North Kellyville

North Kellyville lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

North Kellyville's population was approximately 22,422 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 5,021 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,401 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 21,403 in June 2024 and an additional 848 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,802 persons per square kilometer, placing North Kellyville in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's 28.9% growth since the 2021 census exceeded both the state's (7.6%) and Greater Sydney's growth rates. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 66.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Exceptional growth is predicted over this period, with the area expected to increase by 11,381 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 46.0%.

The level of residential development activity in North Kellyville was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

North Kellyville has recorded approximately 468 residential properties granted approval each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY-21 to FY-25, around 2,344 homes were approved, with a further 43 approved in FY-26 so far. On average, about 3.8 people have moved to the area annually for each dwelling built during these years, indicating substantial demand outstripping supply and likely heightened buyer competition leading to pricing pressures.

New homes are being constructed at an average expected cost of $205,000, which is below regional norms, suggesting more affordable housing options. This financial year has seen around $238,000 in commercial approvals, reflecting a predominantly residential focus for development in the area. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville's development levels per person are similar, supporting market stability aligned with regional patterns. However, this activity is notably higher than national averages, implying strong developer confidence in the location.

The new development primarily consists of detached houses (71.0%) and townhouses or apartments (29.0%), maintaining the area's traditional suburban character centered around family homes. With approximately 196 people per dwelling approval, North Kellyville exhibits characteristics of a growth area. By 2041, it is projected to grow by around 10,309 residents based on the latest AreaSearch quarterly estimate. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favorable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

North Kellyville has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects that may impact the area. Notable ones include Bellerive Rise Estate, North Kellyville Shopping Centre, Rouse Hill Town Centre Expansion, and Rouse Hill Hospital. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in North Kellyville demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

North Kellyville has an educated workforce with professional services well-represented. Its unemployment rate was 3.0% in September 2025, below Greater Sydney's 4.2%. Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 1.0%.

As of September 2025, 12,404 residents were employed with a workforce participation rate of 79.8%, higher than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses showed that 54.1% of residents worked from home. Key industries for employment are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. Finance & insurance has a particularly high share at 1.3 times the regional level, while transport, postal & warehousing is lower at 3.5%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited, as indicated by Census data comparing working population to resident population. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.0% and labour force grew by 1.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney had employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a smaller increase in unemployment rate at 0.2 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to North Kellyville's employment mix suggests local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, based on a simple weighting extrapolation for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The North Kellyville SA2 has one of Australia's highest income levels according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year 2023. Its median taxpayer income is $75,942 and average income stands at $93,720, compared to Greater Sydney's $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. By September 2025, estimated incomes based on an 8.86% Wage Price Index growth would be approximately $82,670 (median) and $102,024 (average). The 2021 Census shows North Kellyville's household, family, and personal incomes rank highly nationally, between the 91st and 97th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 34.0% of residents earn over $4,000 weekly (7,623 people), contrasting with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. A substantial 52.6% of residents exceed $3,000 weekly income. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

North Kellyville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In North Kellyville, as per the latest Census data, 82.6% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 17.3% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types of dwellings. This contrasts with Sydney's metropolitan area where 55.9% of dwellings are houses and 44.1% are other types. Home ownership in North Kellyville stood at 13.7%, with mortgaged properties making up 58.3% and rented dwellings accounting for 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,250, higher than Sydney's average of $2,427. Weekly rent in North Kellyville was recorded at $600, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, North Kellyville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, and rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Kellyville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households comprise 88.9% of all households, including 60.7% couples with children, 19.2% couples without children, and 8.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for 11.1%, with lone person households making up 9.5% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 3.3 people, larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

North Kellyville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Kellyville's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 47.2% possess university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 30.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.1% of residents aged 15+ holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 12.1% and certificates at 14.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.6% currently enrolled in formal education. This includes primary (14.4%), secondary (8.7%), and tertiary (6.0%) education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Kellyville has 79 active public transport stops, serving a mix of bus routes. These stops are covered by 42 different routes, offering a total of 2,876 weekly passenger trips. Transport access is considered good, with residents typically located 214 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outward due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transport at 84%, while train usage stands at 8%. Vehicle ownership averages 1.7 per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, a high 54.1% of residents work from home, which may be influenced by COVID-19 conditions. Service frequency across all routes averages 410 trips per day, equating to approximately 36 weekly trips per individual stop.

North Kellyville's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

North Kellyville's health data shows positive results, aligning with national benchmarks for mortality rates and health conditions. Common health conditions have low prevalence across both younger and older age groups. Private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 68% of the total population (15,134 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 59.9% and the national average of 55.7%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.5 and 4.2% of residents respectively, while 83.2% report no medical ailments, higher than Greater Sydney's 74.6%. Only 8.7% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,959 people), lower than Greater Sydney's 15.3%. Health outcomes among seniors rank even higher than the general population nationally.

North Kellyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

North Kellyville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.5% of its population born overseas and 44.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in North Kellyville, making up 46.5% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, comprising 11.8% of the population compared to Greater Sydney's average of 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (20.3%), Australian (16.2%), and English (14.9%). There are also notable divergences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Indian is overrepresented at 11.0% compared to the regional average of 3.6%, Korean at 1.5% versus 1.1%, and South African at 1.2% against a regional average of 0.5%.

North Kellyville's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

North Kellyville's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville has a higher proportion of residents aged 5-14 (18.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.1%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is notably higher than the national average of 12.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population of North Kellyville has seen growth in the 45 to 54 age group from 12.0% to 14.2%, and the 15 to 24 cohort from 11.4% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 14.0% to 10.1%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 9.3% to 6.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic shifts in North Kellyville, with the 55 to 64 cohort projected to grow by 185%, adding 3,011 residents to reach a total of 4,644. Meanwhile, numbers in the 35 to 44 age range are expected to decrease by 212 residents.