jobs, at 1.6 times the regional average, but limited construction employment at 4.8% compared to 8.6% regionally. The area offers limited local employment opportunities, indicated by Census working population vs resident population counts.

Between December 2024 and December 2025, labour force levels increased by 0.3%, while employment declined by 0.8%, causing unemployment to rise by 1.2 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest total employment could expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Warrawee's employment mix indicates potential local employment increases of 7.7% over five years and 15.2% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year 2023, Warrawee suburb had a median income among taxpayers of $66,508 with average level at $119,606. Nationally, this is exceptionally high compared to Greater Sydney levels of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, current estimates would be approximately $73,372 (median) and $131,949 (average) as of March 2026. Census 2021 income data shows household, family and personal incomes all rank highly in Warrawee, between the 88th and 99th percentiles nationally. The earnings profile indicates that 43.2% of population (1,402 individuals) fall within $4000+ income range, unlike metropolitan region where 30.9% fall within $1,500 - 2,999 range. Notably, 55.7% earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting prosperity pockets driving robust local economic activity. After housing costs, residents retain 86.9% of income, indicating strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Warrawee displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Warrawee's dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 64.4% houses and 35.6% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Warrawee stood at 41.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 39.7% and rented ones at 19.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,500, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in Warrawee was $650, higher than Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Warrawee's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Warrawee features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 84.7% of all households, including 45.9% couples with children, 28.2% couples without children, and 9.5% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 15.3%, with lone person households at 14.8% and group households making up 1.0%. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Warrawee demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Warrawee's educational attainment exceeds national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 59.3% have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 35.0%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (20.5%) and graduate diplomas (3.8%). Vocational pathways account for 15.7%, with advanced diplomas at 9.3% and certificates at 6.4%.

Educational participation is high, with 34.6% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes secondary education (11.2%), primary education (9.7%), and tertiary education (9.0%).

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Warrawee has 16 operational public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These are served by 15 distinct routes, facilitating 4,171 weekly passenger trips in total. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents' average proximity to the nearest stop being 207 meters. As predominantly residential, most Warrawee residents commute outward, with cars being the primary mode at 83%, followed by trains at 12%. Vehicle ownership stands at 1.5 per dwelling, exceeding the regional norm. According to the 2021 Census, a significant 65.4% of residents work from home, potentially influenced by COVID-19 conditions.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 595 trips daily, equating to approximately 260 weekly trips per individual stop.

Warrawee's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Health outcomes data for Warrawee shows excellent results based on AreaSearch's assessment of mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence. The prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups is very low. Approximately 74% of Warrawee's total population (2,403 people) has private health cover, compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and arthritis, affecting 6.9 and 6.4% of residents respectively. A total of 75.1% of residents report being completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Warrawee has 17.9% of its population aged 65 and over (581 people), higher than the 15.5% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, aligning with national rankings for the general population.

Warrawee was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Warrawee has a high level of cultural diversity, with 30.0% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 41.0% born overseas. The predominant religion in Warrawee is Christianity, which accounts for 46.5% of the population. However, Judaism is notably overrepresented, comprising 0.9% of the population compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups in Warrawee are English at 25.1%, Australian at 17.5%, and Chinese at 14.9%. These figures are substantially higher than the regional averages of 19.0%, 13.8%, and 8.4% respectively. There are also notable divergences in the representation of Korean (2.5% vs 1.1%), South Australian (1.7% vs 0.5%), and Russian (0.5% vs 0.4%) ethnic groups.

Warrawee's median age exceeds the national pattern

The median age in Warrawee is 42 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's 38 years. The percentage of individuals aged 15-24 is 17.1%, which is stronger compared to Greater Sydney. However, the percentage of those aged 25-34 is lower at 6.5%. According to post-2021 Census data, the 15-24 age group has increased from 15.0% to 17.1%, while the 75-84 cohort has risen from 5.9% to 7.2%. Conversely, the 35-44 age group has decreased from 13.6% to 12.5%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes in Warrawee. The 75-84 age group is expected to grow by 42%, reaching 333 people from 233. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 86% of total population growth, reflecting Warrawee's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 0-4 and 15-24 cohorts are projected to experience population declines.