North Kellyville

North Kellyville lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

North Kellyville's population was around 22,438 as of November 2025. This figure reflects an increase of 5,037 people since the 2021 Census, which reported a population of 17,401 people. The change is inferred from the estimated resident population of 21,350 from the ABS as of June 2024 and an additional 848 validated new addresses since the Census date. This level of population equates to a density ratio of 2,804 persons per square kilometer, placing it in the upper quartile relative to national locations assessed by AreaSearch. North Kellyville's growth rate of 28.9% since the 2021 census exceeded both the state (6.7%) and metropolitan area rates, marking it as a growth leader in the region. Population growth for the area was primarily driven by interstate migration contributing approximately 66.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, although all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration were positive factors.

AreaSearch is adopting ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area, as released in 2024 with 2022 as the base year. For any SA2 areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch is utilising the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections, as released in 2022 with 2021 as the base year. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are also applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Anticipating future population dynamics, exceptional growth is predicted over the period with the area expected to increase by 11,381 persons to 2041 based on the latest annual ERP population numbers, reflecting an overall increase of 45.9% in total over the 17 years.

The level of residential development activity in North Kellyville was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

North Kellyville has recorded approximately 468 residential properties granted approval annually. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, 2344 homes were approved, with an additional 35 approved in FY26 so far. On average, 3.8 people have moved to the area each year for each dwelling built during these years, indicating substantial demand outstripping supply, which typically leads to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures.

The average construction cost of new homes is $205,000, below regional norms, reflecting more affordable housing options. This financial year has seen $238,000 in commercial approvals, suggesting a predominantly residential focus. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville has similar development levels per person, supporting market stability aligned with regional patterns. However, this activity is significantly higher than national averages, indicating strong developer confidence in the location.

New developments consist of 71% detached houses and 29% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character focused on family homes. With around 196 people per dwelling approval, North Kellyville exhibits characteristics of a growth area. According to AreaSearch's latest quarterly estimate, North Kellyville is expected to grow by approximately 10,293 residents by 2041. Given current construction levels, housing supply should meet demand adequately, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling population growth exceeding current forecasts.

North Kellyville has moderate levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 50% nationally

Changes to local infrastructure significantly influence an area's performance. AreaSearch has identified 21 projects that could impact this region. Notable projects include Bellerive Rise Estate, North Kellyville Shopping Centre, Rouse Hill Town Centre Expansion, and Verde Estate North Kellyville. The following list details those likely to be most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

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Employment conditions in North Kellyville demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

North Kellyville has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 3.0% and it experienced an estimated employment growth of 1.0% over the past year.

As of September 2025, there are 12,404 residents employed. The area's unemployment rate is 1.2% lower than Greater Sydney's rate of 4.2%, with workforce participation at 73.6%. Key industries employing residents include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. Finance & insurance has a particularly high employment share at 1.3 times the regional level, while transport, postal & warehousing employs just 3.5% of local workers compared to Greater Sydney's 5.3%.

Employment opportunities locally appear limited based on Census data. Between September 2024 and September 2025, employment levels increased by 1.0%, labour force grew by 1.5%, causing the unemployment rate to rise by 0.5 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.1% and labour force growth of 2.4%. State-level data from NSW shows employment contracted by 0.03% between November 2024 and November 2025, losing 2,260 jobs, with the state unemployment rate at 3.9%. Nationally, the unemployment rate was 4.3%. Jobs and Skills Australia's national employment forecasts from May-25 suggest that while national employment is expected to expand by 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years, growth rates vary significantly between industry sectors. Applying these projections to North Kellyville's employment mix indicates local employment should increase by 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

The North Kellyville SA2 had one of Australia's highest income levels according to AreaSearch's aggregation of ATO data for financial year 2022. Its median taxpayer income was $71,629 and average income stood at $90,086, compared to Greater Sydney's figures of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. By September 2025, estimated incomes would be approximately $80,661 (median) and $101,446 (average), based on a 12.61% Wage Price Index growth since financial year 2022. The 2021 Census showed North Kellyville's household, family, and personal incomes ranked highly nationally, between the 91st and 97th percentiles. Income brackets indicated that 34.0% of residents (7,628 people) earned over $4,000 weekly, contrasting with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket led at 30.9%. Notably, 52.6% of residents exceeded $3,000 weekly, suggesting strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consumed 19.4% of income, but strong earnings placed disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking placed it in the 10th decile.

North Kellyville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

North Kellyville's dwelling structure in the latest Census showed 82.6% houses and 17.3% other dwellings (semi-detached, apartments, 'other' dwellings), compared to Sydney metro's 87.7% houses and 12.3% other dwellings. Home ownership in North Kellyville was at 13.7%, with mortgaged dwellings at 58.3% and rented ones at 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment was $3,250, higher than Sydney metro's average of $3,000. Median weekly rent in North Kellyville was $600, matching the Sydney metro figure. Nationally, North Kellyville's mortgage repayments were significantly higher than Australia's average of $1,863, with rents substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Kellyville features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households constitute 88.9% of all households, including 60.7% couples with children, 19.2% couples without children, and 8.6% single parent families. Non-family households account for 11.1%, with lone person households at 9.5% and group households comprising 1.5%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

North Kellyville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Kellyville's educational attainment is notably higher than national averages. Among residents aged 15+, 47.2% have university qualifications, compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 30.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prevalent, with 26.1% of residents holding such qualifications – advanced diplomas at 12.1% and certificates at 14.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.6% currently enrolled in formal education: primary education (14.4%), secondary education (8.7%), and tertiary education (6.0%).

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Kellyville has 50 active public transport stops, all of which are bus stops. These stops are served by 41 different routes that together facilitate 2,451 weekly passenger trips. The accessibility of these services is rated as good, with residents on average being located 221 meters from the nearest stop.

On a daily basis, there are an average of 350 trips across all routes, which equates to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

North Kellyville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

North Kellyville shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. Approximately 67% of its total population of 14,966 people have private health cover, compared to Greater Sydney's 60.6%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%.

The most prevalent medical conditions are asthma and mental health issues, affecting 5.5% and 4.2% of residents respectively. A total of 83.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 79.5%. In North Kellyville, 8.7% of residents are aged 65 and over (1,961 people). The health outcomes among seniors align broadly with the general population's health profile.

North Kellyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

North Kellyville has a high level of cultural diversity, with 44.5% of its population born overseas and 44.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion in North Kellyville, making up 46.5% of its population. Hinduism is notably overrepresented in North Kellyville, comprising 11.8% compared to 8.5% across Greater Sydney.

The top three ancestry groups are Other (20.3%), Australian (16.2%), and English (14.9%). There are also significant differences in the representation of certain ethnic groups: Indian is overrepresented at 11.0% versus 7.2% regionally, Korean at 1.5% versus 1.0%, and South African at 1.2% versus 1.0%.

North Kellyville's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

North Kellyville's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 years and considerably younger than Australia's median age of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (18.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.1%). The 5-14 concentration is well above the national average of 12.2%. Between the 2021 Census and the present, the population aged 45 to 54 has grown from 12.0% to 14.2%, while the 15 to 24 age group increased from 11.4% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has declined from 14.0% to 10.1%, and the 0 to 4 age group dropped from 9.3% to 6.7%. Population forecasts for North Kellyville in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the 55 to 64 age cohort projected to grow by 184%, adding 3,010 residents to reach a total of 4,644. In contrast, numbers in the 35 to 44 age range are expected to fall by 215 residents.