Davidson

An assessment of population growth drivers in Davidson reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Nov 2025, Davidson's population is estimated at around 2,790 people. This reflects an increase of 65 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 2,725 people. The current estimate is inferred from AreaSearch's validation of addresses and examination of the latest ERP data release by ABS (June 2024), resulting in a resident population estimate of 2,785. This population level equates to a density ratio of 1,107 persons per square kilometer. Over the past decade, Davidson has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.5%, outpacing its SA4 region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 72.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections are used, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population trends suggest a median increase is expected for Davidson, with an estimated increase of 335 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total increase of 11.9% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Davidson according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Davidson has averaged around 1 new dwelling approval annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 7 homes. So far in FY-26, 1 approval has been recorded. Between FY-21 and FY-25, an average of 8 new residents per year arrived per dwelling constructed.

Supply is substantially lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. New homes are being built at an average value of $957,000, indicating a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. Relative to Greater Sydney, Davidson records markedly lower building activity, 83.0% below regional average per person. This constrained new construction usually reinforces demand and pricing for existing homes, though construction activity has intensified recently. This is also below national average, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints.

Recent development has been entirely comprised of detached dwellings, maintaining Davidson's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 791 people per dwelling approval, Davidson reflects a highly mature market. Population forecasts indicate Davidson will gain 332 residents through to 2041 (from the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate). At current development rates, housing supply may struggle to match population growth, potentially heightening buyer competition and supporting price increases.

Davidson has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

The performance of an area is significantly influenced by changes in local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. A single project has been identified by AreaSearch that could impact this area. Key projects include the Cultural and Environmental Education Centre in St Ives, the Frenchs Forest Housing and Productivity Contribution (HPC), Northern Beaches Housing Reforms Implementation, and Northern Beaches Bus Network Improvements. The following list details those most likely to be relevant:.

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AreaSearch analysis of employment trends sees Davidson performing better than 85% of local markets assessed across Australia

Davidson has a highly educated workforce. In the technology sector, it stands out with an unemployment rate of 1.9%, showing relative stability over the past year, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of June 2025, 1,520 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 2.3% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is high at 66.1%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical (1.4 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and education & training sectors. Manufacturing shows lower representation at 3.2% versus the regional average of 5.7%.

Many residents commute elsewhere for work, based on Census working population to local population counts. Over a 12-month period ending Sep-22, labour force remained stable while employment declined by 0.3%, increasing the unemployment rate by 0.3 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Davidson's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.2% over five years and 14.3% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes and do not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

Davidson shows a median taxpayer income of $63,383 and an average of $95,220 according to the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. This is exceptionally high nationally, contrasting with Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $71,376 (median) and $107,227 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household incomes rank exceptionally at the 98th percentile ($3,254 weekly). Income brackets indicate that the predominant cohort spans 42.1% of locals (1,174 people) in the $4000+ category, diverging from regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 30.9%. Economic strength emerges through 53.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. After housing costs, residents retain 86.8% of income, reflecting strong purchasing power and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Davidson is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

The latest Census data shows that in Davidson, 98.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 1.4% being semi-detached properties, apartments, or other types. In contrast, Sydney metro had 57.6% houses and 42.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Davidson was 45.4%, with mortgaged dwellings at 46.8% and rented ones at 7.8%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Davidson was $3,250, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,000. Weekly rent in Davidson was $1,000, compared to Sydney metro's $592. Nationally, Davidson's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Davidson features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 90.0% of all households, including 52.0% couples with children, 28.6% couples without children, and 8.7% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 10.0%, with lone person households at 9.2% and group households comprising 1.0%. The median household size is 3.1 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Davidson demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 38.8% of residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 26.7%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (8.7%) and graduate diplomas (3.4%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 29.0% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 14.0% and certificates for 15.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 31.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 10.5% in secondary education, 10.3% in primary education, and 5.2% pursuing tertiary education. Davidson's three schools have a combined enrollment of 269 students as of the latest data. The area exhibits significant socio-educational advantages and academic achievement, with an ICSEA score of 1112. All three schools focus exclusively on primary education, with secondary options available in nearby areas. School places per 100 residents stand at 9.6, below the regional average of 16.2, indicating some students may attend schools outside Davidson.

Transport servicing is low compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Transport analysis shows 12 active stops operating in Davidson, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 7 individual routes, offering a total of 267 weekly passenger trips. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically located 158 meters from the nearest stop.

Service frequency averages 38 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 22 weekly trips per stop.

Davidson's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Davidson's health outcomes show exceptional results with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover in Davidson is approximately 64% (1798 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 71.5%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most common medical conditions, affecting 7.3% and 6.4% of residents respectively. 73.0% of Davidson's population declares no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.7%. The area has 20.3% (566 people) aged 65 and over, higher than Greater Sydney's 17.8%. Health outcomes among seniors in Davidson are particularly strong, outperforming the general population in health metrics.

Davidson was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Davidson's population shows higher cultural diversity than most local markets, with 12.4% speaking a language other than English at home and 30.3% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Davidson, accounting for 54.1%. However, Judaism appears slightly overrepresented at 0.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.3%.

In terms of ancestry, the top groups are English (33.6%), Australian (21.8%), and Irish (9.3%). Some ethnic groups show notable differences: Welsh is more prevalent at 0.9% versus 0.7% regionally, French at 1.0% versus 1.1%, and Spanish at 0.9% versus 0.6%.

Davidson hosts an older demographic, ranking in the top quartile nationwide

The median age in Davidson is 45 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Davidson has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (18.5%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (3.8%). This concentration of 45-54 year-olds is well above the national figure of 12.1%. According to the 2021 Census, the proportion of Davidson's population aged 15-24 has grown from 13.6% to 16.9%, while the proportions for those aged 65-74 have declined from 12.7% to 11.1% and those aged 35-44 have dropped from 11.1% to 10.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Davidson's age structure. The 65-74 age group is expected to grow by 30%, reaching 402 people from 309. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 65% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, both the 5-14 and 0-4 age groups are projected to have reduced numbers.