Roseville Chase

Roseville Chase is positioned among the lower quartile of areas assessed nationally for population growth based on AreaSearch's assessment of recent, and medium term trends

As of Feb 2026, the population of Roseville Chase is estimated at around 1,653, reflecting an increase of 35 people since the 2021 Census. This increase represents a growth rate of 2.2%. The resident population was last estimated by AreaSearch in June 2024 at 1,631, following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS and address validation since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 1,311 persons per square kilometer, which is above the national average assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, Roseville Chase has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 1.0%, outpacing its SA3 area. The primary driver for this growth was overseas migration, contributing approximately 92.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is utilising ABS/Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a base year of 2022 for each SA2 area. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Based on aggregated SA2-level projections, the suburb is expected to grow by 216 persons to reach a total population of 1,879 by 2041, reflecting an increase of 15.1% over the 17-year period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Roseville Chase according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Roseville Chase has seen only one residential development approval in the past five years. This indicates that the area is largely built out with minimal vacant land available for new developments. Established areas like Roseville Chase often experience steady demand for existing properties due to the lack of new-build alternatives.

Compared to Greater Sydney, Roseville Chase has significantly less development activity. The scarcity of new homes typically enhances demand and prices for existing properties in such areas. This level of development activity is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and suggesting possible planning constraints.

Roseville Chase has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

No infrastructure changes or major projects are anticipated in the area, as AreaSearch has identified zero such initiatives.

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AreaSearch analysis places Roseville Chase well above average for employment performance across multiple indicators

Roseville Chase has a highly educated workforce. In the technology sector, its representation is notable, with an unemployment rate of 2.7% as of September 2025. Over the past year, estimated employment growth was 0.8%.

This figure is based on AreaSearch aggregation of statistical area data. As of that date, 891 residents were in work, and the unemployment rate was 1.5% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation was at par with Greater Sydney's 70.0%. A high proportion, 63.6%, of Roseville Chase residents worked from home according to Census responses.

However, Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered when interpreting this figure. Employment among residents is concentrated in professional & technical, finance & insurance, and health care & social assistance sectors. The area has a particular employment specialization in professional & technical services, with an employment share of 1.8 times the regional level. In contrast, health care & social assistance employs just 10.2% of local workers, which is below Greater Sydney's rate of 14.1%. The predominantly residential nature of the area suggests limited employment opportunities locally, as indicated by the count of Census working population versus resident population. Over a 12-month period ending in September 2025, employment increased by 0.8% while labour force grew by 1.2%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.4 percentage points. By comparison, Greater Sydney recorded employment growth of 2.1%, labour force growth of 2.4%, with unemployment rising by 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 offer insight into potential future demand within Roseville Chase. These projections estimate national employment expansion at 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these industry-specific projections to Roseville Chase's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.5% over five years and 14.7% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

AreaSearch's latest postcode level ATO data for financial year 2023 shows that Roseville Chase has one of the highest incomes nationally. The median income is $66,954 and the average is $140,425. This contrasts with Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since financial year 2023, current estimates for Roseville Chase would be approximately $72,886 (median) and $152,867 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data reveals that incomes in Roseville Chase rank highly nationally, with household, family, and personal incomes all between the 90th and 99th percentiles. The majority of residents, 49.6%, fall into the $4000+ bracket (819 people), unlike surrounding regions where 30.9% earn between $1,500 - 2,999 weekly. A substantial proportion of residents, 61.5%, exceed $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power in the community. After housing costs, residents retain 88.1% of their income, reflecting strong purchasing power. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Roseville Chase is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Roseville Chase's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 95.8% houses and 4.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), contrasting with Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in Roseville Chase stood at 48.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 41.6% and rented ones at 10.3%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $4,000, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent in Roseville Chase was $925, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, Roseville Chase's mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were above the national figure of $375.

Roseville Chase features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 87.4% of all households, including 56.1% couples with children, 23.2% couples without children, and 7.2% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.6%, with lone person households at 12.0% and group households making up 1.0%. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Roseville Chase demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

Roseville Chase has a notably high educational attainment, with 54.0% of residents aged 15+ holding university qualifications. This figure surpasses both the national average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. The area's educational advantage is evident in its distribution of qualifications: Bachelor degrees are most common at 36.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (13.4%) and graduate diplomas (4.5%). Vocational pathways account for 18.3% of qualifications, with advanced diplomas making up 10.7% and certificates 7.6%.

Educational participation in the area is also high, with 32.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.6% in primary education, 10.6% in secondary education, and 6.7% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Roseville Chase has eight active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 55 different routes that together facilitate 4,447 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is considered good, with residents living an average of 268 meters from the nearest stop. As a predominantly residential area, most commuting is outward-bound. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation for residents, used by 84% of them, while buses are used by 6%, and cycling by 2%. The average number of vehicles per dwelling is 1.8, which is higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 63.6% of residents work from home, a figure that may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. On average, there are 635 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 555 weekly trips per individual stop.

Roseville Chase's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

AreaSearch's assessment shows Roseville Chase has low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence are outstanding. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 82% of the total population (1,358 people), compared to 59.9% in Greater Sydney and 55.7% nationally.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.7%) and arthritis (5.5%). 77.8% of residents declare no medical ailments, higher than the 74.6% in Greater Sydney. Roseville Chase has 18.7% seniors (309 people), higher than Greater Sydney's 15.4%. Senior health outcomes are strong and align with national rankings.

Roseville Chase was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Roseville Chase had a higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas, with 25.0% of its residents speaking a language other than English at home and 33.5% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Roseville Chase, accounting for 53.1% of the population. Notably, Judaism was overrepresented, making up 1.2% of the population compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups were English at 23.8%, Australian at 20.1%, and Chinese at 11.8%. Some ethnic groups showed significant differences: French residents made up 1.1% in Roseville Chase versus 0.5% regionally, Hungarians comprised 0.5% compared to 0.3%, and Lebanese residents were 1.4% compared to the regional average of 2.6%.

Roseville Chase hosts a notably older demographic compared to the national average

The median age in Roseville Chase is 45 years, significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, Roseville Chase has a higher proportion of residents aged 45-54 (17.1%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (4.7%). This concentration of 45-54 year-olds is well above the national average of 12.0%. According to the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 15-24 has increased from 13.2% to 15.6%, while those aged 75-84 have grown from 5.5% to 6.7%. Conversely, the proportion of residents aged 0-4 has declined from 4.2% to 3.0%. By 2041, demographic projections indicate significant shifts in Roseville Chase's age structure. The 85+ group is expected to grow by 116%, reaching 107 people from the current total of 49. Notably, the combined age groups of 65 and above will account for 57% of the total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. In contrast, the 35-44 age group is projected to contract by 2 residents.