North Kellyville

North Kellyville lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

North Kellyville's population was approximately 22,775 as of February 2026. This figure represents a 30.9% increase since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,401 people. The growth is inferred from an estimated resident population of 21,403 in June 2024 and an additional 955 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density ratio of 2,846 persons per square kilometer, placing North Kellyville in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. The area's growth exceeded both the state (7.8%) and Greater Sydney figures, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Interstate migration contributed approximately 66.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch adopts ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch uses NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics anticipate exceptional growth, placing North Kellyville in the top 10 percent of statistical areas across the nation. By 2041, the area is expected to increase by 11,381 persons based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting a total increase of 43.7% over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in North Kellyville was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

North Kellyville has recorded approximately 468 residential properties granted approval annually. Between FY-21 and FY-25, around 2,344 homes were approved, with an additional 43 approved in FY-26 so far. Over these five years, on average, about 3.8 people moved to the area for each dwelling built.

This indicates supply lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction cost of new homes is $205,000, which is below regional norms, suggesting more affordable housing options. Commercial approvals this financial year totaled $238,000, reflecting a predominantly residential focus in the area. Comparatively, North Kellyville's development levels per person are similar to Greater Sydney's, supporting market stability aligned with regional patterns.

However, these levels are substantially higher than national averages, indicating strong developer confidence in the location. The new development consists of 71.0% detached houses and 29.0% townhouses or apartments, maintaining North Kellyville's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With approximately 196 people per dwelling approval, North Kellyville exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, the area is expected to grow by around 9,956 residents through to 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand in the foreseeable future, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

North Kellyville has strong levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 30% nationally

Changes in local infrastructure significantly affect an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects that could impact the region. Notable initiatives include Bellerive Rise Estate, North Kellyville Shopping Centre, Rouse Hill Town Centre Expansion, and Rouse Hill Hospital, with the following list detailing those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in North Kellyville demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

North Kellyville has a highly educated workforce with professional services well represented. Its unemployment rate was 3.0% in the past year, with an estimated employment growth of 1.0%. As of September 2025, 12,404 residents are employed, and the unemployment rate is 1.2% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%.

Workforce participation stands at 79.1%, higher than Greater Sydney's 70.0%. Census responses indicate that 54.1% of residents work from home. Key industries for employment are health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. Notably, finance & insurance employs a disproportionately high share of workers at 1.3 times the regional level, while transport, postal & warehousing employs only 3.5%, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%.

Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.0% and labour force grew by 1.5%, causing unemployment to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney experienced employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%, with a smaller increase in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that North Kellyville's employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, based on industry-specific projections applied to the local employment mix.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

North Kellyville SA2 has one of Australia's highest income levels according to AreaSearch's aggregation of latest ATO data for financial year ending June 30, 2023. The median income among taxpayers in North Kellyville SA2 is $75,942, with an average income of $93,720. This compares to Greater Sydney's median and average incomes of $60,817 and $83,003 respectively. Based on Wage Price Index growth of 8.86% from July 1, 2023 to June 30, 2025, estimated current incomes are approximately $82,670 (median) and $102,024 (average). The 2021 Census data ranks North Kellyville's household, family, and personal incomes highly, between the 91st and 97th percentiles nationally. Income brackets indicate that 34.0% of residents earn over $4,000 weekly (7,743 people), contrasting with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - $2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. A substantial proportion of residents are higher earners, with 52.6% exceeding $3,000 weekly, suggesting strong purchasing power in the community. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income, but strong earnings place disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it within the 10th decile.

North Kellyville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with ownership patterns similar to the broader region

In North Kellyville, as per the latest Census, 82.6% of dwellings were houses, with the remaining 17.3% being semi-detached homes, apartments, or other types. This differs from Sydney metropolitan areas where 55.9% are houses and 44.1% are other dwellings. Home ownership in North Kellyville stood at 13.7%, with mortgaged properties at 58.3% and rented ones at 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,250, higher than Sydney's average of $2,427. The median weekly rent was $600, compared to Sydney's $470. Nationally, North Kellyville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher at $1,863 and rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Kellyville features high concentrations of family households, with a higher-than-average median household size

Family households account for 88.9% of all households, including 60.7% couples with children, 19.2% couples without children, and 8.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 11.1%, with lone person households at 9.5% and group households comprising 1.5% of the total. The median household size is 3.3 people, which is larger than the Greater Sydney average of 2.7.

North Kellyville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Kellyville's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. As of 2021, 47.2% of residents aged 15 and above have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 30.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.1% of residents holding such qualifications - advanced diplomas at 12.1% and certificates at 14.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education as of the latest data. This includes 14.4% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Kellyville has 79 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 42 different routes that together facilitate 2,876 weekly passenger trips. The area's transport accessibility is deemed good, with residents on average located 214 meters from the nearest stop. Most residents commute outwards due to its residential nature. Cars remain the primary mode of transportation at 84%, while 8% use trains. On average, there are 1.7 vehicles per dwelling, higher than the regional average.

According to the 2021 Census, 54.1% of residents work from home, which may be due to COVID-19 conditions. Across all routes, service frequency averages 410 trips per day, resulting in approximately 36 weekly trips per stop.

North Kellyville's residents are healthier than average in comparison to broader Australia with prevalence of common health conditions quite low across both younger and older age cohorts

North Kellyville residents have shown relatively positive health outcomes according to health data. AreaSearch's analysis of mortality rates and health conditions found results broadly in line with national benchmarks. The prevalence of common health conditions was quite low across both younger and older age cohorts.

Private health cover was exceptionally high at approximately 68% of the total population (15,373 people), compared to 59.9% across Greater Sydney and a national average of 55.7%. The most common medical conditions were asthma and mental health issues, impacting 5.5 and 4.2% of residents respectively. 83.2% of residents declared themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to 74.6% across Greater Sydney. The area has 9.3% of residents aged 65 and over (2,122 people), which is lower than the 15.4% in Greater Sydney. Health outcomes among seniors are particularly strong, with national rankings even higher than the general population.

North Kellyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

North Kellyville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.5% of its population born overseas and 44.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in North Kellyville, comprising 46.5% of the population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented, making up 11.8% compared to the Greater Sydney average of 5.2%.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (20.3%), Australian (16.2%), and English (14.9%). There are also notable differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Indian is overrepresented at 11.0%, Korean at 1.5%, and South African at 1.2%.

North Kellyville's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

North Kellyville's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (18.2%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (9.4%). This concentration of 5-14 year-olds is significantly above the national average of 12.1%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, North Kellyville's residents have aged by an average of 1.1 years, with the median age increasing from 33 to 34 years. Specifically, the 45-54 age group has grown from 12.0% to 14.6%, while the 15-24 cohort increased from 11.4% to 13.5%. Conversely, the 25-34 age group has declined from 14.0% to 9.4%, and the 0-4 age group dropped from 9.3% to 6.3%. Population forecasts for North Kellyville in 2041 indicate significant demographic changes. The 55-64 age cohort is projected to grow by 170%, adding 2,924 residents to reach a total of 4,644. Meanwhile, the 35-44 age group is expected to decrease by 194 residents.