North Kellyville
Statistical Area - sa2

North Kellyville lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

North Kellyville's population was around 22,184 as of Aug 2025. This reflected an increase of 4,783 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,401. The change was inferred from the estimated resident population of 21,350 in June 2024 and an additional 771 validated new addresses since the Census date. This resulted in a density ratio of 2,773 persons per square kilometer, placing North Kellyville in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth of 27.5% since the 2021 census exceeded the state's (6.4%) and metropolitan area's growth rates. Population growth was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 66.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch adopted ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area as released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch utilised NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 with a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations were applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics predicted exceptional growth, placing North Kellyville in the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation. By 2041, the area is expected to increase by 11,381 persons based on the latest population numbers, with an overall increase of 47.5% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in North Kellyville was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

North Kellyville has recorded approximately 468 residential properties granted approval each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 2,344 homes were approved, with an additional 24 approved in FY26 so far. On average, around 3.8 people per year have moved to the area for each dwelling built during these years.

This significant disparity between supply and demand has led to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average expected construction cost value of new homes is $823,000, indicating a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY26, there have been $238,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville has similar development levels per person, contributing to market stability aligned with regional patterns.

However, this activity is substantially higher than the national average, reflecting strong developer confidence in the location. The new development consists of 71.0% detached houses and 29.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character centered around family homes. With approximately 196 people per dwelling approval, North Kellyville exhibits characteristics of a growth area. Looking ahead to 2041, North Kellyville is expected to grow by 10,547 residents. Assuming current construction levels continue, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favorable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

North Kellyville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 potential impact projects. Notable ones include Bellerive Rise Estate, North Kellyville Shopping Centre, Beaumont Hills Public School Expansion, and Rouse Hill Town Centre Expansion. The following list details projects likely to have the most relevance.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Employment conditions in North Kellyville demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

North Kellyville has a highly educated workforce with strong professional services representation. Its unemployment rate was 3.1% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 2.4%.

As of June 2025, 12,093 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 1.1% below Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%. Workforce participation is high at 73.6%, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.0%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. Finance & insurance has a particularly high employment share, at 1.3 times the regional level.

Transport, postal & warehousing employs only 3.5% of local workers, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%. Employment opportunities appear limited locally, as indicated by the Census working population vs resident population count. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.4%, while labour force grew by 3.1%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a smaller increase in unemployment rate of 0.3 percentage points. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, with varying rates across industry sectors. Applying these projections to North Kellyville's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

North Kellyville's median income among taxpayers was $71,629 in financial year 2022, according to latest ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. The average income stood at $90,086 during the same period. These figures compare to Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 12.61% since financial year 2022, current estimates for North Kellyville would be approximately $80,661 (median) and $101,446 (average) as of September 2025. From the 2021 Census, household, family, and personal incomes in North Kellyville rank highly nationally, between the 92nd and 98th percentiles. The income bracket of $4000+ dominates with 34.0% of residents (7,542 people), contrasting with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence with 52.6% exceeding $3,000 weekly. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income, though strong earnings still place disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

North Kellyville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

North Kellyville's dwelling structure, as per the latest Census, consisted of 82.6% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings). This compares to Sydney metro's 87.7% houses and 12.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in North Kellyville was at 13.7%, with mortgaged properties at 58.3% and rented dwellings at 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,250, above Sydney metro's average of $3,000. Weekly rent in North Kellyville was recorded at $600, equal to Sydney metro's figure. Nationally, North Kellyville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while rents were substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Kellyville features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 88.9% of all households, including 60.7% couples with children, 19.2% couples without children, and 8.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for the remaining 11.1%, with lone person households at 9.5% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

North Kellyville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Kellyville's educational attainment exceeds national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 47.2% have university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are most common at 30.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.1% of residents holding them - advanced diplomas account for 12.1% and certificates for 14.0%.

Educational participation is high at 36.6%, including primary education (14.4%), secondary education (8.7%), and tertiary education (6.0%). North Kellyville's four schools have a combined enrollment of 3,167 students. The area shows significant socio-educational advantages with an ICSEA score of 1118. Educational mix includes two primary and two K-12 schools.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Kellyville has 50 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 41 different routes that together facilitate 2,451 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is rated as good, with residents located an average of 221 meters from the nearest stop.

On average, there are 350 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

North Kellyville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

North Kellyville shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (14,796 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 60.6%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions in the area are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.5 and 4.2% of residents respectively. A total of 83.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 79.5%. As of 2021, 8.7% of North Kellyville's population is aged 65 and over (1,938 people). Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

North Kellyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

North Kellyville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.5% of its population born overseas and 44.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in North Kellyville, comprising 46.5% of the population. Notably, Hinduism is overrepresented in North Kellyville compared to Greater Sydney, making up 11.8% versus 8.5%.

The top three ancestry groups based on parents' country of birth are Other (20.3%), Australian (16.2%), and English (14.9%). There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Indian is overrepresented at 11.0% compared to 7.2% regionally, South African is represented at 1.2% versus 1.0%, and Sri Lankan is represented at 1.0% versus 0.8%.

North Kellyville's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

North Kellyville's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville has a higher concentration of residents aged 5-14 (18.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.1%). This 5-14 concentration is well above the national average of 12.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 45 to 54 has grown from 12.0% to 14.2%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 11.4% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 cohort has declined from 14.0% to 10.1%, and the 0 to 4 group dropped from 9.3% to 6.7%. Population forecasts for North Kellyville indicate substantial demographic changes by 2041. The 55 to 64 age cohort is projected to grow strongly at 188%, adding 3,029 residents to reach a total of 4,644. In contrast, the numbers in the 35 to 44 age range are expected to fall by 161.