Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls

An assessment of population growth drivers in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls' population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, was around 17,657 by November 2025. This figure reflects a growth of 482 people, a 2.8% increase since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 17,175. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,622 in June 2024 and an additional 20 validated new addresses since the Census date. This translates to a density ratio of 1,057 persons per square kilometer, roughly in line with averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 2.8% growth since census is within 0.4 percentage points of the SA4 region (3.2%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration drove population growth, contributing approximately 72.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Population projections indicate an above median growth for statistical areas across the nation, with Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls expected to increase by 2,241 persons to 2041, reflecting a total gain of 12.5% over the 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has averaged approximately 82 new dwelling approvals annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, a total of 411 homes were approved, with an additional 11 approved in FY-26 so far. The average number of new residents per year arriving for each new home over these five financial years was around 0.7.

This indicates that new construction is keeping pace with or exceeding demand, offering buyers more options and facilitating population growth. The average expected construction cost value of new dwellings in the area is approximately $957,000, suggesting developers are targeting the premium market segment with higher-end properties. In FY-26, there have been $7.9 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has 61.0% more building activity per person, providing buyers with ample choice. However, development activity has moderated in recent periods.

In terms of dwelling types, new building activity shows 58.0% detached houses and 42.0% townhouses or apartments, indicating an expanding range of medium-density options that cater to various price brackets, from traditional family housing to more affordable compact alternatives. This represents a notable shift from the area's existing housing composition, which is currently 94.0% houses. This change suggests decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects evolving lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. With approximately 831 people per approval, Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls demonstrates its status as a mature, established area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by 2,206 residents through to 2041. With current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Local infrastructure changes significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 49 projects likely impacting the area. Notable ones include Forestway Shopping Centre Redevelopment, The Jardin - Stage 1 & 2, a 146-room hotel at Forest Hotel, and Forest Way Cycle Path Extension. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has a highly educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. As of June 2025, its unemployment rate is 2.3%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

The area had 9,633 residents employed with an unemployment rate 1.9% below Greater Sydney's and a workforce participation rate of 66.9%. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical (1.3 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and education & training sectors. Transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence at 2.6%, compared to 5.3% regionally. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating local employment opportunities above the norm.

Over a year ending June 2025, labour force remained stable while employment declined by 0.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.4 percentage points. Meanwhile, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.6% and unemployment increase by 0.3 percentage points. As of Nov-25, NSW employment contracted by 0.03% with an unemployment rate of 3.9%. National forecasts from May-25 suggest national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls's employment mix indicates local employment growth should be 7.1% over five years and 14.2% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls SA2 had exceptionally high income levels nationally according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers was $63,081 and the average income stood at $94,765, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $71,036 (median) and $106,715 (average) as of September 2025. Census data revealed household incomes ranked exceptionally at the 97th percentile ($3,142 weekly). The earnings profile showed that 38.3% of residents (6,762 people) fell into the $4000+ bracket, diverging from the broader area where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominated at 30.9%. A significant 52.2% earned above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consumed 15.4% of income, but strong earnings still placed disposable income at the 97th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 10th decile.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls' dwellings, as per the latest Census, were 94.1% houses and 5.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). Sydney metro had 57.6% houses and 42.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls was 39.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.0% and rented ones at 13.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,400, above Sydney's average of $3,000. Median weekly rent was $828, compared to Sydney's $592. Nationally, mortgage repayments were higher than the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.2% of all households, including 53.9% couples with children, 23.8% couples without children, and 8.9% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.8%, with lone person households at 11.3% and group households making up 1.4%. The median household size is 3.2 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally with university qualification rates at 39.8% for residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 27.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.3% and certificates for 17.2%.

Educational participation is high, with 32.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 11.4% in primary education, 10.1% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has 113 active public transport stops. These are served by a mix of buses via 117 different routes. Together, these routes facilitate 4,811 weekly passenger trips.

The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents located an average of 163 meters from the nearest stop. On average, there are 687 daily trips across all routes, equating to about 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls shows excellent health outcomes with very low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. The private health cover rate is approximately 69% of its total population of 12,236 people, compared to Greater Sydney's 71.5%. Nationally, the average is 55.3%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 7.0% and 6.1% respectively. 74.7% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 74.7%. The area has 2,971 people aged 65 and over, comprising 16.8% of the population. Seniors' health outcomes align with the general population's profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Frenchs Forest-Oxford Falls, as per data from the Australian Bureau of Statistics Census 2016, displayed higher cultural diversity than most local areas. Here, 16.8% spoke languages other than English at home and 29.9% were born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, with 53.9%.

Notably, Judaism, at 0.3%, was proportionally similar to Greater Sydney's 0.3%. In terms of ancestry, the top groups were English (28.9%), Australian (23.0%), and Other (9.6%). Some ethnicities showed notable differences: French was overrepresented at 1.1% compared to regional 1.1%, Welsh at 0.9% versus regional 0.7%, and South African at 1.0% against regional 0.9%.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has a median age of 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. The 45-54 age group is notably over-represented locally at 16.8%, compared to the Greater Sydney average, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 6.1%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.2% to 16.1% of the population. Conversely, the 65-74 age group has decreased from 8.6% to 7.4%, and the 5-14 age group has dropped from 16.3% to 15.2%. Demographic modeling suggests that Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls' age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 168%, adding 727 residents to reach 1,162. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 65% of the population growth. However, population declines are anticipated for the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups.