Roseville

An assessment of population growth drivers in Roseville reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of Roseville is estimated at around 10,967, reflecting an increase of 627 people since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 10,340. This growth of 6.1% was inferred from AreaSearch's resident population estimate of 10,809 based on latest ERP data release by ABS (June 2024) and an additional 175 validated new addresses since the Census date. With a density ratio of 2,797 persons per square kilometer, Roseville ranks in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The suburb's population growth of 6.1% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA4 region's growth rate of 5.8%. Overseas migration contributed approximately 94.0% of overall population gains during recent periods. AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022.

For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to increase by 1,409 persons to 2041, reflecting an overall increase of 12.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Roseville according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Based on AreaSearch analysis of ABS building approval numbers, allocated from statistical area data, Roseville has averaged around 46 new dwelling approvals per year. Over the past 5 financial years, between FY21 and FY25, an estimated 230 homes were approved, with a further 9 approved so far in FY26. On average, 1 new resident arrives per new home each year over these 5 financial years, suggesting balanced supply and demand conditions. However, recent data shows this ratio has intensified to 10.4 people per dwelling over the past 2 financial years, indicating growing popularity and potential undersupply.

New homes are being built at an average expected construction cost value of $932,000, reflecting developers' focus on the premium market with high-end developments. This year, $5.1 million in commercial approvals have been registered, suggesting the area's residential character. The new development composition is 25.0% detached houses and 75.0% medium to high-density housing, marking a significant shift from existing housing patterns (currently 69.0% houses), likely due to diminishing developable land availability and evolving lifestyle preferences. Roseville has approximately 468 people per dwelling approval, reflecting an established area.

According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, Roseville is expected to grow by 1,322 residents through to 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

Roseville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 24 projects likely to affect the area. Notable ones include Transport Oriented Development & Rail Infrastructure - Lindfield Precinct, Chatswood CBD Expansion Projects, Rosewood Residences, and Bridgestone Projects Lindfield. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Despite maintaining a low unemployment rate of 4.0%, Roseville has experienced recent job losses, resulting in a below average employment performance ranking when compared nationally

Roseville has a highly educated workforce. The technology sector is particularly well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 4.0% in the past year.

Employment stability has been relative over this period, according to AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data. As of September 2025, 5,752 residents were employed. Roseville's unemployment rate was 0.2% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was somewhat lower at 67.3%, compared to Greater Sydney's 70.0%.

According to Census responses, a high 63.3% of residents worked from home. However, Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Key industries for employment among residents are professional & technical, finance & insurance, and health care & social assistance. Roseville shows strong specialization in finance & insurance, with an employment share 1.9 times the regional level. Construction is under-represented, at 4.6% of Roseville's workforce compared to Greater Sydney's 8.6%. The predominantly residential area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, Roseville's labour force increased by 0.5%, while employment declined by 0.4%. This resulted in an unemployment rate rise of 0.8 percentage points. In comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with unemployment rising by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 provide further insight into potential future demand within Roseville. These projections estimate that national employment will expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Roseville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.6% over five years and 15.0% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data released on 30 June 2023 for financial year 2023, Roseville had a median income among taxpayers of $68,151 with an average level of $137,025. This places it in the top percentile nationally, compared to Greater Sydney's levels of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. By September 2025, estimated median income is approximately $74,189, and average income is around $149,165, based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86%. The 2021 Census shows household, family, and personal incomes in Roseville rank between the 91st and 98th percentiles nationally. Income analysis reveals that 41.3% of individuals earn over $4,000 annually, compared to regional levels where 30.9% fall within the $1,500 - $2,999 range. High weekly earnings exceeding $3,000 are achieved by 53.0% of households, indicating strong consumer spending power. Housing accounts for 13.9% of income, with residents ranking in the 97th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Roseville displays a diverse mix of dwelling types, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Roseville's dwellings, as per the latest Census, consisted of 68.7% houses and 31.2% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 65.9% houses and 34.1% other dwellings. Roseville's home ownership rate was 39.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 34.0% and rented at 26.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in Roseville was $3,651, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Roseville was $600, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Roseville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Roseville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 80.9% of all households, including 46.3% couples with children, 24.9% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 19.1%, with lone person households at 16.5% and group households comprising 2.8% of the total. The median household size is 2.9 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Roseville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Roseville's educational attainment is notably higher than broader standards. Among residents aged 15 and above, 61.0% have university qualifications, compared to 30.4% nationally and 32.2% in NSW. This significant educational advantage favours the area for knowledge-based prospects. Bachelor degrees are most common at 36.9%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (20.1%) and graduate diplomas (4.0%).

Vocational pathways account for 15.6% of qualifications among those aged 15 and above, with advanced diplomas at 9.1% and certificates at 6.5%. Educational participation is notably high in Roseville, with 34.2% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.4% in primary education, 10.2% in secondary education, and 7.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Roseville has 85 active public transport stops offering a mix of train and bus services. These stops are served by 75 routes, facilitating 10,222 weekly passenger trips in total. Transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically living 135 meters from the nearest stop. As a primarily residential area, most commuting is outward-bound. Car remains the dominant mode at 73%, while train accounts for 14% and walking for 5%. On average, there are 1.3 vehicles per dwelling.

According to the 2021 Census, 63.3% of residents work from home, which may reflect COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 1,460 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 120 weekly trips per stop.

Roseville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Roseville's health outcomes show exceptional results according to AreaSearch's assessment. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are very low across all age groups. Approximately 81% of Roseville's total population (8,864 people) has private health cover, compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 6.2% and 5.4% of residents respectively. 77.4% of Roseville's residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney. As of the assessment, 17.8% of Roseville's population is aged 65 and over (1,952 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Health outcomes among seniors are strong and align with national rankings for the general population.

Roseville was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Roseville's population shows high cultural diversity, with 31.8% speaking a language other than English at home and 39.5% born overseas. Christianity is the predominant religion in Roseville, comprising 48.2%. Notably, Judaism is overrepresented in Roseville at 1.1%, compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney.

In terms of ancestry, the top three groups are English (22.3%), Australian (18.6%), and Chinese (18.2%), which is significantly higher than the regional average of 8.4%. Some ethnic groups have notable representation differences: Korean at 1.5% in Roseville compared to 1.1% regionally, Hungarian at 0.4% versus 0.3%, and French at 0.7% versus 0.5%.

Roseville's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Roseville has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney's average, Roseville has an over-representation of the 15-24 cohort (16.6% locally) and an under-representation of the 25-34 age group (9.3%). Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.3% to 16.6%, while the 75-84 cohort has grown from 5.2% to 6.6%. Conversely, the 5-14 cohort has decreased from 15.4% to 14.0%, and the 35-44 group has dropped from 14.3% to 13.0%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests Roseville's age profile will change significantly. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to expand by 326 people (45%), from 723 to 1,050. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 58% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 5-14 and 0-4 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.