North Kellyville
Statistical Area - sa2

North Kellyville lies within the top 10% of areas nationally in terms of population growth performance according to AreaSearch analysis of short and medium-term trends

North Kellyville's population is approximately 22,184 as of August 2025. This represents an increase of 4,783 people since the 2021 Census, which recorded a population of 17,401. The growth is inferred from the estimated resident population of 21,350 in June 2024 and an additional 771 validated new addresses since the Census date. This results in a population density of 2,773 persons per square kilometer, placing North Kellyville in the upper quartile nationally according to AreaSearch's assessment. The area's growth of 27.5% since the 2021 census is higher than the state average of 6.4%, indicating significant growth relative to other regions. Interstate migration contributed approximately 66.4% of overall population gains during recent periods, with all drivers including natural growth and overseas migration being positive factors.

AreaSearch uses ABS/Geoscience Australia projections for each SA2 area released in 2024 with a base year of 2022. For areas not covered by this data, AreaSearch employs the NSW State Government's SA2 level projections released in 2022 using a base year of 2021. Growth rates by age group from these aggregations are applied to all areas for years 2032 to 2041. Future population dynamics predict exceptional growth, with North Kellyville expected to increase by 11,381 persons to 2041 based on the latest population numbers. This represents an increase of 47.5% in total over the 17-year period.

The level of residential development activity in North Kellyville was found to be higher than 90% of real estate markets across the country

North Kellyville has recorded approximately 468 residential properties granted approval each year. Over the past five financial years, from FY21 to FY25, a total of 2,344 homes were approved, with an additional 24 approved so far in FY26. On average, around 3.8 people moved to the area annually for each dwelling built during these years.

This indicates that supply is significantly lagging demand, leading to heightened buyer competition and pricing pressures. The average construction cost value of new homes being built is $823,000, suggesting a focus on the premium segment with upmarket properties. In FY26, there have been commercial approvals valued at $238,000, indicating a predominantly residential focus. Comparatively, North Kellyville's development levels are similar to those of Greater Sydney when measured per capita, contributing to market stability in line with regional patterns.

However, these activity levels are substantially higher than national averages, reflecting strong developer confidence in the location. The new development consists of 71% detached houses and 29% townhouses or apartments, maintaining the area's traditional suburban character with a focus on family homes appealing to those seeking space. With approximately 196 people per dwelling approval, North Kellyville exhibits characteristics of a growth area. By 2041, it is projected that the area will grow by around 10,547 residents. Given current construction levels, housing supply should adequately meet demand in the future, creating favourable conditions for buyers while potentially enabling growth that exceeds current forecasts.

North Kellyville has very high levels of nearby infrastructure activity, ranking in the top 20% nationally

The performance of an area can be significantly influenced by changes to its local infrastructure, major projects, and planning initiatives. AreaSearch has identified a total of 21 such projects that are likely to impact the area. Notable among these are Bellerive Rise Estate, North Kellyville Shopping Centre, Rouse Hill Town Centre Expansion, and Beaumont Hills Public School Expansion. The following list details those projects considered most relevant.

Professional plan users can use the search below to filter and access additional projects.

Denotes AI-based impression for illustrative purposes only, not to be taken as definitive under any circumstances. Please follow links and conduct other investigations from the project's source for actual imagery. Developers and project owners wishing us to use original imagery please Contact Us and we will do so.

Employment conditions in North Kellyville demonstrate strong performance, ranking among the top 35% of areas assessed nationally

North Kellyville has a highly educated workforce with strong representation in professional services. Its unemployment rate is 3.1%, lower than Greater Sydney's 4.2%.

Employment growth over the past year was estimated at 2.4%. As of June 2025, 12,093 residents are employed, with an unemployment rate of 3.1% and workforce participation of 73.6%. Key industries include health care & social assistance, professional & technical services, and construction. The area specializes in finance & insurance, employing 1.3 times the regional level, while transport, postal & warehousing employs only 3.5%, below Greater Sydney's 5.3%.

Employment opportunities locally may be limited as indicated by Census data. Between June 2024 and June 2025, employment levels increased by 2.4% and labour force by 3.1%, raising the unemployment rate by 0.7 percentage points. In contrast, Greater Sydney saw employment growth of 2.6% and labour force growth of 2.9%, with a 0.3 percentage point rise in unemployment. Jobs and Skills Australia's forecasts from May 2025 project national employment growth of 6.6% over five years and 13.7% over ten years. Applying these projections to North Kellyville's employment mix suggests local growth of approximately 6.9% over five years and 14.0% over ten years, though these are simple extrapolations for illustrative purposes only.

The economic profile demonstrates exceptional strength, placing the area among the top 10% nationally based on comprehensive AreaSearch income analysis

North Kellyville's median income among taxpayers was $71,629 in financial year 2022, according to ATO data aggregated by AreaSearch. The average income stood at $90,086 during the same period. This compares to figures for Greater Sydney of $56,994 and $80,856 respectively. By September 2025, current estimates project median and average incomes to be approximately $80,661 and $101,446 respectively, based on a 12.61% growth in the Wage Price Index since financial year 2022. The 2021 Census data shows that household, family, and personal incomes in North Kellyville rank highly nationally, between the 92nd and 98th percentiles. Income brackets indicate that 34.0% of residents (7,542 people) fall into the $4000+ bracket, contrasting with the surrounding region where the $1,500 - 2,999 bracket leads at 30.9%. Higher earners represent a substantial presence in North Kellyville, with 52.6% exceeding $3,000 weekly, indicating strong purchasing power within the community. High housing costs consume 19.4% of income, yet strong earnings place disposable income at the 96th percentile nationally. The area's SEIFA income ranking places it in the 10th decile.

North Kellyville is characterized by a predominantly suburban housing profile, with a higher proportion of rental properties than the broader region

In North Kellyville, as per the latest Census evaluation, 82.6% of dwellings were houses while 17.3% comprised other types such as semi-detached homes, apartments and 'other' dwellings. This compares to Sydney metropolitan areas where 87.7% of dwellings are houses and 12.3% are other types. Home ownership in North Kellyville stood at 13.7%, with mortgaged dwellings making up 58.3% and rented dwellings accounting for 27.9%. The median monthly mortgage repayment in the area was $3,250, surpassing Sydney metro's average of $3,000. Weekly rent figures were recorded at $600, matching Sydney metro's figure. Nationally, North Kellyville's median monthly mortgage repayments are significantly higher than the Australian average of $1,863, while weekly rents are substantially above the national figure of $375.

North Kellyville features high concentrations of family households, with a fairly typical median household size

Family households account for 88.9% of all households, including 60.7% couples with children, 19.2% couples without children, and 8.6% single parent families. Non-family households constitute the remaining 11.1%, with lone person households at 9.5% and group households making up 1.5%. The median household size is 3.3 people, which aligns with the Greater Sydney average.

North Kellyville demonstrates exceptional educational outcomes, ranking among the top 5% of areas nationally based on AreaSearch's comprehensive analysis of qualification and performance metrics

North Kellyville's residents aged 15+ have a higher educational attainment than national and state averages. 47.2% hold university qualifications compared to Australia's 30.4% and NSW's 32.2%. Bachelor degrees are the most common at 30.1%, followed by postgraduate qualifications (14.5%) and graduate diplomas (2.6%). Vocational credentials are also prominent, with 26.1% of residents holding them - advanced diplomas at 12.1% and certificates at 14.0%.

Educational participation is high, with 36.6% of residents currently enrolled in formal education. This includes 14.4% in primary education, 8.7% in secondary education, and 6.0% pursuing tertiary education. North Kellyville's 4 schools have a combined enrollment of 3,167 students as of the latest data. The area shows significant socio-educational advantages with an ICSEA score of 1118, indicating high academic achievement. The educational mix includes 2 primary and 2 K-12 schools.

Transport servicing is moderate compared to other areas nationally based on assessment of service frequency, route connectivity and accessibility

North Kellyville has 50 active public transport stops. These are served by buses on 41 different routes, offering a total of 2,451 weekly passenger trips. The average distance from residents to the nearest stop is 221 meters.

On average, there are 350 trips per day across all routes, which equates to approximately 49 weekly trips per individual stop.

North Kellyville's residents boast exceedingly positive health performance metrics with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups

North Kellyville shows excellent health outcomes, with very low prevalence of common health conditions across all age groups. The rate of private health cover is exceptionally high at approximately 67% of the total population (14,796 people), compared to Greater Sydney's 60.6%. Nationally, this figure stands at 55.3%.

Asthma and mental health issues are the most common medical conditions in the area, affecting 5.5% and 4.2% of residents respectively. A total of 83.2% of residents declare themselves completely clear of medical ailments, compared to Greater Sydney's 79.5%. The area has 8.7% of residents aged 65 and over (1,938 people), with health outcomes among seniors broadly in line with the general population's health profile.

North Kellyville is among the most culturally diverse areas in the country based on AreaSearch assessment of a range of language and cultural background related metrics

North Kellyville's population shows high cultural diversity, with 44.5% born overseas and 44.8% speaking a language other than English at home. Christianity is the predominant religion, comprising 46.5%. Hinduism, however, is notably higher in North Kellyville at 11.8%, compared to Greater Sydney's 8.5%.

Top ancestry groups are Other (20.3%), Australian (16.2%), and English (14.9%). Significant differences exist for Indian (11.0% vs regional 7.2%), South African (1.2% vs 1.0%), and Sri Lankan (1.0% vs 0.8%) groups.

North Kellyville's young demographic places it in the bottom 15% of areas nationwide

North Kellyville's median age is 34 years, which is lower than Greater Sydney's average of 37 and Australia's national average of 38 years. Compared to Greater Sydney, North Kellyville has a higher percentage of residents aged 5-14 (18.4%) but fewer residents aged 25-34 (10.1%). The 5-14 concentration is significantly higher than the national average of 12.2%. Between the 2021 Census and present, the population aged 45 to 54 has grown from 12.0% to 14.2%, while the 15 to 24 cohort increased from 11.4% to 13.1%. Conversely, the 25 to 34 age group has declined from 14.0% to 10.1%, and the 0 to 4 age group has dropped from 9.3% to 6.7%. Population forecasts for North Kellyville in 2041 indicate substantial demographic changes, with the strongest projected growth in the 55 to 64 cohort, expected to increase by 188% to reach 4,644 residents, adding 3,029 new residents. In contrast, numbers in the 35 to 44 age range are forecasted to decrease by 161 residents.