North Manly

North Manly has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

As of November 2025, North Manly's population is estimated at approximately 3,573 people. This figure reflects an increase of 177 individuals since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 3,396. The estimated resident population of 3,560 was derived from AreaSearch's examination of the latest ABS ERP data release in June 2024, combined with validation of nine new addresses post-Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,248 persons per square kilometer for North Manly, placing it in the upper quartile compared to other locations assessed by AreaSearch. North Manly's population growth rate of 5.2% since the 2021 Census surpassed both the SA4 region (3.2%) and the SA3 area, indicating its status as a growth leader within the region. Overseas migration contributed approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch employs ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year, for future population trends. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a 2021 base year. By 2041, North Manly is anticipated to grow by approximately 111 persons based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a total growth rate of 4.1% over the 17-year period. This projection aligns with the anticipated lower quartile growth trend for statistical areas across the nation.

Residential development activity is lower than average in North Manly according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

North Manly has seen approximately 7 dwellings receiving development approval annually, with around 36 homes approved between FY21 and FY25, and another 1 in FY26. This results in an average of around 2.7 people moving to the area per new home constructed over these years. The average construction cost value for new homes is approximately $1,054,000, indicating a focus on the premium market.

In terms of commercial development, $27.8 million in approvals have been registered in FY26 alone. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Manly shows around 75% of the construction activity per person, placing it among the 23rd percentile nationally. This results in relatively constrained buyer choice, supporting interest in existing properties. The current housing mix consists of 83.0% houses, but new development is changing this with a growing mix of townhouses and apartments, comprising 60.0% detached houses and 40.0% medium and high-density housing. With around 711 people per dwelling approval, North Manly reflects a highly mature market.

Population forecasts indicate it will gain approximately 148 residents by 2041. At current development rates, new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

North Manly has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 10% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 12 projects likely impacting the area. Key projects include The Alba, Freshwater Beach Masterplan, Brookvale Structure Plan Implementation, and Warringah Mall Mixed Use Redevelopment. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

AreaSearch analysis reveals North Manly significantly outperforming the majority of regions assessed nationwide

North Manly has a highly educated workforce with notable representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate was 2.1% as of June 2025, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Workforce participation in North Manly is high at 68.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical (1.6 times the regional average), health care & social assistance (10.9% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 14.1%), and construction sectors. Despite local employment opportunities, many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels remained stable at 0.0%, labour force increased by 0.5%, resulting in unemployment rising by 0.5 percentage points.

In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from Sep-22 suggest North Manly's employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.2% over ten years based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

North Manly's income level is among the top percentile nationally according to the latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for financial year 2022. North Manly's median income among taxpayers is $62,741 and the average income stands at $112,220. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median of $56,994 and average of $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates would be approximately $70,653 (median) and $126,371 (average) as of September 2025. According to 2021 Census figures, household, family and personal incomes in North Manly rank highly nationally, between the 87th and 98th percentiles. Distribution data shows that 38.2% of residents (1,364 people) fall into the $4000+ bracket, contrasting with regional levels where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Economic strength is evident through 52.1% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 16.0% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 97th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

North Manly is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In North Manly, as per the latest Census, 82.6% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 17.4% consisting of semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This contrasts with Sydney metro's figures of 57.6% houses and 42.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in North Manly stood at 34.9%, similar to Sydney metro, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.9% and rented ones at 21.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,600, higher than the Sydney metro average of $3,000. Median weekly rent in North Manly was $675 compared to $592 in Sydney metro. Nationally, North Manly's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $3,600 versus Australia's average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Manly features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 81.6 percent of all households, including 49.8 percent couples with children, 21.2 percent couples without children, and 9.9 percent single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 18.4 percent, with lone person households at 16.3 percent and group households comprising 2.4 percent of the total. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

North Manly demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Manly's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 41.8% have university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 28.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 27.4% of residents aged 15+ holding them - advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (15.4%).

Educational participation is high, with 34.7% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 12.3% in primary, 11.2% in secondary, and 5.1% in tertiary education. Schools appear to be located outside immediate catchment boundaries, requiring residents to access them in neighboring areas.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Manly has 23 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 37 different routes that together facilitate 3,448 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as excellent, with residents on average located just 146 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, these routes make an average of 492 trips, which amounts to approximately 149 weekly trips per individual stop.

North Manly's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

North Manly's health outcomes data shows exceptional results with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover stands at approximately 71% of the total population (2,541 people), significantly higher than the national average of 55.3%.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent medical conditions in the area, affecting 5.6% and 5.5% of residents respectively. A total of 77.7% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.7% across Greater Sydney. North Manly has 14.7% of residents aged 65 and over (525 people), lower than the 17.8% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors require more attention than those of the broader population.

North Manly was found to be more culturally diverse than the vast majority of local markets in Australia, upon assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

North Manly's population showed significant cultural diversity, with 16.6% speaking a language other than English at home as of 2016 Census data. Born overseas, 31.5% of North Manly residents were recorded in this period. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 50.6%.

Judaism's presence was notably higher than Greater Sydney's average, with 0.2% compared to 0.3%. Ancestry-wise, English (30.0%), Australian (22.2%), and Irish (8.6%) were the top three groups in North Manly. Some ethnicities had notable variations: French was slightly overrepresented at 1.0%, New Zealand at 1.2%, and Spanish at 0.8%.

North Manly's median age exceeds the national pattern

North Manly has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. The 45-54 age group is notably over-represented in North Manly at 16.9%, while the 25-34 age group is under-represented at 9.0%. Between 2021 and present, the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 12.1% to 13.9% of the population. Conversely, the 5 to 14 age group has declined from 17.6% to 16.2%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in North Manly's age profile. The 75 to 84 age cohort is projected to grow by 125 people (70%), from 178 to 304. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups will account for 92% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic profile. Meanwhile, the 45 to 54 and 25 to 34 cohorts are expected to experience population declines.