Davidson

An assessment of population growth drivers in Davidson reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, the estimated population of the Davidson statistical area (Lv2) is around 2,800. This figure reflects a growth of 75 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,725. The current estimate is based on AreaSearch's validation of new addresses and examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS (June 2024). The resident population was estimated at 2,792 in Jun 2024, indicating a growth rate of 2.8% from the Census date. This results in a density ratio of approximately 1,111 persons per square kilometer, aligning with averages seen across similar areas assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade (2015-2025), Davidson has demonstrated a compound annual growth rate of 0.5%, outperforming its SA4 region.

Overseas migration contributed about 72.0% of overall population gains during this period. For future projections, AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia's SA2-level projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. By 2041, the Davidson (SA2) is expected to increase by approximately 337 persons, reflecting an overall increase of about 11.6% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Davidson according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers allocated from statistical area data, Davidson averaged approximately one new dwelling approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated five homes. So far in FY26, one approval has been recorded. From FY21 to FY25, there were around 11.2 new residents arriving per year per dwelling constructed.

This indicates that supply is substantially lagging demand, which typically leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $957,000, suggesting developers focus on the premium market with high-end developments. Relative to Greater Sydney, Davidson records significantly lower building activity, approximately 87.0% below the regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes. This level is also below national average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining Davidson's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 5534 people per dwelling approval, Davidson reflects a highly mature market. Looking ahead, AreaSearch estimates Davidson will grow by approximately 324 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Davidson has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch identified one major project likely affecting the region: Cultural and Environmental Education Centre in St Ives. Other key projects include Frenchs Forest Housing and Productivity Contribution (HPC), Northern Beaches Housing Reforms Implementation, and Northern Beaches Bus Network Improvements.

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Davidson ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Davidson has an educated workforce, with the technology sector prominent. Its unemployment rate is 2.2%, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, 1,526 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.9% below Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation in Davidson is 66.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical (1.4 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and education & training. Manufacturing has lower representation at 3.2% versus the regional average of 5.7%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work. In the 12 months to September 2025, Davidson's labour force decreased by 0.3%, with employment declining by 0.7%, leading to a 0.5 percentage point rise in unemployment rate. Conversely, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. As of 25-Nov-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03%, with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, compared to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia forecasts national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Davidson's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The median taxpayer income in Davidson is $63,383 according to AreaSearch's postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023. The average income is $95,220. These figures are significantly higher than Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $68,999 (median) and $103,656 (average), based on Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2023. According to the 2021 Census, Davidson's household incomes rank at the 98th percentile with a weekly income of $3,254. The predominant income bracket in Davidson is $4000+, which accounts for 42.1% of locals (1,178 people). This contrasts with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 30.9%. In Davidson, 53.5% of households earn weekly incomes exceeding $3,000. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Davidson is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In Davidson, as per the latest Census evaluation, 98.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 1.4% comprising semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Sydney metro's dwelling structure, which was 57.6% houses and 42.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Davidson stood at 45.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.8% and rented ones at 7.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Davidson was $3,250, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $3,000. The median weekly rent in Davidson was recorded at $1,000, compared to Sydney metro's $592. Nationally, Davidson's median monthly mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Davidson features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 90.0% of all households, including 52.0% couples with children, 28.6% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 10.0%, with lone person households at 9.2% and group households making up 1.0%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Davidson demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 38.8% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 26.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas account for 14.0% and certificates for 15.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 10.5% in secondary education, 10.3% in primary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

The analysis shows that Davidson currently has 12 active public transport stops in operation. These stops serve a mix of bus routes, with a total of 7 individual routes providing service to the area. The combined weekly passenger trips across these routes amount to 457.

Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 158 meters to the nearest transport stop. The service frequency averages 65 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 38 weekly trips per individual stop.

Davidson's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Davidson's health outcomes data shows excellent results across all age groups with a very low prevalence of common health conditions. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 64% of the total population (1,805 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 71.5%. Nationally, this figure is 55.7%.

Asthma and arthritis were found to be the most prevalent medical conditions in Davidson, affecting 7.3% and 6.4% of residents respectively. A total of 73.0% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.7%. The area has a higher proportion of seniors aged 65 and over at 20.4% (571 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 17.8%. Notably, health outcomes among seniors in Davidson are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Davidson was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Davidson's population was found to be more linguistically diverse than most local markets, with 12.4% speaking a language other than English at home as of the latest data from [insert date]. Additionally, 30.3% of Davidson's residents were born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Davidson, comprising 54.1% of its population, according to data from [insert date].

However, Judaism is overrepresented compared to Greater Sydney, with 0.3% of Davidson's population identifying as such. The top three ancestry groups in Davidson are English (33.6%), Australian (21.8%), and Irish (9.3%), based on the country of birth of parents. Notably, Welsh (0.9%) and French (1.0%) ethnicities are overrepresented compared to regional averages, while Spanish is slightly overrepresented at 0.9%.

Davidson hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Davidson is 45 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Davidson has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (18.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (3.8%). This concentration of 45-54 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.1%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.6% to 16.9% of Davidson's population. Conversely, the 65-74 age group has decreased from 12.7% to 11.1%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 15.6% to 14.5%. Looking ahead to 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Davidson's age structure. The 65-74 age group is projected to grow by 29 people, reaching 402 from 310, leading the demographic shift. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 64% of total population growth, reflecting Davidson's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups are projected to have reduced numbers.