North Manly

North Manly has seen population growth performance typically on par with national averages when looking at short and medium term trends

Based on analysis of ABS population updates for the broader area, and new addresses validated by AreaSearch, the population of North Manly is estimated at around 3,569 as of May 2026. This reflects an increase of 173 people (5.1%) since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 3,396 people. The change is inferred from the resident population of 3,569, estimated by AreaSearch following examination of the latest ERP data release by the ABS in June 2025 and an additional 8 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 3,244 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. North Manly's growth of 5.1% since the 2021 census exceeded the SA3 area (3.7%), along with the SA4 region, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by overseas migration that contributed approximately 65.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Examining future trends, lower quartile growth is anticipated, with the suburb expected to increase by 98 persons to 2041 based on aggregated SA2-level projections, reflecting a gain of 2.8% in total over the 16 years.

Residential development activity is lower than average in North Manly according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

North Manly has seen approximately 6 dwelling approvals annually over the past five financial years, totalling an estimated 34 homes. In FY-26 so far, 6 approvals have been recorded. This results in around 588 people per dwelling approval, indicating a highly mature market.

The average number of new residents per year for every home built between FY-21 and FY-25 is approximately 3.3. Demand significantly outpaces supply, which typically puts upward pressure on prices and increases competition among buyers. New properties are constructed at an average expected construction cost value of $1,054,000, demonstrating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. Relative to Greater Sydney, North Manly shows approximately 67% of the construction activity per person, placing it among the 28th percentile of areas assessed nationally, resulting in relatively constrained buyer choice and supporting interest in existing properties. This level is also below average nationally, reflecting the area's maturity and possible planning constraints. New development consists of 50.0% standalone homes and 50.0% attached dwellings, a significant departure from existing housing patterns (currently 83.0% houses), suggesting diminishing developable land availability and responding to evolving lifestyle preferences and housing affordability needs.

Future projections show North Manly adding 98 residents by 2041, with current development rates indicating that new housing supply should comfortably meet demand, providing good conditions for buyers and potentially supporting growth beyond current population projections.

North Manly has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 12 projects likely to affect the area. Notable ones are The Alba, Freshwater Beach Masterplan, Warringah Mall Mixed Use Redevelopment, and Brookvale Structure Plan Implementation. Below is a list detailing those most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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The labour market in North Manly shows considerable strength compared to most other Australian regions

North Manly has a highly educated workforce, with the technology sector prominent. Its unemployment rate is 2.7%, according to AreaSearch's statistical area data aggregation. As of December 2025, 2,072 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.5% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation in North Manly is 75.0%, compared to Greater Sydney's 68.8%. Census responses show that 53.2% of residents work from home, though Covid-19 lockdown impacts should be considered. Leading employment industries include professional & technical, health care & social assistance, and construction. North Manly is particularly strong in professional & technical services, with an employment share 1.6 times the regional level.

However, health care & social assistance is under-represented, at 10.9% compared to Greater Sydney's 14.1%. Many residents commute elsewhere for work based on Census working population to local population counts. Between December 2024 and December 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.5%, with employment declining by 1.4%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.8 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.2% and labour force growth of 2.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to North Manly's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 7.1% over five years and 14.2% over ten years, though this is a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes and does not account for localised population projections.

Income metrics indicate excellent economic conditions, with the area achieving higher performance than 75% of national locations assessed by AreaSearch

The suburb of North Manly had a median taxpayer income of $62,741 and an average income of $112,220 in the latest postcode level ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch for the financial year 2023. This is notably higher than the national median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since financial year 2023, estimated incomes for March 2026 would be approximately $69,216 (median) and $123,801 (average). Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in North Manly rank highly nationally, between the 87th and 98th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 38.2% of locals (1,363 people) fall into the $4000+ category, contrasting with the regional leading bracket of $1,500 - 2,999 at 30.9%. Economic strength is evident through 52.1% of households earning high weekly incomes exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. High housing costs consume 16.0% of income, however strong earnings still place disposable income at the 97th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

North Manly is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with above-average rates of outright home ownership

In North Manly, as per the latest Census, 82.6% of dwellings were houses, with 17.4% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This compares to Sydney metro's 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. Home ownership in North Manly was 34.9%, with mortgaged dwellings at 43.9% and rented ones at 21.2%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,600, higher than Sydney metro's average of $2,427. Median weekly rent in North Manly was $675, compared to Sydney metro's $470. Nationally, North Manly's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Manly features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 81.6% of all households, including 49.8% couples with children, 21.2% couples without children, and 9.9% single parent families. Non-family households make up the remaining 18.4%, with lone person households at 16.3% and group households comprising 2.4% of the total. The median household size is 3.1 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

North Manly demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Manly's educational attainment exceeds national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 41.8% have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. University graduates make up the majority at 28.6%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (10.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.7%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 27.4% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas (12.0%) and certificates (15.4%).

Educational participation is high, with 34.7% of residents currently enrolled in formal education, including primary (12.3%), secondary (11.2%), and tertiary (5.1%) levels.

Transport servicing is high compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Manly has 38 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 37 different routes that together facilitate 3271 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated excellent, with residents typically residing 144 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Car remains the primary mode of transport at 77%, followed by bus at 8% and walking at 7%. Vehicle ownership stands at an average of 1.5 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high percentage of residents work from home, which could be due to COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency averages 467 trips per day across all routes, equating to approximately 86 weekly trips per individual stop.

North Manly's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with younger cohorts in particular seeing very low prevalence of common health conditions

Health outcomes data shows excellent results in North Manly, with AreaSearch's assessment revealing low mortality rates and chronic condition prevalence, notably in younger cohorts. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 71% of the total population (2,538 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and 55.7% nationally. The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.6% and 5.5% of residents respectively.

A significant majority, 77.7%, report being completely free of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. North Manly has 15.2% of residents aged 65 and over (542 people). While health outcomes among seniors are strong, they rank lower nationally than the broader population.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in North Manly was found to be above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

North Manly, surveyed in June 2021, showed higher cultural diversity than most local areas, with 16.6% speaking a language other than English at home and 31.5% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion, accounting for 50.6%. Judaism, however, was overrepresented at 0.2%, compared to Greater Sydney's 0.8%.

In ancestry, the top groups were English (30.0%), Australian (22.2%), and Irish (8.6%). Notably, French (1.0% vs regional 0.5%), New Zealand (1.2% vs 0.5%), and Spanish (0.8% vs 0.6%) groups were overrepresented.

North Manly's population is slightly older than the national pattern

North Manly has a median age of 40, which is slightly higher than Greater Sydney's figure of 37 and Australia's figure of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Manly has a notably higher proportion of the 45-54 age group (16.6% locally) but a lower proportion of the 25-34 age group (8.9%). Between 2021 and present, the 15-24 age group has increased from 12.1% to 13.9%, while the 5-14 age group has decreased from 17.6% to 16.3%. The 45-54 age group also saw a decrease from 17.9% to 16.6%. By 2041, demographic modeling suggests significant changes in North Manly's age profile. The 75-84 age cohort is projected to grow by 55%, from 185 to 288 people. Notably, the combined 65+ age groups are expected to account for 93% of total population growth, reflecting the area's aging demographic trend. Meanwhile, the 25-34 and 45-54 cohorts are anticipated to experience population declines.