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This analysis uses ABS Statistical Areas Level 2 (SA2) boundaries, which can materially differ from Suburbs and Localities (SAL) even when sharing similar names.
SA2 boundaries are defined by the Australian Bureau of Statistics and are designed to represent communities for statistical reporting (e.g., census and ERP).
Suburbs and Localities (SAL) represent commonly-used suburb/locality names (postal-style areas) and may use different geographic boundaries. For comprehensive analysis, consider reviewing both boundary types if available.
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ABS ERP | -- people | --
2021 Census | -- people
The median house price in Manly - Fairlight is $4.40m, with units at $2.00m. House values have moved 0.9% a year compounded over five years.
Curious about local property values? Filter the chart to assess the volume and appreciation (including resales) trends and regional comparisons, or scroll to the map below view this information at an individual property level.
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Manly - Fairlight has an estimated 24,579 residents, up from 22,438 at the 2021 Census — a change of 2,141 people, or 9.5%. Growth has averaged 0.9% a year over five years. 141 new addresses have been validated here since Census night. Overseas migration accounts for 84.3% of that increase. That puts 3,647 residents on each square kilometre. Population is estimated from ABS Estimated Resident Population releases and GNAF address data, re-based from the 2021 Census and updated annually.
Detail
According to research by AreaSearch, the population of Manly - Fairlight is estimated at 24,579 in May 2026. This represents a growth of 2,141 residents (9.5%) from the 2021 Census, which recorded 22,438 people. This shift is calculated using the June 2025 ABS estimated resident population of 24,569 combined with 141 validated new addresses identified since the Census. The resulting population density stands at 3,646 persons per square kilometer, placing the locality in the highest quarter of all national areas analyzed. The 9.5% population expansion since the 2021 census outpaced the broader SA4 region (3.7%) as well as the SA3 area, establishing the community as a regional growth leader.
Population gains were primarily fueled by overseas migration, which accounted for approximately 84.3% of the total growth during recent timeframes. ABS and Geoscience Australia projections released in 2024 with a 2022 baseline are applied by AreaSearch to each SA2 location. For any SA2 regions lacking this coverage, projections from the NSW State Government released in 2022 with a 2021 baseline are substituted. Age bracket growth trends derived from these sources are also mapped to all areas for the period 2032 to 2041. Based on these anticipated demographic transformations, population growth is projected to land slightly under the national median for statistical areas, with the locality expected to add 2,558 residents by 2041 relative to the most recent annual ERP statistics, representing a total increase of 10.4% over the 16 years.
Frequently Asked Questions - Population
216 new dwellings have been approved in Manly - Fairlight over the past five years, an average of 43 a year. That places the area in the 64th percentile for residential development activity nationally, about 2 approvals per 1,000 residents a year. Of the 30 dwellings approved in the latest reporting year, 17% were detached houses and the rest townhouses or apartments. Approvals are currently running at an annualised 43, broadly in line with that longer-run average. Figures come from ABS building approvals aggregated to this SA2 boundary and are updated monthly as the ABS releases them.
Detail
An average of approximately 43 new residential approvals have been granted annually in Manly - Fairlight, amounting to a total of 216 dwellings over the last 5 financial years. In the current FY-26 period, 40 approvals have been documented so far. With an average of 4.8 additional residents per year for each built dwelling during the 5 financial years from FY-21 to FY-25, demand vastly outstrips new construction, a trend that typically drives up prices and intensifies buyer competition, while new projects average a construction value of $984,000, indicating that developers are prioritizing the high-end residential market.
Furthermore, commercial approvals totaling $59.2 million have been registered during this financial year, pointing to robust local business development. Compared to Greater Sydney, Manly - Fairlight exhibits about three-quarters the volume of new dwelling approvals per capita, ranking in the 36th percentile of locations analyzed across the country, which restricts options for purchasers and reinforces demand for existing properties, even though building activity has risen lately. This volume also tracks below the national average, highlighting the established profile of the suburb and pointing to possible zoning restrictions. Recent building starts consist of 17.0% detached houses and 83.0% medium-to-high density formats like townhouses or apartments. This emphasis on denser housing options offers more accessible entry price points and appeals to downsizers, property investors, and first-time buyers. With a ratio of approximately 643 residents for every single residential approval, Manly - Fairlight exhibits the characteristics of a highly mature market. Long-term forecasts indicate Manly - Fairlight will add 2,548 inhabitants by 2041, measured from the most recent AreaSearch quarterly projection. If the current pace of construction persists, the expansion of housing supply may fall short of population increases, potentially escalating competition among purchasers and underpinning stronger upward pressure on property values.
Frequently Asked Questions - Development
Development applications around Manly - Fairlight
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| Lodged | Address | Description | Type | Distance | Status |
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SOURCE: Planning portals and council registers, compiled by AreaSearch. Distance & bearing measured from the suburb midpoint.
AreaSearch tracks 14 current infrastructure and development projects inside Manly - Fairlight, worth an estimated $993 million. A further 70 sit in the immediately surrounding suburbs, taking the tracked pipeline within reach of the area to $6.13 billion. 29 are already under construction and 34 are due for completion within three years. The pipeline spans residential development, communities, precincts & urban renewal and sports & recreation. Records are compiled from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, council planning portals and public announcements, reviewed and updated daily, then ranked by proximity, construction stage, completion horizon and project scale.
Detail
Local infrastructure projects, major developments, and urban planning decisions represent some of the most significant influences on area performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects that are anticipated to affect the locality. Key initiatives include Two Tides, Manly, Manly Hospital Health And Well-Being Precinct, Manly Cove West (Former Sea Life) Redevelopment, and White Water, with the main projects of relevance listed below.
Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.
INFRASTRUCTURE SEARCH
Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.
Frequently Asked Questions - Infrastructure
Manly Health and Wellbeing Precinct
Redevelopment of the former Manly Hospital site into the Manly Health and Wellbeing Precinct. The masterplan includes a residential aged care facility, approximately 120 seniors living apartments, affordable housing, a health and wellbeing centre, public open spaces, a childcare centre, and retail spaces. It is currently progressing through the State Significant Development Application (SSDA) process.
Manly Wharf Masterplan Revitalisation
Comprehensive revitalisation of the heritage-listed Manly Wharf by Artemus Group, transforming the central retail arcade into an artisanal food hall and fresh produce hub, alongside upgrades to hospitality venues, ferry passenger waiting areas, and public concourses.
Former Manly Hospital Health & Wellbeing Precinct
State Significant Development masterplan transforming the former Manly Hospital site into an integrated health and wellbeing precinct. The masterplan delivers 120 seniors living apartments, a residential aged care facility, community health services, childcare, and adaptive reuse of heritage buildings across a 4.6-hectare site.
Manly Wharf Redevelopment
Comprehensive rejuvenation of the historic 1855 Manly Wharf by Artemus Group (Howard Smith Wharves). The project includes a $13.5M hospitality transformation of the former Aldi site into a Felons microbrewery and Barrel Room, plus a major upgrade to the retail arcade. A 2026 DA (DA2025/1845) proposes a fresh food and artisanal produce hall with 20 tenancies, upgraded lighting, a new skylight, and improved ferry passenger amenities while preserving heritage character.
Two Tides, Manly
Five-storey, $100 million luxury residential and retail development featuring 24 premium apartments (15 two-bedroom, 6 three-bedroom, and 3 penthouses) above a ground-floor retail space. Designed by SJB Architects, the building draws inspiration from Manly's coastal character. Construction commenced in June 2025 by ULTRA Building Co, with completion expected in Q2 2027. It includes a central landscaped 'Tidal Garden' and features like basement parking.
Manly Town Hall Cultural & Performance Precinct
Proposed adaptive reuse and commercial redevelopment of the heritage-listed Manly Town Hall into a multi-use performance, cultural, and exhibition space via a Public Private Partnership (PPP).
Royal Far West Neighbourhood Development
A landmark mixed-use precinct on a 6,398sqm beachfront site featuring Aurora, a luxury 58-apartment development across three buildings (two, five, and eight storeys). The project includes 20 rooms of revitalized accommodation for visiting rural families, retail, and commercial spaces. Designed by Glenn Murcutt AO and Angelo Candalepas, the development reached its topping out milestone in May 2026, with proceeds supporting paediatric health services for country children.
North Head Sanctuary Master Plan
Endorsed by the Members of the Trust on 14 February 2024, this long-term master plan guides the conservation and public activation of the 74-hectare North Head Sanctuary site at Manly. The plan, prepared by Cox Architecture with Hector Abrahams Architects, Yerrabingin, Turf Design, JMT Consulting, Blackash Bushfire Consulting, Arcadis and Brickfields, with First Nations cultural guidance from the Gujaga Foundation, focuses on the central 21.1 hectare former School of Artillery precinct. Key initiatives include adaptive re-use of heritage military buildings, a central shared pedestrian and cycle spine connecting the Barracks and North Fort precincts, a Defence of the Nation interpretive space delivered in collaboration with the Australian War Memorial, and regeneration of the endangered Eastern Suburbs Banksia Scrub.Active 2025-2026 works include restoration of the historic sandstone walls (built between 1880 and 1935) with structural work now complete and final repointing scheduled to finish by end of April 2026, a new opening through the wall to improve pedestrian safety and access at North Fort, and reinstatement of headstones at the Third Quarantine Station Cemetery by the Office of Australian War Graves. Detailed staging and funding for further components is being progressed by the Harbour Trust.
15,528 residents of Manly - Fairlight are employed, from a labour force of 16,041. Unemployment sits at 3.2%, with participation at 74.8%. Weighted for its industry mix, the area's sectors are forecast to grow about 7.6% nationally over five years. That reflects industry composition only and makes no allowance for local population growth. The working-day population is estimated at 20,983, about 85% of the resident population, so more people leave the area for work than travel in. Unemployment and labour force come from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, updated quarterly; the industry and occupation profile is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
The workforce residing in Manly - Fairlight is characterized by high levels of education, with particularly strong representation in the technology sector, an unemployment rate of just 3.2%, and an estimated job growth rate of 0.8% over the preceding year. As of March 2026, there are 15,528 employed residents, representing an unemployment rate 0.9% lower than the 4.1% recorded for Greater Sydney, while labor force participation is exceptionally high at 74.8% compared to 69.1% in Greater Sydney. Census data indicates that a high proportion of 64.5% of workers operated from home, though this figure should be interpreted alongside the influence of pandemic lockdowns.
The major employment industries for local residents are professional & technical, finance & insurance, and health care & social assistance. The community displays a distinct concentration in professional & technical services, with an employment share that is 2.0 times the regional average. Conversely, health care & social assistance accounts for only 10.5% of local employment, which is lower than the Greater Sydney average of 14.1%. The area is predominantly residential and appears to provide few local jobs, as suggested by the comparison between the Census working population and resident population counts. Analysis of SALM and ABS statistics by AreaSearch shows that during the 12-month period, employment rose by 0.8% while the labor force expanded by 1.4%, causing unemployment to tick upward by 0.6 percentage points. For comparison, Greater Sydney saw employment rise by 1.9% and the labor force grow by 1.9%, with a minor decrease in unemployment. Future requirements within Manly - Fairlight can be assessed further using national employment projections from Jobs and Skills Australia published in May-25. These five and ten-year projections have been applied to the local workforce distribution to project growth trends. Globally, national employment is projected to grow by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, though these trajectories vary widely across different industries. Mapping these sector-specific forecasts to the employment structure of Manly - Fairlight suggests local job numbers would rise by 7.6% over five years and 14.9% over ten years, though this serves as a basic weighted extrapolation for demonstration purposes and excludes local population projections.
Frequently Asked Questions - Employment
Median household income in Manly - Fairlight is $3,185 a week (about $166,000 a year), with median personal income at $1,568 a week. ATO records put median taxable income at $78,987 a year against an average of $138,812. The average runs 76% above the median, a wider spread than most areas and a sign of a concentrated group of high earners. Household income is from the 2021 Census; taxable income is from ATO Taxation Statistics for the latest financial year available, indexed forward using the ABS Wage Price Index.
Detail
Based on AreaSearch's compilation of the most recent postcode level ATO statistics published for the 2023 financial year, taxpayers in the Manly - Fairlight SA2 recorded a median income of $78,987 and an average income of $138,812. These figures rank in the highest percentile nationwide and compare to median and average levels of $60,817 and $83,003 in Greater Sydney. Factoring in Wage Price Index growth of 10.32% since the 2023 financial year, current estimates point to approximately $87,138 for the median and $153,137 for the average as of March 2026.
Data from the 2021 Census places household, family, and individual incomes in Manly - Fairlight at high levels, matching the 98th and 98th percentiles nationally. The income distribution shows that 40.8% of the population (10,028 people) fall into the $4000+ weekly earnings bracket, whereas the regional trend is led by the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket at 30.9%. The high density of high earners, with 52.8% making over $3,000 per week, indicates robust economic resources in the area. High housing costs account for 16.4% of total income, yet strong earnings keep disposable income levels in the 97th percentile, and the SEIFA income ranking for the suburb is in the 10th decile.
Frequently Asked Questions - Income
Manly - Fairlight had 9,381 occupied dwellings at the 2021 Census, 15% detached houses and 70% apartments. 22% are owned with a mortgage, 48% rented and 30% owned outright. At that Census the median rent was $725 a week and the median mortgage repayment $3,467 a month, a total housing cost higher than 99% of areas nationally. Rent absorbs 22.8% of household income here and mortgage repayments 25.1%. Dwelling stock, tenure and housing costs are 2021 Census measures — the only source that counts dwellings at this boundary size.
Detail
The composition of residential properties in Manly - Fairlight at the time of the latest Census consisted of 15.2% standalone houses and 84.8% alternative dwelling types like semi-detached properties, apartments, and other configurations, compared to the Sydney metropolitan breakdown of 55.9% houses and 44.1% other dwellings. The rate of home ownership in Manly - Fairlight aligned closely with the Sydney metropolitan average at 30.1%, with the remaining properties being held under a mortgage (21.6%) or rented (48.3%). The median monthly mortgage payment of $3,467 was significantly higher than the Sydney metropolitan median of $2,427, while the median weekly rent stood at $725 compared to the metropolitan figure of $470.
On a national scale, mortgage payments in Manly - Fairlight are much higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rental costs are also significantly above the national median of $375.
Frequently Asked Questions - Housing
Manly - Fairlight counted 9,381 households at the 2021 Census, an estimated 10,276 today, averaging 2.2 people each. 25% are couples with children, against 32% couples without children. 30% of households are people living alone, and families average 1.1 children. Household and family composition is measured only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
Family households represent the largest share of the community at 63.2%, consisting of couples with children at 24.5%, couples without children at 32.0%, and single parent families at 6.0%. Non-family households account for the remaining 36.8%, with single person households representing 29.5% and group households making up 7.3% of the total. The median household size is 2.2 residents, which is smaller than the average of 2.7 registered across Greater Sydney.
Frequently Asked Questions - Households
59.7% of adults in Manly - Fairlight hold a university qualification, including 39.6% with a bachelor degree and 16.6% with postgraduate qualifications, higher than 88% of areas nationally. A further 9.8% hold a vocational qualification. 8 schools serve the area, with 2,219 enrolment places and an average ICSEA of 1,130 against a national benchmark of 1,000. Qualifications come from the 2021 Census; school enrolments, ICSEA and results come from ACARA's current release.
Detail
The level of education in Manly - Fairlight is considerably higher than average, with 59.7% of residents aged 15 and over holding a university qualification, compared to national and state rates of 30.4% in Australia and 32.2% in NSW. This educational profile positions the locality well for knowledge-based employment. Bachelor degrees are the most common qualification at 39.6%, followed by postgraduate degrees (16.6%) and graduate diplomas (3.5%). Vocational training represents 20.3% of qualifications among residents aged 15 and over, comprising advanced diplomas (10.5%) and certificates (9.8%). A significant portion of the local population, 24.5%, is enrolled in formal studies.
This cohort includes 7.1% attending primary school, 6.1% enrolled in tertiary institutions, and 5.5% attending secondary school.
Frequently Asked Questions - Education
Schools Detail
Public transport in Manly - Fairlight reaches 161 stops on 65 routes, timetabled for about 14,000 services a week. The typical home sits about 120 m from its nearest stop. Buses carry the largest share of public transport commuters. Households keep an average of 0.8 vehicles. Stop and service counts are built from operators' published GTFS timetables and refresh with each timetable release; vehicle ownership is from the 2021 Census.
Detail
Public transit statistics show 161 active transit stops in Manly - Fairlight, consisting of a combination of ferry wharves and bus stops. These locations are serviced by 65 unique routes, which together accommodate 14,049 weekly passenger journeys. Transit accessibility is classified as excellent, with residents living an average of 116 meters from the nearest stop. Because the suburb is primarily residential, the majority of workers commute to other areas, with private vehicles remaining the primary mode of travel at 63%, followed by walking at 12% and bus travel at 9%.
Average vehicle ownership is 0.8 cars per household, which is below the regional average. A high proportion of residents, 64.5%, work from home, according to 2021 Census data, which may reflect pandemic-era conditions. Transit service frequency averages 2,007 daily trips across all active routes, which translates to approximately 87 weekly departures per stop. The associated map displays the 100 closest transit stops to the central point of the area.
Frequently Asked Questions - Transport
Transport Stops Detail
77.4% of residents in Manly - Fairlight report no long-term health condition, a healthier profile than 95% of areas nationally. 2.7% need daily assistance with core activities, and 82.5% hold private health cover. The standardised death rate runs at 3.9 per 1,000 residents. Health conditions, assistance needs and insurance are 2021 Census measures; the death rate comes from current ABS releases.
Detail
Health outcomes in Manly - Fairlight are exceptionally strong, according to AreaSearch's evaluation of mortality rates and chronic illness prevalence, showing a low incidence of common health issues across all demographics and an exceptionally high rate of private health insurance at roughly 82% of the population (20,277 people). This compares to private coverage rates of 59.9% in Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%. Asthma and mental health conditions are the most prevalent health issues in the area, affecting 6.1% and 5.7% of residents, respectively, while 77.4% of the population reported no chronic medical conditions, compared to 74.6% in Greater Sydney.
Residents aged 65 and over make up 16.6% of the local population (4,085 people), which is higher than the Greater Sydney average of 15.5%. Senior health metrics are particularly positive, with national standings generally matching the strong trends seen in the wider local population.
Frequently Asked Questions - Health
40.1% of Manly - Fairlight residents were born overseas and 15.0% speak a language other than English at home. The largest reported ancestries are English (30.9%) and Australian (18.6%). Ancestry, language and country of birth are counted only by the Census, so these are 2021 figures.
Detail
The population of Manly - Fairlight exhibits higher levels of cultural diversity than most benchmark markets, with 15.0% of residents using a language other than English at home and 40.1% of the population born outside of Australia. Christianity is the primary religion, representing 43.0% of the community. The most distinct religious overrepresentation relative to the broader region is Judaism, which accounts for 0.5% of the local population compared to 0.8% across Greater Sydney. Regarding family heritage and parental birthplaces, the three most common ancestries in Manly - Fairlight are English at 30.9% of the population, which is notably higher than the regional average of 19.0%, Australian at 18.6%, and Irish at 10.8%.
There are also distinct concentrations of other ethnic groups: French ancestry is overrepresented at 1.6% of the population compared to 0.5% regionally, Spanish at 1.0% compared to 0.6%, and Welsh at 0.8% compared to 0.4%.
Frequently Asked Questions - Diversity
The median resident of Manly - Fairlight is 38. 31.7% of residents are aged 15 to 34. Age cohorts are not raw Census counts: the Census split is re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections.
Detail
The median age of residents in Manly - Fairlight is 38 years, which is close to the Greater Sydney average of 37 and matches the national median of 38. Compared to the Greater Sydney population, Manly - Fairlight has a higher proportion of residents aged 25 - 34 (21.2%) and a lower share of children aged 5 - 14 (7.7%). The concentration of residents aged 25 - 34 is also significantly above the national average of 14.6%. Since the 2021 Census, the proportion of residents aged 15 to 24 grew from 8.4% to 10.5%, while the 25 to 34 age bracket expanded from 20.1% to 21.2%.
Conversely, the 45 to 54 group decreased from 13.0% to 11.3% of the population, and the 5 to 14 cohort declined from 8.8% to 7.7%. By 2041, the age structure of Manly - Fairlight is projected to undergo significant changes. The 75 to 84 age bracket is expected to lead this shift, increasing by 49% (720 people) to reach 2,188 residents from 1,467. This aging trend is prominent, with individuals aged 65 and over accounting for 68% of the projected population growth, while declines are forecasted for the 25 to 34 and 5 to 14 age brackets.
Frequently Asked Questions - Age
Data & MethodBoundaries, Sources & Method for Manly - Fairlight
9 of 14 data sections on this page were updated within the last 12 months — the newest current to Aug 2026.
Everything is aggregated to the SA2 boundary shown above, on a 2021 Census baseline. Only 3 sections — housing, households and cultural diversity — still wait on the 2026 Census.
The ledger — source, cycle and currency by section
| Section | Source & update cycle | Currency |
|---|---|---|
| Updated within the last 12 months 9 sections | ||
| Population | ABS, GNAF, Geoscience Australia Annual (ABS ERP) | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release) and updated with new dwellings from GNAF address data. Current to May 2026, with the 2021 Census supplying the small-area baseline. | ||
| Age profile | ABS, Geoscience Australia, State governments Annual | May 2026 3 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Age cohorts are re-based to the latest ABS population estimates and state projections, current to May 2026. Each cohort is held as a Census baseline and a current estimate. | ||
| Development & approvals | ABS, GNAF Monthly (ABS approvals) | Jun 2026 2 months ago headline measures · May 2026 baseline |
| Property sales & rents | Valuer General, Rental Board, ABS Weekly sales, quarterly rents | Aug 2026 this month all 21 measures |
| Sales from the state Valuer General register, refreshed weekly, and rents from quarterly rental bond lodgements. Both are read live each time this page loads, current to Aug 2026. | ||
| Infrastructure projects | Infrastructure Australia, State agencies, Local governments Daily | Aug 2026 this month all 19 projects tracked here |
| Project pipeline maintained continuously from Infrastructure Australia, state agencies, local government and public announcements. Records are added and revised daily; this area was last updated Aug 2026. | ||
| Employment | ABS, DEWR, JSA Quarterly (ABS SALM) | Mar 2026 5 months ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Unemployment and labour force from ABS Small Area Labour Markets, current to Mar 2026. The growth outlook applies Department of Employment (now Jobs and Skills Australia) forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to the local industry mix, so it measures sector composition rather than local expansion and makes no allowance for population growth. Job demand comes from the same agency via its Internet Vacancy Index; industry and occupation structure from the 2021 Census. | ||
| Education | ABS, ACARA Annual (ACARA) | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Transport | ABS, State Transport Departments Each timetable release | Jul 2026 last month headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Services & amenities | Provider directories, ACECQA Continuous | Jul 2026 last month all 14 measures |
| Annual and financial-year sources 2 sections | ||
| Income | ABS, ATO Annual (ATO) | FY 2023 3 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| ATO taxable income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index. Census household income provides the distribution detail. | ||
| Health | ABS, ATO Annual | 2024 2 years ago headline measures · 2021 Census baseline |
| Census-measured — next update: 2026 Census 3 sections No more current small-area source exists for these, so they are labelled as Census-measured rather than implied to be current. | ||
| Housing | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 30 measures |
| Households | ABS 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 18 measures |
| Cultural diversity | ABS, Geoscience Australia 5-yearly (Census) | 2021 Census next update 2026 all 44 measures |
"Currency" is the most recent release feeding that section. Where the Census supplies the structural baseline underneath a current headline figure, the row says so.
How the numbers are built
Population
The Census provides the small-area baseline, aggregated from mesh blocks to this boundary. It is then re-based to the ABS Estimated Resident Population (June 2025 release), and new dwellings built since Census night are counted from address data — 141 validated new addresses here. The headline figure is therefore a current estimate for May 2026, not a 2021 count (22,438 at the 2021 Census → 24,579 now). Annual growth rates are compound (CAGR), not simple averages.
Age profile
Cohort shares are not raw Census counts. Every cohort is held as a pair — the Census baseline and a current estimate — and the split is re-based using ERP and state population projections, current to May 2026. Median age is the Census median plus modelled change since. Charts that show both are labelled "2021 Census vs Current Estimate".
Property sales
Sourced from the state valuation authority's sales register — current, not Census, and refreshed weekly. Medians are calculated from settled transactions in the period shown; periods with very low transaction counts are flagged or suppressed, because a handful of sales can move a median substantially.
Rents
Derived from state rental bond lodgement data, by dwelling type and bedroom count. Bonds are lodged at the start of a new tenancy, so this reflects new lettings, not the whole rented stock.
Development & infrastructure
Building approvals come from current ABS releases; development applications are collected from council and state planning portals; the infrastructure pipeline is compiled from Infrastructure Australia and local government sources. Applications are matched to this boundary by address or coordinates, so very recent lodgements may not yet appear.
Employment & income
Industry and occupation structure comes from the Census, but the headline labour-market indicators do not. Unemployment and labour force are derived from ABS Small Area Labour Markets (quarterly). The employment outlook applies Department of Employment forecasts for all 19 industry divisions to this area's own industry mix (the agency is now Jobs and Skills Australia), as does the Internet Vacancy Index used for job demand. Because it is weighted on industry composition alone, that outlook carries no allowance for local population growth — in fast-growing areas the real rise in local jobs will typically be higher. Income combines Census household income with ATO taxable-income statistics for FY 2023, indexed forward using the Wage Price Index.
Education, transport & amenities
School enrolments, ICSEA and performance come from ACARA's current release, not the Census. Public transport stops and service frequency are derived from GTFS timetable feeds published by state transport departments. Services and amenities are proximity and count scores built from provider directories, refreshed on their own cycle. The Census contributes only the travel-to-work and qualification measures.
Rankings and benchmarks. Where we rank this area, the comparison set is every area of the same boundary type — suburbs against suburbs, SA2s against SA2s. Benchmarks compare this area against its greater capital city region and the national figure for the same measure and period.
Limits worth knowing. Small areas carry larger error margins, and the ABS introduces small random adjustments to Census counts to protect confidentiality — so totals may not sum exactly. Estimates re-based from regional data describe the area's expected trajectory, not a direct count of it. Figures are indicative for research and are not financial, planning or valuation advice.
Cross-check us. The Census baseline for this boundary is at ABS 2021 Census QuickStats (122011419). QuickStats reports 2021 only — the figures on this page are more current wherever the ledger shows a later date.