Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls

An assessment of population growth drivers in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls' population, as per AreaSearch's analysis, was approximately 17,657 by November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 482 people, a rise of 2.8%, since the 2021 Census which reported a population of 17,175. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 17,622 as of June 2024 and an additional 20 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a density ratio of 1,057 persons per square kilometer, roughly inline with averages across locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 2.8% growth since census is within 0.4 percentage points of the SA4 region's 3.2%, indicating competitive growth fundamentals. Overseas migration primarily drove population growth, contributing approximately 72.3% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, they utilise NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population projections indicate an above median growth for statistical areas across the nation. By 2041, Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls is projected to increase by 2,241 persons, reflecting a total gain of 12.5% over the 17-year period based on the latest annual ERP population numbers.

Residential development activity is lower than average in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls averaged approximately 82 new dwelling approvals annually over several years. Between FY-21 and FY-25411 homes were approved, with an additional 23 approved in FY-26 to date. On average, around 0.7 new residents per year have been associated with each new home over the past five financial years.

This suggests that new construction has kept pace with or exceeded demand, providing buyers with more options and potentially facilitating population growth beyond current expectations. The average expected construction cost of these dwellings is $244,000, which is below the regional average, indicating more affordable housing options for buyers. In FY-26 alone, there have been $7.9 million in commercial approvals, reflecting the area's predominantly residential nature. Compared to Greater Sydney, Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has shown 61.0% more building activity per person, offering ample choice for buyers despite some moderation in development activity recently. The types of new buildings approved in the area are approximately 58.0% detached houses and 42.0% townhouses or apartments.

This shift from the existing housing stock (currently 94.0% houses) indicates decreasing availability of developable sites and a growing preference for diverse, affordable housing options. With around 831 people per approval, Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls is considered a mature, established area. According to the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by approximately 2,206 residents by 2041. With current construction levels, it is anticipated that housing supply will adequately meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth beyond current forecasts.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 40% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch identified 49 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include Forestway Shopping Centre Redevelopment, The Jardin - Stage 1 & 2, a 146-room hotel at Forest Hotel, and Forest Way Cycle Path Extension. Below is a list of most relevant projects.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in the technology sector. As of September 2025, its unemployment rate is 2.7%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

There are 9,641 residents employed, with an unemployment rate 1.5% below Greater Sydney's and a workforce participation rate of 66.9%. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical (1.3 times the regional average), health care & social assistance, and education & training. Transport, postal & warehousing has limited presence at 2.6%, compared to the regional average of 5.3%. The worker-to-resident ratio is 0.7, indicating above-average local employment opportunities.

Between August 2024 and September 2025, labour force decreased by 0.4% while employment declined by 1.0%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.6 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 2.1%. Statewide in NSW, as of 25-Nov-25, employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with an unemployment rate of 3.9%, lower than the national rate of 4.3%. National employment forecasts from May-25 project a 6.6% increase over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls SA2 had an exceptionally high national income level according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2022. The median income among taxpayers was $63,081 and the average income stood at $94,765, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $71,036 (median) and $106,715 (average) as of September 2025. Census data reveals household incomes rank exceptionally at the 97th percentile ($3,142 weekly). The earnings profile shows the $4000+ bracket dominates with 38.3% of residents (6,762 people), diverging from the broader area where the $1,500 - 2,999 category predominates at 30.9%. A significant 52.2% earn above $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 15.4% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 97th percentile and the area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls' dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, had 94.1% houses and 5.9% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other'). Sydney metro had 57.6% houses and 42.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls was 39.1%, with mortgaged dwellings at 47.0% and rented ones at 13.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,400, higher than Sydney metro's $3,000. Weekly rent was $828, compared to Sydney metro's $592. Nationally, Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls' mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national average of $375.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.2% of all households, including 53.9% couples with children, 23.8% couples without children, and 8.9% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 12.8%, with lone person households at 11.3% and group households comprising 1.4%. The median household size is 3.2 people, larger than Greater Sydney's average of 2.7.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

The area's educational profile is notable regionally, with university qualification rates of 39.8% among residents aged 15+, surpassing the Australian average of 30.4% and the NSW average of 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most prevalent at 27.2%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (9.3%) and graduate diplomas (3.3%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 29.5% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas account for 12.3% and certificates for 17.2%.

Educational participation is notably high, with 32.9% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including 11.4% in primary, 10.1% in secondary, and 5.6% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is good compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls has 113 active public transport stops. These stops offer bus services via 117 routes, serving 4,811 weekly passenger trips in total. Residents enjoy excellent transport accessibility, with an average distance of 163 meters to the nearest stop.

On average, there are 687 daily trips and approximately 42 weekly trips per individual stop.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 69% of the total population (12,236 people), compared to 71.5% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.3%. Asthma and arthritis are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 7.0 and 6.1% of residents respectively, while 74.7% declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, similar to the 74.7% figure across Greater Sydney.

The area has 16.8% of residents aged 65 and over (2,971 people), with health outcomes among seniors broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

Frenchs Forest-Oxford Falls, as per the ABS Census 2016 data, had a higher cultural diversity than most local areas with 16.8% of its population speaking languages other than English at home and 29.9% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in Frenchs Forest-Oxford Falls, comprising 53.9%. However, Judaism showed an overrepresentation compared to Greater Sydney, being 0.3% in Frenchs Forest-Oxford Falls versus 0.3% regionally.

English ancestry topped the list at 28.9%, followed by Australian at 23.0%, and Other at 9.6%. Notably, French (1.1%), Welsh (0.9%), and South African (1.0%) ancestries were overrepresented compared to regional averages of 1.1%, 0.7%, and 0.9% respectively.

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls's population is slightly older than the national pattern

Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls's median age is 41 years, which is significantly higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and slightly older than Australia's median of 38 years. The 2021 Census shows that the 45-54 age cohort is notably over-represented in Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls at 16.8%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 6.1%. Comparing the 2016 and 2021 Census data, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 13.2% to 16.1% of the population. Conversely, the 65 to 74 age cohort has decreased from 8.6% to 7.4%, and the 5 to 14 age group has dropped from 16.3% to 15.2%. Demographic modeling suggests that Frenchs Forest - Oxford Falls's age profile will change significantly by 2041. The 85+ age cohort is projected to grow by 168%, adding 727 residents to reach a total of 1,162. This growth is driven by demographic aging, with residents aged 65 and older representing 65% of the anticipated population increase. Conversely, population declines are projected for the 0 to 4 and 35 to 44 age cohorts.