Roseville

An assessment of population growth drivers in Roseville reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of November 2025, the estimated population of the Roseville statistical area (Lv2) is around 10,968. This reflects an increase of 628 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 10,340. The change was inferred from the resident population of 10,813 estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2024 and an additional 176 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,798 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The Roseville (SA2) experienced a growth rate of 6.1% since the 2021 Census, exceeding the SA4 region's growth rate of 5.7%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 94.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

For future projections, AreaSearch is utilising ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the Roseville (SA2) is expected to increase by 1,436 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 12.2% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Roseville according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, Roseville averaged around 46 new dwelling approvals per year. Between FY-21 and FY-25, approximately 230 homes were approved, with a further 9 approved so far in FY-26. This averages to about 1 new resident arriving per new home over the past five financial years. However, recent data shows an intensification to 10.4 people per dwelling over the past two financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential undersupply.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $932,000, suggesting a focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This year, $5.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, reflecting the area's residential character. The new development consists of 25.0% detached houses and 75.0% medium and high-density housing, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns which are currently 69.0% houses. This skew towards compact living offers affordable entry pathways and attracts downsizers, investors, and first-time purchasers.

The location has approximately 468 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area. Looking ahead, Roseville is expected to grow by 1,337 residents through to 2041, as estimated by the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Roseville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects likely to impact the area. Key projects include Transport Oriented Development & Rail Infrastructure - Lindfield Precinct, Chatswood CBD Expansion Projects, Rosewood Residences, and Bridgestone Projects Lindfield. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 3.9%, Roseville has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Roseville has a highly educated workforce. The technology sector is notably represented, with an unemployment rate of 3.9% and stable employment over the past year, as per AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation.

As of September 2025, 5748 residents are employed, while the unemployment rate is 0.2% lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Workforce participation stands at 64.3%, slightly higher than Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries for Roseville residents include professional & technical services, finance & insurance, and health care & social assistance. Finance & insurance is particularly strong, with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level.

Conversely, construction is under-represented at 4.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 8.6%. Limited local employment opportunities are suggested by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Roseville's labour force increased by 0.4% while employment declined by 0.4%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a smaller unemployment rate rise of 0.2%. State-level data from 25-Nov-25 shows NSW employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, favourable to the national rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts, released in May-25, offer insights into potential future demand within Roseville. These projections suggest national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Roseville's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 7.6% over five years and 15.0% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released for financial year ending June 2023, Roseville had a median income among taxpayers of $68,151 and an average income of $137,025. Nationally, this places Roseville in the top percentile for both median and average incomes. In Greater Sydney, these figures compare to $60,817 (median) and $83,023 (average). Based on Wage Price Index growth rate of 8.86% from financial year ending June 2023 to September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $74,189 and average income is around $149,165 as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, Roseville ranks highly nationally for household (91st percentile), family (93rd percentile), and personal incomes (98th percentile). In Roseville, 41.3% of individuals earn over $4,000 annually (4,529 individuals), while regionally, 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. Economic strength is evident with 53.0% of households earning more than $3,000 weekly, supporting high consumer spending. Housing costs account for 13.9% of income. Roseville residents rank in the 97th percentile nationally for disposable income and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Roseville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with strong rates of outright home ownership

Roseville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 68.7% houses and 31.2% other dwellings. Home ownership in Roseville stood at 39.7%, with 34.0% of dwellings mortgaged and 26.3% rented. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,651, and the median weekly rent was $600. Nationally, Roseville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Roseville features high concentrations of family households, with a median household size of 2.9 people

Family households constitute 80.9% of all households, including 46.3% couples with children, 24.9% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households account for 19.1%, composed of 16.5% lone person households and 2.8% group households. The median household size is 2.9 people.

Roseville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Roseville has a notably high educational attainment among residents aged 15 and above, with 61.0% holding university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. This advantage is driven by Bachelor degrees (36.9%), postgraduate qualifications (20.1%), and graduate diplomas (4.0%). Vocational pathways account for 15.6%, comprising advanced diplomas (9.1%) and certificates (6.5%). Educational participation is high, with 34.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.4% in primary, 10.2% in secondary, and 7.6% in tertiary education.

Educational participation is notably high, with 34.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.4% in primary education, 10.2% in secondary education, and 7.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Roseville has 85 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 75 routes, collectively handling 10,222 weekly passenger trips. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 135 meters to the nearest stop.

Service frequency across all routes averages 1,460 trips per day, equating to approximately 120 weekly trips per individual stop.

Roseville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Roseville exhibits excellent health outcomes, with a low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The private health cover rate is notably high at approximately 81% of the total population (8,865 people), surpassing the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.2 and 5.4% of residents respectively. A significant majority, 77.4%, report being completely free from medical ailments, contrasting with 0% reported across Greater Sydney. As of 17.4% (1,908 people), seniors aged 65 and over constitute a substantial portion of the population. Health outcomes among seniors align closely with those of the general population.

Roseville was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Roseville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 31.8% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 39.5% born overseas. The predominant religion in Roseville is Christianity, accounting for 48.2% of the population. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented in Roseville, comprising 1.1% of the population compared to None% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three represented groups are English (22.3%), Australian (18.6%), and Chinese (18.2%). Some ethnic groups have notable divergences: Korean is overrepresented at 1.5%, Hungarian at 0.4%, and French at 0.7%.

Roseville's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Roseville has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. The 15-24 age group constitutes 16.2% of Roseville's population, compared to the Greater Sydney average, indicating an over-representation in this cohort. Conversely, the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 9.5%. Between 2021 and the present, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 13.3% to 16.2%, while those aged 75-84 have risen from 5.2% to 6.3%. However, the 0-4 age group has decreased from 4.7% to 3.6%. By 2041, demographic projections suggest significant changes in Roseville's age profile. The 75-84 age cohort is expected to grow by 353 people (51%), from 690 to 1,044 residents. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are projected to account for 57% of total population growth. Meanwhile, the 0-4 and 5-14 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.