Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls
Statistical Area - sa2

An assessment of population growth drivers in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls' population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, was around 17,657 by Nov 2025. This figure showed a rise of 482 people (2.8%) since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 17,175. The increase is inferred from ABS' estimated resident population of 17,622 in June 2024 and an additional 20 validated new addresses post-census. This resulted in a density ratio of 1,057 persons per square kilometer, comparable to averages seen across locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth rate of 2.8% since the census was within 0.4 percentage points of its SA4 region (3.2%), indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth, contributing approximately 72.3% of overall gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch used NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to population projections, the area is expected to experience above median growth nationally, increasing by 2,241 persons by 2041 based on latest numbers, a gain of 12.5% over 17 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Frenchs Forest-Oxford Falls averaged approximately 82 new dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, with a total of 411 homes approved during this period and an additional 11 approved in FY-26. On average, 0.7 new residents moved into each newly constructed home per year over these five years. This rate suggests that new construction is meeting or exceeding demand, providing more housing options for buyers and enabling population growth.

The average expected construction cost of new dwellings was $244,000, below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options. In FY-26, there have been $7.9 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's primarily residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Frenchs Forest-Oxford Falls has 61.0% more building activity per person. This increased development activity offers buyers ample choice, although recent periods show some moderation. New building activity consists of approximately 58.0% detached houses and 42.0% townhouses or apartments, demonstrating an expanding range of medium-density housing options.

This shift from the area's existing housing stock (currently 94.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and reflects changing lifestyles and the need for more diverse, affordable housing options. With around 831 people per approval, Frenchs Forest-Oxford Falls is considered a mature, established area. By 2041, it is projected to grow by approximately 2,206 residents. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers and potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 49 projects that could impact the region. Notable projects include Forestway Shopping Centre Redevelopment, The Jardin - Stage 1 & 2, a 146-room hotel at Forest Hotel, and Forest Way Cycle Path Extension. The following list details those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls ranks among the top 25% of areas assessed nationally for overall employment performance

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in the technology sector. As of June 2025, its unemployment rate is 2.3%, below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Over the past year, employment stability was relative. There are 9,633 residents employed, with an unemployment rate 1.9% lower than Greater Sydney's. Workforce participation is high at 66.9%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment concentrations include professional & technical (1.3 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and education & training.

Transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence with 2.6% employment versus 5.3% regionally. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating above-normal local employment opportunities. Between June 2024 and June 2025, labour force remained stable (0.0%), while employment declined by 0.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.4 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.6%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years nationally. Applying these projections to Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls' employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 7.1% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, based on simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls' median income among taxpayers was $63,081 and average income stood at $94,765 in the financial year 2022. These figures are higher than Greater Sydney's median income of $56,994 and average income of $80,856 during the same period. Based on a Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls would be approximately $71,036 (median) and $106,715 (average) as of September 2025. According to census data, household incomes rank at the 98th percentile ($3,142 weekly). The earnings profile shows that 38.3% of residents earn above $4,000 weekly (6,762 people), unlike the broader area where the $1,500 - $2,999 category is predominant at 30.9%. A significant 52.2% of residents earn above $3,000 weekly, reflecting prosperity that drives local economic activity. High housing costs consume 15.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 97th percentile. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls dwelling structures, as per the latest Census, consisted of 94.1% houses and 5.9% other dwellings (including semi-detached, apartments, 'other' types). This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 57.6% houses and 42.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls stood at 39.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.0% and rented ones at 13.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,400, exceeding Sydney metro's average of $3,000. Median weekly rent in the area was recorded at $828, compared to Sydney metro's $592. Nationally, Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls' mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 87.2% of all households, including 53.9% couples with children, 23.8% couples without children, and 8.9% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 12.8%, with lone person households at 11.3% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates at 39.8% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and NSW's rate of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 27.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.3% and certificates for 17.2%.

Educational participation is high at 32.9%, including 11.4% in primary education, 10.1% in secondary education, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education. Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls operates a robust network of 8 schools educating approximately 3,777 students, demonstrating significant socio-educational advantages and academic achievement (ICSEA: 1107). The educational mix includes 5 primary, 2 secondary, and 1 K-12 school. School capacity exceeds typical residential needs at 21.4 places per 100 residents compared to the regional average of 16.2, indicating the area serves as an educational center for the broader region.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has 113 active public transport stops. These are served by a mix of buses on 117 routes, offering 4,811 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents have excellent accessibility to transport, with an average distance of 163 meters to the nearest stop.

On average, there are 687 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls shows excellent health outcomes with very low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. The private health cover rate is approximately 69% of the total population of 12,236 people, compared to Greater Sydney's 71.5%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%.

Asthma and arthritis are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 7.0% and 6.1% respectively. A total of 74.7% of residents report no medical ailments, similar to Greater Sydney's 74.7%. The area has 16.8% seniors aged 65 and over (2,971 people), with health outcomes among this group being particularly strong and broadly in line with the general population's profile.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

Frenchs Forest-Oxford Falls had a higher cultural diversity compared to most local areas, with 16.8% of residents speaking a language other than English at home and 29.9% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 53.9% of the population. Judaism, however, showed an overrepresentation at 0.3%, compared to the regional average of 0.3%.

The top three ancestry groups were English (28.9%), Australian (23.0%), and Other (9.6%). Some ethnic groups had notable differences in representation: French was overrepresented at 1.1% (vs 1.1% regionally), Welsh at 0.9% (vs 0.7%), and South African at 1.0% (vs 0.9%).

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls's median age exceeds the national pattern

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has a median age of 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and slightly older than Australia's median of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has an over-representation of the 45-54 age cohort at 16.8% locally, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 6.1%. According to the 2021 Census, the 15-24 age group has increased from 13.2% to 16.1%, while the 65-74 cohort has decreased from 8.6% to 7.4% and the 5-14 group has dropped from 16.3% to 15.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls' age profile. The 85+ cohort is projected to grow by 168%, adding 727 residents to reach 1,162. Residents aged 65 and older are expected to represent 65% of the population growth, while declines are anticipated for the 0-4 and 35-44 age groups.