North Balgowlah

An assessment of population growth drivers in North Balgowlah reveals an overall ranking slightly below national averages considering recent, and medium term trends

The population of North Balgowlah statistical area (Lv2) is estimated to be around 3,814 as of November 2025. This figure reflects a decrease of 2 people since the Census in 2021, which reported a population of 3,816. The change is inferred from AreaSearch's estimate of resident population at 3,798 following examination of ABS ERP data release in June 2024 and validation of one new address since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 3,405 persons per square kilometer, placing North Balgowlah (SA2) in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. Over the past decade, North Balgowlah has shown resilient growth patterns with a compound annual growth rate of 0.6%, outperforming its SA3 area. Population growth was primarily driven by overseas migration contributing approximately 95.0% of overall population gains during recent periods.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021 are used. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. According to these projections, the area's population is expected to decline by 125 persons by 2041. However, specific age cohorts like the 65 to 74 age group are projected to increase by 73 people over this period.

Residential development activity is lower than average in North Balgowlah according to AreaSearch's national comparison of local real estate markets

North Balgowlah has had only 1 residential development approval in the past five years. This indicates a fully developed suburb with limited new construction opportunities. The lack of new supply typically supports demand for established properties and contributes to price stability compared to Greater Sydney, where there is significantly more development activity.

However, recent construction activity has intensified. Nationally, North Balgowlah's level of development is below average, reflecting its mature status and possible planning constraints. With population expected to remain stable or decline in the area, housing pressure should reduce, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

With population expected to remain stable or decline, North Balgowlah should see reduced pressure on housing, potentially creating opportunities for buyers.

North Balgowlah has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly impact an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified four projects expected to affect the region. Notable projects are Stockland Balgowlah Shopping Centre Expansion & Residential, Seaforth Village Masterplan & Redevelopment, Seaforth Public School Expansion & Modernisation, and Sangrado Road Residential Development. The following list outlines those most likely to be relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment performance in North Balgowlah exceeds national averages across key labour market indicators

North Balgowlah has a highly educated workforce with significant representation in the technology sector. Its unemployment rate is 3.5%, as per AreaSearch's aggregation of statistical area data.

As of September 2025, 1,997 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 0.7% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation in North Balgowlah is 70.4%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Employment is concentrated in professional & technical, finance & insurance, and health care & social assistance sectors. Notably, employment in professional & technical services is 1.6 times the regional level, while health care & social assistance has a limited presence at 10.1%, compared to the regional average of 14.1%.

The area appears to offer limited local employment opportunities, as indicated by the difference between Census working population and resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, the labour force decreased by 0.6% alongside a 1.9% employment decline, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 1.2 percentage points in North Balgowlah. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment grow by 2.1%, with a labour force expansion of 2.4%, and an unemployment rate increase of only 0.2 percentage points during the same period. State-level data from NSW up to 25-Nov-25 shows employment contracted by 0.03% (losing 2,260 jobs), with a state unemployment rate of 3.9%, which compares favourably to the national unemployment rate of 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that national employment should expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to North Balgowlah's employment mix indicates a potential local employment increase of 7.3% over five years and 14.4% over ten years, although these estimates are based on simple weighting extrapolations for illustrative purposes only and do not account for localized population projections.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

According to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest postcode level ATO data released on June 30, 2023, North Balgowlah had a median income among taxpayers of $75,307 and an average income of $138,949. Nationally, these figures place North Balgowlah in the top percentile. Compared to Greater Sydney's median income of $60,817 and average income of $83,003, North Balgowlah's incomes are higher. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% since June 2023, current estimates for North Balgowlah would be approximately $81,979 (median) and $151,260 (average) as of September 2025. Census 2021 income data shows that incomes in North Balgowlah rank highly nationally, between the 93rd and 99th percentiles for household, family, and personal incomes. The largest segment comprises 51.7% earning $4000+ weekly (1,971 residents), differing from regional patterns where $1,500 - 2,999 dominates with 30.9%. Economic strength is evident through 60.5% of households achieving high weekly earnings exceeding $3,000, supporting elevated consumer spending. Housing accounts for 14.4% of income while strong earnings rank residents within the 99th percentile for disposable income. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

North Balgowlah is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In North Balgowlah, as per the latest Census, 89.8% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 10.2% being semi-detached, apartments, or other types. This differs from Sydney metro's dwelling structure which was 57.6% houses and 42.4% other dwellings. Home ownership in North Balgowlah stood at 32.9%, similar to Sydney metro, with the rest either mortgaged (52.8%) or rented (14.3%). The median monthly mortgage repayment in North Balgowlah was $4,005, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,000. Weekly rent in North Balgowlah was $825 compared to Sydney metro's $592. Nationally, North Balgowlah's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863 and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Balgowlah features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households constitute 87.8% of all households, including 59.8% couples with children, 18.4% couples without children, and 8.8% single parent families. Non-family households comprise the remaining 12.2%, with lone person households at 10.5% and group households making up 1.7%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

North Balgowlah demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Balgowlah's residents aged 15+ have a notably high educational attainment. University qualifications are held by 49.7%, surpassing Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 33.5%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (11.9%) and graduate diplomas (4.3%). Vocational pathways account for 24.4%, with advanced diplomas at 11.4% and certificates at 13.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 38.1% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 15.4% in primary, 12.0% in secondary, and 5.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Balgowlah has 35 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 15 different routes that together facilitate 351 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is considered excellent, with residents on average located 131 meters from the nearest stop.

Across all routes, service frequency averages 50 trips per day, equating to about 10 weekly trips per individual stop.

North Balgowlah's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

North Balgowlah shows excellent health outcomes across all ages. The prevalence of common health conditions is very low. Private health cover stands at approximately 82% of the total population (3,111 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 71.5%.

Nationally, this rate averages 55.7%. Asthma and mental health issues are the most prevalent conditions, affecting 6.4% and 4.9% respectively. Overall, 80.0% of residents report no medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 74.7%. The area has 11.0% (419 people) aged 65 and over, lower than Greater Sydney's 17.8%. Despite this, seniors' health outcomes are strong, mirroring the general population's profile.

The level of cultural diversity witnessed in North Balgowlah was found to be slightly above average when compared nationally for a number of language and cultural background related metrics

North Balgowlah had a cultural diversity level above average, with 10.1% of its population speaking a language other than English at home and 30.2% born overseas. Christianity was the predominant religion in North Balgowlah, comprising 51.7% of its population. However, Judaism showed notable overrepresentation, making up 0.6% compared to the regional average of 0.3%.

The top three ancestry groups were English at 31.9%, Australian at 24.1%, and Irish at 9.0%. Significant differences existed in the representation of certain ethnic groups: South African was overrepresented at 2.4% (regional average 0.9%), Welsh at 1.1% (vs regional 0.7%), and French at 1.1% (matching the regional figure).

North Balgowlah's population aligns closely with national norms in age terms

The median age in North Balgowlah is 39 years, which is higher than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and close to the national average of 38 years. In North Balgowlah, those aged 5-14 make up 20.9% of the population, compared to 16.7% in Greater Sydney and 12.2% nationally. Conversely, those aged 25-34 constitute only 4.2% of the population in North Balgowlah, lower than the Greater Sydney average of 14.8%. Post-2021 Census data shows that the 15 to 24 age group has increased from 11.9% to 14.0%, while the 5 to 14 cohort has decreased from 22.1% to 20.9%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate significant demographic changes in North Balgowlah. The 65 to 74 age group is projected to grow by 30%, reaching 313 people from 240. Residents aged 65 and older will represent 81% of the anticipated growth. Meanwhile, the 25 to 34 and 45 to 54 age groups are expected to experience population declines.