North Kellyville
Statistical Area - sa2

North Kellyville lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

North Kellyville's population was 22,438 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 5,037 people, a rise of 28.9% since the 2021 Census which recorded a population of 17,401. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 21,350 in June 2024 and an additional 848 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,804 persons per square kilometer, placing North Kellyville in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. North Kellyville's growth exceeded both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area levels, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 66.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilises NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics predict exceptional growth, placing North Kellyville in the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation. By 2041, based on latest population numbers, the area is expected to increase by 11,381 persons, marking a total increase of 45.9% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in North Kellyville was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

North Kellyville has recorded approximately 468 residential properties granted approval each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 2344 homes were approved, with an additional 31 approved in FY26 so far. On average, around 3.8 people have moved to the area per dwelling built over these years.

This indicates substantial supply lagging behind demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average expected construction cost of new homes is $205,000, which is below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options. In FY26, commercial approvals have amounted to $238,000, suggesting a predominantly residential focus in the area's development. When compared with Greater Sydney, North Kellyville has similar development levels per person, supporting market stability in line with regional patterns.

However, this activity is substantially higher than national averages, indicating strong developer confidence in the location. New developments consist of 71% detached houses and 29% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With around 196 people per dwelling approval, North Kellyville shows characteristics of a growth area. Looking ahead, it is expected that North Kellyville will grow by approximately 10,293 residents through to 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

North Kellyville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects that may impact the area. Notable ones include Bellerive Rise Estate, North Kellyville Shopping Centre, Rouse Hill Town Centre Expansion, and Beaumont Hills Public School Expansion. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in North Kellyville demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

North Kellyville has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 3.1%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

From June 2025, 12,093 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% below the regional average. Workforce participation is high at 73.6%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. Finance & insurance employment is particularly notable, at 1.3 times the regional level.

Transport, postal & warehousing employs fewer residents than Greater Sydney, at 3.5% compared to 5.3%. Employment opportunities locally may be limited, indicated by Census data comparison of working population vs resident population. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.4%, while labour force grew by 3.1%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a smaller rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project overall growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to North Kellyville's industry mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

North Kellyville's median income among taxpayers was $71,629 in financial year 2022. The average income stood at $90,086 during the same period. These figures were higher than Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. By September 2025, estimates suggest North Kellyville's median income would be approximately $80,661 and the average income around $101,446, based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61%. According to the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in North Kellyville ranked highly nationally, between the 92nd and 98th percentiles. The income bracket of $4000+ dominated with 34.0% of residents (7,628 people). This contrasted with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket led at 30.9%. Higher earners formed a substantial presence in North Kellyville, with 52.6% exceeding $3,000 weekly income. High housing costs consumed 19.4% of income. Despite this, strong earnings placed disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 10th decile.

North Kellyville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In North Kellyville, as per the latest Census, 82.6% of dwellings were houses with the remaining 17.3% being semi-detached homes, apartments, and other types. This compares to Sydney's metropolitan area where 87.7% were houses and 12.3% were other dwellings. The home ownership rate in North Kellyville was 13.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 58.3% and rented ones at 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,250, higher than Sydney's metro average of $3,000. The median weekly rent figure was $600, matching the Sydney metro average. Nationally, North Kellyville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Kellyville features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 88.9% of all households, consisting of couples with children (60.7%), couples without children (19.2%), and single parent families (8.6%). Non-family households comprise the remaining 11.1%, with lone person households at 9.5% and group households making up 1.5%. The median household size is 3.3 people, aligning with the Greater Sydney average.

North Kellyville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Kellyville has a notably high level of educational attainment. As of the latest data, 47.2% of residents aged 15 and above hold university qualifications, surpassing both national (30.4%) and NSW state averages (32.2%). Bachelor degrees are the most common at 30.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.1% of residents aged 15 and above holding such qualifications, including advanced diplomas (12.1%) and certificates (14.0%).

Educational participation is high, with 36.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.4% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education. North Kellyville's four schools have a combined enrollment of 3,167 students as of the latest count. The area demonstrates significant socio-educational advantages and academic achievement, with an ICSEA score of 1118. The educational mix in North Kellyville includes two primary schools and two K-12 schools.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Kellyville has 50 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 41 different routes that together facilitate 2,451 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents on average being located 221 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 350 trips across all routes, which amounts to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

North Kellyville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

North Kellyville shows excellent health outcomes with very low prevalence of common conditions across all ages. Approximately 67% of its total population of 14,966 has private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.6%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma (5.5%) and mental health issues (4.2%), with 83.2% of residents reporting no medical ailments, compared to 79.5% in Greater Sydney. Among the area's 8.7% senior population (1,961 people), health outcomes align closely with those of the general population.

North Kellyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

North Kellyville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.5% of its population born overseas and 44.8% speaking a language other than English at home. The predominant religion in North Kellyville is Christianity, accounting for 46.5% of the population. Notably, Hinduism is overrepresented in North Kellyville, making up 11.8% of the population compared to 8.5% across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups based on parents' country of birth are Other (20.3%), Australian (16.2%), and English (14.9%). There are significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Indian is overrepresented at 11.0% compared to 7.2% regionally, South African at 1.2% versus 1.0%, and Sri Lankan at 1.0% compared to 0.8%.

North Kellyville's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

North Kellyville's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (18.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.1%). The concentration of residents aged 5-14 is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 45 to 54 has increased from 12.0% to 14.2%, while the 15 to 24 age group has risen from 11.4% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has decreased from 14.0% to 10.1%, and the 0 to 4 age group has fallen from 9.3% to 6.7%. By 2041, population forecasts indicate substantial demographic changes in North Kellyville. The 55 to 64 age cohort is projected to grow by 184%, adding 3,010 residents to reach a total of 4,644. Conversely, the number of residents aged 35 to 44 is expected to decrease by 215.